Bracket Scenario Analysis

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  • ganchrow
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-28-05
    • 5011

    #36
    Thanks. But it's pretty easy though when you have a computer do it for you.
    Comment
    • ganchrow
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-28-05
      • 5011

      #37
      And some approximate current valuations:
      Code:
      ganchrow	$270	Current 1st Place
      pags11    	$254	Current 2nd place
      imgv94    	$188	Current 5th place (2-way tie)
      bookie     	$132	Current 5th place (2-way tie)
      goldengoat	$88	Current 7th place
      dog        	$32	Current 17th place (4-way tie)
      sportsfun	$31	Current 3rd Place
      Orange    	$6	Current 30th Place
      Kind of interesting, I think, to look at the expectancy rankings coupled with current scores.
      Last edited by Ganchrow; 03-26-06, 06:49 AM.
      Comment
      • pags11
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-18-05
        • 12264

        #38
        well, it looks like I lucked out and was able to win the pool with Florida winning (although I hedged some on Villanova)...I had a lot of fortunate bounces along the way, this could have been anyone's game...so congrats to those that end up in second and third...also a thanks to granchow for all of the math...thanks SBR...
        Comment
        • Winston Smith
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-26-05
          • 752

          #39
          Congrats, pags.
          Comment
          • Winston Smith
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-26-05
            • 752

            #40
            2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

            LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
            UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
            FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
            FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV
            Comment
            • imgv94
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-16-05
              • 17192

              #41
              Originally posted by Winston Smith
              2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

              LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
              UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
              FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
              FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV
              Thanks winston. That was nice of you.
              Comment
              • ganchrow
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-28-05
                • 5011

                #42
                Originally posted by Winston Smith
                2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

                LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
                UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
                FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
                FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV
                Beat me to it.

                Just to clarify, your UCLA/LSU wins scenarios include both UCLA/LSU winning the championship AND UCLA/LSU losing to Mason in the championship.
                Comment
                • ganchrow
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-28-05
                  • 5011

                  #43
                  Which means:
                  Code:
                  Player		1st	2nd	3rd	Any
                  ---------------------------------------------
                  pags11  	8	0	0	8
                  imgv94  	0	3	1	4
                  bookie  	0	3	1	4
                  Orange  	0	2	0	2
                  ganchrow	0	0	6	6
                  And congrats to pags.
                  Comment
                  • ganchrow
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-28-05
                    • 5011

                    #44
                    Current valuations:
                    Code:
                    Pags     	$500.00
                    bookie     	$146.06
                    Ganchrow	$125.49
                    imgv       	$116.69
                    Orange    	$111.76
                    Comment
                    • Winston Smith
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-26-05
                      • 752

                      #45
                      Just to clarify, your UCLA/LSU wins scenarios include both UCLA/LSU winning the championship AND UCLA/LSU losing to Mason in the championship.

                      Oops, sorry. You're right. I guess the concept of George Mason winning the championship escaped me, but then again, so did defeats of MSU, UNC, and UCONN, so who knows?
                      Comment
                      • pags11
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-05
                        • 12264

                        #46
                        thanks winston and thanks ganchrow...
                        Comment
                        • pags11
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-05
                          • 12264

                          #47
                          good luck to you guys today...
                          Comment
                          • ganchrow
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-28-05
                            • 5011

                            #48
                            Current standings:
                            Code:
                            1. 	pags11          	43	97
                            2. 	imgv94          	42	95
                            3. 	ganchrow        	41	93
                            4. 	sportsfun       	39	87
                            5. 	Illusion        	42	86
                            6. 	bookie          	37	85
                            7. 	goldengoat      	38	82
                            8. 	Orange          	32	81
                            8. 	xxx             	39	81
                            10. 	awol256         	36	80
                            10. 	kdmfox          	38	80
                            12. 	aceking         	36	78
                            12. 	goldseeker      	38	78
                            14. 	Razz            	35	77
                            15. 	yellowdragon    	34	74
                            15. 	cooljh          	38	74
                            15. 	LVHerbie        	38	74
                            15. 	Winston Smith   	38	74
                            19. 	dog             	35	73
                            19. 	scottyy11       	35	73
                            19. 	Bill Dozer      	37	73
                            22. 	David           	38	72
                            23. 	stump           	35	71
                            23. 	InSpades        	37	71
                            23. 	mrmookie        	37	71
                            26. 	Brick Tamland   	34	70
                            26. 	bigboydan       	36	70
                            26. 	JDK192          	36	70
                            29. 	darkghost       	35	69
                            29. 	BigDaddy        	41	69
                            31. 	Pingman60       	34	64
                            32. 	jisav           	31	63
                            32. 	Sean            	33	63
                            34. 	presley177      	35	61
                            35. 	Jonathan        	30	60
                            35. 	Ira Wilton      	34	60
                            35. 	Willie Bee      	34	60
                            38. 	5teamparlay     	30	58
                            39. 	MetraDynamix    	30	56
                            40. 	picantel        	31	55
                            41. 	geo378          	35	53
                            42. 	Dave            	30	50
                            43. 	TheTurk         	29	43
                            44. 	natrass         	22	38
                            45. 	Greivin         	19	25
                            Comment
                            • ganchrow
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-28-05
                              • 5011

                              #49
                              (With UCLA's dismemberment of LSU tonight, imgv has clinched an in-the-money finish.)

                              Remaining Scenarios:

                              UCLA Wins Monday
                              1. pags11
                              2. imgv94
                              3. ganchrow


                              Florida Wins Monday
                              1. pags11
                              2. Orange
                              3. imgv94
                              Comment
                              • bigboydan
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 55420

                                #50
                                congrats on 1st place pags

                                ganchrow, i bet IMG and you are gonna be UCLA's biggest fan come monday night.
                                Comment
                                • imgv94
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-16-05
                                  • 17192

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by bigboydan
                                  congrats on 1st place pags

                                  ganchrow, i bet IMG and you are gonna be UCLA's biggest fan come monday night.
                                  BBD you know where I live right? Man I hope UCLA
                                  wins! I will be rooting for them!!
                                  Comment
                                  • pags11
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-05
                                    • 12264

                                    #52
                                    Dan, thanks...it's coming right down to the wire on Monday night...GL guys...
                                    Comment
                                    • onlooker
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 36572

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by pags11
                                      Dan, thanks...it's coming right down to the wire on Monday night...GL guys...
                                      No worries for you Pags, good job.
                                      Comment
                                      • pags11
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-18-05
                                        • 12264

                                        #54
                                        thanks onlooker...it was a lot of fun...
                                        Comment
                                        • Illusion
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-09-05
                                          • 25166

                                          #55
                                          Awesome job pags!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • pags11
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-18-05
                                            • 12264

                                            #56
                                            thanks illusion...I really enjoyed the contest...
                                            Comment
                                            • pags11
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-18-05
                                              • 12264

                                              #57
                                              so how'd it officially turn out?...
                                              Comment
                                              • ganchrow
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-28-05
                                                • 5011

                                                #58
                                                Final standings:
                                                1. pags11
                                                2. Orange
                                                3. imgv94


                                                Congrats to the winners and thanks to the mods for having run the contest.
                                                Last edited by Ganchrow; 04-03-06, 11:06 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Illusion
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-09-05
                                                  • 25166

                                                  #59
                                                  Congrats to all of the winners.
                                                  Comment
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