Bracket Scenario Analysis

**Ganchrow** · 03-26-06, 04:27 AM

Thanks. But it's pretty easy though when you have a computer do it for you.

**Ganchrow** · 03-26-06, 06:41 AM

And some approximate current valuations:

Code:

ganchrow	$270	Current 1st Place
pags11    	$254	Current 2nd place
imgv94    	$188	Current 5th place (2-way tie)
bookie     	$132	Current 5th place (2-way tie)
goldengoat	$88	Current 7th place
dog        	$32	Current 17th place (4-way tie)
sportsfun	$31	Current 3rd Place
Orange    	$6	Current 30th Place

Kind of interesting, I think, to look at the expectancy rankings coupled with current scores.

**pags11** · 03-26-06, 08:13 PM

well, it looks like I lucked out and was able to win the pool with Florida winning (although I hedged some on Villanova)...I had a lot of fortunate bounces along the way, this could have been anyone's game...so congrats to those that end up in second and third...also a thanks to granchow for all of the math...thanks SBR...

**Winston Smith** · 03-26-06, 08:26 PM

Congrats, pags.

**Winston Smith** · 03-26-06, 08:32 PM

2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV

**imgv94** · 03-26-06, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by Winston Smith

2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV

Thanks winston. That was nice of you.

**Ganchrow** · 03-26-06, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by Winston Smith

2nd and 3rd Championship game scenarios:

LSU wins: Bookie, Ganchrow
UCLA wins: Imgv, Ganchrow
FLA over LSU: Orange, Bookie
FLA over UCLA: Orange, IMGV

Beat me to it.

Just to clarify, your UCLA/LSU wins scenarios include both UCLA/LSU winning the championship AND UCLA/LSU losing to Mason in the championship.

**Ganchrow** · 03-26-06, 09:07 PM

Which means:

Code:

Player		1st	2nd	3rd	Any
---------------------------------------------
pags11  	8	0	0	8
imgv94  	0	3	1	4
bookie  	0	3	1	4
Orange  	0	2	0	2
ganchrow	0	0	6	6

And congrats to pags.

**Ganchrow** · 03-26-06, 09:20 PM

Current valuations:

Code:

Pags     	$500.00
bookie     	$146.06
Ganchrow	$125.49
imgv       	$116.69
Orange    	$111.76

**Winston Smith** · 03-26-06, 09:39 PM

Just to clarify, your UCLA/LSU wins scenarios include both UCLA/LSU winning the championship AND UCLA/LSU losing to Mason in the championship.

Oops, sorry. You're right. I guess the concept of George Mason winning the championship escaped me, but then again, so did defeats of MSU, UNC, and UCONN, so who knows?

**pags11** · 03-27-06, 01:54 AM

thanks winston and thanks ganchrow...

**pags11** · 04-01-06, 07:36 PM

good luck to you guys today...

**Ganchrow** · 04-01-06, 11:08 PM

Current standings:

Code:

1. 	pags11          	43	97
2. 	imgv94          	42	95
3. 	ganchrow        	41	93
4. 	sportsfun       	39	87
5. 	Illusion        	42	86
6. 	bookie          	37	85
7. 	goldengoat      	38	82
8. 	Orange          	32	81
8. 	xxx             	39	81
10. 	awol256         	36	80
10. 	kdmfox          	38	80
12. 	aceking         	36	78
12. 	goldseeker      	38	78
14. 	Razz            	35	77
15. 	yellowdragon    	34	74
15. 	cooljh          	38	74
15. 	LVHerbie        	38	74
15. 	Winston Smith   	38	74
19. 	dog             	35	73
19. 	scottyy11       	35	73
19. 	Bill Dozer      	37	73
22. 	David           	38	72
23. 	stump           	35	71
23. 	InSpades        	37	71
23. 	mrmookie        	37	71
26. 	Brick Tamland   	34	70
26. 	bigboydan       	36	70
26. 	JDK192          	36	70
29. 	darkghost       	35	69
29. 	BigDaddy        	41	69
31. 	Pingman60       	34	64
32. 	jisav           	31	63
32. 	Sean            	33	63
34. 	presley177      	35	61
35. 	Jonathan        	30	60
35. 	Ira Wilton      	34	60
35. 	Willie Bee      	34	60
38. 	5teamparlay     	30	58
39. 	MetraDynamix    	30	56
40. 	picantel        	31	55
41. 	geo378          	35	53
42. 	Dave            	30	50
43. 	TheTurk         	29	43
44. 	natrass         	22	38
45. 	Greivin         	19	25

**Ganchrow** · 04-01-06, 11:08 PM

(With UCLA's dismemberment of LSU tonight, imgv has clinched an in-the-money finish.)

Remaining Scenarios:

UCLA Wins Monday

pags11
imgv94
ganchrow

Florida Wins Monday

pags11
Orange
imgv94

**bigboydan** · 04-01-06, 11:13 PM

congrats on 1st place pags

ganchrow, i bet IMG and you are gonna be UCLA's biggest fan come monday night.

**imgv94** · 04-01-06, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by bigboydan

congrats on 1st place pags

ganchrow, i bet IMG and you are gonna be UCLA's biggest fan come monday night.

BBD you know where I live right? Man I hope UCLA
wins! I will be rooting for them!!

**pags11** · 04-01-06, 11:53 PM

Dan, thanks...it's coming right down to the wire on Monday night...GL guys...

**onlooker** · 04-01-06, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by pags11

Dan, thanks...it's coming right down to the wire on Monday night...GL guys...

No worries for you Pags, good job.

**pags11** · 04-02-06, 12:02 AM

thanks onlooker...it was a lot of fun...

**Illusion** · 04-02-06, 12:28 AM

Awesome job pags!!!

**pags11** · 04-02-06, 04:28 PM

thanks illusion...I really enjoyed the contest...

**pags11** · 04-03-06, 10:57 PM

so how'd it officially turn out?...

**Ganchrow** · 04-03-06, 11:02 PM

Final standings:

pags11
Orange
imgv94

Congrats to the winners and thanks to the mods for having run the contest.

**Illusion** · 04-04-06, 03:12 AM

Congrats to all of the winners.