Can the Super Bowl Line Hit 10?

[ritehook]

I see at BoDog it's now at 11 (tho -115 juice).

Can this possibly hit 10?

Late next week I'm thinking the squares will flock in wholesale, waving their money on undefeated New England.

[shady610]

it should,, just call up your local radio shows and talk up the giants week 17 showing. thatll do it

[SBR Lou]

I think those people you reference, most of them at least, are a little gunshy here after having backed NE religiously and had them not cover week after week.

Sure they're undefeated and that'll draw the % of "let me just pick a side and go back to my telemarketing job" people, but I think more serious bettors may give NE a look here as this spread gets more and more attractive as days go on.

[HedgeHog]

I think those people you reference, most of them at least, are a little gunshy here after having backed NE religiously and had them not cover week after week.

Sure they're undefeated and that'll draw the % of "let me just pick a side and go back to my telemarketing job" people, but I think more serious bettors may give NE a look here as this spread gets more and more attractive as days go on.

You're right, Crazyl. Fav money comes in late and pushes the line back to 13 or 13.5 (just shy of 14).

[robmpink]

no way

[SBR Lou]

You're right, Crazyl. Fav money comes in late and pushes the line back to 13 or 13.5 (just shy of 14).

Good to see you back HH, haven't seen you in a bit.

[ShamsWoof10]

Ahhhh HHog is back... Have a good time with your penis while you were away..?

This is the sucker bet of sucker bets.. NE is going to bring back the days of blowout super bowls...

[Wrigley]

I dont think we see 10, but I would never of thought we would see 11, so what do I know.

[HedgeHog]

Good to see you back HH, haven't seen you in a bit.

Thanks, and I owe you an apology.

[Cabo]

Oddsmaker.com has 11.5, wow

[SBR Lou]

Thanks, and I owe you an apology.

it's all good.

[tblues2005]

I don't think so. I think they are hyping this Brady injury thing to get the line down.

[ShamsWoof10]

I think they are hyping it to get the suckers on the Giants...

Have ya'll noticed Pinny. has 12.5 with no lean on the dog..? Pinny. riding a favorite is like a racist f*ckin' a black person... If they are doing it then it must be good...

[HedgeHog]

Ahhhh HHog is back... Have a good time with your penis while you were away..?

This is the sucker bet of sucker bets.. NE is going to bring back the days of blowout super bowls...

Yep, tired of smackin' it. Good to talk to you again. Possible blowout is highly likely in Super Bowl.

[Keith Richard]

After watching the Giants play lately I think a lot of people have been very impressed,including myself, with the new mistake free Eli.Meanwhile the Patriots play good enough to win but don't cover anymore. I get the feeling a lot of squares are lining up to put their money down on the UNDERATED Giants getting all these points. I have a feeling the cream will rise to the top in this game.

[HedgeHog]

New England backers should seriously consider buying at this low. All things equal ( Brady doesn't sprain his passing wrist jerking off to Romo's ex-girlfriend), NE -11.5 or 12 is a bargain. Line figures to bounce between 11.5 and 13.5 as bookmakers aren't too worried about being middled on 12 or 13. Take Pats at today's low-IMO.

[SBR Lou]

I've got NE in a SB future at -120, so I'm content with letting that ride. Just hoping they avoid a letdown. I will be very happy if that's the case.

[Rollins08]

It will never get down to 10. The Giants are gaining a lot of fans though.

[hhsilver]

any thoughts on how far money line will move?

[Ganchrow]

I see at BoDog it's now at 11 (tho -115 juice).

Can this possibly hit 10?

Late next week I'm thinking the squares will flock in wholesale, waving their money on undefeated New England.

I'm currently seeing Pinnacle at +12½-106/-12½-102. Without juice this would be roughly equivalent expectation-wise to a line of +11+104.5/-11-104.5 according to the HPC.

This implies that Bodog's market of +11-105/11-115 is pretty much dead-on (with respect to Pinnacle) at about 4.5% vig per side.

If you're looking to pick up some New Engalnd here your best bet would probably be Matchbook at about -12½-101 after commission (+101 before commission).

Currently, the best non-exchange A-rated sportsbook price on NE (other than Pinnacle) would probably be 5 Dimes at -12-103.

[Munson15]

10 is not in the cards, and I feel that after Brady is certified healthy, the line should creep back closer to the 13 range. Opener was 13.5 and that was pounded down fast.

[Tchocky]

I think the closing line will be between 9.5 to 10.5 all things being equal.

[maritime]

I see at BoDog it's now at 11 (tho -115 juice).

Can this possibly hit 10?

Late next week I'm thinking the squares will flock in wholesale, waving their money on undefeated New England.

I'm not convinced that the Pats are the "square" play this year. After all, the Pats haven't been covering for like 2 months. I think most of the so-called "squares" have been scared off of them by now. Throw in the fact that the Pats have only won all their superbowls by a field goal.

I think many of us earlier in the season when the Pats were a covering machine were already looking ahead to fading them in the superbowl if they made it that far. I think the knee-jerk reaction to all of this is take the Giants and the points. "I don't want to get burned again by the Pats winning but not covering." I'm leaning toward Pats minus the points.

[Bill Dozer]

10.5 tops but it's a looong break.

[ritehook]

No way this line is gonna slide to 10.

Most of those who want to bet the Giants have already done so.

But still tons of square money out there still to be tossed into the books. I think the line will rise, starting around Tuesday, and by Sunday early afternoon be back around 13 or 13.5

[ritehook]

And, as one poster noted, 11 and 12 are not good middle numbers

[purecarnagge]

I think if this line gets to 10 im going to hedge it then. I'm ok with breaking even on the bets and just paying juice for the chance to middle a 10-14pt spread. I have giants at +14.5.

[Poker_Beast]

10 would be a steal, bet'em up boys.

[jjgold]

More I look at this game the more I like Giants outright