Originally Posted by
unusialsusp5
i'd be worried about coming up a 1/2 pt. short on all of these. i could see a 23-17 houston-tampa bay final score. also,i'd really want to get to 17 with buffalo even though this seems to be safe. teasing through zero with SF and not getting to +4 could be trouble. i wouldn't max out again on this. actually i wouldn't play this period. you can do a lot better. you are paying too much for those 10 pts. and you need to win 3 games. tough order. 6.5 spreads are tough to tease unless you like the fav and get it down to the always favorable -0.5 on a juice saving 6 pointer. you should start a SF -1/2 if you can leave it open for 2500. then you should buy 1/2 pt for buffalo to get to 7 and bet it flat for 2900-2500 or so. then maybe fool around with the houston game total for much less as teasing totals causes stress and too much watching that clock tick.
Haha this is so true.
"causes stress and too much watching that clock tick".
I fear that texans/bucs score as well. BUT, Bucs last 3 games average score 34.7. #1 over team in NFL. Texans last 3 average 25.3. Last 3 Houston allowing 27! And Tampa allowing 21.
SF losing to the Rams at home by more than a FG would absolutely shock me(yes, crazier things have happened). I see where you're coming from with +4 but this feels like a lock. Goff turns back into a pumpkin against a good defense. The seattle game was an anomly for the year.
Pats struggle scoring PERIOD against good D. I think the Pats scoring 24 is the absolute ceiling here. I think Buffalo can muster 10 points on the bottom. But I really see Buffalo possibily winning outright.