1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Wednesday Plays?? Mental Players Only

    went 3-0 yesterday MENTALLY

  2. #2
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37


  3. #3
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10


  4. #4
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Sammy took that Pic when he visited you in NJ about 9yrs ago

    We were worried

  5. #5
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-09
    Posts: 19,530
    Betpoints: 8638

    JJ. Keep playing mentally. You have absolutely nothing to lose.

  6. #6
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    BigdaddyQ thank you

  7. #7
    WvGambler
    WvGambler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-19-10
    Posts: 11,618
    Betpoints: 150

    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    JJ. Keep playing mentally. You have absolutely nothing to lose.
    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    BigdaddyQ thank you

  8. #8
    KiDBaZkiT
    September 2021 POTM
    KiDBaZkiT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 14,962
    Betpoints: 1291

    Jj knows you have to be at least a LIL mental if not full blown to make it in sports betting.

  9. #9
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    thats me bro

  10. #10
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Mental players?

    The Cosbyorino troll seems about as mental as it gets, he's even surpassed No Show Douche Nozzle, but it's close between them.


  11. #11
    shocka1212
    [Too Long]
    shocka1212's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-12
    Posts: 16,788
    Betpoints: 3355

    shit man... Orioles might be a play

  12. #12
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    shit man... Orioles might be a play
    Was thinking the same thing and they just got spanked on the RL, even though they were big dogs there.

    I forecast a close game and there are plenty of growing contrarian market metrics trending that I see continuing.

    Even without a contrarian adjustment, Balty showing value in my opinion.

    It's a good look shocka, I noticed you don't fuk around.

    Good work when you do chime into this thread.


  13. #13
    shocka1212
    [Too Long]
    shocka1212's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-12
    Posts: 16,788
    Betpoints: 3355

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Was thinking the same thing and they just got spanked on the RL, even though they were big dogs there.

    I forecast a close game and there are plenty of growing contrarian market metrics trending that I see continuing.

    Even without a contrarian adjustment, Balty showing value in my opinion.

    It's a good look shocka, I noticed you don't fuk around.

    Good work when you do chime into this thread.

    dodgers weak on the road and just clinched the division... almost seems too perfect of a scenario which is the only thing that has me hesitating here

  14. #14
    ronald
    ronald's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-05
    Posts: 4,918
    Betpoints: 8459

    Remember the danger of mental betting is it leads to real betting.

    Just like if you fantasize about men and being bi but it's just fantasy eventually you find yourself doing it on KAREN AVE.

    Also if you tie elastic to the doorknob and let is slam into your ass then you will be into spanking and seek out dominatrix den and Mistress KIKKO.

  15. #15
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Looking ahead to Friday here and if the market keeps doing what it's doing, might have a conflicting play among the Funds...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by kvb View Post
    the kvb ncaaf upset basket has picked up...

    103 13-sep nc +150
    I really like this play. If it weren't on a shady Friday I might to strike with a bigger bet here.

    But here's the deal. This is a very close forecast of Wake winning 34-31 with the raw score having the margin of victory at only 2 points.

    Now at +150 and I there is value here and the line has moved in my favor since the open.

    However, there is a contrarian development in this market that could land a WAKE spread bet in the ATS/ML Fund.

    I doubt they pull off of 3 to 2.5 but they may not need to as there are many key numbers packed into play at this level and as I make contrarian adjustments, they start getting captured.

    It's a situation we are monitoring but it wouldn't be the first time the Funds have been at odds on a play. The protocol is to just make the plays, as they are triggered. The expectation is positive for all the Funds so it's a bad idea to start eliminating triggered plays willy-nilly.


    ...

  16. #16
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    Twins as Dogggggies.

  17. #17
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Picked up some Contrarian MLs...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    952 11-Sep PHI +127
    958 COL +153
    962 SD -102
    971 KC +153
    ...

  18. #18
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Added an UNDER, the bane of the Fund’s existence...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    974 OAK/HOU UNDER 11 (-115)

    In the massage chair, on mobile.

  19. #19
    KiDBaZkiT
    September 2021 POTM
    KiDBaZkiT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 14,962
    Betpoints: 1291

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Added an UNDER, the bane of the Fund’s existence...


    Phillies ML +125 if it hits KVB I will expect a gif of a fat ass and where u can see the wrinkles of feet like that gif i gave u 10 pts for. But only if Phillies win.

  20. #20
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Lets goooo Phillies!!!!!!!!!!!


  21. #21
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    it is embarrassing as to how bad i am at capping games

    wow

  22. #22
    shocka1212
    [Too Long]
    shocka1212's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-12
    Posts: 16,788
    Betpoints: 3355

    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    it is embarrassing as to how bad i am at capping games

    wow
    not even close. I tailed a parlay of yours back in like 2017 for some big money. you took the Washington capitals -1.5 as one leg.. shit looked dead in the water until a 3 goal 3rd period.. was a Saturday night. won like $3k because of your crazy ass.. you got this man.

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Sweating some late games very very very small though

  24. #24
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Picked a few units in the Fund on Wednesday...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    We are starting to see that inevitable rise after a down market with some volatility.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 620 plays, finally hit an UNDER...

    952 11-Sep PHI +127 -1
    958 COL +153 1.53
    962 SD -102 0.98
    971 KC +153 1.53
    974 OAK/HOU UNDER 11 (-115) 0.87
    Wed 3.91
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Week 22 0.58
    Week 23 -10.25
    Week 24 -0.17
    Mon 1.6
    Tue 0.97
    Total -0.13

    Of that -.13 units, UNDER bets are -13.13 units.

    There were no Contrarian RL plays on Wednesday.

    Here's the chart of the Contrarian Fund and of course the overall units sure do miss more than 8 units in mistakes but the most 3 units changed the shape of the chart a little bit.

    It sure does seem like mini double tops and bottoms indicate market change, when shown in rotation order like this...


    ...


Top