
Originally Posted by
kvb
the kvb ncaaf upset basket has picked up...
I really like this play. If it weren't on a shady Friday I might to strike with a bigger bet here.
But here's the deal. This is a very close forecast of Wake winning 34-31 with the raw score having the margin of victory at only 2 points.
Now at +150 and I there is value here and the line has moved in my favor since the open.
However, there is a contrarian development in this market that could land a WAKE spread bet in the ATS/ML Fund.
I doubt they pull off of 3 to 2.5 but they may not need to as there are many key numbers packed into play at this level and as I make contrarian adjustments, they start getting captured.
It's a situation we are monitoring but it wouldn't be the first time the Funds have been at odds on a play. The protocol is to just make the plays, as they are triggered. The expectation is positive for all the Funds so it's a bad idea to start eliminating triggered plays willy-nilly.
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