1. #1
    jjgold
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    Monday Plays?? Dead Card

    Phils maybe

  2. #2
    Sam Odom
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    JJ

    maybe we should WALK this one

  3. #3
    KVB
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    Nothing yet, but the market just closed.

    I did buy these plays on August 1st for this weekend...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I have another basket to introduce. The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket will have an initial screen of competitive underdogs, primarily on the road. This is a moneyline basket of bets that uses a stacking percentages forecast along with market analyses to determine the appropriate play.

    There could be quite a few plays in this basket as well. It will be tracked and again it can be used as a gauge but has had a very decent ROI over the last few years by itself. There will not be large underdogs in this basket as one of the factors will be competitive underdogs. If a competitive underdog is mispriced and is large upset in the market, it won’t fall into this basket, even though it may be a good bet.

    Just like the last basket…

    While each bet is, of course, one unit, the plan is to track this basket, it can be a gauge, and determine a time to for the Total Return Fund to take a position.

    Early season stacking forecasts should not do as well as when the market matures but evidence over the years shows the difference isn’t enough to overcome the market analysis of the early season...

    Last year's performance was disappointing, though profitable...

    Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML
    per bet Line Closer? Average
    Total 2.5 88-35-3 0.15




    The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has picked up...

    133 29-Aug UCLA +140
    137 FL INT +135
    147 30-Aug UTAH ST +150
    193 31-Aug SMU +140

    This is value investing.

    It's on muthafukkas!!!...
    This Fund is also a market function or gauge and looking at that chart could that be a little head and shoulder's reversal developing in the short term part of the a long term pattern?

    We are optimistic.


  4. #4
    GzaTheGenius
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    I'm on the Doyers, not sure why

    Just random selection, GL

  5. #5
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by GzaTheGenius View Post
    I'm on the Doyers, not sure why

    Just random selection, GL
    Good Luck!!


  6. #6
    SBR Tony
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    this might be the worst card I've seen in years

    pass

  7. #7
    BIGDAY
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  8. #8
    GzaTheGenius
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Good Luck!!

    I know they've been struggling to score runs, I know Dustin May is young and unproven but they're still the dodgers and it's still the Padres

    Basically a dart toss though..

    Waiting on a yankees line too, they could be a play
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave GzaTheGenius 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  9. #9
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Phils maybe
    you degenerate

    I'm waiting for thursday

    ppl are going to lose in weird ways the next couple of days... always happens before bunch of college games get played early in the season

    get ready for threads to be created by ppl to vent the next couple nights after they lose with flukes/bad beats
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB

  10. #10
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    you degenerate

    I'm waiting for thursday

    ppl are going to lose in weird ways the next couple of days... always happens before bunch of college games get played early in the season

    get ready for threads to be created by ppl to vent the next couple nights after they lose with flukes/bad beats
    Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.


  11. #11
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Nothing yet, but the market just closed.

    I did buy these plays on August 1st for this weekend...


    This Fund is also a market function or gauge and looking at that chart could that be a little head and shoulder's reversal developing in the short term part of the a long term pattern?

    We are optimistic.

    He posted this today. This is what lying arseholes do. Notice how he failed to mention the book he allegedly played these games at. The problem is this. UCLA is nowhere near +140. +110 to119 is what is showing as of NOW. Florida Int is +105 to 113. Utha State is between +147 and 150. SMU is between +110 and 118. I say that this S.O.B. should be banned from this site for posting numbers that obviously are fradulent. You guys are willing to jump Thomo's case, why not this sorry Ba**ard?

  12. #12
    hubie69
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    Looking hard at the Dbacks FF, more a fade of beebe than a bet on the dbacks....

    We'll see

  13. #13
    pilebuck13
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    Walking the card.

  14. #14
    shocka1212
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    on the phillies. maybe Brewers.. we'll see though

  15. #15
    KVB
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    KC is on the Contrarian Fund radar.

    The raw forecast has a dead tie and my sources show the bets and money on Oakland yet we are looking at a bit of a line freeze across the marketplace.

    The books appear to be taking a position on KC and the Contrarian tends to identify with that.

    Let's see of the market blinks.


  16. #16
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.

    I may be eating my words because I only bet ATP tennis a little during the 4 majors and didn't even realize first round is going on today...

    now I'm staring down lines and looking into a couple match ups

    some guy has his dream match of getting to play Roger and he's just so excited... so he will probably piss himself and lose the first set 6-0 or 6-1 and Roger is -9.5

    seen that happen before

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    your all good guys here!!

    I never admit it but I tail some plays HIDDEN OFF MY SHEET

  18. #18
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Phils maybe
    Going to disagree here and took Pit in the Fund...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    953 26-Aug PIT +130
    960 SF -102
    ...

  19. #19
    Bostongambler
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    Yanks, high price but what the heck.

  20. #20
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    KC is on the Contrarian Fund radar.

    The raw forecast has a dead tie and my sources show the bets and money on Oakland yet we are looking at a bit of a line freeze across the marketplace.

    The books appear to be taking a position on KC and the Contrarian tends to identify with that.

    Let's see of the market blinks...
    The market with a blink, but not a very big one.

    Could be an effort to initiate steam like action with out actually steaming upward. Books could be taking a position here and trying to generate action on the game. If they can maintain the percentages, an overall increase in action still enhances the position, as opposed to making it more even.


    Edit: You know, the market didn't really blink that much and where it did we have already seen some RLM.
    Last edited by KVB; 08-26-19 at 05:08 PM. Reason: Additional market movement.

  21. #21
    2daBank
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    Cards/brewers over, I got 9.5 last night but 10 is fine. I like both teams to score at least 5., of course i have lower success rate w cards overs than I do any other play on their games this season so take it w a grain of salt. Lol.

    As I mentioned the other day cards offense is starting to look like the formidable unit we expected coming into the year. Not the team ranked near bottom of league in wroc+. Goldy and ozuna are finality healthy and swinging hot bats at the same time. Fowler has gotten back to being the above average on base guy we thought we were getting when we signed him. It a bummer wong took that foul ball off his foot the other day cause he was playing extremely well. Edman is a bit of a drop off but he swinging good bat as well so we got 2 guys getting on base ahead of 2 legit middle the order bats.

    Both lineups have had success vs these starters and when these 2 meet in milw we tend to get much different games than the ones at Busch. Obviously no shock since milw a great hitters park while Busch is much more pitcher friendly.

    Starting pitching pretty much a wash in this one imo, cards have the advantage in the pens. So give me cards +123 as well.
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave 2daBank 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  22. #22
    KVB
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    Added those Marlins, a winning play I slept through yesterday...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    956 26-Aug MIA +147

    The problem here is that MIA +175 was one of the winning plays I missed yesterday. I could be on the wrong side of the market give and take here...

  23. #23
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Added those Marlins, a winning play I slept through yesterday...


    Really wanted to play the ff under but books wernt fukkin around w that line: I can’t play it at 3.5.

  24. #24
    Getch13
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    Padres are on a 5-1 run vs the Dodgers with E. Lauer starting +7.4 units R.O.I. 123% pitching in the underdog role in all 6 starts. He has a 1.72 era to go along with a whip of 0.927 and K's 9 of 8.59. Info courtesy of Steve Makinen.

    Ticket#:4233618
    Aug 26 10:10 PM
    Aug 26 06:16 PM MLB STRAIGHT BET
    [962] SD +135
    ( D MAY -R / E LAUER -L )
    100.00 /
    135.00



    BOL Getch

  25. #25
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBR Tony View Post


    this might be the worst card I've seen in years

    pass
    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post


    Walking the card.


    Slim Pickens




  26. #26
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    He posted this today. This is what lying arseholes do. Notice how he failed to mention the book he allegedly played these games at. The problem is this. UCLA is nowhere near +140. +110 to119 is what is showing as of NOW. Florida Int is +105 to 113. Utha State is between +147 and 150. SMU is between +110 and 118. I say that this S.O.B. should be banned from this site for posting numbers that obviously are fradulent. You guys are willing to jump Thomo's case, why not this sorry Ba**ard?
    Cause unlike you kvb brings things of value to the site. Try it sometime or go away. Nobody cares what you say, if we took a vote you would be the one who got banned, nobody would miss you.

  27. #27
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    on the phillies. maybe Brewers.. we'll see though
    Cardinals gonna take 2 of 3 in this series, they playing their best baseball right now. If you like milw just go w the over cause imo they gonna have to score 6+ to win, certainly not out of the question considering waino not the same away and brewers have hit him.

  28. #28
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Cause unlike you kvb brings things of value to the site. Try it sometime or go away. Nobody cares what you say, if we took a vote you would be the one who got banned, nobody would miss you.


    He's going on about me?

    Guy must really want my attention.

  29. #29
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post


    He's going on about me?

    Guy must really want my attention.
    Straight up clown. Wonder how much pretend money he has on Bama -10,000 this week?? Lol

  30. #30
    KVB
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    Man I have a bad feeling about tonight.

    953 26-Aug PIT +130
    956 MIA +147
    960 SF -102

    And if KC triggers I don't really feel much better...lol.



  31. #31
    KiDBaZkiT
    September 2021 POTM
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    Cardinals f5 +115

  32. #32
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Cardinals f5 +115
    Doesn’t make much sense to eliminate the pens if you like cards. Their pen is better than milw.

  33. #33
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Man I have a bad feeling about tonight.

    953 26-Aug PIT +130
    956 MIA +147
    960 SF -102

    And if KC triggers I don't really feel much better...lol.


    I guess one of us do well, I have cincy/oak/cards and over for a RR in groups of 2s. Lol

  34. #34
    2daBank
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    Cards need to bust this bitch open right away!!!

  35. #35
    2daBank
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    yadi!!

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