1. #36
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post


    betting tons of games small
    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post


    Books do not like spot bettors because they know the edge is not as great great vs volume players getting crushed on juice

  2. #37
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post


    Sammy, u caught my eye on this one. I HATE the term "spot-betting."

    As if u could just peruse the card...and identify a solid gold pick every week. How exactly would one go about doing this?

    Success is about making sacrifice. You have to rise b4 the rooster crows to beat the house. Edges are there to be had, but u have to be ahead of the game to cash in.
    Just for the sake of discussion

    Say you have one 70% (spot) game... and 3 more at <63%

    You win the 70% and go 1-2 on the <60%


    You Know the rest

  3. #38
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Books do not like spot bettors because they know the edge is not as great great vs volume players getting crushed on juice
    Books do not care. The guy who thinks it's smart betting a game a week etc is losing as well. Especially in college when there are so many opportunities.

  4. #39
    Sam Odom
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    laker... heard that LT may have his NCAAFB black box Model for sell

    low 6 figures

  5. #40
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    laker... heard that LT may have his NCAAFB black box Model for sell

    low 6 figures
    Just don't buy his baseball package 😲

  6. #41
    jjgold
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    Laker coming in big this year

  7. #42
    TommieGunshot
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    Just for the sake of discussion

    Say you have one 70% (spot) game... and 3 more at <63%

    You win the 70% and go 1-2 on the <60%


    You Know the rest
    Say someone does that every week for a year. Or 10 years. That's over 200 bets with a 70% chance of winning (an expected 161 - 69 record). And almost 700 bets with a 60% chance (an expected 414 - 276 won loss record).

    You know the rest. Because this is football, should have no problem betting $10,000 on these games, for a total profit of about $200,000 every year. And that's only one sport. Now go and do that in baseball and basketball too
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  8. #43
    Sam Odom
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    Tommie

    thanks for your contributions

  9. #44
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by TommieGunshot View Post
    Say someone does that every week for a year. Or 10 years. That's over 200 bets with a 70% chance of winning (an expected 161 - 69 record). And almost 700 bets with a 60% chance (an expected 414 - 276 won loss record).

    You know the rest. Because this is football, should have no problem betting $10,000 on these games, for a total profit of about $200,000 every year. And that's only one sport. Now go and do that in baseball and basketball too


  10. #45
    G Anon Dropout
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    betting tons of games small
    Same here.

  11. #46
    2daBank
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    Sure. I make about 5-12 “spot plays” per Sunday. Lol.

  12. #47
    Reload
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    Pretty much all I do anymore. Got to zero in on the right plays.

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  13. #48
    BigdaddyQH
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    What none of you realize is the fact that "Spot" betting is by far and away, the easiest type of wagering to rig. You do not have the time, or in 99% of the cases in here, the tools needed to figure out which wagers are legit and which are not.

  14. #49
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    Betting only One CFB and One NFL game per week if that...

    Discuss the merits or faults in doing so...
    The limit you are making is arbitrary, so for many (not all) therein lies the problem.

    I posted this in regards to a daily limit but the principles still apply...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    As far as the OP's question, a daily limit really is arbitrary constraint after many plays. Think of it more as a never ending rotation and save the discipline you would use to limit plays any given day and apply it to the play making in general.

    Some days you will have none, and some you will have many. If you impose a daily limit you risk forcing plays to reach the limit, but even worse, you risk eliminating winners for no better reason than because you thought some other plays were winners too.

    Over time, you aren't really limiting your risk for the appropriate reasons...

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  15. #50
    Sam Odom
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    How are the Spotters doing so far ?

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