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*BIG Play Alert* New Orleans Saints -7
Saints Run Defense going to slow down Zeke.
Saints in dome will feel at home
Drew Brees on a mission to break as many records as possible
When Zeke fails and Dak is under pressure, dallas will implode
Yeh they are a better team at home but saints offense is rolling
6.5 units to win 5
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Yes this one has a blowout written all over it
Extremely difficult to beat New Orleans at home in Dallas just doesn’t have the firepower to win in a shootout
I'm on Dallas+7. Game will be decided by a fg. The saints money train left the building.
Jerry Jones on the strategy to beat the Saints on Thursday, "Each play, we gotta think its the Super Bowl play ... it's really gonna take that kind of focus to beat a team like this"
Yes...too many people will be on the saints so books will need dallas moneyOriginally Posted by lakerboy
I think saints ml is a lock but the value maybe on the +7
Pass
In 2017 the Cowboys were 8-3 in games Sean Lee played. They were 1-4 in games he missed.
This season the Cowboys are 1-4 in games Sean Lee has played, and 5-1 in games he's missed.
Saints are fading. 3 game road trip. Let the Aints party begin
Hey Shutup. Shut up.
Best road team in the NFL this year.. both in record and ATS
Dallas historically owns the saints
16-12 isnt really owning...
Since 2006, Saints are 5-2
100% Winning Rate Predicting Last 6 New Orleans Saints Games
New Orleans Saints covered the spread 100% in the last 5 games as favorite
New Orleans Saints won 100% in favorite status in last 5 games
New Orleans Saints won last 10 games
Dallas Cowgirls covered the spread 80% in last 5 games as underdog
Dallas has a 66% chance to cover +9
*For what its worth..../@#$%?
I would love to know how this is calculated??
will say, Cowboys barely beat Falcons (7) and Eagles (3) ...two teams the saints beat by 14+ look at the teams Dallas has played, some the scores should be much higher. I get that was without cooper, but just dont see Saints winning by less than a TD
Wouldn’t shock me to see Cowboys win outright and JErry give Garrett an extension guaranteeing that they will never get to a SB anytime soon.
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They weren't even "supposed" to beat either team, being the dogs in both.
Dallas hasn't been blown out yet, for what that's worth, and they're a better team now than earlier with a few bad losses.
Of course it's a major undertaking, but they could cover, if not win outright.
I have no idea …..
here's a another one I should have added:
Saints have a 34% chance to cover -9
Wasn’t it Dallas that knocked off the undefeated Saints in 2009 late in the season? Just sayin’. Maybe it’s fate.
That which way I’m leaning as well., gonna do little more digging on saints run d, numbers wise been really good but I have perception they Havnt faced many strong rushing attacks this season, I could be wrong bout that but off top of my head other than rams don’t recall them facing many strong run teams.
First some stats..
The Saints are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games, 23-9 ATS in their last 32 vs. NFC and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
The under is 14-6 in Cowboys last 20 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in Saints last 7 Thursday games.
Now some thoughts and questions..
How many games have the saints and cowboys played in the NEW Dallas stadium?
I think the Saints are going to feel very close to home in this Dome.
I think I've watched every Cowboys game this year and they really arent that great of a team.
What is their biggest victory this year out of their 6 wins?
Although they play do SIGNIFICANTLY better at home, I'm just not convinced they can rise to the level needed to beat the Saints on this occasion
I have the Saints winning this one by a 10+ point margin
Last edited by Joey Blaze; 11-27-18 at 10:36 PM.
The public also buys into ats
The fact that saints r 9-0 ats assuming that's right
This spread is prob inflated a bit
SU: 10-1-0 (13.91, 90.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-2-0 (9.05, 81.8%) avg line: -4.9
avg line -5 and the avg win is by 14
can you say regression to the mean, that does not mean it will happen this week but that is pretty impressive
Leaning saints but I still feel it should be like -5 not 7
I think I'll watch a little first and see if I can't get saints live at a discount
NFL Average Point Margin:
1. Saints: +13.91
2. Chiefs: +10
3. Rams: +9.73
4. Bears: +9.64
5. Chargers: +8
28. Jets: -5.45
29. Bengals: -6.45
30. Bills: -10.09
31. Cardinals: -12.55
32. Raiders: -12.73
paytons 80 style offense will catch up to him eventually
they've covered 9 games in a row
books are shook
ppl thought eagles were a good play in the dome when they were in the middle of a losing streak and players on defense dropping like flies
cowboys are on a win streak, at home... these are positives. but i still don't see them covering. saints prob win by 10 putting up a late FG after a dak INT and boys fail to score late vs prevent saints D
1st game all year I’ll be against saints, as good their run defense numbers are on paper they have faced so so many crappy rushing attacks this year. I don’t think they will be able to stop Zeke without committing extra guys in the box which will leave them vulnerable to dak’s legs and Amari imo. I just think 7 too much for anyone to lay on road to a balanced dallas team.
This is what I feel as well. Thursday night, hot-ish, good-ish home DAL team, I just can't justify giving up more than a TD... even to a great NO team. I could maybe see laying 6 but over a TD is too much for me.
Dallas always plays saints tough... not betting, just making an observation
They sure stopped Gurley. Cowboys will be playing from behind. They don't have the horses to stay in the game. Brees will light them up.
Saints will make Dak beat them and he can't. They are missing their best Olineman LT. Saints will get a few picks and 4 sacks. Saints are the play
I'm not putting any actual money on the game tomorrow... just SBR point plays. I'm taking my win with Michigan tonight which was my big spot play and waiting till Saturday.
So cash that cowboys spread!!! I don't care who wins the game. Pretty indifferent to either team. Still thinking about possibly going to see the Colts host the Cowboys middle of December if the game is a critical game for both teams
I thought 13.5 was too much last week even tho ATL has garbage def..no way I could lay that much against bitter rival...but now i feel 15-1 is a lock and the ml is a lock from here on out. Who is gonna stop this juggernaut? Only teams that can keep up offensively like Rams or KC...I'll smash this ml but not a fan of 7 on the road... although our 2 worst games have been at home (week 1 Tampa, week 2 Cleveland)....Dak gonna have to dink and dunk all night, i see beasely being a factor and would some props on him
In the same vein, should Dallas -2.5 at +300 be a play as well? As many 4th down conversion attempts as the Saints are trying, they only need a couple of those go the wrong way, plus successful Dallas ball control, to fall behind a couple of scores.
Of course, we're sitting here discussing all the possibilities, and then Brees comes out and wins 51-20. Wouldn't surprise me a single bit.
johnnyvegas13 gave wikkidinsane 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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