[shocka1212]

The chargers are a dark horse to win the AFC

Team has the best shot at beating NE

[Mike Huntertz]

fewer kneelers

lol

[Ironman07]

As someone who is a huge chiefs fan cause I live here in KC I dont see this as a good spot for the Chiefs. They're the Dr. Jeckel Mr. Hyde of the NFL and cant put in consistent performances. Without Eric Berry they were lucky to win much at all with their defensive scheme. They arent creating turnovers like they did last year to get on a hot streak . SD should easily have 9-10 wins. Both Oakland and the Jets had serious defensive lapses that made KC look like world betters. Look for SD to put constant pressure on Smith with stalled drives 3-4 sacks and interceptions. KC is all about trickery and mis directions that the league has figured out. Sit on all underneath routes and dont let Smith out of the pocket... Kc's only hope is to open up the deep routes and get their running game back on track.Rivers and Sd for the win. If Try Hill gets a punt or kickoff return for TD then the tide could change but the chiefs havent put him back much at all..

[TheMoneyShot]

I have Chicago +5.5 earlier today.... if it wins... I'm done today.

But if it loses....


Ohhhhhhh Kansas City... you look so good right now. Sitting pretty at PK.

Is this REAL LIFE???? You get KC at PK????

[PAULYPOKER]

I have Chicago +5.5 earlier today.... if it wins... I'm done today.

But if it loses....


Ohhhhhhh Kansas City... you look so good right now. Sitting pretty at PK.

Is this REAL LIFE???? You get KC at PK????

Count how many posters in this thread like LA.....

If its a higher number than posters liking KC........

Well then, yes this is REAL LIFE,as KC is a lock........

[oChRoNiCo]

Team has the best shot at beating NE

Come on shocka stop drinking the powder blue kool aid! The team with the best shot to beat NE in the AFC is the Jacksonville Jaguars!

[TheMoneyShot]

Count how many posters in this thread like LA.....

If its a higher number than posters liking KC........

Well then, yes this is REAL LIFE,as KC is a lock........

Rivers sooooooo due for a meltdown.

[oChRoNiCo]

TMS I’m with you on the game I feel KC is the way to go! I don’t know about that first game today GL betting against your Lions Bears are way too unpredictable for me the kicked the shit out of Cincy last week, but who knows what they do today.

[2daBank]

Umm, they the far better team.

[2daBank]

I have Chicago +5.5 earlier today.... if it wins... I'm done today.

But if it loses....


Ohhhhhhh Kansas City... you look so good right now. Sitting pretty at PK.

Is this REAL LIFE???? You get KC at PK????

Nothing like chasing one shit play with a even worse one. Good strategy, I mean eventually the absolute garbage pick has to cash right? Right?

[frostno98]

Andy Ried-Alex Smith, bad combo. Go with the black HC and Phil Rivers instead.

[PAULYPOKER]

Believe it or not>
Alex Smith's:
QBR is 2nd in the NFL
Pass TD's 5th
INT 31st (the int rating is 1st = the most int's)
yards 7th
completions 5th
completion% 4th................

[The J-Dizzle]

This game opened as Chargers+1. Kansas won early in the season because they could score 30-40 points on anyone. They can't do that anymore. All of Chargers 5 DBs has PFF grades over 80 with their starting 2CBs+nickelback all has grades over 87, that's insane.
I'm liking the matchups for Chargers and their momentum coming into this game. People have said that Andy Reid will make adjustments for several weeks now. Chargers+1

[2daBank]

This game opened as Chargers+1. Kansas won early in the season because they could score 30-40 points on anyone. They can't do that anymore. All of Chargers 5 DBs has PFF grades over 80 with their starting 2CBs+nickelback all has grades over 87, that's insane.
I'm liking the matchups for Chargers and their momentum coming into this game. People have said that Andy Reid will make adjustments for several weeks now. Chargers+1

Chargers are as talented as any team in the league, been saying it all year. Awesome pass rushers and very good secondary on defense. Plenty of weapons at wr, solid rb, and rivers still well above average. Chargers are primed to win this division and make life hell on someone in the playoffs.

50 degrees in kc tonight to boot!! Anyone paying attention knows chargers have no home field advantage this year so every game like a road game for them!!

Love this play.

[2daBank]

Believe it or not>
Alex Smith's:
QBR is 2nd in the NFL
Pass TD's 5th
INT 31st (the int rating is 1st = the most int's)
yards 7th
completions 5th
completion% 4th................

Would you take him over rivers right now? I wouldn't. Plus rivers has the better WRs and better defense.

[PAULYPOKER]

Would you take him over rivers right now? I wouldn't. Plus rivers has the better WRs and better defense.

I'm not touching this game..........

This is a rivalry game.....

Anything can happen ........

All betting angles are out the window.........

Get the dart gun out and aim high.........


Back to A Smith....
I couldn't believe his numbers when I first saw them...........
Double take x 3.............

[2daBank]

I'm not touching this game..........

This is a rivalry game.....

Anything can happen ........

All betting angles are out the window.........

Get the dart gun out and aim high.........

Disagree, this is as easy as it gets. If it wasn't for chargers breaking in a kicker early in season they would be sitting here with a 9-4 or even 10-3 record and everyone would be on their nuts. These teams ain't close and with the beautiful weather in kc tonight it will show.

Pauly I gotta think knowing how you feel bout the NFL you like packers ml 2marro? No way NFL wants pack losing that game right?

[PAULYPOKER]

Disagree, this is as easy as it gets. If it wasn't for chargers breaking in a kicker early in season they would be sitting here with a 9-4 or even 10-3 record and everyone would be on their nuts. These teams ain't close and with the beautiful weather in kc tonight it will show.

Pauly I gotta think knowing how you feel bout the NFL you like packers ml 2marro? No way NFL wants pack losing that game right?

If Rodgers steps in close to 100%,I say not a bad bet.......

Last time they played in 2015 at Carolina they lost as a -2 favorite.....

$$$ is pretty much even on this game ATS.......

[2daBank]

If Rodgers steps in close to 100%,I say not a bad bet.......

Last time they played in 2015 at Carolina they lost as a -2 favorite.....

$$$ is pretty much even on this game ATS.......

Cmon man I'm not talking bout any of that or matchups. Panthers better team. I'm talking about this garbage ass league giving pack every call in this game as they would like nothing more for double bitch and pack to remain alive headed into primetime game w minny next week. I'd go ever further to say with wentz now hurt NFL creaming themselves with thought of getting Rodgers into playoffs. Flag city coming at ya!! Panthers won't get a call all day.

[PAULYPOKER]

Cmon man I'm not talking bout any of that or matchups. Panthers better team. I'm talking about this garbage ass league giving pack every call in this game as they would like nothing more for double bitch and pack to remain alive headed into primetime game w minny next week. I'd go ever further to say with wentz now hurt NFL creaming themselves with thought of getting Rodgers into playoffs. Flag city coming at ya!! Panthers won't get a call all day.

Yes I know what you mean.........

The fixed games usually have lopsided $$$ on the team
that is gonna get all the calls against them........
The NFL doesn't pay off the referees............

[oChRoNiCo]

Nothing like chasing one shit play with a even worse one. Good strategy, I mean eventually the absolute garbage pick has to cash right? Right?

Respectfully disagree with you here banker. I don’t see KC being a shit play, if anything I see SD being a shit play in this spot. One of us will be very happy with tonight’s outcome!

[2daBank]

Respectfully disagree with you here banker. I don’t see KC being a shit play, if anything I see SD being a shit play in this spot. One of us will be very happy with tonight’s outcome!

Not sure how taking the team with advantages at every position across the board at a pick is a shit play? Chargers easily far more talented.

[2daBank]

Yes I know what you mean.........

The fixed games usually have lopsided $$$ on the team
that is gonna get all the calls against them........
The NFL doesn't pay off the referees............

Disagree, plus it not exactly fixed. NFL just pushes their agenda and they the ones paying the guys that control the outcomes with their bogus calls. No chance in hell packers the victim of any bad calls in this game.

[PAULYPOKER]

Disagree, plus it not exactly fixed. NFL just pushes their agenda and they the ones paying the guys that control the outcomes with their bogus calls. No chance in hell packers the victim of any bad calls in this game.

Who is more powerful........

The NFL?
or
The sports book industry?

[oChRoNiCo]

Not sure how taking the team with advantages at every position across the board at a pick is a shit play? Chargers easily far more talented.

Banker not sure what you use for qualifying your plays, but my metrics had KC +9.75 in this game tonight and that is without the 3 points for being @ home so +12.75 which is the largest difference I had of any game this week. I also had KC as my best bet 2x on BTP & my 3x best bet on Beat The Bag which can easily be verified! I was also all in on this game with SBR bet points. Which can also be verified easily as well.

[shocka1212]

Banker not sure what you use for qualifying your plays, but my metrics had KC +9.75 in this game tonight and that is without the 3 points for being @ home so +12.75 which is the largest difference I had of any game this week. I also had KC as my best bet 2x on BTP & my 3x best bet on Beat The Bag which can easily be verified! I was also all in on this game with SBR bet points. Which can also be verified easily as well.

what're the metrics looking like for that packers/panthers game mañana? I say packers, but idk, being as I was far off on this one (chargers ML) I may need to outsource a play to avoid a burial

[PAULYPOKER]

Count how many posters in this thread like LA.....

If its a higher number than posters liking KC........

Well then, yes this is REAL LIFE,as KC is a lock........

Lol...........Never fails........

I just counted posters in this thread who said (some in a roundabout way as well) LA will win.......

16 posters>LA

3 posters>KC

[oChRoNiCo]

what're the metrics looking like for that packers/panthers game mañana? I say packers, but idk, being as I was far off on this one (chargers ML) I may need to outsource a play to avoid a burial

shocka my metrics have Carolina +4.25 home field already included in that # I'm personally not playing this game myself too much unknowns for my taste. The game I have circled for tomorrow is Seattle @ home that is my 2nd largest play for this weekend and 3rd largest is NE.

[Harry N. Lloyd]

A month ago KC would've been about a TD favorite in this spot but the Chiefs have lost 6 of their last 8, while the red-hot Chargers have won 7 of 9 (and could actually make the playoffs after starting 0-4!) Obviously the momentum is with the Chargers.


OP is correct though about Chargers opposition--they've only won against 2 teams with winning records, and they were Dallas (without Elliot) and Buffalo (without Taylor). Hmmm?

Tough game to pick. But aren't they all? Gimme the CHIEFS at home, but my bigger play is on the UNDER.

GOOD LUCK!

Congrats!!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Shot...u called it. Maybe a little lucky on the turnovers. But Peters' presence helped, huge game from him.

[oChRoNiCo]

Rivers sooooooo due for a meltdown.

TMS brother you were 100% correct Mr Rivers was.....

[Sam Odom]

good insight in this thread

[Axman3000]

Rivers really has had problems with the Chiefs the last few years.

[TheMoneyShot]

Nothing like chasing one shit play with a even worse one. Good strategy, I mean eventually the absolute garbage pick has to cash right? Right?

Nearly 50,000 posts here... and your knowledge in sports spells sh#$. What gives you any right to reply to me at all? Is there a sign that says.... I need you to talk to me? You're a clown pal. Circus is hiring.

[packerd_00]

Way I see it Moneyshot,if the talking heads are up a teams ass in a certain match,you jump on the ignored Team.Normally seems to work.