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1. ## What percentage of guys can hit 54-55% against the spread over 200 picks?

Serious question here. How impressive is it to make 200 picks, be up 12 units and be hitting about 54-55%.

What percentage of handicappers are capable of that?

2. Not many possibly 5% you still really don't end up winning

3. Probably 54-55%

4. If you hit 55% you are winning after 200 picks. You would be up over 11 units if you line shop.

5. Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
Probably 54-55%

Nope.

6. -105 avg line at Pinny at 55% is up 15.5U if I'm correct? I'd say probably less than 2-3% can do this.

7. 200 picks? A lot of people. 1000 picks? Different story.

Indian Cowboy for example has gone 65%+ in a 200 pick span, but will eat his balls in the next 200 picks and bring his average back to normal.

8. Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves
200 picks? A lot of people. 1000 picks? Different story.

Indian Cowboy for example has gone 65%+ in a 200 pick span, but will eat his balls in the next 200 picks and bring his average back to normal.
If thats the case then whats the point of betting?

9. Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
Probably 54-55%
This is incredibly flawed logic, the hitting percentage has no correlation with the amount of people who can do it.

The correct answer is 50%, either a person can do it or he can't.

10. Oh, and warbird1976/Nima, you have shown time and time again that you can't do it so nothing to be ashamed for at this point, just embrace it.

11. Checking in...

12. POOLSIDE hit 9 in a row thus far...as for me not even close im stuck the world..

13. Originally Posted by juicername
This is incredibly flawed logic, the hitting percentage has no correlation with the amount of people who can do it.

The correct answer is 50%, either a person can do it or he can't.
dear god I hope youre trolling

14. There is a 14.4% chance of hitting 54% out of 200 picks and a 9% chance of hitting 55% out of 200 picks by random chance.

15. Originally Posted by iceman02
If thats the case then whats the point of betting?

16. 200 picks doesnt seem that much. if you can do the same over 2000 picks you really got my attention

17. all about betting good lines and not betting %s

18. I think the most impressive thing about hitting 55% over 200 is doing it in a short amount of time. A lot of us could do it being opportunists. But, can we get 3-4 plays a night doing it? That becomes less likely. So, lets say you spend a couple hours every night looking for the ONE play and bet 1k units. You make 11k if you are betting -110 lines over 200 days. That's about \$28/hr. Not the image you think of as being a pro gambler.

19. how about ~55% over 10 years? over 50,000 plays?

20. That's the beauty of recordkeeping. To even know what your pick% is. There are cappers that do this well in niches - halves - props - college fb, etc. So, it matters where they are picking the 200 and how much time they have to do it.

I ave asked my local - how many guys win over a season - win consistently - he told me 5%. I have very few friends that even bet and it is just a "how are things going - games been good to you". Bookmakers would know this answer but they are not going to want to give us a straight answer.

21. Originally Posted by snapperman2
There is a 14.4% chance of hitting 54% out of 200 picks and a 9% chance of hitting 55% out of 200 picks by random chance.
True?