I wish the Rockies would have came back as well AC. However, I was loving that great Cleveland comeback myself.
Farewell
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bigboydanSBR Aristocracy
- 08-10-05
- 55420
#36Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#39Do you want to compare our sportsbook balances right now?
Listen MJF, betting a team because they have won 4 in a row and are facing a team that has lost 4 in row is being terribly short-sighted. If you took the year-to-date numbers for these teams, as well as the starting pitchers and the bullpens, the Cubs had a slight advantage in this game. I gave them a win probability of around 53%. At that percentage, the breakeven point is around +/-113, menaing that the Rockies were GREAT value at +133. Even if you get a little frisky and raise the Cubs win probability to 55%, the breakeven point is still only +/-122, so +133 still held value. The point is I expect to go 47-53 if I played this game 100 times. Sure tonight was one of the 53, but if I keep getting +133 on plays like this, I know I will profit in the long run.
Remember this is a marathon, not a sprint.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#41um, ok.
Good luck betting chalk all the time then.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#42Oh by the way MJF, how did you do last night? I went 5-3, and look at the prices of my winners:
WON
Pittsburgh +150
White Sox +125
Cleveland +109
Kansas City +167
San Diego +109
LOST
Colorado +133
Boston +122
Boston UNDER 9 -115Comment -
bigboydanSBR Aristocracy
- 08-10-05
- 55420
#43Enough fellas !!Comment -
MJFtheGeniusSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-31-07
- 7257
#44I went 2-1 -142 Cubs
-135 Brewers
-174 AngelsComment
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