Anyone else thinking of playing exclusively at Rebatewager in 2010?

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  • MonkeyF0cker
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-12-07
    • 12144

    #1016
    Jan 07 715 MICHIGAN +1½-110
    7:00PM 716 PENN STATE
    Comment
    • MonkeyF0cker
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-12-07
      • 12144

      #1017
      Jan 07 725 CAL IRVINE +7-110
      10:00PM 726 CS NORTHRIDGE
      Comment
      • MonkeyF0cker
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-12-07
        • 12144

        #1018
        Jan 07 729 FURMAN
        6:00PM 730 ELON -1½-110
        Comment
        • MonkeyF0cker
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-12-07
          • 12144

          #1019
          Jan 07 717 UL MONROE
          8:00PM 718 FLORIDA INTL -1½-110
          Comment
          • MonkeyF0cker
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-12-07
            • 12144

            #1020
            Jan 07 737 TENN MARTIN +14½-110
            8:30PM 738 AUSTIN PEAY
            Comment
            • pokernut9999
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-25-07
              • 12757

              #1021
              Nice 3 day run
              Comment
              • Richkas
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-03-08
                • 19396

                #1022
                I hope MF comes back and wins this contest. But no matter what happens, MF has clearly demonstrated that he is not sports bettor that he portrayed himself as.
                Comment
                • MonkeyF0cker
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-12-07
                  • 12144

                  #1023
                  Originally posted by Richkas
                  I hope MF comes back and wins this contest. But no matter what happens, MF has clearly demonstrated that he is not sports bettor that he portrayed himself as.
                  LOL. How's that? I've simply tried to make this easy for myself. I've also had to make adjustments as this is certainly not what I'm used to doing compared to wagering in brick and mortar sportsbooks. I believe I've found a good balance now.
                  Comment
                  • onthewhat
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-14-08
                    • 15411

                    #1024
                    Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                    LOL. How's that? I've simply tried to make this easy for myself. I've also had to make adjustments as this is certainly not what I'm used to doing compared to wagering in brick and mortar sportsbooks. I believe I've found a good balance now.
                    Thought you said the other day you didn't have time to think about this contest, now you've found a good balance? Whatever. GL sir.
                    Comment
                    • MonkeyF0cker
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-12-07
                      • 12144

                      #1025
                      Umm. Yes. Now I've found a good balance. Great post, OTW.
                      Comment
                      • Flight
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-28-09
                        • 1979

                        #1026
                        MonkeyF0cker - I really want to like you, but your avatar drives me crazy! Can you try something new?
                        Comment
                        • onthewhat
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-14-08
                          • 15411

                          #1027
                          3-4 day I think
                          Comment
                          • Nicky Santoro
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-08-08
                            • 16103

                            #1028
                            3-4 on day

                            up to date 44-49-2
                            Comment
                            • onthewhat
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-14-08
                              • 15411

                              #1029
                              Nicky isn't this amazing? The guy is a pro but can't hit 50% over 100 plays
                              Comment
                              • IrishTim
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-23-09
                                • 983

                                #1030
                                OTW, ever heard of variance? People can win at roulette short-term even though the odds aren't in their favor.

                                To even begin to be able to draw any meaningful conclusion from a sample size of 100 events, the number's must be 62% (or 38%) which would correspond to 2 standard errors. To try and draw a conclusion from a 44-49 record is silly.
                                Comment
                                • 1st and Ten
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-13-09
                                  • 5131

                                  #1031
                                  Fockers got this
                                  Comment
                                  • MilfDriller
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-23-08
                                    • 10186

                                    #1032
                                    Originally posted by IrishTim
                                    OTW, ever heard of variance? People can win at roulette short-term even though the odds aren't in their favor.

                                    To even begin to be able to draw any meaningful conclusion from a sample size of 100 events, the number's must be 62% (or 38%) which would correspond to 2 standard errors. To try and draw a conclusion from a 44-49 record is silly.

                                    this is nice... except for the fact the guy has no idea what he's doing.

                                    one knows that occasionally the tote will flip all unders or all overs or all dogs.. and etc. it was on that twist of fate that things went your way a day or two ago.... and you are now up to 47.5% or whatever it is.

                                    be careful, my friend. there comes a time when one is driving along a country road... and one has gone too far to turn back.

                                    anyways, carry on
                                    Comment
                                    • Shortstop
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 01-02-09
                                      • 27281

                                      #1033
                                      Originally posted by IrishTim
                                      OTW, ever heard of variance? People can win at roulette short-term even though the odds aren't in their favor.

                                      To even begin to be able to draw any meaningful conclusion from a sample size of 100 events, the number's must be 62% (or 38%) which would correspond to 2 standard errors. To try and draw a conclusion from a 44-49 record is silly.
                                      I knew it! Here comes the Geek Squad with their pocket protectors, taped up glasses, $899 calculators and excuses to try and make this look not so bad for The Think Tankers!

                                      The result of 100 wagers means nothing and is silly, huh?


                                      Let me guess, you never played organized sports in your life, right? My bad, you were the right fielder in Little League that the coach had to put in because it was required that every kid play at least 6 outs.
                                      Comment
                                      • 1st and Ten
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-13-09
                                        • 5131

                                        #1034
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #1035
                                          Monkey just cannot get it going

                                          GL Guy
                                          Comment
                                          • MonkeyF0cker
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-12-07
                                            • 12144

                                            #1036
                                            Originally posted by Shortstop
                                            I knew it! Here comes the Geek Squad with their pocket protectors, taped up glasses, $899 calculators and excuses to try and make this look not so bad for The Think Tankers!

                                            The result of 100 wagers means nothing and is silly, huh?


                                            Let me guess, you never played organized sports in your life, right? My bad, you were the right fielder in Little League that the coach had to put in because it was required that every kid play at least 6 outs.
                                            It is actually possible to be a good athlete and be proficient in mathematics and statistics. Shocking, right? Most of the picks I made in the beginning absolutely did not reflect Think Tank fundamentals. In fact, they were just the contrary. Aside from that IrishTim is right, 100 picks is not a significant enough sample size to weather variance.
                                            Comment
                                            • MonkeyF0cker
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-12-07
                                              • 12144

                                              #1037
                                              Jan 08 825 BUTLER +1-110
                                              7:00PM 826 WRIGHT STATE
                                              Comment
                                              • MonkeyF0cker
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 06-12-07
                                                • 12144

                                                #1038
                                                Jan 08 829 WASHINGTON STATE +2½-110
                                                8:30PM 830 ARIZONA
                                                Comment
                                                • MonkeyF0cker
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 06-12-07
                                                  • 12144

                                                  #1039
                                                  Jan 08 833 PACIFIC
                                                  10:00PM 834 CAL POLY SLO +6½-110
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MonkeyF0cker
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-12-07
                                                    • 12144

                                                    #1040
                                                    Jan 08 845 E. WASHINGTON +15-110
                                                    9:00PM 846 MONTANA
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MonkeyF0cker
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 06-12-07
                                                      • 12144

                                                      #1041
                                                      Jan 08 847 PORTLAND STATE
                                                      9:00PM 848 MONTANA STATE -4½-110
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MonkeyF0cker
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 06-12-07
                                                        • 12144

                                                        #1042
                                                        Jan 08 831 SAINT MARYS CA -10½-110
                                                        9:30PM 832 SAN FRANCISCO
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MonkeyF0cker
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-12-07
                                                          • 12144

                                                          #1043
                                                          Jan 08 841 ST. PETER'S
                                                          7:00PM 842 MANHATTAN -3½-110
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #1044
                                                            Your betting too many games daily and therefore your % is low. Monkey next time I am in Vegas I will teach you how to tell what games are going to move off the opener.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MonkeyF0cker
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-12-07
                                                              • 12144

                                                              #1045
                                                              This is no time for comedy, jj. We've got some serious business to tend to.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #1046
                                                                Its not comedy, I study line movement as a hobby. Monkey I am not who you think I am.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MilfDriller
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-23-08
                                                                  • 10186

                                                                  #1047
                                                                  Alright, all trash talking aside, this weekend is the pivotal point in the contest.

                                                                  Fri-Sat-Sun

                                                                  The close on Sunday is the key.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Nicky Santoro
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-08-08
                                                                    • 16103

                                                                    #1048
                                                                    best day of the year thus far. is now at .500..


                                                                    6-1 on the day..

                                                                    up to date

                                                                    50-50-2..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • IrishTim
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-23-09
                                                                      • 983

                                                                      #1049
                                                                      Originally posted by Shortstop
                                                                      I knew it! Here comes the Geek Squad with their pocket protectors, taped up glasses, $899 calculators and excuses to try and make this look not so bad for The Think Tankers!

                                                                      The result of 100 wagers means nothing and is silly, huh?


                                                                      Let me guess, you never played organized sports in your life, right? My bad, you were the right fielder in Little League that the coach had to put in because it was required that every kid play at least 6 outs.
                                                                      100 wagers doesn't mean nothing, but unless it meets the 62/38% standard, it's statistically insignificant. And I like your approach -- you can't dispute with the basic math/don't understand standard deviation, so you try to take a personal stab. Not like it matters but I played 3 varsity sports in high school and still play intramural basketball and row in college. It doesn't compare to you though, considering you look like Brad Pitt, play short stop like Derek Jeter, and **** like a pornstar.

                                                                      It is possible to be athletic, enjoy sports, and still have the mental capacity to apply math and statistics to gambling.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388179

                                                                        #1050
                                                                        He was due for a big day, law of percentages.
                                                                        Comment
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