Help from middlers and scalpers

**darkghost** · 11-09-05, 05:51 PM

Seems to me for a $100 bettor, in the second scenario you could lock in a $4.50 win and that's it. In the first scenario you lock in a $1 win and are risking $3.50 to win $100. So is it worth risking $3.50 to win $100? Seems to me a good bet and plus you'll be more interested in the game!!
BTW where did u get Cinny +14.5 E? I took a stand on WVa -14 earlier and I wouldn't mind getting off this play at that price.

**David** · 11-09-05, 05:54 PM

I would try the middle...14 is a good number.

**BuddyBear** · 11-09-05, 05:54 PM

Cin 14.5 (+100) at Sportsinteraction.com.

I am very confused by your description.

I took W.virginia -14 (+101)/Cincinatti +14.5(+100)....i figure 14 points happens from time to time...let's hope it does tonight.

**raiders72001** · 11-09-05, 07:40 PM

It's the safe bet if you have no opinion on the game and doesn't hurt as it's risk free.

**Ganchrow** · 11-09-05, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by BuddyBear

I have Cincinnati +14.5 (+100)

I have a chance to get W.Virginia at either -14 (+102) for a middle and scalp

Or I can get W.Virginia at -14.5 (+109) for an even bigger scalp but no middle opportunity.

In the first scenario you'd lock in a .5% profit and have a 6% probability (the probability of hitting the 14 exactly) of making a 50% further profit. Hence your expected P&L would be 3.5%.

In the second scenario you'd lock in a 2.25% profit and have no chance of a middle.

In short, take the +14.5 +100 / -14 +102.

**bookie** · 11-09-05, 11:04 PM

ganchrow...I like how you think...

**bigboydan** · 11-09-05, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by bookie

ganchrow...I like how you think...

that makes two of us