Bos was -1 earlier, now +2 versus Por here
Seems like a must play...
Seems like a must play...
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a very big % of games that come up in a back testing data scrap would come from games with late injury/personnel news
I'm assuming today's move has to do with Jaylen Brown StatusComment -
a lot of these circle games , like the boston game today, it better to stay far away fromComment -
update for the boston game05/02/21 03:42:24pm Pacific NBA: Game 551-552 Injury Status Games PTS REB AST STL BLK Boston Celtics SG Jaylen Brown Ankle Probable 57 24.8 5.9 3.3 1.3 0.6 is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Portland Comment -
How far you want to stretch it Minny?
For example, on April 9th Charlotte opened a -8.5 favorite at home but became a +3.5 dog by game time.
Like Arch said, a lot of this anymore is personnel announcements.
I keep saying that capping the NBA probabilities has come down to capping the probabilities that a player is going to play that night.
And so many of these are game time announcements anymore. It's ridiculous.
But, here's some fodder for you...
Since the 2016-17 season until now I have betting on the home team after it's opened as a favorite and then closed as a dog at exactly 50-50 over the last 212 plays.
Thats 105-105-2.
Now, if you had bet the same unit on the home team at the close for each of those games here's the ride you went on...
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That's a really fukked up stat lolHow far you want to stretch it Minny?
For example, on April 9th Charlotte opened a -8.5 favorite at home but became a +3.5 dog by game time.
Like Arch said, a lot of this anymore is personnel announcements.
I keep saying that capping the NBA probabilities has come down to capping the probabilities that a player is going to play that night.
And so many of these are game time announcements anymore. It's ridiculous.
But, here's some fodder for you...
Since the 2016-17 season until now I have betting on the home team after it's opened as a favorite and then closed as a dog at exactly 50-50 over the last 212 plays.
Thats 105-105-2.
Now, if you had bet the same unit on the home team at the close for each of those games here's the ride you went on...
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This is not entirely true but you do make the obvious point.
You can cap that, though.
Like I keep saying, the future of capping NBA probabilities about capping a players probability to play.
They have played so many games with this questionable and will he or won't he that there is enough data to gauge the probability of a questionable or game time decision playing.
Yes it's advanced, but I've worked with that very software myself.
I know that more than one group uses similar stuff.
It's all about information and how it's given, at least most of it.Comment -
Point spread covers are all random every sport
If you do know that quit gamblingComment -
Day to day weather seems random too, Gold, but the overall climate has trends.
Just like in that jagged little chart above.
If you know a beginning and end point, you knock randomness down to the level of watching games.
Which you know we don't do.
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Tough....I usually bet early....but for late bettors when line crosses 0, it should be a "no play"Comment -
kvb with the solid dataHow far you want to stretch it Minny?
For example, on April 9th Charlotte opened a -8.5 favorite at home but became a +3.5 dog by game time.
Like Arch said, a lot of this anymore is personnel announcements.
I keep saying that capping the NBA probabilities has come down to capping the probabilities that a player is going to play that night.
And so many of these are game time announcements anymore. It's ridiculous.
But, here's some fodder for you...
Since the 2016-17 season until now I have betting on the home team after it's opened as a favorite and then closed as a dog at exactly 50-50 over the last 212 plays.
Thats 105-105-2.
Now, if you had bet the same unit on the home team at the close for each of those games here's the ride you went on...
Comment
