Politics all over now
Thursday Plays Back TO Business
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#1Thursday Plays Back TO BusinessTags: None -
HmanSBR Posting Legend
- 11-04-17
- 21429
#2I'm eager for SaturdayComment -
pologqSBR Posting Legend
- 10-07-12
- 19899
#3Nets +2.5 at home against 76ersComment -
pologqSBR Posting Legend
- 10-07-12
- 19899
#5JJ you got a winner today?Comment -
KnuckleHeadzSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-19
- 8194
#6STRAIGHT BET
[207818] TOTAL u3-135
(ALANYASPOR vrs FENERBAHCE)
STRAIGHT BET
[207819] FENERBAHCE DRAW +250
STRAIGHT BET
[202309] TOTAL o2-125
(LUGO vrs GIRONAComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#7Who is out for nets?Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#9Lakers ML..Comment -
Roscoe_WordSBR MVP
- 02-28-12
- 3999
#10Double J, say hey!
NBA:
Cle +5
Dal +2.5
ATS = 40%
ROI = -23.64
Ugggly......Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#13Back to Business, Gold.
Nothing bought yesterday at the open in any of the market tracking or Tech Value Funds.
On the Contrarian Fund radar for Hoops are San Diego St, San Francsico, and Washington, but for different contrarian Fund reasons.
SF has huge market line, but my stacking forecast only shows a 4 point game, SF winning 74-70, With the public gauge showing SF winning 78-70. No forecasts get that line to SF winning by 17.5. Getting enought contrarian adjustments to get a Fund play on SF is possible, but
The market is selling Portland here, a conclusion I also reached with a deeper market analysis in the conference. Not to mention the generous 18.5 open. The analysts will heavily, heavily hit SF here. It's market moving money for sure. But we know it's not that simple, anyone reading any of the analysis from the past know that if money is being steered to one place, on a card that big, it's doing it elsewhere as well. It's not about splitting money on a game, it's about the acceptable risk the market takes and mitigates the risk of taking a position by doing the same thing elsewhere in the market.
Enter SDSU. The same situation. The stacking forecast shows SDSU, a 13 point favorite, winning by 8 points and the non predictive public gauge shows a 10 point game. Despite the forecasts, those market anaylsis that "get it" hit that market hard. Only this time the market blinked in there favor. Whether we bet or watch these games, there will be market repercussions in the short term.
I'm watching this market closely and continually trying to verify my back end information. I will say this, the indications from the openers, or originators, and a scan of trades show that with the steam revealing SDSU it could be the trap in the market here. The drop on SF was certain with an 18.5 open, but houses like Pinny seem content wtih 17.5.
Make no mistake, the books are going to take positions here, and maybe both SDSU and SF should get the nod.
On a different thread we have Washington. Forecasts show 20 point wins here, and and my stacking would show 26 points, but there are injuries. The public still favors Stanford, despite a realistic, after injury, public gauge of 70 to 63. Adjusted forecasts still show a double digit Stanford win.
Books taking a position here too and moving from 9.5 to 10.5 isn't enough. It's a different flavor of Contrarian Fund qualifications than the the other two games, but these are some ways in which KVB NCAAB the Contrarian Fund gets formulated each day. Remember, it's a market tracking Fund, but the NCAAB market is very broad and using it to track, as opposed to other baskets of plays, may not be as effective as it used to be.
SDSU, SF, and WASH all on the Contrarian Fund radar.
This is what Back to Business looks like from a fly on the wall in office, Gold. Analyizing report after report, written by me, to guide decisions. Now it's up to the market and it's information to determine whether or not we get a Fund trigger.
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cincinnatikid513SBR Aristocracy
- 11-23-17
- 45360
#14-475 home fav shut out at home
gtfo israel soccer
<iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/xR2SI8vqfQMLe" width="441" height="480" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/please-upvotes-ken-xR2SI8vqfQMLe">via GIPHY</a></p>Comment -
Otters27BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 07-14-07
- 30760
#15Jj. I'm done with politiciansComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#16Here are plays bought today, for tomorrow, in the Tech Value Fund...
The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...
These are for tomorrow.843 8-Jan S ALABAMA +5 (-110) 893 DAYTON +5.5 (-110)
Circa had an opener of +7 on South Bama and I have +6.5 for Dayton, but forgot to post it, thought I did. Just another knock on the closing line comparison. My mistake completely. These will soon be out for -108 or better as well...
<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/LegitimateFabulousHermitcrab' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#17St. Francis PA +2 over Long Island not a bad look either.
WIn or lose, that line is just too low for any type of long term sustainability.
Back to Business, Gold.Comment -
BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#18Wash/Stanford Ovah 137.5
POUND TOWN.Comment
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