Thursday Plays Back TO Business

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Thursday Plays Back TO Business
    Politics all over now
  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #2
    I'm eager for Saturday
    Comment
    • pologq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-07-12
      • 19899

      #3
      Nets +2.5 at home against 76ers
      Comment
      • SamsNCharge99
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-22-08
        • 41242

        #4
        Originally posted by pologq
        Nets +2.5 at home against 76ers
        leaning this way
        Comment
        • pologq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-07-12
          • 19899

          #5
          JJ you got a winner today?
          Comment
          • KnuckleHeadz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-19
            • 8194

            #6
            STRAIGHT BET
            [207818] TOTAL u3-135
            (ALANYASPOR vrs FENERBAHCE)

            STRAIGHT BET
            [207819] FENERBAHCE DRAW +250

            STRAIGHT BET
            [202309] TOTAL o2-125
            (LUGO vrs GIRONA
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Who is out for nets?
              Comment
              • thetrinity
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-25-11
                • 22431

                #8
                Originally posted by pologq
                Nets +2.5 at home against 76ers
                Looks like a good spot. Draft kings got a double your profit on a 50 dollar bet on this game
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83686

                  #9
                  Lakers ML..
                  Comment
                  • Roscoe_Word
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-28-12
                    • 3999

                    #10
                    Double J, say hey!

                    NBA:

                    Cle +5
                    Dal +2.5

                    ATS = 40%
                    ROI = -23.64

                    Ugggly......
                    Comment
                    • johnnyvegas13
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 05-21-15
                      • 27898

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Hman
                      I'm eager for Saturday
                      This
                      Comment
                      • pologq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-07-12
                        • 19899

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Who is out for nets?
                        durant
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Back to Business, Gold.

                          Nothing bought yesterday at the open in any of the market tracking or Tech Value Funds.

                          On the Contrarian Fund radar for Hoops are San Diego St, San Francsico, and Washington, but for different contrarian Fund reasons.

                          SF has huge market line, but my stacking forecast only shows a 4 point game, SF winning 74-70, With the public gauge showing SF winning 78-70. No forecasts get that line to SF winning by 17.5. Getting enought contrarian adjustments to get a Fund play on SF is possible, but

                          The market is selling Portland here, a conclusion I also reached with a deeper market analysis in the conference. Not to mention the generous 18.5 open. The analysts will heavily, heavily hit SF here. It's market moving money for sure. But we know it's not that simple, anyone reading any of the analysis from the past know that if money is being steered to one place, on a card that big, it's doing it elsewhere as well. It's not about splitting money on a game, it's about the acceptable risk the market takes and mitigates the risk of taking a position by doing the same thing elsewhere in the market.

                          Enter SDSU. The same situation. The stacking forecast shows SDSU, a 13 point favorite, winning by 8 points and the non predictive public gauge shows a 10 point game. Despite the forecasts, those market anaylsis that "get it" hit that market hard. Only this time the market blinked in there favor. Whether we bet or watch these games, there will be market repercussions in the short term.

                          I'm watching this market closely and continually trying to verify my back end information. I will say this, the indications from the openers, or originators, and a scan of trades show that with the steam revealing SDSU it could be the trap in the market here. The drop on SF was certain with an 18.5 open, but houses like Pinny seem content wtih 17.5.

                          Make no mistake, the books are going to take positions here, and maybe both SDSU and SF should get the nod.

                          On a different thread we have Washington. Forecasts show 20 point wins here, and and my stacking would show 26 points, but there are injuries. The public still favors Stanford, despite a realistic, after injury, public gauge of 70 to 63. Adjusted forecasts still show a double digit Stanford win.

                          Books taking a position here too and moving from 9.5 to 10.5 isn't enough. It's a different flavor of Contrarian Fund qualifications than the the other two games, but these are some ways in which KVB NCAAB the Contrarian Fund gets formulated each day. Remember, it's a market tracking Fund, but the NCAAB market is very broad and using it to track, as opposed to other baskets of plays, may not be as effective as it used to be.

                          SDSU, SF, and WASH all on the Contrarian Fund radar.

                          This is what Back to Business looks like from a fly on the wall in office, Gold. Analyizing report after report, written by me, to guide decisions. Now it's up to the market and it's information to determine whether or not we get a Fund trigger.


                          Comment
                          • cincinnatikid513
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-23-17
                            • 45360

                            #14
                            -475 home fav shut out at home

                            gtfo israel soccer

                            <iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/xR2SI8vqfQMLe" width="441" height="480" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/please-upvotes-ken-xR2SI8vqfQMLe">via GIPHY</a></p>
                            Comment
                            • Otters27
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 07-14-07
                              • 30760

                              #15
                              Jj. I'm done with politicians
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Here are plays bought today, for tomorrow, in the Tech Value Fund...

                                Originally posted by KVB
                                The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...

                                843 8-Jan S ALABAMA +5 (-110)
                                893 DAYTON +5.5 (-110)
                                These are for tomorrow.

                                Circa had an opener of +7 on South Bama and I have +6.5 for Dayton, but forgot to post it, thought I did. Just another knock on the closing line comparison. My mistake completely. These will soon be out for -108 or better as well...
                                Back to Business, Gold.
                                <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/LegitimateFabulousHermitcrab' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  St. Francis PA +2 over Long Island not a bad look either.

                                  WIn or lose, that line is just too low for any type of long term sustainability.



                                  Back to Business, Gold.
                                  Comment
                                  • BIGDAY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 02-17-10
                                    • 48245

                                    #18
                                    Wash/Stanford Ovah 137.5

                                    POUND TOWN.
                                    Comment
                                    • bill10
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-09-10
                                      • 658

                                      #19
                                      Atta Baby !!!!
                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                      Wash/Stanford Ovah 137.5

                                      POUND TOWN.
                                      Comment
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