Current odds on Trump to win 2020 election ??

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  • JohnGalt2341
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-31-09
    • 9138

    #736
    Originally posted by RoyBacon
    What's the max bet at BOL on this one?

    This is one that looks too good to be true. I'm suspicious.

    You don't have to be a seasoned arb'er to figure this one out.

    Ya hate to bet Biden and this prop and lose both by some miracle trump wins the pop vote.
    $200 for me. Might be different for others
    Comment
    • RoyBacon
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-21-05
      • 37074

      #737
      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
      $200 for me. Might be different for others
      Thanks. It's a for fun bet. Obviously Trump ain't winning the pop vote unless wildfires wipe out the state in the next 4 days.
      Comment
      • RoyBacon
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-21-05
        • 37074

        #738
        "Trump has tightened virtually every one of these swing states to the point where- what are they saying this morning?... 'Biden's five points ahead in Wisconsin... maybe three points ahead in Florida, two points ahead in Arizona'... Listen, don't believe these polls,'" Moore said. "The Trump vote is always being undercounted. Pollsters- when they actually call the Trump voter, the Trump voter is very suspicious of the 'Deep State' calling them and asking them who they're voting for."

        -Micheal Moore

        ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

        We have been saying the same thing around here for 3 months.

        Now a fellow retard is telling fellow retards.
        Comment
        • homie1975
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-24-13
          • 15448

          #739
          Comment
          • Mike Huntertz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-19-09
            • 11204

            #740
            With another 90,000+ cases and 1,000+ deaths I think Biden is looking better and better.
            The betting line seems to reflect that also.
            IMHO. If it hits 100,000 cases this week Kapt. Kaos is toast.
            Comment
            • Itsamazing777
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-14-12
              • 12602

              #741
              Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
              With another 90,000+ cases and 1,000+ deaths I think Biden is looking better and better.
              The betting line seems to reflect that also.
              IMHO. If it hits 100,000 cases this week Kapt. Kaos is toast.
              None of that has anything to do with trump or Biden
              You are clueless
              the majority of. People who die are 90 or extremely obese
              their poor choices led them to their fate...

              Normal people aren't affected.

              Its over
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82486

                #742
                Trump will wave the white flag on Tuesday night. The blue tsunami is about to erupt.
                Comment
                • Mike Huntertz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 11204

                  #743
                  Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                  None of that has anything to do with trump or Biden
                  You are clueless
                  the majority of. People who die are 90 or extremely obese
                  their poor choices led them to their fate...

                  Normal people aren't affected.

                  Its over
                  There are a lot of "old people" who are still alive and they are scared.
                  Seniors vote a lot. There are a few old farts in Florida who can vote by mail.

                  USA is the most obese nation in the world, fat people are scared too. Nobody wants to die!
                  Lose Fla. and it's ovah!
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #744
                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                    Trump will wave the white flag on Tuesday night. The blue tsunami is about to erupt.
                    For you hardcore anti-American scammers I sure hope so.

                    It's been 4 years of scams, impeachment hoaxes, gridlock, fake media, hysterics on SCOTUS picks, riots, burning the flag, antifags and radical trannys.
                    Comment
                    • dustyy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-08-17
                      • 2459

                      #745
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      Trump will wave the white flag on Tuesday night. The blue tsunami is about to erupt.
                      Trump doesn't seem to be the "waving the white flag" kind of person. Biden is that kind but his handlers won't let him concede Tuesday night if he loses. This won't be over Tuesday night.

                      This could get downright ugly.
                      Comment
                      • RoyBacon
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-21-05
                        • 37074

                        #746
                        Originally posted by dustyy
                        Trump doesn't seem to be the "waving the white flag" kind of person. Biden is that kind but his handlers won't let him concede Tuesday night if he loses. This won't be over Tuesday night.

                        This could get downright ugly.

                        Ain't no way Sleepy will still be awake.
                        Comment
                        • Fishhead
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-11-05
                          • 40179

                          #747
                          Originally posted by RoyBacon
                          For you hardcore anti-American scammers I sure hope so.

                          It's been 4 years of scams, impeachment hoaxes, gridlock, fake media, hysterics on SCOTUS picks, riots, burning the flag, antifags and radical trannys.
                          Yes
                          Comment
                          • pavyracer
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-12-07
                            • 82486

                            #748
                            Originally posted by dustyy
                            Trump doesn't seem to be the "waving the white flag" kind of person. Biden is that kind but his handlers won't let him concede Tuesday night if he loses. This won't be over Tuesday night.

                            This could get downright ugly.
                            Watch and see. Biden could have 350 electorates. Trump could leave the White house in the middle of the night.
                            Comment
                            • JohnGalt2341
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-31-09
                              • 9138

                              #749
                              Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                              None of that has anything to do with trump or Biden
                              You are clueless
                              the majority of. People who die are 90 or extremely obese
                              their poor choices led them to their fate...

                              Normal people aren't affected.

                              Its over
                              This quote won't age well. I'm not sure why Trump supporters are so terrible at predicting the future and they are consistently short sighted time after time.

                              Prediction:

                              Before the end of November there will be several dead Trump supporters that were foolish enough to stand in front of, next to, and behind, loudly cheering people,
                              cheering for Trump while not wearing a mask.

                              This is not tough, this is not smart. This is extremely foolish to put yourself in this position with over 230K dead already. Why would people do this? So they can look "tough" in front of their hero? What will history say about these people 10 t0 20 years from now? They aren't going to be remembered as brave. They will be remembered as foolish.



                              If Trump cared about his supporters even slightly he would tell them to wear a mask because it's better to be safe than sorry. But he doesn't give a shit. At all.

                              If this were an episode of The Twilight Zone, Trump and the Devil would be laughing it up at how foolish these people were. They put their friends and family and neighbors at risk in order to look tough for someone that doesn't give 2 shits about them.
                              Last edited by JohnGalt2341; 10-29-20, 09:36 PM.
                              Comment
                              • RoyBacon
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-21-05
                                • 37074

                                #750
                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                Watch and see. Biden could have 350 electorates. Trump could leave the White house in the middle of the night.
                                And you could be crowned queen of the YMCA and put your captain's hat on and snig a few bars.

                                I reckon anything is possible.
                                Comment
                                • RoyBacon
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-21-05
                                  • 37074

                                  #751
                                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                  This quote won't age well. I'm not sure why Trump supporters are so terrible at predicting the future and they are consistently short sighted time after time.

                                  Prediction:

                                  Before the end of November there will be several dead Trump supporters that were foolish enough to stand in front of, next to, and behind, loudly cheering people,
                                  cheering for Trump while not wearing a mask.

                                  This is not tough, this is not smart. This is extremely foolish to put yourself in this position with over 230K dead already. Why would people do this? So they can look "tough" in front of their hero? What will history say about these people 10 t0 20 years from now? They aren't going to be remembered as brave. They will be remembered as foolish.



                                  If Trump cared about his supporters even slightly he would tell them to wear a mask because it's better to be safe than sorry. But he doesn't give a shit. At all.

                                  If this were an episode of The Twilight Zone, Trump and the Devil would be laughing it up at how foolish these people were. They put their friends and family and neighbors at risk in order to look tough for someone that doesn't give 2 shits about them.

                                  Really? A virus birther?

                                  I know a 74 year old overweight man who is a workaholic had it for 3 days and is back working 18 hour days.

                                  Tards want so badly to believe this is The Plague and we're all going to die.
                                  Comment
                                  • Mike Huntertz
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-19-09
                                    • 11204

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                    Really? A virus birther?

                                    I know a 74 year old overweight man who is a workaholic had it for 3 days and is back working 18 hour days.

                                    Tards want so badly to believe this is The Plague and we're all going to die.
                                    This is as close to the plague as we've dealt with in our life times.....hopefully long ones!
                                    We're all not to going to die, but a lot more will if there wasn't denial from the top.
                                    No more "United" States......young live and old die.....all okay!

                                    Sad.
                                    Comment
                                    • Poisec
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-22-18
                                      • 1215

                                      #753
                                      Guys, check the hashtag #electionpoll on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hashtag/election...=hashtag_click

                                      I am aware Twitter polls should be taken with a pinch of salt but still... I remember checking Twitter polls in 2016 and Trump was leading (still got less than 50% votes overall but won anyway).
                                      Comment
                                      • The Kraken
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-25-11
                                        • 28917

                                        #754
                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                        Watch and see. Biden could have 350 electorates. Trump could leave the White house in the middle of the night.
                                        Lmao
                                        Comment
                                        • Poisec
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-22-18
                                          • 1215

                                          #755
                                          Comment
                                          • TATUMUS
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-05-09
                                            • 1107

                                            #756
                                            This model has been correct for 25 of last 27 presidential elections (since 1912, wrong on Kennedy in 1960 and Bush in 2000). It says Trump has a 91% chance of winning and predicts 362 electoral votes for Trump!
                                            Comment
                                            • flyingillini
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 41219

                                              #757
                                              We as a community need to come together and pray for a Trump victory. May Christ bless our leader for 4 more years and Mike Pence after him.
                                              המוסד‎
                                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                              Comment
                                              • Poisec
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-22-18
                                                • 1215

                                                #758
                                                Originally posted by TATUMUS
                                                This model has been correct for 25 of last 27 presidential elections (since 1912, wrong on Kennedy in 1960 and Bush in 2000). It says Trump has a 91% chance of winning and predicts 362 electoral votes for Trump!
                                                Beautiful.
                                                Comment
                                                • BOA12
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-19-12
                                                  • 20622

                                                  #759
                                                  Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                                                  This is as close to the plague as we've dealt with in our life times.....hopefully long ones!
                                                  We're all not to going to die, but a lot more will if there wasn't denial from the top.
                                                  No more "United" States......young live and old die.....all okay!

                                                  Sad.
                                                  Socially Sanitized Accepted Evil Rules US ALL. Whoever holds the gold makes the rules. Who's idea is that?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Itsamazing777
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                    • 12602

                                                    #760
                                                    Originally posted by flyingillini
                                                    We as a community need to come together and pray for a Trump victory. May Christ bless our leader for 4 more years and Mike Pence after him.
                                                    It will be jared or jr but yes....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TATUMUS
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 1107

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                      It will be jared or jr but yes....
                                                      Agreed.

                                                      By the way, I hear early voting for 2024 opens on 4 Nov 2020.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BOA12
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-19-12
                                                        • 20622

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                        This quote won't age well. I'm not sure why Trump supporters are so terrible at predicting the future and they are consistently short sighted time after time.

                                                        Prediction:

                                                        Before the end of November there will be several dead Trump supporters that were foolish enough to stand in front of, next to, and behind, loudly cheering people,
                                                        cheering for Trump while not wearing a mask.

                                                        This is not tough, this is not smart. This is extremely foolish to put yourself in this position with over 230K dead already. Why would people do this? So they can look "tough" in front of their hero? What will history say about these people 10 t0 20 years from now? They aren't going to be remembered as brave. They will be remembered as foolish.



                                                        If Trump cared about his supporters even slightly he would tell them to wear a mask because it's better to be safe than sorry. But he doesn't give a shit. At all.

                                                        If this were an episode of The Twilight Zone, Trump and the Devil would be laughing it up at how foolish these people were. They put their friends and family and neighbors at risk in order to look tough for someone that doesn't give 2 shits about them.
                                                        If rape is inevitable, just sit back and enjoy it. Colt logic, know doubt.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GunShard
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-05-10
                                                          • 10026

                                                          #763
                                                          <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Joe Biden spent decades kowtowing to communist China and taking them at their word while his China trade votes killed millions of American jobs.<br><br>Biden cannot hide from his record. It&#39;s on tape.<br><br> <a href="https://t.co/WIv0P8Fgoj">pic.twitter.com/WIv0P8Fgoj</a></p>&mdash; Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022 (@TrumpWarRoom) <a href="https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1321172310733316098?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Itsamazing777
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-14-12
                                                            • 12602

                                                            #764
                                                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                            This quote won't age well. I'm not sure why Trump supporters are so terrible at predicting the future and they are consistently short sighted time after time.

                                                            Prediction:

                                                            Before the end of November there will be several dead Trump supporters that were foolish enough to stand in front of, next to, and behind, loudly cheering people,
                                                            cheering for Trump while not wearing a mask.

                                                            This is not tough, this is not smart. This is extremely foolish to put yourself in this position with over 230K dead already. Why would people do this? So they can look "tough" in front of their hero? What will history say about these people 10 t0 20 years from now? They aren't going to be remembered as brave. They will be remembered as foolish.



                                                            If Trump cared about his supporters even slightly he would tell them to wear a mask because it's better to be safe than sorry. But he doesn't give a shit. At all.

                                                            If this were an episode of The Twilight Zone, Trump and the Devil would be laughing it up at how foolish these people were. They put their friends and family and neighbors at risk in order to look tough for someone that doesn't give 2 shits about them.
                                                            You dont stop life for the few.

                                                            Mabye banning burgers and pizza would work. They didnt choose to be healthy

                                                            Its their own fault. The whole point is many more die from other things and NO bans are in affect.....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BOA12
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-19-12
                                                              • 20622

                                                              #765
                                                              Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                              You dont stop life for the few.

                                                              Mabye banning burgers and pizza would work. They didnt choose to be healthy

                                                              Its their own fault. The whole point is many more die from other things and NO bans are in affect.....
                                                              how about those that have to breath the air and drink water to live? fuk them 2?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TATUMUS
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-05-09
                                                                • 1107

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by BOA12
                                                                how about those that have to breath the air and drink water to live? fuk them 2?
                                                                No one said anyone absolutely HAS to go out. If you are at high risk (over 70 years of age or have another health situation that puts you at risk), then by all means...STAY AT HOME. But if you are willing to face the risk and carry on your life as usual, there is no constitutional reason for the government to tell you that you can't.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BOA12
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-19-12
                                                                  • 20622

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Originally posted by TATUMUS
                                                                  No one said anyone absolutely HAS to go out. If you are at high risk (over 70 years of age or have another health situation that puts you at risk), then by all means...STAY AT HOME. But if you are willing to face the risk and carry on your life as usual, there is no constitutional reason for the government to tell you that you can't.
                                                                  OK. Thanks for enlightening me.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JohnGalt2341
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-31-09
                                                                    • 9138

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by TATUMUS
                                                                    This model has been correct for 25 of last 27 presidential elections (since 1912, wrong on Kennedy in 1960 and Bush in 2000). It says Trump has a 91% chance of winning and predicts 362 electoral votes for Trump!
                                                                    Interesting. I'm not sure how much this matters but... the article is from September 8th.

                                                                    Here's a quote from that link that I find fairly difficult to believe.

                                                                    "In playing around with an interactive electoral map, the way I get Pres. Trump to 362 electoral votes would put only the following states in Biden’s column:

                                                                    Washington, California, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Vermont, Rhode Island, and one vote from Maine.

                                                                    That would mean that Trump would win the following states that are right now considered to be Democrat or toss-ups:

                                                                    Oregon, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nebraska (all), Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Maine (3), Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida."
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7719

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by TATUMUS
                                                                      This model has been correct for 25 of last 27 presidential elections (since 1912, wrong on Kennedy in 1960 and Bush in 2000). It says Trump has a 91% chance of winning and predicts 362 electoral votes for Trump!
                                                                      You're foolish if you believe this crap. The Northeast, West Coast, Hawaii and Illinois are all locked-up Dem and they represent 190 electoral votes. Trump's absolute ceiling is 348 and that's assuming that the Dems get nothing else.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ByeShea
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 06-30-08
                                                                        • 8048

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                                        That would mean that Trump would win the following states that are right now considered to be Democrat or toss-ups:

                                                                        Oregon, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nebraska (all), Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Maine (3), Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida."
                                                                        Trump:

                                                                        OR - prob not.
                                                                        AZ - bet on it.
                                                                        NV - Biden can win it with vote fraud, Hillary did
                                                                        CO - Trump & sen candidate making a go of it, less than 50% chance
                                                                        NM - blue state very much in play since Biden went anti-oil, watch
                                                                        MN - I think Trump gets her done here
                                                                        WI - I can't make too much sense of what going there, but he won it in '16
                                                                        MI - Trump slamming this one home with authority. Done.
                                                                        NE - thought this was already red
                                                                        OH - trump
                                                                        PA - fun to watch, momentum edge to Trump
                                                                        NH - they cheated last time, sure they will again
                                                                        ME - nah
                                                                        VA - nanny state, Biden's
                                                                        NC - trump, won't be close
                                                                        FL - trump's already

                                                                        That's what's up.
                                                                        Comment
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