Current odds on Trump to win 2020 election ??

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  • DwightShrute
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-17-09
    • 103021

    #596
    Originally posted by pavyracer



    He is horrible human being. No compassion. Only thing he cares is how to make money for hinself.
    well, him and Hunter and his brother.
    Comment
    • Judge Crater
      SBR MVP
      • 10-05-20
      • 2024

      #597
      Sharps vs. squares, but a bit different than normal

      Sharps are on the favorite
      Squares are on the dog
      Sharps are using publicly mass accepted stats and polls
      Squares are using little known stats and polls
      Comment
      • RoyBacon
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-21-05
        • 37074

        #598
        Originally posted by Judge Crater
        Sharps vs. squares, but a bit different than normal

        Sharps are on the favorite
        Squares are on the dog
        Sharps are using publicly mass accepted stats and polls
        Squares are using little known stats and polls
        You came to that conclusion based on all the big bets are on Biden?

        I would guess all of the largest bets were on Hillary too.

        If they are so sharp why didn't they grab -140 10 days ago?

        It's still a bit early. If the line drops to -150 then they are dumb elephants on the way to the slaughter house.
        Comment
        • vitterd
          Restricted User
          • 09-14-17
          • 58460

          #599
          Originally posted by RoyBacon
          You came to that conclusion based on all the big bets are on Biden?

          I would guess all of the largest bets were on Hillary too.

          If they are so sharp why didn't they grab -140 10 days ago?

          It's still a bit early. If the line drops to -150 then they are dumb elephants on the way to the slaughter house.
          It’s likely they are doing the simple math of early voting and turnout. Trump voter suppression attempts have backfired and the vote totals are so high that an unpopular incumbent republican candidate can’t win. This is not hard to figure out.
          Comment
          • RoyBacon
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-21-05
            • 37074

            #600
            Originally posted by vitterd
            It’s likely they are doing the simple math of early voting and turnout. Trump voter suppression attempts have backfired and the vote totals are so high that an unpopular incumbent republican candidate can’t win. This is not hard to figure out.
            These are not your fellow haters. They are not even Americans and certainly not retarded like retards.
            Comment
            • vitterd
              Restricted User
              • 09-14-17
              • 58460

              #601
              Originally posted by RoyBacon
              These are not your fellow haters. They are not even Americans and certainly not retarded like retards.
              Half the trumptards in here aren’t American. Dwight sucks trump nuts and isn’t even allowed in here.

              Your a known emotional bettor, which is why you lose every year.
              Comment
              • Judge Crater
                SBR MVP
                • 10-05-20
                • 2024

                #602
                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                You came to that conclusion based on all the big bets are on Biden?
                Yes
                I would guess all of the largest bets were on Hillary too.
                I have no idea, likely they are professionals who bet where they see value regardless of politics.

                If they are so sharp why didn't they grab -140 10 days ago?
                Facts(Polls) change, also for betting with a polling lead, 10 days out is very different than 21 days out
                It's still a bit early. If the line drops to -150 then they are dumb elephants on the way to the slaughter house.
                I am sure if there was a valid reason it dropped to -150 they might bet back, that's what professionals do
                Comment
                • RoyBacon
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-21-05
                  • 37074

                  #603
                  Originally posted by Judge Crater
                  I am sure if there was a valid reason it dropped to -150 they might bet back, that's what professionals do
                  You're guessing. High profile events almost always have the largest bets on the favorites no matter if it's the Patriots, Hillary, Biden, Brexit or whatever.

                  You still could be 100% right. The coin only has two sides so it's going to land on one.

                  The "fact's" have moved the line slightly, yes. But the big jump came after the first debate so not a lot of real facts.

                  I do agree as probably you do that since the line hasn't recovered that smart money is still finding value at -205 and not buying back at +200 hence, it looks like Joe will win.
                  Comment
                  • Judge Crater
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-05-20
                    • 2024

                    #604
                    Betfair +210 now
                    The small pro-Trump swing seen after the debate has now reversed.Biden is back to where he was before the debate
                    Wonder what's moving it today
                    Last edited by Judge Crater; 10-24-20, 03:13 PM.
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15452

                      #605
                      Originally posted by Judge Crater
                      Betfair +210 now
                      The small pro-Trump swing seen after the debate has now reversed.Biden is back to where he was before the debate
                      Wonder what's moving it today
                      Comment
                      • Judge Crater
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-05-20
                        • 2024

                        #606
                        Betfair +220 now
                        Lots of movement for a quiet Saturday
                        Maybe a good interview tomorrow with 60 Minutes will give Trump a boost.
                        Comment
                        • Kermit
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-27-10
                          • 32555

                          #607
                          Wonder how this is going to impact things?

                          Comment
                          • vitterd
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-14-17
                            • 58460

                            #608
                            Originally posted by Judge Crater
                            Betfair +220 now
                            Lots of movement for a quiet Saturday
                            Maybe a good interview tomorrow with 60 Minutes will give Trump a boost.
                            The one where he walks out because of hard hitting tough Leslie Stahl was mean to him? Yeah, the 95 percent of seniors who watch that show will be even more thrilled with him when they see that.

                            Country has trump fatigue. His ass is getting fired in 10 days and the world will celebrate.
                            Comment
                            • vitterd
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-14-17
                              • 58460

                              #609
                              Originally posted by Kermit
                              Wonder how this is going to impact things?

                              What the hell is that?
                              Comment
                              • Kermit
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-27-10
                                • 32555

                                #610
                                Originally posted by vitterd
                                What the hell is that?
                                Apparently it is from the recently released Hunter Biden sex tape that China just released. The video is in the link.

                                Comment
                                • vitterd
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-14-17
                                  • 58460

                                  #611
                                  Originally posted by Kermit
                                  Apparently it is from the recently released Hunter Biden sex tape that China just released. The video is in the link.

                                  https://ussanews.com/News1/2020/10/2...den-sex-tapes/
                                  Oh god. Who the hell would care about that.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kermit
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-27-10
                                    • 32555

                                    #612
                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                    Oh god. Who the hell would care about that.
                                    Well, it's apparently confirming that the lap top thing was real. From what I gathered, this is one of the tamer videos that they will be releasing. Supposed to be more to come.
                                    Comment
                                    • jt315
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-12-11
                                      • 21847

                                      #613
                                      More Russian disinformation . Right tards ?

                                      The same tards who believed the pee tape existed .
                                      Comment
                                      • vitterd
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-14-17
                                        • 58460

                                        #614
                                        Originally posted by Kermit
                                        Well, it's apparently confirming that the lap top thing was real. From what I gathered, this is one of the tamer videos that they will be releasing. Supposed to be more to come.
                                        What impact will that have? I will tell you. None. People will be sickened that trump people are behind this. It will have a negative impact for him. The trump campaign has imploded and now they are trying anything.
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #615
                                          Originally posted by jt315
                                          More Russian disinformation . Right tards ?
                                          China says Kermit! All of the foreign countries want trump.
                                          Comment
                                          • Kermit
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-27-10
                                            • 32555

                                            #616
                                            Originally posted by vitterd
                                            What impact will that have? I will tell you. None. People will be sickened that trump people are behind this. It will have a negative impact for him. The trump campaign has imploded and now they are trying anything.
                                            You mean to tell me that if this was Donald Trump Jr smoking crack and getting a footie that it wouldn't hurt the President?

                                            Comment
                                            • jt315
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-12-11
                                              • 21847

                                              #617
                                              Originally posted by Kermit
                                              You mean to tell me that if this was Donald Trump Jr smoking crack and getting a footie that it wouldn't hurt the President?


                                              There would be a 10 page left wing circle jerk thread by now .
                                              Comment
                                              • Judge Crater
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-05-20
                                                • 2024

                                                #618
                                                I think we all can agree to not vote for Hunter Biden for any Federal Office.
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82699

                                                  #619
                                                  Originally posted by Kermit
                                                  Well, it's apparently confirming that the lap top thing was real. From what I gathered, this is one of the tamer videos that they will be releasing. Supposed to be more to come.
                                                  Maybe that's why the odds on Trump jumped from +176 to +186 today. Looks like the more sex tapes they release the more Trump falls behind.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kermit
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-27-10
                                                    • 32555

                                                    #620
                                                    Originally posted by jt315
                                                    There would be a 10 page left wing circle jerk thread by now .
                                                    There is another website(mostly Liberal) that I am watching and they are in full damage control.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Kermit
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-27-10
                                                      • 32555

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      Maybe that's why the odds on Trump jumped from +176 to +186 today. Looks like the more sex tapes they release the more Trump falls behind.
                                                      I think the video just got released like an hour ago. Someone is translating the Mandarin dialect and supposedly they are going to release other ones too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jt315
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-12-11
                                                        • 21847

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by Kermit
                                                        There is another website(mostly Liberal) that I am watching and they are in full damage control.


                                                        From your link .


                                                        YouTube cannot ban this video because WE’RE hosting it…so F*CK YOU, GOOGLE!





                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82699

                                                          #623
                                                          Originally posted by Kermit
                                                          I think the video just got released like an hour ago. Someone is translating the Mandarin dialect and supposedly they are going to release other ones too.
                                                          Still can't see how it helps Trump. Maybe if Trump releases a video of himself with Stormy he will galvanize his supporters to vote for him.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kermit
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-27-10
                                                            • 32555

                                                            #624
                                                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                            Still can't see how it helps Trump. Maybe if Trump releases a video of himself with Stormy he will galvanize his supporters to vote for him.
                                                            I don't know, but I'll tell you one thing, allegedly there is a video of Hunter with a child.

                                                            If that is true, this could be the end.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Judge Crater
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-05-20
                                                              • 2024

                                                              #625
                                                              The end of Hunter Biden's political career?

                                                              Originally posted by Kermit
                                                              I don't know, but I'll tell you one thing, allegedly there is a video of Hunter with a child.

                                                              If that is true, this could be the end.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vitterd
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-14-17
                                                                • 58460

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by Kermit
                                                                You mean to tell me that if this was Donald Trump Jr smoking crack and getting a footie that it wouldn't hurt the President?

                                                                Donald Trump jr is a political figure. He’s actively involved in his campaign. He’s screaming on Hannity and Twitter everyday.

                                                                Here is what you have to understand. Minds are made up. If you’re undecided at this point....I doubt you’re smart enough to know how to vote. You have to be retarded to be undecided.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kermit
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 09-27-10
                                                                  • 32555

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                                  The end of Hunter Biden's political career?
                                                                  Yeah, the end of Hunter's political career.

                                                                  2 + 2 = 4

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • vitterd
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-14-17
                                                                    • 58460

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Originally posted by Kermit
                                                                    Yeah, the end of Hunter's political career.

                                                                    2 + 2 = 4

                                                                    You guys won’t figure out until Biden is in the White House I guess.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kermit
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 09-27-10
                                                                      • 32555

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                      Donald Trump jr is a political figure. He’s actively involved in his campaign. He’s screaming on Hannity and Twitter everyday.

                                                                      Here is what you have to understand. Minds are made up. If you’re undecided at this point....I doubt you’re smart enough to know how to vote. You have to be retarded to be undecided.
                                                                      And people were claiming the whole lap top thing was just fake Russian propaganda. And now someone from China is releasing these videos now to show that it's very real.

                                                                      Not sure if you are aware, but Joe Biden has recently been tied to some shady dealings with quite a lot of proof from said lap top. Not to mention a man with a name and a face who has come forward and gone public about what the Biden's were doing.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jt315
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-12-11
                                                                        • 21847

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                        You guys won’t figure out until Biden is in the White House I guess.
                                                                        How does that Russian disinformation look now shithead ?

                                                                        That lying scumbag who’s protected by the left wing media needs to squirm like a snake from now ‘til Election Day not knowing what’s gonna be released next .
                                                                        Comment
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