Bernie Sanders to win Nevada at -180

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    Bernie Sanders to win Nevada at -180
    Risking 3.6 units to win 2.

    The bump mayor Pete got from Iowa looks like it is slowing down since Biden supporters have gone to Klobechar as much as him and the 2 most recent New Hampshire polls show Sanders with a clear lead and Klobechar beating Biden for third.

    The polls in Nevada show Biden and Sanders nearly tied, but Sanders should win New Hampshire by a solid margin and it looks like Klobechar will beat Biden for third. With Biden likely finishing 4th or worse in New Hampshire I expect voter and unions to back Sanders. The caucas system favors younger voters and strong organizations, Sanders has the far younger voters and better organization than Biden, and the Sanders campaign has far more money than Biden. Sanders voters remember getting screwed in Nevada in 2016, they will be better organized this time.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Sanders will get nod to run
    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #3
      Bernie to win Nevada up to -220!after Biden looks like he's collapsing
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Good work
        Comment
        • unde0087
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-27-08
          • 28956

          #5
          Polls don't mean shit
          Comment
          • Sam Odom
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-30-05
            • 58063

            #6
            Originally posted by unde0087


            Polls don't mean shit


            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              He’s basically a shoe in to get the nomination


              Could steamroll and Trump would be in for a battle like last time
              Comment
              • stevek173
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-29-08
                • 27598

                #8
                interesting
                Comment
                • thomorino
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-01-17
                  • 45842

                  #9
                  Originally posted by unde0087
                  Polls don't mean shit
                  The polls in Iowa and new Hampshire were accurate, Sanders only lost Iowa because of realignment.
                  Comment
                  • Headsterx
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-03-16
                    • 23112

                    #10
                    Polls... lol
                    Comment
                    • MinnesotaFats
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-18-10
                      • 14758

                      #11
                      LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
                      Comment
                      • Buckandadime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-21-15
                        • 8847

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                        LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
                        It's good "value"... Lol
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                          LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
                          Originally posted by Buckandadime

                          It's good "value"... Lol
                          Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
                          Comment
                          • DrunkHorseplayer
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-15-10
                            • 7719

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                            LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
                            Because Nevada is becoming infested with socialists who love big government.
                            Comment
                            • Heltah Skeltah
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-05-17
                              • 3499

                              #15
                              Originally posted by thomorino
                              Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
                              The culinary union is handing out flyers warning their people not to vote for Sanders in Nevada as of yesterday. Could be some concern
                              Comment
                              • Buckandadime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-21-15
                                • 8847

                                #16
                                Originally posted by thomorino
                                Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
                                2016 was 4 years ago..
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
                                  Comment
                                  • RoyBacon
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-21-05
                                    • 37074

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
                                    Trump odds are pricing that in as we go here. By the time it looks like Sanders will win I think you see -250ish numbers and a couple of weeks from the election I think we see -400 to -500.
                                    Comment
                                    • Buckandadime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-21-15
                                      • 8847

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                      Trump odds are pricing that in as we go here. By the time it looks like Sanders will win I think you see -250ish numbers and a couple of weeks from the election I think we see -400 to -500.
                                      Wonder how much the odds would be effected by his choice of running mate (if he miraculously gets the Democratic nod)...
                                      Have to believe the stresses of Presidency would send old Bernie to his grave..
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Buckandadime
                                        2016 was 4 years ago..
                                        And Bernie has a far better organization in Nevada than 4 years ago. Biden, Sanders main compeition in Nevada is weakening too.
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Heltah Skeltah

                                          The culinary union is handing out flyers warning their people not to vote for Sanders in Nevada as of yesterday. Could be some concern
                                          That story is old, the candidate unions wanted to endorse was Biden and he has weakened significantly in the last 2 months.
                                          Comment
                                          • RoyBacon
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-21-05
                                            • 37074

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by thomorino
                                            And Bernie has a far better organization in Nevada than 4 years ago. Biden, Sanders main compeition in Nevada is weakening too.
                                            The whole thing is too fluid for me to lay -200 on Bernie.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr KLC
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-19-07
                                              • 31097

                                              #23
                                              Bernie would have had a much better chance of beating Trump in 2016. With the economy the way it is, more independents are not going to want to change course.
                                              Comment
                                              • thomorino
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 06-01-17
                                                • 45842

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                Bernie would have had a much better chance of beating Trump in 2016. With the economy the way it is, more independents are not going to want to change course.
                                                Agree, Bernie's message about the banks and wall street was much stronger in 2016.
                                                Comment
                                                • Grits n' Gravy
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 13024

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by thomorino
                                                  That story is old, the candidate unions wanted to endorse was Biden and he has weakened significantly in the last 2 months.
                                                  Actually it is still a big story in NV. Culinary going after Sanders full blast right now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Art Vandelay
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-11-06
                                                    • 6690

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
                                                    Trump will boat race Sanders, won't be close. That's why Dems are doing everything in their power to prop up the rest of the field. But the Donald/Bernie debates will be must-see TV!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Booya711
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-20-11
                                                      • 27329

                                                      #27
                                                      Morino a bigger loser than the Dems
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Art Vandelay
                                                        Trump will boat race Sanders, won't be close. That's why Dems are doing everything in their power to prop up the rest of the field. But the Donald/Bernie debates will be must-see TV!
                                                        Hopefully Bernie won't croak on the stage with all these billionaires he has to face. Being a poor millionaire only himself.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gummo
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-04-06
                                                          • 6297

                                                          #29
                                                          Dems know that Bernie can't win the general election which is why they rigged it for Hillary last time. Watch them push Booty-judge through.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            They might not be able to push Sanders out this time he is more now
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Art Vandelay
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-11-06
                                                              • 6690

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              They might not be able to push Sanders out this time he is more now
                                                              His "Bernie Bros" are already threatening to burn down cities & set news people on fire if Sanders gets screwed again. Should be a very interesting summer...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Booya711
                                                                Morino a bigger loser than the Dems
                                                                Oh look it's my stalker the parasite.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy

                                                                  Actually it is still a big story in NV. Culinary going after Sanders full blast right now.
                                                                  The leaders of the Union and the Union itself are not the same.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thomorino
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                                    • 45842

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The Sanders campaign claims to have significant support with culinary members despite leadership's efforts to hurt their campaign. Sanders has been very strong with the Latino community as well which is nearly a third of Nevada.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thomorino
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                                      • 45842

                                                                      #35
                                                                      It looks like Bernie's biggest threat will be buttigieg but klo echar should continue to attack and take some of his support.
                                                                      Comment
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