Why do people bet on -200 MLs?

[Gaze73]

There is no money at those odds. In 10 years I've never seen anyone make profit at those odds. If someone posts such picks it's a big red flag they're clueless about value. Even a 66% win rate loses 1 cent per bet. Win rates are for wannabe pros and touts, the only thing that matters is the bottom line.

There is however one sport where those odds can be profitable and that's tennis. But in team based sports, forget it. We've all seen those NBA, NFL and college sports MLs around here go horribly. If someone posts a at -350, take the dog spread to hit at least 55%.

[WvGambler]

Give us a winner tonight, Gazer!

[Gaze73]

I'm about to cap ATP Tokyo, it's 2 AM around here but can't let value go to waste.

[Surecawk]

#152

make do answer's you's question-ing, Meester Gaze.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3553932-my-spreadsheet-oh-shitz-jjgold-yous-make-talk-mes-into-her-p5.html

[WvGambler]

Reilly Opelka? Let us know what you’re leaning.

[Gaze73]

Reilly Opelka? Let us know what you’re leaning.

Uchiyama. I like home dogs.

[allabout the $$$]

There is no money at those odds. In 10 years I've never seen anyone make profit at those odds. If someone posts such picks it's a big red flag they're clueless about value. Even a 66% win rate loses 1 cent per bet. Win rates are for wannabe pros and touts, the only thing that matters is the bottom line.

There is however one sport where those odds can be profitable and that's tennis. But in team based sports, forget it. We've all seen those NBA, NFL and college sports MLs around here go horribly. If someone posts a at -350, take the dog spread to hit at least 55%.

this coming from the guy who used to bet big chalk all the time

[Gaze73]

this coming from the guy who used to bet big chalk all the time

I never used to bet big chalk. I just assumed the bookies wouldn't let people make money from the most obvious favs.

[Gaze73]

Fognini looks great too.

[allabout the $$$]

I never used to bet big chalk. I just assumed the bookies wouldn't let people make money from the most obvious favs.

you really dont want me to pull up your old threads so gtfo

[kidcudi92]

yikes backfire thread

[jjgold]

Because they always look good before the game starts

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Big MLs are locks...ask Brock landers and Otters.

[lonegambler23]

otters is your man gazer

[RangeFinder]

Depends on how often you think a team wins under the current circumstances. With probability at roughly 66% you would certainly make a play if you have a team winning at 75% or better (for example). No different than say a team at -110 you feel has a 56% chance of winning. An edge is an edge no matter what the books throw at you.

[Tanko]

There is no money at those odds. In 10 years I've never seen anyone make profit at those odds. If someone posts such picks it's a big red flag they're clueless about value. Even a 66% win rate loses 1 cent per bet. Win rates are for wannabe pros and touts, the only thing that matters is the bottom line.

There is however one sport where those odds can be profitable and that's tennis. But in team based sports, forget it. We've all seen those NBA, NFL and college sports MLs around here go horribly. If someone posts a at -350, take the dog spread to hit at least 55%.

Its simple... 1/5th Jack Daniels will makes me tail JJ.... That should explain why it happens.

[thechaoz]

Big MLs are locks...ask Brock landers and Otters.

Seaweed says hi

[fried cheese]

i will give you bowling green at +300 this week. free money for you.

[jjgold]

Some say there’s no juice when you win