Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30047

    #9801
    Got some DDM July puts and an IEF put today
    Comment
    • homie1975
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-24-13
      • 15453

      #9802
      Originally posted by KVB
      Thanks BOA12.

      Get well Chico!!!

      Get Well, Chico !!! prayin' for ya, Bruh!
      Comment
      • chico2663
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-02-10
        • 36915

        #9803
        Thanks guys
        Comment
        • Slurry Pumper
          SBR MVP
          • 06-18-18
          • 2811

          #9804
          Sorry Chico I didn't know you weren't feeling well. I hope that you are feeling better real soon and able to resume in your previous capacity.

          As for the markets, I stepped in to short the QQQs yesterday, and today if things break badly I'll be adding to my IWM short play. I picked up some DKNG yesterday which I may dump and wait for the downslide to halt before jumping back in.
          Comment
          • trobin31
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-09-14
            • 9853

            #9805
            New swing: ACCO@9, office supply play...been looking for a value play to benefit from returning to the office. Banks and many other offices are requiring their lower level employees to return, teachers will have to go back, this is a good 3 month swing leading into summer.

            If you own LQDT do not sell...the actual insolvency event hasn’t occurred yet and I still believe it’s going to +$50 once all said and done
            Comment
            • trobin31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-09-14
              • 9853

              #9806
              Originally posted by whydubya
              I listened..bought many of the growth stocks in disruptive industries (insurance, advertising, AI, etc.). That whole growth sector has gotten mauled. Nothing to do but hold now. Will play your real time live tips moving forward with new powder.
              2021 my game plan is to trade value, Re-opening momentum...but the most bullish sector for me throughout the year and maybe through next year is Oil/Gas...the charts all showing multi-year and in some cases 8 year breakouts...it’s the perfect contrarian play from the Solar energy hype coming into Biden administration. But the demand has no where to go but up and the supply is bound to continue to experience constraints.

              as far as innovation...this is a secular 5-10 year trade. I don’t think half the low cap speculative companies will ever see their 2020 highs again. That’s why I said, multiple times when the rates started spiking I was consolidating into only my highest conviction holdings. In my experience that is the only way one is willing to hold through multiple years of pain. Unless the cash flow plateaus or drops just keep feeding what may be a multi year accumulation phase.
              Comment
              • navyblue81
                SBR MVP
                • 11-29-13
                • 4143

                #9807
                If you believe in Bitcoin, you can get some discounts on MARa and Riot right now. MARA was a 50+ stock just a month ago and is down to near 20. They make crypto so it’s def a future buy. It’s gonna fly up once Btc starts cranking again. Riot has gone from 80 to 25. Another good buy.
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30047

                  #9808
                  cleared out puts

                  bought some LI calls.
                  Comment
                  • Sanity Check
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-30-13
                    • 10962

                    #9809
                    Originally posted by navyblue81
                    If you believe in Bitcoin, you can get some discounts on MARa and Riot right now. MARA was a 50+ stock just a month ago and is down to near 20. They make crypto so it’s def a future buy.

                    "They make crypto."



                    Comment
                    • trobin31
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-09-14
                      • 9853

                      #9810
                      Originally posted by Snowball
                      cleared out puts

                      bought some LI calls.

                      i went w/ tqqq & tna calls...I’m kind of retarded
                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15453

                        #9811
                        i'm beginning to believe that PLTR is garbage. too many ppl i know believe in it. danger signal.
                        Comment
                        • navyblue81
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-29-13
                          • 4143

                          #9812
                          Originally posted by Sanity Check
                          "They make crypto."



                          Typo. Mine it. My bad.
                          Comment
                          • antifoil
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 3993

                            #9813
                            IV way up. Was holding 60% cashing waiting for an IV pop. Sold a bunch of strangles for the sweet premium today on blue chip stocks with high IV rank.

                            sold back a spy put debit spread for a nice profit with the IV expansion. sold a call credit spread on spy and qqq to now take advantage of the high premium. Getting my delta back to neutral. trying to get short delta but so much downside pressure is making it hard.
                            Comment
                            • Slurry Pumper
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-18-18
                              • 2811

                              #9814
                              Kind of expecting a little bounce today sometime. Then I'll be giving them another beat down with the qqq short play. The IWM short is a long term thing so I'll wait for the end of the week or a daily close under the 208ish level before pounding that harder, and remember the XLF, well that one is setting up for a long term short play. Just looking for a weekly close BELOW $36.00 that will confirm an outside reversal. It still has a little work to get there but we'll see what happens after today's relief rally.

                              Don't forget today's PPI report comes out, and if it breaks bad, it could be a lights out day for the bulls. If they totally fake it and it comes in less than expected, it could be a rip you a new one relief rally, so day traders either way should have an exciting day.
                              Comment
                              • Goat Milk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 25850

                                #9815
                                Originally posted by navyblue81
                                If you believe in Bitcoin, you can get some discounts on MARa and Riot right now. MARA was a 50+ stock just a month ago and is down to near 20. They make crypto so it’s def a future buy. It’s gonna fly up once Btc starts cranking again. Riot has gone from 80 to 25. Another good buy.
                                Crypto is going to sink. I don't know when though. This correction is nothing. It can easily go back up and then in 3 months the entire crypto market can pop. Or it can keep going down now. Bitcoin is not worth anything more than 15k a coin.
                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                Comment
                                • navyblue81
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-29-13
                                  • 4143

                                  #9816
                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                  Crypto is going to sink. I don't know when though. This correction is nothing. It can easily go back up and then in 3 months the entire crypto market can pop. Or it can keep going down now. Bitcoin is not worth anything more than 15k a coin.
                                  Crap I have a lot of $$$ in Ether. Maybe I better look at pulling out. Damn.
                                  Comment
                                  • Goat Milk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 25850

                                    #9817
                                    Originally posted by navyblue81
                                    Crap I have a lot of $$$ in Ether. Maybe I better look at pulling out. Damn.
                                    Do you actually believe in your heart of hearts, that Etherum is worth more than v--isa? Because according to today's prices, it is.
                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                    Comment
                                    • navyblue81
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-29-13
                                      • 4143

                                      #9818
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      Do you actually believe in your heart of hearts, that Etherum is worth more than v--isa? Because according to today's prices, it is.
                                      I just did a lot of research on Ether. Like 10
                                      Hours worth and the pros definitely outweigh the cons here for long term growth.
                                      Comment
                                      • trobin31
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-09-14
                                        • 9853

                                        #9819
                                        Originally posted by trobin31
                                        i went w/ tqqq & tna calls...I’m kind of retarded
                                        Closing out gains before lunch...nah..they are gonna take a few days to blow out shorts
                                        Comment
                                        • Goat Milk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-24-10
                                          • 25850

                                          #9820
                                          Originally posted by navyblue81
                                          I just did a lot of research on Ether. Like 10
                                          Hours worth and the pros definitely outweigh the cons here for long term growth.
                                          Good luck brother. I fear that all the growth has already been factored in and people don't really have a sense of what the true market cap and value is for crypto. If ethereum crosses over 10k, it will be worth as much as amazon.
                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                          Comment
                                          • navyblue81
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-29-13
                                            • 4143

                                            #9821
                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                            Good luck brother. I fear that all the growth has already been factored in and people don't really have a sense of what the true market cap and value is for crypto. If ethereum crosses over 10k, it will be worth as much as amazon.
                                            We’ll see. I’m higher on Cardano than Ether. They’ve acrually weathered this storm well and gone up while every other crypto has gone down the past 12 hrs so I think that says something about the strength of it. At just 1.80, I think it’s the best steal out there in the crypto world and love how it’s going under the radar. Those are the ones that have success. Gotta get them before they becomes big news.
                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30047

                                              #9822
                                              LAS VEGAS SANDS LVS
                                              Comment
                                              • navyblue81
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-29-13
                                                • 4143

                                                #9823
                                                Nice dip on Sea Energy. Down to 200. This will be over 1k in a few years.
                                                Comment
                                                • PlayzDont
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-19-21
                                                  • 112

                                                  #9824
                                                  Dow up big today but I see a drop tomorrow once investors finally realize we are in another recession/borderline depression. Those stimulus checks cost the govt trillions. Buy commodities.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Madison
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-16-11
                                                    • 6428

                                                    #9825
                                                    Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                    We’ll see. I’m higher on Cardano than Ether. They’ve acrually weathered this storm well and gone up while every other crypto has gone down the past 12 hrs so I think that says something about the strength of it. At just 1.80, I think it’s the best steal out there in the crypto world and love how it’s going under the radar. Those are the ones that have success. Gotta get them before they becomes big news.
                                                    Crypto mining and the overhead on the environment is the gorilla in the closet. Today was a microcosm of what could be to come.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Slurry Pumper
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-18-18
                                                      • 2811

                                                      #9826
                                                      Picked up 1000 shares of FLR at $18.30 just before the close today. It closed at $18.93. There is more to go, they got smacked around pretty hard today after announcing they are offering special shares to raise money. Stock got as low as $18.10 about 10 minutes before the close before some buyers like me came in to stop the killing. Closed yesterday at $23.78.
                                                      Basically they got beat up today and it is over done, this is a quick couple of days to a week trade for me and I suspect they will recover to the $22 area sooner rather than later.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #9827
                                                        Sports and stocks can be more similar than you think. If you know how to look at it...



                                                        Comment
                                                        • homie1975
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-24-13
                                                          • 15453

                                                          #9828
                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          Sports and stocks can be more similar than you think. If you know how to look at it...



                                                          i've done both and while i enjoyed success in spurts at college football and college hoops i have done WAY better in stocks with WAY less knowledge than i have of CFB and CBB from a fundamental handicapping standpoint. if you dollar cost average at preset intervals only when a stock goes down, it is nearly impossible to lose money over time given the situation that you have a time horizon of at least 3 years
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CanuckG
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-23-10
                                                            • 21978

                                                            #9829
                                                            Buy the dip? Lots of green out there to be had
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83693

                                                              #9830
                                                              Nationwide Mask lift news should boost the stock market tomorrow.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15453

                                                                #9831
                                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                Nationwide Mask lift news should boost the stock market tomorrow.
                                                                if the market goes green tomorrow it's part of a (dead cat) bounce from being oversold the past two weeks, not a mask mandate being lifted which was already built-in
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #9832
                                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                  i've done both and while i enjoyed success in spurts at college football and college hoops i have done WAY better in stocks with WAY less knowledge than i have of CFB and CBB from a fundamental handicapping standpoint. if you dollar cost average at preset intervals only when a stock goes down, it is nearly impossible to lose money over time given the situation that you have a time horizon of at least 3 years
                                                                  lol homie.

                                                                  Did you click the link? I guarantee you didn't do what is being done there. This isn't about handicapping sports vs. the stock market.

                                                                  Look closer homie, look closer at what has been and is being done in that thread.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • homie1975
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                                    • 15453

                                                                    #9833
                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    lol homie.

                                                                    Did you click the link? I guarantee you didn't do what is being done there. This isn't about handicapping sports vs. the stock market.

                                                                    Look closer homie, look closer at what has been and is being done in that thread.
                                                                    i just commented in there. i have not read enough to understand but you know you're my dood and always have my blessings.....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Slurry Pumper
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-18-18
                                                                      • 2811

                                                                      #9834
                                                                      Looks like the dead cat bounce continues into the weekend. No surprise there as Fridays lately have been all about the float. One of these days it wont be and eventually one Friday the market will get killed. Will it happen today, probably not. They're going to open above the break down candle from Wednesday, and probably float up to the 20 DMA in the SPY. That's how I see it. Over in the QQQs they will be jumping over the 100 DMA, but then there is the 50 and the 20 right just north all in a log jam of resistance. I think we see it end up somewhere in the middle of all of these moving averages but up on the day.

                                                                      What happens if it is a gap and crap curtesy of the Trick, Trap, Fool and Fuk You crew this morning, when is it going to fall through? This one is easy, hourly closes below the low on Wednesday (404) spell big trouble for the SPY, and over in the QQQ country that number is around 316, but also really around 310ish.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • trobin31
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                                        • 9853

                                                                        #9835
                                                                        Overall I’m bullish right now, In the US taxes are out of the way and positioning for quadruple witching should be occurring for next month. I’ll be looking to buy any weakness in XLB XLE XLF, I believe now that indoor and outdoor restrictions are lifting we will see much more movement in XLY XLP as well.

                                                                        should see a short term run on XLK before another Dik punch, so you can trade tech up from here but I’d have a short leash
                                                                        Comment
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