Interesting rare NBA situation

[Smoke]

Did he win?

[Don_Omarion]

But what's the lesson? Fade yourself, or stay the penetrate away from betting all together?

fade myself ? Iam 6-1 before All-Star .. and now Iam 8-3 after all star ( 14-4 All season )

I built my bankroll throw NBA lol from $19,86 to $502 during 2014-2015 .. so can not fade myself

if you follow Bulls you will understand the lesson .. but since you can not understand , I will not explain

good luck

[bobbywaves]

Did he win?

Of course not, Bulls lost outright by 12.

DullAngles is a loser, as his balance clearly indicates.

[SharpAngles]

Where oh where was the gambling genius boobywaves when I needed him?

oh right, in the welfare line getting his upgraded Obama phone.

My points balance is where it is because I pay up when I lose a bet unlike your stiff ass small b gfy thx

[KVB]

KVB you never cease to amuse me with that twaddle.

To suggest bookies pick sides in a game... As if it were easy. At what level exactly? Some bookie clerk at front office at Will-Hill or Bet365 making the pick, or some consultant in Vegas whispering advice to various bookies across the globe? Setting the lines is easy - I can do it my sleep! - and so that's what they stick with. They don't lose money doing this. Picking winners is phackin difficult, so they steer well clear of it.

The markets aren't as efficient as you may believe.

Bookmaking is a business and you have a chance to learn something here. Whether you choose to or not is entirely up to you but I can say, after teaching many bettors how to gamble, that one of the reasons bettors lose is an inability or lack of desire to learn.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3050399-equal-action-right-action-lol-didnt-read.html

[IBetYou]

I read that before. Twaddle! :0)

[KVB]

...one of the reasons bettors lose is an inability or lack of desire to learn...

Some bettors know it all and don't want to be helped, or can't be, or are just unable.

[IBetYou]

Incidentally the school for winning on the NBA has no teachers. I can believe there's people out there that understand it better than me, but I don't believe any1 with such an advanced understanding of it, in all of it's quirks, would be stupid enough to share what they have learned.

[KVB]

Incidentally the school for winning on the NBA has no teachers. I can believe there's people out there that understand it better than me, but I don't believe any1 with such an advanced understanding of it, in all of it's quirks, would be stupid enough to share what they have learned.

It's not that bettors don't know things, it's that what they know is so often wrong; like your beliefs above.

...Truthfully, if 1000 people read this shit then maybe 10 will be able to learn and then act in any meaningful way with this information. Of those maybe 10, I promise that less than 1 will be able to survive the first market shakeout. Combine the market itself with all the other reasons why bettors lose and even the most astute have a long way to go. I can only offer to cut the learning curve a bit for some of you but the first step is understanding what's happening here...

Nobody here is going to beat my lines.

Your right about one thing, I don't have to post here, but I often do.

[JMon]

It's not that bettors don't know things, it's that what they know is so often wrong; like your beliefs above.



Nobody here is going to beat my lines.

I bet I can get close in a couple of sports, KVB.... Waiting for you to chime in on my St/ Virg total.

[KVB]

I bet I can get close in a couple of sports, KVB.... Waiting for you to chime in on my St/ Virg total.

Yeah, I definitely didn't mean there weren't some good forecasters out here.

I just meant that I don't anticipate problems in the market. That said, there is evidence that CFL lines moved within roughly a few minutes of my posting of my forecasts, but I often predicted those moves anyway. I made a few jokes about it but actually have data and held conversations that indicated a few funny things. That's for the CFL thread as the examples are in there.

I hope my analysis would fit best when added to whatever handicapping a sharp reader is already doing, putting a bettor onto a winner or taking him off of a loser.

It doesn't always happen but I can think of some examples where it worked out well.

[JMon]

Yeah, I definitely didn't mean there weren't some good forecasters out here.

I just meant that I don't anticipate problems in the market. That said, there is evidence that CFL lines moved within roughly a few minutes of my posting of my forecasts, but I often predicted those moves anyway. I made a few jokes about it but actually have data and held conversations that indicated a few funny things. That's for the CFL thread as the examples are in there.

I hope my analysis would fit best when added to whatever handicapping a sharp reader is already doing, putting a bettor onto a winner or taking him off of a loser.

It doesn't always happen but I can think of some examples where it worked out well.

KVB, I always value your input.. yet sometimes I have to read it twice. But like you say, there is multiple ways to handicap. I think you and I are the same in line more than you think. Cheers.

[KVB]

KVB, I always value your input.. yet sometimes I have to read it twice. But like you say, there is multiple ways to handicap. I think you and I are the same in line more than you think. Cheers.

I already know we have a lot in common and in many ways look at it the same way.

[SharpAngles]

Rarest form of this situation tonight. B2B nights in the same building when the Lakers face the Clippers as the home team after getting routed by 22 as the road team last night.

Grabbed +11 last night and see it's already down to 9.5. Clippers have nothing to play for and I anticipate some rest for the starters so still a decent spot at +9.5 or better imo.

[gauchojake]

I like it

[Jayvegas420]

11 would be nice but, I am going to tail anyway

[habitualwinning]

Does Lakers ML have any shot here? Maybe they bring it one last time to send Kobe off? Only 2 home games left for Lakers including tonight, they have to win one right?

[gauchojake]

I am going to play the Lakers ML but I am a complete homer so keep that in mind.

[SharpAngles]

ML tempting but I'm another homer so...

Might pull the trigger live when the price moves up a couple bucks

Jordan Clarkson bruised foot should mean more minutes for Huerta who is better playing point for Dangelo and the young guys anyways. If JC is downgraded the 11 will probably be available again unless Doc really sits the big 3 so Id wait until lineups are announced at this point

[GunShard]

Against Golden State Warriors, Bet the Field wins NBA Championship for +115 could be a good bet.