Advice to Betting NFL?

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  • Rudeboy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-15-14
    • 5725

    #1
    Advice to Betting NFL?
    I am contemplating betting NFL for the new season, I have a few bets from advice of pals over the years...I watch the sport for like 3-4 years now.

    I want to bet more and track here at SBR, what advice can you guys give me?

    I bet NHL, Soccer & Tennis I think this will be 4th & final sport, what you guys reckon do I have it in me?
  • Sledge187
    SBR MVP
    • 04-25-08
    • 3722

    #2
    Big parlays are easy to win and cheap to bet.
    Comment
    • trytrytry
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-13-06
      • 23652

      #3
      in general avoid. stick to multiple soccer leagues.

      if you must then have many outs line shopping is a must, and have low vig outs as well. -105 type pricing. forget parlays, and even teasers with the new PAT rules unlikely to be many +Ev situations

      watch line moves on games you like and try to hit them at a slower moving book, be patient. not a place to put it all on the line for


      if you are a stat guy focus more on props for football .. even with higher VIG many more overlays especially if you look around

      good luck
      Comment
      • TwoWays
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-24-10
        • 13145

        #4
        Ryder, that's too many sports to cover. Stick to soccer. Or stick to baseball. But don't play them all. When soccer leagues really get going soon, the amount of games will be overwhelming.
        Comment
        • Rudeboy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-15-14
          • 5725

          #5
          Originally posted by TwoWays
          Ryder, that's too many sports to cover. Stick to soccer. Or stick to baseball. But don't play them all. When soccer leagues really get going soon, the amount of games will be overwhelming.
          Thanks guys.

          waywayway you may have a point here but were not talking a high volume of bets here....I will not be betting preseason forget that nor am I a parlay guy never going to happen, just with things getting bigger over here with the sport throwing some action may be some $$$ in it...only thinking about it though.
          Comment
          • Covy
            SBR MVP
            • 01-13-11
            • 1433

            #6
            I'll be honest and cut to the chase
            Bet the opposite of what they say here

            Winning method
            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
            [/SIZE]
            Comment
            • Rudeboy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-15-14
              • 5725

              #7
              Originally posted by Covy
              I'll be honest and cut to the chase
              Bet the opposite of what they say here

              Winning method
              There's pride in your own work...
              Comment
              • trobin31
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-09-14
                • 9854

                #8
                1. Prime-time home dogs and division rival home dogs should get extra long looks, esp on the moneyline. Not saying bet these blindly, but, isolating them up front to cap is essential.

                2. Defense, defense, defense, offensive line and special teams. Everybody loves the highly potent offensive teams but defense, a solid o-line and special teams are what wins games. Esp on short spreads.

                3. Find yourself a good fade, no, find yourself multiple good fades, there are plenty of options. This maybe should be #1.

                4. Matchups. 9 times out of 10, a team with a bad o-line against a stacked d-line is a recipe for getting your nut sack handed to you, and, vice versa. This is where time consuming capping comes in following beat writers and injury reports as the lineman injuries are less publicized.

                5. Line movement. Like trytry said, staying sharp on the lines is obviously the most important thing as i don't think any of us gonna be any better than the ones good enough to move those lines.
                Comment
                • KnownUnknown
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-20-14
                  • 150

                  #9
                  "Less is more." Betting too many sports will catch up with you sooner than later. It constantly amazes me to see so many cappers/bettors think they can beat many sports. That is likely the main reason why 98% or more sports bettors lose at sports betting.
                  Comment
                  • El Nino
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-03-12
                    • 18426

                    #10
                    Don't. Or just blind bet double digit home dogs.
                    Comment
                    • swordsandtequila
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-23-12
                      • 9758

                      #11
                      Better bets in NCAA than NFL, imo.
                      Comment
                      • Smoke
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-09-09
                        • 48111

                        #12
                        Follow my picks
                        Comment
                        • Rudeboy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-15-14
                          • 5725

                          #13
                          Ok....I will probably give this a miss following the advice from you chaps.

                          I was only looking to bet a few dogs now & again
                          Comment
                          • blackHIPPY
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-01-14
                            • 3973

                            #14
                            west coast teams traveling east for the noon games
                            Comment
                            • Rudeboy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-15-14
                              • 5725

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Smoke
                              Follow my picks
                              Smoke posts picks?

                              Where?????????????
                              Comment
                              • BughouseMasters
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 08-03-15
                                • 68

                                #16
                                Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                Better bets in NCAA than NFL, imo.
                                Try telling that to the 30 people that cashed last year in the SUPERCONTEST
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                  Smoke posts picks?

                                  Where?????????????
                                  Ryder Nooo! U will end up in the wood alone with smokies pistol
                                  Comment
                                  • TwoWays
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 13145

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BughouseMasters
                                    Try telling that to the 30 people that cashed last year in the SUPERCONTEST
                                    Supercontest. Lol. Contests lol
                                    Comment
                                    • Rudeboy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-15-14
                                      • 5725

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by TwoWays
                                      Ryder Nooo! U will end up in the wood alone with smokies pistol
                                      I heard it blows bubbles
                                      Comment
                                      • hugh_jorgan
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 07-19-15
                                        • 232

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by blackHIPPY
                                        west coast teams traveling east for the noon games
                                        Already factored into the spread.
                                        Comment
                                        • shaunovery
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-15-07
                                          • 18143

                                          #21
                                          Advice I could give

                                          Avoid betting bad teams espicAlly if there at home versus other bad teams

                                          Avoid betting -7.5 / -10.5 /14.5

                                          Remember scoring is 3&7
                                          Comment
                                          • Darkside Magick
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-28-10
                                            • 12638

                                            #22
                                            Nfl a sucker game

                                            Soccer is money!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                              I am contemplating betting NFL for the new season, I have a few bets from advice of pals over the years...I watch the sport for like 3-4 years now.

                                              I want to bet more and track here at SBR, what advice can you guys give me?

                                              I bet NHL, Soccer & Tennis I think this will be 4th & final sport, what you guys reckon do I have it in me?

                                              Yes.

                                              Take the Packers ML in week 2.

                                              your welcome.
                                              Comment
                                              • Smoke
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-09-09
                                                • 48111

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                Ryder Nooo! U will end up in the wood alone with smokies pistol
                                                NFL is my bread and butter wayler. Any futbol for that matter except for the one where they use their feet
                                                Comment
                                                • Smoke
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-09-09
                                                  • 48111

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                                  Smoke posts picks?

                                                  Where?????????????
                                                  I will start a thread soon. Maybe for preseason as well.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Blazermaniac
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-30-08
                                                    • 556

                                                    #26
                                                    Best advise I can give you is don't gamble. Period. Trust me....no one comes out on top. Only the house does.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pavyracer
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                      • 82840

                                                      #27
                                                      Watch for LOCK threads on game day in PT. They are losers most of the times. Bet the other team when you see this.

                                                      When reading a write up pay attention to the reasoning and not the bet. Most cappers have good reasoning but pick the wrong team to bet.

                                                      Ignore trends. No one cares what the 1986 Bears did in week 3. Current players weren't even born back then. So when someone says the Bears are 27-6 on week 3 of NFL it's bogus stat to use.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • trobin31
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                        • 9854

                                                        #28
                                                        Ruder follow Wizzler/Lakerboy and you will never bet another futbol match again.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82840

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                                          Ruder follow Wizzler/Lakerboy and you will never bet another futbol match again.
                                                          You mean fade lakerboy. Don't give out false information.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smoke
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-09-09
                                                            • 48111

                                                            #30
                                                            Lakershow is the devil. Have you seen his video with paco?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Giant
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-21-12
                                                              • 21480

                                                              #31
                                                              Spend Sundays in church getting closer to God.

                                                              If you're an atheist, just follow Smokey. He has dominated the NFL 17 straight seasons. Documented.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rudeboy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-15-14
                                                                • 5725

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • grease lightnin
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-01-12
                                                                  • 16015

                                                                  #33
                                                                  If JJ posts a thread with a pick, fade it. Has to be hitting at 80%+
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rudeboy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-15-14
                                                                    • 5725

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                                    If JJ posts a thread with a pick, fade it. Has to be hitting at 80%+
                                                                    Not so sure about JJ or T-Wizzle, LB seems a good fade...but fading na thats not me fam

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • grease lightnin
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-01-12
                                                                      • 16015

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                                                      Not so sure about JJ or T-Wizzle, LB seems a good fade...but fading na thats not me fam

                                                                      Look at it like youre tailing, then
                                                                      Comment
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