Advice to Betting NFL?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #36
    DOGS
    HANDICAP qb'S ONLY AS THEY HAVE MOT IMPACT ON GAME
    Comment
    • Rudeboy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-15-14
      • 5725

      #37
      Originally posted by grease lightnin
      Look at it like youre tailing, then
      I'll see what those chaps have in the locker

      They've been at it for a good number of years.

      I know one money maker (Although bashing is stretch for me) fading Seaweedle with his soccer plays is a gold mine, I'm not joking either look it up, bashing part gone...I'm not the best person at the moment to judge considering I can't pick a soccer winner if it hit me in the fckin face fellas.
      Comment
      • swordsandtequila
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-23-12
        • 9758

        #38
        Originally posted by BughouseMasters
        Try telling that to the 30 people that cashed last year in the SUPERCONTEST
        30 out of 1000+ entrants. Right. My point was it's easier to find soft lines in NCAA football than in the NFL, due in part to the number of games at the college level. But good luck with that Super Contest entry.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #39
          Originally posted by jjgold
          DOGS
          HANDICAP qb'S ONLY AS THEY HAVE MOT IMPACT ON GAME
          which JJ is this?
          Comment
          • Rudeboy
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-15-14
            • 5725

            #40
            Originally posted by Big Bear
            which JJ is this?
            Bear whos winning SB?
            Comment
            • SharpAngles
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-15-14
              • 9467

              #41
              The books are fkn sharp with NFL spreads and totals. Real fkn sharp! Whatever idea you've come up with they've been using for years and it'll be tough to beat them.

              Props are the promised land friend! At least a couple odd ball numbers put out there every weekend and usually at very generous odds. I'm interested to see how they adjust the kicker props with the new PAT rules. May be some meat on the bone there until the books get that figured out.
              Comment
              • GunShard
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-05-10
                • 10031

                #42
                Sharps will skip on betting on pre season and most of early regular season.
                Just don't bet on pre season.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #43
                  Sharps bed college football more than NFL football as the lines are just too tight
                  Comment
                  • crackerjack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-06
                    • 3366

                    #44
                    Best advice for betting NFL:

                    What does your gut say about the game? Bet the opposite...you'll make so much money. It's super hard to go against your what you think will happen but it will pay off. Try it...
                    Comment
                    • BughouseMasters
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 08-03-15
                      • 68

                      #45
                      Originally posted by SharpAngles
                      The books are fkn sharp with NFL spreads and totals. Real fkn sharp! Whatever idea you've come up with they've been using for years and it'll be tough to beat them.

                      Props are the promised land friend! At least a couple odd ball numbers put out there every weekend and usually at very generous odds. I'm interested to see how they adjust the kicker props with the new PAT rules. May be some meat on the bone there until the books get that figured out.

                      Once again if they are so sharp then no one wouldn't hit 65%+ in it would they??? There are people that cash every year in the SUPERCONTEST - try telling them that the lines are "so fukkin sharp" u prob just are 1 that DONT know how to cap which is why u knockin hard boy.
                      Comment
                      • swordsandtequila
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-23-12
                        • 9758

                        #46
                        Originally posted by BughouseMasters
                        Once again if they are so sharp then no one wouldn't hit 65%+ in it would they??? There are people that cash every year in the SUPERCONTEST - try telling them that the lines are "so fukkin sharp" u prob just are 1 that DONT know how to cap which is why u knockin hard boy.
                        Funny, considering you just made a thread whining about last year's winners wanting to charge you for their picks. Pot meet kettle.
                        Comment
                        • Rudeboy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-15-14
                          • 5725

                          #47
                          Originally posted by GunShard
                          Sharps will skip on betting on pre season and most of early regular season.
                          Just don't bet on pre season.
                          I won't be near that stuff.

                          I have time waiting right through September
                          Comment
                          • SharpAngles
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-15-14
                            • 9467

                            #48
                            Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                            Funny, considering you just made a thread whining about last year's winners wanting to charge you for their picks. Pot meet kettle.
                            Seriously.

                            Thought it was all dumb luck Buggedoutmasters? Any luck finding more FREE! NFL spread contests for you and your "wife"?
                            Comment
                            • Ghenghis Kahn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 19734

                              #49
                              fade the public.
                              Comment
                              • Twiz
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-22-13
                                • 442

                                #50
                                Skip first 2-4 weeks. By that time lotta fans forget about last season and there's value on good teams with bad starts.

                                Hardest one is avoiding chasing/doubling when sunday or monday night rolls around. Huge volume of bets in NFL primetime and coincidentally the craziest shit occurs then.

                                And from personal experience...although only 2-3 seasons of betting this vs ~20 watching...the playoff picture is never fully formed till the final week. So weeks 11-16 when playoff pic starts to form I've had a lotta success betting on sides that will keep more teams alive in the hunt...especially division games (see: NFC south last year). Stay alive mentality or better business for NFL or combination etc etc the reason doesn't matter if the result is the same.

                                But I'm no guru.
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                  Bear whos winning SB?
                                  Either the Carolina Panthers or Seattle Seahawks.
                                  Comment
                                  • Big Bear
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 43253

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                    fade the public.
                                    that only works on prime time games when the public is on the "road favorite"
                                    Comment
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