What are you guys thinking today: Yanks at Balt 1:05 ET

[jjgold]

Have a little hunch right now on the Yankees win a decent hurler going

Pretty sure it's going to be very good weather also

[Sam Odom]

Balty or pass

[Ratpack]

Orioles yankees played last night and the orioles had it off o's rl

[xraygord]

Orioles.

[BIGDAY]

Pass.

Bellator mma tonight.

[Sam Odom]

post more pics of chicka

[LT Profits]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

[Big Bear]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

i like the play. I'm not sure if McCarthy is the "much better pitcher" though but the Yankees have won 2 in a row now so they have some momentum and still a glimmer of hope of making the playoffs.

Gausman has front end of the rotation stuff but he does walk too many hitters and i like the fact that the Yankees have so many lefties.

[Big Bear]

Pass.

Bellator mma tonight.

what are the plays?

[Bbfromgpt]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

Definitely not the "much better pitcher", but they Yankees could certainly win. I would lean Balt with them having a day off to rest and the Yanks playing last night.

[Darkside Magick]

Afternoon soccer! Lots of over +200 winners out there

[t-wizzle]

Gausman is better than McCarthy. I don't know what LT is talking about.

Orioles should be -150.

[Sam Odom]

Orioles should be -150.

[Bbfromgpt]

i like the play. I'm not sure if McCarthy is the "much better pitcher" though but the Yankees have won 2 in a row now so they have some momentum and still a glimmer of hope of making the playoffs.

Gausman has front end of the rotation stuff but he does walk too many hitters and i like the fact that the Yankees have so many lefties.

True, but they've struggled mightily against right hander starters for Baltimore. I guess something will give today

[cala56]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

Brandon Mccarthy. Yes you right. He is the next 10 years cy young winner.

2013	ARI	22	22	5	11	0	0	4.53	2	1	135.0	161	71	68	21	76	13	1
2014	ARI	18	18	3	10	0	0	5.01	0	0	109.2	131	65	61	20	93	15	3
2014	NYY	11	11	6	4	0	0	2.79	1	1	71.0	72	28	22	12	64	6	1

[cala56]

3B	C. Headley	Ques Fri Face 09/11/14	Headley was removed from Thursday's game after been hit in the face by a pitch. He is questionable Friday against the Orioles.	0-0 $+0	0-0
3B	M. Prado	Out indefinitely Hamstring 09/11/14	Prado has a hamstring strain and will be out indefinitely.	1-1 $-31	1-0
RF	C. Beltran	Out indefinitely Elbow 09/11/14	Beltran has a right elbow injury and will be out indefinitely.	2-0 $+200	2-0
LF	B. Gardner	Out indefinitely Abdominal 09/10/14	Gardner has suffered an abdominal strain and there is no timetable for his recovery.	2-2 $-35	2-1
C	F. Cervelli	Out indefinitely Head 09/05/14	Cervelli is dealing with severe headaches and will be out for an undetermined amount of time.	3-3 $-56	3-2

[Pauulzcappin]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

orioles is better offensively and their bullpen is also way better. orioles are the play. mccarthy is regressing since the CG against the astros.

[TheGoldenGoose]

orioles is better offensively and their bullpen is also way better. orioles are the play. mccarthy is regressing since the CG against the astros.

Agreed. O's have been on an offensive roll scoring 25 runs and winning their last four games. If this game comes down to the bullpens, there will be no 9th inning heroics for Bronx.

[LT Profits]

McCarthy is better and it is now really that close.

McCarthy with Yankees only: 2.96 FIP, 2.87 xFIP, 8.11 K/9 vs. 1.52 BB/9
McCarthy whole year (2 teams): 3.47 FIP, 2.88 xFIP, 7.82 K/9 vs. 1.59 BB/9 - Note that his xFIP was great with Arizona too, he was hurt by the ballpark.

Gausman: 3.83 FIP, 4.01 xFIP, 6.82 K/9 vs. 3.27 BB/9. Nothing special there at all.

[Pauulzcappin]

Gausman's FIP is 3.40 LT. It seems you conveniently left HR/9 out as well.

Gausman 0.5 against McCarthy's 0.8.

[biggie12]

I got 2 dimes on the yanks price is right at +120 good luck kids

[jjgold]

Biggie I might tail you

Best of luck

[No coincidences]

Yankees as underdogs with the much better pitcher. I got +117.

Unreal.

Come on, LT.

[No coincidences]

McCarthy is better and it is now really that close.

McCarthy with Yankees only: 2.96 FIP, 2.87 xFIP, 8.11 K/9 vs. 1.52 BB/9
McCarthy whole year (2 teams): 3.47 FIP, 2.88 xFIP, 7.82 K/9 vs. 1.59 BB/9 - Note that his xFIP was great with Arizona too, he was hurt by the ballpark.

Gausman: 3.83 FIP, 4.01 xFIP, 6.82 K/9 vs. 3.27 BB/9. Nothing special there at all.

Did you even bother reading this post?

3B	C. Headley	Ques Fri Face 09/11/14	Headley was removed from Thursday's game after been hit in the face by a pitch. He is questionable Friday against the Orioles.	0-0 $+0	0-0
3B	M. Prado	Out indefinitely Hamstring 09/11/14	Prado has a hamstring strain and will be out indefinitely.	1-1 $-31	1-0
RF	C. Beltran	Out indefinitely Elbow 09/11/14	Beltran has a right elbow injury and will be out indefinitely.	2-0 $+200	2-0
LF	B. Gardner	Out indefinitely Abdominal 09/10/14	Gardner has suffered an abdominal strain and there is no timetable for his recovery.	2-2 $-35	2-1
C	F. Cervelli	Out indefinitely Head 09/05/14	Cervelli is dealing with severe headaches and will be out for an undetermined amount of time.	3-3 $-56	3-2

[Darkside Magick]

[982] Baltimore Orioles -123 vs New York Yankees

Good Luck!

[LT Profits]

Gausman's FIP is 3.40 LT. It seems you conveniently left HR/9 out as well.

Gausman 0.5 against McCarthy's 0.8.

HR's get picked up in FIP and xFIP anyway. I think K vs. BB is more important component unless HRs allowed are extreme. And you are right, Gausman is 3.40, I accidentally picked up his ERA.

Doesn't change the fact that McCarthy has the much better profile.

[LT Profits]

Did you even bother reading this post?

What does that post have to do with McCarthy being better than Gausman?

[No coincidences]

HR's get picked up in FIP and xFIP anyway. I think K vs. BB is more important component unless HRs allowed are extreme. And you are right, Gausman is 3.40, I accidentally picked up his ERA.

Doesn't change the fact that McCarthy has the much better profile.

Might want to check and see who is actually in the Yankee lineup. Just as critical as McCarthy's LMNOP and xyusfasdfadiosfadfnafdfafatrrgwg.

[No coincidences]

What does that post have to do with McCarthy being better than Gausman?

Because this isn't a pitching contest. It's a baseball game.

[LT Profits]

Because this isn't a pitching contest. It's a baseball game.

Understood but getting the better starter at + odds is USUALLY an automatic play.

[LT Profits]

Understood but getting the better starter at + odds is USUALLY an automatic play.

Guess I should have said "much better". If dog is slightly better, then there are other things to look at.

[No coincidences]

Understood but getting the better starter at + odds is USUALLY an automatic play.

The home team has the better lineup and better bullpen by a mile, but yeah, auto play on the starting pitcher being backed by his Triple-A lineup with nothing to play for. OK.

[t-wizzle]

LT keeps calling McCarthy better than Gausman. He's not.

[No coincidences]

LT keeps calling McCarthy better than Gausman. He's not.

That's because his computer says he is.

LT admittedly never watches games. That's why he struggles in nearly every sport these days. You can't just Billy Beane bets anymore and expect to win "Long Term."

[Darkside Magick]

That's because his computer says he is.

LT admittedly never watches games. That's why he struggles in nearly every sport these days. You can't just Billy Beane bets anymore and expect to win "Long Term."

This.

Math(mean and variance) and computer guys getting worked over...