Heat May Now be Playable for Series

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #36
    No I was in Pacers +2.5. Look at my picks thread for that day. I said all along Pacers probably win Game 1, Heat win series. Although I only played +2.5 spread like a wuss.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      Originally posted by Time is Money
      I just don't understand why you play Heat @ -185 when you can play them tomorrow -140

      Heat lose game 2 they lose the series.
      That's not true at all, all Pacers will have done is hold serve at home. Heat would do same in Miami. Then question becomes will Heat win Game 5 or Game 7 in Indiana. But yeah, would be a lot easier if they just win Game 2.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by dirtyswag24




        LOL
        That wasn't a "pick" thread, I was just quoting the opening line as soon as it came up a few minutes after Indiana Game 6 vs. Wizards ended.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #39
          Originally posted by Seto
          He was just citing the opening lines he didn't say he was betting either side in that thread. He has a daily thread with his picks.
          Seto got it.
          Comment
          • brainfreeze
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-13-14
            • 5689

            #40
            Originally posted by Seto
            They lost 2 straight to Indiana and 3 straight to Boston in 2012 actually. But they haven't dropped b2b games in the last 6 series (2013 and 2014)

            I think it's probably the play too, I have just bet them for game 2 for now though. Of course if they lose game 2 I will bet them for the series. Basically the only thing that would truly bury me is if they win by 1, making me lose my game 2 bet as well as any chance to get a decent series price on them again.


            Agree
            Comment
            • TonyTall
              SBR MVP
              • 08-21-13
              • 3551

              #41
              Originally posted by TonyTall
              heat will trail 1-2 (-120)

              maybe even 2-3 (+170)

              im waiting until then

              hopefully heat will train 1-2 and san antonio will be up 2-0

              at that point Heat can probably be snagged up at +250 for title


              but OKC will win 3 games this series im almost sure of it. so spurs will be haggered coming in
              Comment
              • vividjohn45
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-21-10
                • 6331

                #42
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Thing with that is they then HAVE to win Game 2 for you to win. I think -185 for series right now is safer. They will won one game in Indiana, but it may be Game 5 or 7.
                Why even lay -185? It suxs.
                Comment
                • TonyTall
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-21-13
                  • 3551

                  #43
                  Pacers took heat 6, then the next year 7

                  heat down -185 is not good value unless you are convinced its all fixed. which it isnt NBA could careless if bron wins 2 or 3 titles with the heat
                  Comment
                  • Cuse0323
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 30169

                    #44
                    Pacers still have no shot. Better number just means more you can put on it.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #45
                      Originally posted by TonyTall
                      Pacers took heat 6, then the next year 7

                      heat down -185 is not good value unless you are convinced its all fixed. which it isnt NBA could careless if bron wins 2 or 3 titles with the heat
                      It is if you work out the math. Heat will be favored every game and they will be around -350 on the ML in their home games.
                      Comment
                      • Seto
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-16-11
                        • 12906

                        #46
                        People act like the Pacers were oh so close to beating the Heat last year.

                        The truth is they were light years away. The Heat won all the key games (3, 5 and 7) by 14+ and all 3 were pretty much over by the end of the 3rd quarter. All this with a hobbled Wade and Bosh playing like a complete and total vagina.

                        Now they did win the "survival" games 4 and 6 (which I bet them for btw) and do deserve credit for that but all they did was stay alive in those games. It's like saying a guy was "oh so close" to winning a set in tennis just because he held serve after already being a break down and then got pummeled on all of the other guy's service games.

                        The team that was "oh so close" to beating the Heat last year was the Spurs and they will beat them this year.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #47
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Have you seen my past two months. Especially the playoffs.

                          And Heat will not lose this series.
                          In the NBA, it's all about matchups. Atlanta was a difficult matchup for Indiana, and the Pacers obviously weren't bringing their A game at the time. Miami has issues with Indy's frontcourt, and the Pacers might finally play up to their potential and motivated. What has happened in the two series prior to this one is irrelevant. You know that.

                          I don't know what's happening to you, LT. I'm not saying Indy wins this series necessarily, but to dismiss the idea that Indy can't win three of the next six games is pretty narrow-minded.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Seto
                            People act like the Pacers were oh so close to beating the Heat last year.

                            The truth is they were light years away. The Heat won all the key games (3, 5 and 7) by 14+ and all 3 were pretty much over by the end of the 3rd quarter. All this with a hobbled Wade and Bosh playing like a complete and total vagina.

                            Now they did win the "survival" games 4 and 6 (which I bet them for btw) and do deserve credit for that but all they did was stay alive in those games. It's like saying a guy was "oh so close" to winning a set in tennis just because he held serve after already being a break down and then got pummeled on all of the other guy's service games.

                            The team that was "oh so close" to beating the Heat last year was the Spurs and they will beat them this year.
                            I'm not convinced Miami is that much better than Indiana overall. Heat are a year older, and they didn't do anything to improve their roster this season. If I had a gun to my head I'd guess the Heat win this series in 6 or 7, but I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that they get knocked off and I really don't see taking them at the current series price as a very good bet (there are a lot of better wagers out there than tying up your money at almost 2-to-1 odds over the course of the next week-plus). And I agree with you that the winner of this series ain't beating the Spurs anyway.
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #49
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              I'm not convinced Miami is that much better than Indiana overall. Heat are a year older, and they didn't do anything to improve their roster this season. If I had a gun to my head I'd guess the Heat win this series in 6 or 7, but I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that they get knocked off and I really don't see taking them at the current series price as a very good bet (there are a lot of better wagers out there than tying up your money at almost 2-to-1 odds over the course of the next week-plus). And I agree with you that the winner of this series ain't beating the Spurs anyway.
                              Yeah I mean obviously anything is possible but I would say Heat series price now is a decent play. I'm happy with just taking them for game 2 for now though.

                              I'm considering going large on Spurs futures... We'll see got a couple days to think this through.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Seto
                                Yeah I mean obviously anything is possible but I would say Heat series price now is a decent play. I'm happy with just taking them for game 2 for now though.

                                I'm considering going large on Spurs futures... We'll see got a couple days to think this through.
                                I would be nothing short of stunned if SA didn't win it all.
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #51
                                  spurs really look like the team that's playing the best in these playoffs. san antonio vs. pacers would be a terrible tv rating matchup.
                                  Comment
                                  • TwoWays
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 13145

                                    #52
                                    spurs are too dynamic this year. they can play big, half court, small ball…have superstars that can finish games...spurs have it all.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #53
                                      Sign in suckers taking the heat?
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Sign in suckers taking the heat?
                                        Sign at -2.5 -104. I'll risk them winning by 1 or 2 because I don't see it happening, I see a safe win
                                        Comment
                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-23-10
                                          • 20295

                                          #55
                                          -2 available at +100 now. Big red flag.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            In the NBA, it's all about matchups. Atlanta was a difficult matchup for Indiana, and the Pacers obviously weren't bringing their A game at the time. Miami has issues with Indy's frontcourt, and the Pacers might finally play up to their potential and motivated. What has happened in the two series prior to this one is irrelevant. You know that.

                                            I don't know what's happening to you, LT. I'm not saying Indy wins this series necessarily, but to dismiss the idea that Indy can't win three of the next six games is pretty narrow-minded.
                                            The bottom line is that when both teams play at their best, Miami is simply better. I do not see a fully motivated Heat team losing a home game this series, but I do see them stealing one on the road.
                                            Comment
                                            • Seto
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-16-11
                                              • 12906

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Sign in suckers taking the heat?
                                              Signing in. lol.

                                              Still time to change your mind JJ.
                                              Comment
                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-13
                                                • 11582

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                The bottom line is that when both teams play at their best, Miami is simply better. I do not see a fully motivated Heat team losing a home game this series, but I do see them stealing one on the road.

                                                Indy won in Miami in 2012 when George and Stephenson were babies and they won gm 2 last year....had gm 1 too. They're currently on a 5 gm road winning streak and I think not playing Gm 3 til Sat. could work in their favor as well. I think Miami prob pulls it out tonite but if they don't I like Indy's chances of coming home being up 3-1. Spurs win it all....def agree there
                                                Comment
                                                • Seto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                  • 12906

                                                  #59
                                                  I think I'm gonna parlay Spurs win NBA champ and Djokovic to win Roland Garros big. Heat and Nadal finally go down this year.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Big Bear
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                    • 43253

                                                    #60
                                                    Wait til the Heat get down 0-2 and then go big on the Heat.

                                                    Pacers win again tonight and then the Heat will win 2 straight at home to even the series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      The bottom line is that when both teams play at their best, Miami is simply better. I do not see a fully motivated Heat team losing a home game this series, but I do see them stealing one on the road.
                                                      The Pacers know if they lose tonight the series is over.

                                                      do you honestly think Vegas in going to get raped tonight?


                                                      everybody and their grandmother, brother, aunt, uncle, cousin, and drug dealer is on the Heat tonight.

                                                      The Heat know they are invincible at home and they will still win the series but the heat go down tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                        Indy won in Miami in 2012 when George and Stephenson were babies and they won gm 2 last year....had gm 1 too. They're currently on a 5 gm road winning streak and I think not playing Gm 3 til Sat. could work in their favor as well. I think Miami prob pulls it out tonite but if they don't I like Indy's chances of coming home being up 3-1. Spurs win it all....def agree there
                                                        The thing is though the Heat never felt threatened either year, especially since they had home court advantage each season. It is a different mindset this year because, for the first time, some people are actually questioning whether or not Miami is the better team. That seems like enough motivation to me to come up big at home every time, knowing they have to to avoid having to win TWICE at Indy.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Easy-Rider 66
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-14-12
                                                          • 36705

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                          The Pacers know if they lose tonight the series is over.

                                                          do you honestly think Vegas in going to get raped tonight?


                                                          everybody and their grandmother, brother, aunt, uncle, cousin, and drug dealer is on the Heat tonight.

                                                          The Heat know they are invincible at home and they will still win the series but the heat go down tonight.
                                                          I don't know. Heat were 32-9 at Home this season tied for 4th best in the league. Can see INDY stealing one on the road if need be. INDY in 7.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-23-10
                                                            • 20295

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            The Pacers know if they lose tonight the series is over.

                                                            do you honestly think Vegas in going to get raped tonight?


                                                            everybody and their grandmother, brother, aunt, uncle, cousin, and drug dealer is on the Heat tonight.

                                                            The Heat know they are invincible at home and they will still win the series but the heat go down tonight.

                                                            Are you implying that the Heat wouldn't care in case they lose tonight?

                                                            Also would it be the first time that Vegas takes a big hit?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                              The thing is though the Heat never felt threatened either year, especially since they had home court advantage each season. It is a different mindset this year because, for the first time, some people are actually questioning whether or not Miami is the better team. That seems like enough motivation to me to come up big at home every time, knowing they have to to avoid having to win TWICE at Indy.
                                                              So their response was to get their heads kicked in for Game 1?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                So their response was to get their heads kicked in for Game 1?
                                                                That wasn't the real Heat, when was the last time they EVER showed up for a Game 1. How many times have they lost Game 1 and then won four straight? I would be more concerned if the Heat we saw in Game 1 shows up in Game 2, but I highly doubt that happens.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Joey Crawford working Game 2. Always nice to have the refs on your side too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 11582

                                                                    #68
                                                                    The Pacers may end up as the Cavs to Jordans Bulls but Indy isn't scared and thats a big part of it. Stephenson posted up LeBron and easily scored on him w/the left....had to be the first time I've ever seen a guard post him up like that.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                      The Pacers may end up as the Cavs to Jordans Bulls but Indy isn't scared and thats a big part of it. Stephenson posted up LeBron and easily scored on him w/the left....had to be the first time I've ever seen a guard post him up like that.
                                                                      Heat have no answer for George and especially Hibbert. If Hibbert plays like he gives a damn this series, that's a serious problem for Miami.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TwoWays
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                                        • 13145

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Stephenson was hitting some ridiculous low efficient long 2's. He is low iq baller.
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