Nash's 2014 All things MLB Talking Baseball Thread

**Monitor-Tan** · 04-21-14, 02:08 PM

This is probably what Nasher sings to all the trolls...

Haters wanna hate
Lovers wanna love
I don't even want
None of the above
I want to piss on you
Yes I do, I'll piss on you

**InTheDrink** · 04-21-14, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

You joined this week just to tell me that?
My goodness I am flattered.

Thanks for the time consuming, pain staking contribution.

Enjoy your day sunshine

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Nasher doesn't bet anything in baseball with a minus sign if front of it, that is how you can have a 5 and 7 type week and break even.

Nasher gets it

I believe you and I are the only posters on this site

who know how to take the "HOUSE EDGE" away........

**covertops** · 04-21-14, 04:24 PM

Hey nash whats your opinion on mariners ff ml at -160? Im thihkimg about a big play here. Figure you know much morr about astros than I do. Wondering what seattlr is batting against keuchel and how hard it would be for them to get a few runs early on

**meader99** · 04-21-14, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by covertops

Hey nash whats your opinion on mariners ff ml at -160? Im thihkimg about a big play here. Figure you know much morr about astros than I do. Wondering what seattlr is batting against keuchel and how hard it would be for them to get a few runs early on

Does it have a minus sign in front of it?

**covertops** · 04-21-14, 04:33 PM

Yeah so thats a nash no go huh

**DrStale** · 04-21-14, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by covertops

Hey nash whats your opinion on mariners ff ml at -160? Im thihkimg about a big play here. Figure you know much morr about astros than I do. Wondering what seattlr is batting against keuchel and how hard it would be for them to get a few runs early on

If you can actually get the ML at -160 then unload, im guessing you mean RL.

**covertops** · 04-21-14, 04:37 PM

Yeah I meant ff rl sorry

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by meader99

Does it have a minus sign in front of it?

The only time I bet a baseball game with a -150 or more is on a money line parlay.
(I don't want to argue how money line parlays bites into the house edge, because it does)

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

The only time I bet a baseball game with a -150 or more is on a money line parlay.
(I don't want to argue how money line parlays bites into the house edge, because it does)

Exactly,

This is how you turn chalk into Juice free, low risk, high reward play........

**iloseagain** · 04-21-14, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

I hear what you are saying but how are you going to replace those 150 innings?

I have a million pitchers. I could use another position player

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 05:00 PM

Nasher

MLB [954] NY MET +104?

**TheLock** · 04-21-14, 05:07 PM

Nasher, how do some of these managers get/keep their jobs?

Derek Dietrich (who bats lefty)has the highest OPS on the Marlins.

For the 2nd straight game vs a RHP, Dietrich is not in the lineup.

You gotta be penetrating kidding me.

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

Nasher, how do some of these managers get/keep their jobs?

Derek Dietrich (who bats lefty)has the highest OPS on the Marlins.

For the 2nd straight game vs a RHP, Dietrich is not in the lineup.

You gotta be penetrating kidding me.

They don't like his defense, and defense is important at 2B

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 05:15 PM

This is why I like Mets

JENRRY MEJIA - Recent Starts
Date	Opponent	Score	Line	Total	Result	Dec	IP	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	Opp Starter
4/15/2014	at ARIZONA	9-0	+130	9	Win	W	5	0	0	2	0	2	3	ARROYO(R)
4/10/2014	at ATLANTA	6-4	+120	7.5	Win,Over		5	4	4	6	2	4	7	HALE(R)
4/4/2014	CINCINNATI	4-3	-105	7	Win	W	6	1	1	4	0	5	8	LEAKE(R)

TYLER LYONS - Season Statistics in Games Started
	Starter Statistics												Team Records
	ERA	WHIP	W-L	G	IP	IP/S	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	W-L	Units	O-U
All Starts	0.00	0.000	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0	0-0
Road Starts	0.00	0.000	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0	0-0
Last 3 Starts	0.00	0.000	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0	0-0

TYLER LYONS - Recent Starts
Date	Opponent	Score	Line	Total	Result	Dec	IP	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	Opp Starter
8/26/2013	CINCINNATI	8-6	-105	9	Win,Over		5	4	1	3	0	2	7	LEAKE(R)
7/30/2013	at PITTSBURGH	0-6	-120	8.5	Loss,Under	L	6	4	3	8	1	1	5	CUMPTON(R)
6/21/2013	TEXAS	4-6	-105	8	Loss,Over		1.7	4	4	3	0	3	1	HOLLAND(L)

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL

DATE	DAY	AWAY	RUNS	HOME	RUNS	WINNER	HOMELINE	TOTAL	OU	AWAY STARTER	HOME STARTER
06/13/2013	Thu	STL	2	NYM	1	STL	128	6½	U	A Wainwright	M Harvey
06/12/2013	Wed	STL	1	NYM	5	NYM	165	7½	U	S Miller	D Gee
06/11/2013	Tue	STL	9	NYM	2	STL	121	8½	O	M Wacha	J Hefner
05/16/2013	Thu	NYM	5	STL	2	NYM	-235	7½	U	J Niese	A Wainwright
05/15/2013	Wed	NYM	2	STL	4	STL	-195	8½	U	S Marcum	S Miller
05/14/2013	Tue	NYM	4	STL	10	STL	-171	8½	O	D Gee	J Gast
05/13/2013	Mon	NYM	3	STL	6	STL	-187	8	O	J Hefner	L Lynn
09/05/2012	Wed	NYM	6	STL	2	NYM	-126	7½	O	R Dickey	A Wainwright
09/04/2012	Tue	NYM	1	STL	5	STL	-144	8	U	M Harvey	J Garcia
09/03/2012	Mon	NYM	4	STL	5	STL	-154	8½	O	C McHugh	J Kelly

TOP 3/BOTTOM 3

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Nasher

MLB [954] NY MET +104?

Besides Wright (imressive LHP numbers) who hits lefties?

Error Page - The Baseball Cube

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/tools/splits.asp?batterPitcher=Batter&sortValue=AB&startyear=2013&endYear=2014&month=&batterHand=&pitcherHand=L&homeAway=&dayNight=&position=&team=NYN&pitcherTeam=&situations=&inning=&battingOrder=&stadium=&asg=&bbt=&fpa=&fp=&starterReliever=&pitchCount=

**TankHankerous** · 04-21-14, 05:18 PM

Are those your dogs in your avatar? They look like Wishbone

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Besides Wright (imressive LHP numbers) who hits lefties?

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/tools...r=&pitchCount=

Bad play then?

**akay47** · 04-21-14, 05:21 PM

Mejia is shit. He's gotten run support and I'm pretty sure that 4-3 win vs Cinci was an Ike Davis walk off grand slam (I might be wrong on that though)

**TheLock** · 04-21-14, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

They don't like his defense, and defense is important at 2B

I'd argue that the guy with the HIGHEST OPS on the team is important, too.

**akay47** · 04-21-14, 05:25 PM

ya nvm, that was another game

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by TankHankerous

Are those your dogs in your avatar? They look like Wishbone

Cooper and Zippy, yeah, I got a pair of Jacks (Russells)
That pair of Jacks beats most full houses too.

The wife and I loved Wishbone, great little TV show.

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Bad play then?

Unless it's 1986 Doc, or 1969 Seaver, I don't like to bet them.

If you are feeling it though, throw down a double sawbuck on 'em

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Unless it's 1986 Doc, or 1969 Seaver, I don't like to bet them.

If you are feeling it though, throw down a double sawbuck on 'em

I like em,

But it might be more of the cards letting me down yesterday,Lolll......

**Ratpack** · 04-21-14, 06:42 PM

Yeah that show wishbone was a good show that chick Sam was SUPER hot

**TankHankerous** · 04-21-14, 06:45 PM

I think I wacked my bag to her a few times myself, great show

**yoderlw** · 04-21-14, 06:52 PM

Hahaha. Now we've got ourselves a Classy thread going here!

**stevenash** · 04-21-14, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by yoderlw

Hahaha. Now we've got ourselves a Classy thread going here!

It's 90 percent baseball, and a little bit of this, and a little bit of that.

I'm on Strailey later fellas
2*

**iloseagain** · 04-21-14, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

It's 90 percent baseball, and a little bit of this, and a little bit of that.

I'm on Strailey later fellas
2*

like the play

**TankHankerous** · 04-21-14, 07:22 PM

Yu @ Oakland:

0-2 record over 2 starts/10.1 innings
9.58 ERA
.282 opponent’s batting average
11 hits
3 home runs
8 strike outs
12 walks

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

I'm on Strailey later fellas
2*

Passes my checkpoints as well.........

YU DARVISH recent starts vs. OAKLAND
Date	Opponent	Score	Line	Total	Result	Dec	IP	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	Opp Starter
9/14/2013	OAKLAND	0-1	-160	8	Loss,Under	L	7	1	1	4	0	1	10	COLON(R)
9/4/2013	at OAKLAND	4-11	-120	7	Loss,Over	L	5	5	5	5	2	6	4	PARKER(R)
6/18/2013	OAKLAND	2-6	-175	8	Loss	L	6	5	4	6	2	2	10	PARKER(R)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. TEXAS since 1997

STRAILY is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.140.

DANIEL STRAILY recent starts vs. TEXAS
Date	Opponent	Score	Line	Total	Result	Dec	IP	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	Opp Starter
9/13/2013	at TEXAS	9-8	+115	9	Win,Over	W	5.7	2	2	2	0	4	4	HOLLAND(L)
9/2/2013	TEXAS	4-2	-110	7.5	Win,Under	W	5	2	2	3	1	3	4	HOLLAND(L)
6/17/2013	at TEXAS	7-8	+105	9.5	Loss,Over		4.7	6	6	8	2	1	1	TEPESCH(R)

Power Line
Team	Pitcher	Estimate	Edge
TEXAS	DARVISH	+104
OAKLAND	STRAILY	-104

RLM out the azz!

971 TEXAS RANGERS

-135

-112

-110

-120

-110

-120

-108

-106

-111

55%

67%

55%

972 OAKLAND ATHLETICS

6.5

6.5o25

6.5

6.5o25

7u25

45%

33%

45%

**lovetobet** · 04-21-14, 08:05 PM

PP - You mind sharing what site(s) you got that info. from? Thanks!!

**iloseagain** · 04-21-14, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by lovetobet

PP - You mind sharing what site(s) you got that info. from? Thanks!!

yea where do you get that MONEY info from? and how accurate is it?

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 08:54 PM

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-21-14, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

yea where do you get that MONEY info from? and how accurate is it?

Very, when it has significant RLM
And
When the matchup shows edge as well.......

This A's play has all of the above......