No. 1 Arizona @ Michigan: CBB Saturday Morning.

[ChalkyDog]

Going to be a very good game, with Arizona playing in a true road game.

I think this opens with Arizona being slight favorites. 1 or 2 points max.

All year, I have circled this game to bet against Arizona, yet here I sit on the eve of the game without a clue which side to take.

Truth be told, I've made a nice bit of coin playing the Michigan side in these type of matchups for years. A top ranked team, on the road vs an unranked team and only favored by a couple points has always been an instant play on the home team.

Need thoughts or opinions if you got them. I have put some thought into this game, just not as much as the SDSU game from earlier in the year, because Michigan to me is a very unknown quantity.

[Vegas39]

See a couple offshore have Michigan -1

[Ghenghis Kahn]

no way, michigan sucks this year. if they open 1 or 2. i'm going at least 2 units on that game.

[Cuse0323]

You know I would love to see Zona lose but I don't see Michigan beating them. Michigan doesn't really have an identity yet nor the guard play to contend with Zona. That LeVert kid is a baller though, if they can hit some shots and defend, they've got a shot.

[TheMoneyShot]

Every time I watch Arizona... I say to myself... how can you stop these guys?

[ChalkyDog]

Every time I watch Arizona... I say to myself... how can you stop these guys?

Officiating. See 2001 Duke.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

betonline did open at pk and it's now at michigan -1.

i like arizona but one thing that worries me is that 9am start.

i don't think pac 12 teams do too well traveling to the east in these early morning games.

[ChalkyDog]

Damn, you guys are right. Arizona is +1 -105 right now.

[ChalkyDog]

betonline did open at pk and it's now at michigan -1.

i like arizona but one thing that worries me is that 9am start.

i don't think pac 12 teams do too well traveling to the east in these early morning games.

That early start is a killer. Arizona has already left to Michigan, and I am pretty sure already checked in at their hotel. Did a quick practice run early this morning.

[ChalkyDog]

Seriously, how do you not bet Michigan right here? Arizona is the much better team, but no team goes undefeated, and in all seriousness Michigan is a top 15-20 team this year, IMO.

Easy seeing Arizona drop one here.

[ChalkyDog]

Now seeing Michigan -1.5.

Good god, bookmaker, release the fukkin line already so I can get a good number you roosterlicker.

What happened to "where the line originates"?

[Madison]

My thought is Az is a spot play. I think come March they will be tough/focused just not sure about their focus right now. Get the feeling they know they are good. From here til Jan buyer beware.

[Vitothecapper]

I'm taking the Arizona +1.5

[Cuse0323]

Books will get plenty of money on Michigan since they're favorites. It seems like they must be the play then. I just don't think they're really all that good with Burke and TH JR. gone.

[jjgold]

massive trap

I wsh I could put 5k on Arizona

Who is injured??

[ChalkyDog]

massive trap

I wsh I could put 5k on Arizona

Who is injured??

Everyone is beyond healthy on Arizona. We had a deep bench guy or two come down with the flu last week due to the entire team receiving flu shots, but that is it.

[Vitothecapper]

If you like Zona you better get it Now!!


+1.5

I feel lke giving Goldie 5 dimes.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

massive trap

I wsh I could put 5k on Arizona

Who is injured??

[ChalkyDog]

It's fools gold, gents.

Buyer beware. This is a 1 possession game unless McGary is in foul trouble.

[ChalkyDog]

Michigan is a very good team. Like I said, top 15-20 team, IMO.

The metrics that matter are even in Michigan's favor.

[ChalkyDog]

Just went small on Michigan. Half unit, place holder type shit.

Will figure out a bigger side bet before tip.

[billysink]

I don't see how Michigan, who lives or dies on their perimeter game and the three ball, beats Arizona. Arizona conversely should score at will inside.

Arizona loses if they beat themselves.

[ChalkyDog]

I don't see how Michigan, who lives or dies on their perimeter game and the three ball, beats Arizona. Arizona conversely should score at will inside.

Arizona loses if they beat themselves.

This is the game in a nut shell.

Arizona will dominate inside, and could very easily win this game going away if Michigan isn't hitting from range.

On the reverse side, Michigan can only win this game if their 3's are falling. The thing is, if they're falling, it's next to impossible to beat them.

Michigan has about 3 guys on their roster that should be on NBA rosters shortly. Obviously Arizona is loaded with NBA talent to match up with that, but the point being Michigan is a very solid club.

[You mad bro]

taking michigan ML -120 here

[billysink]

Two of the top 3 ball teams in the nation Duke and SDSU couldn't beat Arizona. Duke plays shit interior D but SDSU doesn't.

Think you gotta be able to draw fouls on the interior to beat Zona. Not Michigan's forte.

[You mad bro]

Two of the top 3 ball teams in the nation Duke and SDSU couldn't beat Arizona.

sdsu is not a top 3 team

[RonPaul2008]

I like Michigan in this one

[ChalkyDog]

Two of the top 3 ball teams in the nation Duke and SDSU couldn't beat Arizona. Duke plays shit interior D but SDSU doesn't.

Think you gotta be able to draw fouls on the interior to beat Zona. Not Michigan's forte.

Billy, I agree with everything you said. SDSU being a top 3 in the nation team, I am not convinced, although I am almost positive that is not what you intended to imply. They will be very good later on though.

[billysink]

sdsu is not a top 3 team

3 ball=3point shooting

Connecticut	Amer	46.5	1	50.5	125	72.2	97	4.3	4	8.6	158	52.9	127	34.6	116
Indiana St.	MVC	45.6	2	50.2	131	79.7	5	11.3	262	8.8	185	53.8	111	31.8	181
Colgate	Pat	45.6	3	55.6	21	71.3	124	6.3	31	8.8	181	61.8	17	47.8	4
Gonzaga	WCC	45.2	4	55.5	23	72.9	77	6.3	32	7.1	42	52.2	141	35.1	106
Creighton	BE	44.2	5	53.3	53	71.0	135	11.3	264	6.9	29	65.1	5	44.5	15
Rider	MAAC	44.0	6	47.2	223	75.5	32	7.5	73	6.2	14	44.4	291	31.5	193
Virginia Tech	ACC	43.9	7	46.4	247	71.2	126	10.5	219	8.3	130	50.0	188	36.2	87
UC Santa Barbara	BW	43.9	8	56.9	12	69.1	183	5.9	21	7.9	96	64.5	6	35.8	91
Oregon	P12	43.4	9	57.5	5	75.3	37	7.0	55	7.2	44	56.0	77	32.4	169
Bucknell	Pat	43.4	10	48.5	181	79.0	6	11.5	269	7.0	36	50.7	175	29.6	241
West Virginia	B12	42.7	11	49.5	153	67.4	233	7.5	68	5.9	9	51.4	160	35.2	103
George Washington	A10	42.6	12	48.5	182	70.7	147	8.9	146	8.6	166	57.0	63	25.7	307
Duke	ACC	42.1	13	57.1	7	73.7	58	9.1	153	7.7	79	55.1	91	35.1	105
Saint Mary's	WCC	42.1	14	51.1	100	75.4	35	8.7	132	9.6	242	62.2	14	32.3	170
Idaho St.	BSky	41.8	15	42.6	320	69.7	169	17.0	345	9.5	234	44.9	282	23.8	332
BYU	WCC	41.7	16	49.9	137	68.7	200	9.3	165	8.0	101	57.7	52	20.3	349
Wyoming	MWC	41.4	17	52.4	67	71.1	132	9.6	176	5.7	5	60.6	25	36.7	77
San Diego St.	MWC	41.3	18	43.0	312	71.6	113	9.5	171	7.2	43	39.4	332	24.5	323
SMU	Amer	41.3	19	53.8	44	69.3	175	6.4	33	11.1	311	60.7	24	23.6	335
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	41.1	20	46.3	250	64.6	296	8.7	134	12.0	339	51.0	167	33.8	136

[VegasInsider]

Trying to get on Arizona right this second. Still +2 at 5dimes

[ChalkyDog]

Damn, well done Billy. Didn't even look into that.

[thebestthereis]

#1 vs unranked line -2 for unranked, never saw that before. #1 vs ranked like #15 or so maybe, never like this.

[ChalkyDog]

On paper there is zero reason Arizona should lose this game. Turnover's maybe.

Yet the books favor Michigan. Early start time, true road game, middle of winter?

[ChalkyDog]

#1 vs unranked line -2 for unranked, never saw that before. #1 vs ranked like #15 or so maybe, never like this.

If AP rankings were predictive, it would be #1 Arizona vs. #17 or so Michigan.

[azsportswin]

My thought is Az is a spot play. I think come March they will be tough/focused just not sure about their focus right now. Get the feeling they know they are good. From here til Jan buyer beware.

Don't be fooled, this team is very focused right now. But, Mich is very difficult place to play. Agree with others posting here, should be a close game which means may come down to who can make their FT's. Mich almost 75% vs Az 66% y-t-d. Aaron Gordon is a train wreck on the foul line right now. Az bigs (Zues and Ashley) have tendency to get into foul trouble. If it does come down to calls and who can convert their foul shots, advantage Michigan. Personally, I'm just looking forward to watching this game!