Guys QUIT using +\- EV in your posts
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tatddySBR Posting Legend
- 03-02-10
- 10779
#36Comment -
BigDeem5SBR Posting Legend
- 02-26-11
- 17191
#38Sinker, give me a fuking winnerComment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy
- 11-01-11
- 43253
#40
what if it's a ML parlay that pays even money and both teams win but both fail to cover the spread?Comment -
daneblazerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-14-08
- 27861
#42Just like the word "variance" people throw a term around without knowing what it means.Comment -
billysinkRestricted User
- 03-29-09
- 5172
#44Most profitable player I have ever met still thinks correlated is a fukkin type of cardboard.Comment -
daneblazerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-14-08
- 27861
#45Variance is the difference between your short term results and long term expectations.
It's also often difficult to recognize. What I meant by the comment is that when we lose, a lot of people tend to shrug it off as variance aka "just on a bad run". Often times, it's not really variance why we lost, but mistakes we made along the way. It's a lot easier to just say we lost because of variance or blame something else than to look in the mirror, analyze what you're doing, and realize something you're doing is wrong. When we win due to some variance we rarely ever credit variance, we credit something we did.Comment -
The KrakenBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-25-11
- 28918
#48Guys in this thread get it. No need to preach to the choir. This is a winners only thread.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#49You can bet a game -330 if you win the bet there is no juice
Not hard to figure outComment -
Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#50jj , just think if you had pulled the trigger on Denver ML last night...
ONE GRAND baby , no vigComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#51Sammy I made a massive blunder
Nerves set inComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#54Some of you guys have no clue
I do not want to show you up though because I am a good guy
KId ket me teach youComment -
yak merchantSBR High Roller
- 11-04-10
- 109
#55I am officially dumber now.Comment -
bubblebuttluvSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-13-12
- 5179
#57I took statistics too, Archie.
I hated statistics class, Archie.
I just got finished taking business statistics this previous summer and I thought I would die of boredom.
I don't mention -EV or +EV in my thread, so I don't have to talk statistics.Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#58Talking about expected value on this forum is -EVComment -
TheSchafeSBR MVP
- 12-29-09
- 2143
#59Let's all just pick winners. Enough with the semantics...Comment -
DoYouNotGetITSBR Wise Guy
- 09-25-13
- 529
#61If you are serious you are a dumbass. To bet +2.5 compared to +3 at -110 the line has to be +110 or higher. To bet -3 at -110 or buy the half a point -2.5 the line has to be -130 or lower. Same applies to +3 to +3.5 and -3.5 to -3. 20.8 swing when the half of point comes in contact with 3. If you are buying a half a point, point, or 1.5 points at a sportsbook they are screwing you most likely. Probably is bookies out there who gives deals on buying and selling points.
Either way there is no value in buying points unless you do it all the time. There is value if you do it sometimes, but only if you are a guy who bets a low percentage of his bankroll each bet. For most people no value. One out of four times it will pay off if you are buying or selling points at 3.Comment -
Albert PujolsSBR MVP
- 06-01-10
- 1670
#64Typical SBR poster thinking:
Cubs +120. +120 is +ev. It's a plus-even bet, I'm sharp.Comment -
PAYTON20SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-02-10
- 5217
#65Never used it in my life.
it's for confused bettors who have no idea how to pick a winnerComment -
Chili_PowderSBR Wise Guy
- 12-22-11
- 824
#67bunch of flamersComment
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