Deemer's Picks

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  • BigDeem5
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-26-11
    • 17191

    #106
    Originally posted by billysink
    Kid you don't know logic from the fukkin rice field out back.

    Once you spent the money it is in play. Whether games are today, tomorrow or on fukkin Chinese New Year the money is in play.

    You now have too many units in play and cannot adjust to maximize unit size if you win or minimize exposure should you lose. If you win your plays tonight you will not have a chance to incrementally increase the size of your bets for Saturday and Sunday as you have already bought the plays. Conversely if you lose tonight you are stuck with too much money on those games and are over exposed.

    You consistently cost yourself money when you win, whether through poor money management or bad wagering strategy. I believe you have a decent understanding of handicapping.

    You are just a real bad bettor.

    Deemer, you trying to tell me about logic and analysis is a fukkin waste of your time and mine kid.
    Sinker, where'd your spreadsheet go?
    Comment
    • billysink
      Restricted User
      • 03-29-09
      • 5172

      #107
      Originally posted by BigDeem5
      Sinker, where'd your spreadsheet go?
      deleted after baseball finished several weeks ago
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #108
        how'd you finish sinker?
        Comment
        • billysink
          Restricted User
          • 03-29-09
          • 5172

          #109
          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
          how'd you finish sinker?
          up around 34 units over 125 plays. Right on 60%
          Comment
          • BigDeem5
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-26-11
            • 17191

            #110
            Adding Dodgers TT O 4 1.05/1.0
            Comment
            • BigDeem5
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-26-11
              • 17191

              #111
              Mil/Braves O7 1.15/1.0
              Phillies 1.37/1.0
              1.15/1.0 ML parlay
              Indians FF Cash +.5u

              1-2 -1.80u tonight

              Pending Phillies 1.37/1.0
              and Tribe -2.5 1.0/1.23x

              and LAD TT O 1.05/1.0
              Comment
              • BigDeem5
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-26-11
                • 17191

                #112
                Absolutely stunning to me how I beat the closing line by 20 cents and the Phils can't hit Donovan Hand or w/e his name is.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #113
                  Deemer your all over the board
                  impossible to win what your doing

                  What type of math model you using
                  Comment
                  • billysink
                    Restricted User
                    • 03-29-09
                    • 5172

                    #114
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    Deemer your all over the board
                    impossible to win what your doing

                    What type of math model you using
                    There is not a predictive in the world that could win with that exposure.

                    Not a one. This is just another rollercoaster ride of bad management and poor wagering strategy.

                    That is the problem with most 40 dollar bettors.

                    The amounts they play with do not lend themselves to respect of any strategy at all.

                    Shot taking is not a stategy. Half your roll in play chukkin darts is not a strategy.

                    Some of these fukks will add the reloads up several years from now and wonder why they didn't grind when they could have.

                    Even a small investment can be lucrative over time. Fukks can't see that.

                    Every week gotta be that fukkin pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.
                    Comment
                    • BigDeem5
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-26-11
                      • 17191

                      #115
                      I use a regression model with backtracking.

                      Very complicated stuff.
                      Comment
                      • sweep
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 16753

                        #116
                        this kid still making a big deal about beating closers in mlb

                        "look mommy, picked off 3 cents from the bubble gum shop on the tribe tonight...still lost tho"




                        LOst cause
                        Comment
                        • billysink
                          Restricted User
                          • 03-29-09
                          • 5172

                          #117
                          Originally posted by BigDeem5
                          I use a regression model with backtracking.

                          Very complicated stuff.
                          You have two wagering systems.

                          Reload and delete.

                          That is all.
                          Comment
                          • billysink
                            Restricted User
                            • 03-29-09
                            • 5172

                            #118
                            Originally posted by sweep
                            this kid still making a big deal about beating closers in mlb

                            "look mommy, picked off 3 cents from the bubble gum shop on the tribe tonight...still lost tho"




                            LOst cause
                            I gave the kid a shot.

                            He missed.

                            Lost cause.

                            Done.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #119
                              This Deemer seems advanced model players usually are

                              Billy boy this is a little out of your league
                              Comment
                              • broadway6
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-14-09
                                • 13337

                                #120
                                Originally posted by billysink
                                There is not a predictive in the world that could win with that exposure.

                                Not a one. This is just another rollercoaster ride of bad management and poor wagering strategy.

                                That is the problem with most 40 dollar bettors.

                                The amounts they play with do not lend themselves to respect of any strategy at all.

                                Shot taking is not a stategy. Half your roll in play chukkin darts is not a strategy.

                                Some of these fukks will add the reloads up several years from now and wonder why they didn't grind when they could have.

                                Even a small investment can be lucrative over time. Fukks can't see that.

                                Every week gotta be that fukkin pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.
                                Highly intelligent post.
                                Comment
                                • BigDeem5
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-26-11
                                  • 17191

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                  Mil/Braves O7 1.15/1.0
                                  Phillies 1.37/1.0
                                  1.15/1.0 ML parlay
                                  Indians FF Cash +.5u

                                  1-2 -1.80u tonight

                                  Pending Phillies 1.37/1.0
                                  and Tribe -2.5 1.0/1.23x

                                  and LAD TT O 1.05/1.0
                                  2-3-1 today -1.94u


                                  NFL (1-0) +2u
                                  MLB (2-4-1) -3.09u
                                  NCAAF (0-0)

                                  Overall: 3-4-1 -1.09u

                                  San Fran -3 pending tonight. May have some baseball as well.
                                  Comment
                                  • billysink
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 03-29-09
                                    • 5172

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    This Deemer seems advanced model players usually are

                                    Billy boy this is a little out of your league
                                    The only judge of what league you play in is your balance sheet.

                                    Not some made for posting persona fat snaggle toothed bald fukk sitting on the edge of his single bed in a one room rental, staring at his fukked up dart chukkin spreadsheet with red marks all over it like bad fukkin acne.

                                    With all due respect.
                                    Comment
                                    • Smoke
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-09-09
                                      • 48111

                                      #123
                                      Hu Yu Hai Ding?
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDeem5
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-26-11
                                        • 17191

                                        #124
                                        No Time to Spar with Basic Bill this morning, got sh*t to do

                                        3 mlb playS:

                                        Padres 1.04/1.0
                                        Atl/Phil O 7.5 1.15/1.0
                                        Royals 1.24/1.0
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #125
                                          Billy I bet you would not call me baldy in person, the outcome for you would not be good. I give guy free passes because it is the internet.

                                          This Deemer trying to make us money so strong advise you to back off or else.

                                          Thanks Billy
                                          Comment
                                          • sweep
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-09-10
                                            • 16753

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                            Billy I bet you would not call me baldy in person, the outcome for you would not be good. I give guy free passes because it is the internet.

                                            This Deemer trying to make us money so strong advise you to back off or else.

                                            Thanks Billy
                                            you buried deem in the Pinny vid, remember????????
                                            Comment
                                            • ParlayininHTown
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-27-10
                                              • 7561

                                              #127
                                              Sweeper has a point. Keep your story straight, SBR.


                                              It's rather funny that whomever is posting under JJ's name today would talk about what he would do to Billy in real life, considering JJ is nothing more than a fictional character on a gambling forum.
                                              Comment
                                              • billysink
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 03-29-09
                                                • 5172

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
                                                Sweeper has a point. Keep your story straight, SBR.


                                                It's rather funny that whomever is posting under JJ's name today would talk about what he would do to Billy in real life, considering JJ is nothing more than a fictional character on a gambling forum.
                                                Don't wreck it for everyone.

                                                Nobody knows.

                                                SSHHH!!!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • billysink
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 03-29-09
                                                  • 5172

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                  Billy I bet you would not call me baldy in person, the outcome for you would not be good. I give guy free passes because it is the internet.

                                                  This Deemer trying to make us money so strong advise you to back off or else.

                                                  Thanks Billy
                                                  Coupla things Hanky.

                                                  That guy in the video would have to pay to get in to tell me what league I play in and stand in line to do it.

                                                  Deemer got about as much shot of makin money for folks as you do getting some used ass cheek for less than a nikkle.

                                                  Whoever postin as Hanky today can roll the what else up in a ball and rub the fukkin rogaine on with it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDeem5
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-26-11
                                                    • 17191

                                                    #130
                                                    Didn't see the pinny video, someone link me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • billysink
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 03-29-09
                                                      • 5172

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                                      No Time to Spar with Basic Bill this morning, got sh*t to do

                                                      3 mlb playS:

                                                      Padres 1.04/1.0
                                                      Atl/Phil O 7.5 1.15/1.0
                                                      Royals 1.24/1.0
                                                      We done here Reload.

                                                      Good luck in the future.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Smoke
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-09-09
                                                        • 48111

                                                        #132
                                                        Billy calm the fukk down guey
                                                        Comment
                                                        • billysink
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 03-29-09
                                                          • 5172

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Smoke
                                                          Billy calm the fukk down guey
                                                          Playin with the kiddies and cartoons Smoky

                                                          Shits and giggles is all.

                                                          Fukk cares, coffee and a chukkle.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smoke
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-09-09
                                                            • 48111

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by billysink
                                                            Playin with the kiddies and cartoons Smoky

                                                            Shits and giggles is all.

                                                            Fukk cares, coffee and a chukkle.
                                                            Billy ship me one of them pizza pizza pies guey
                                                            Comment
                                                            • billysink
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 03-29-09
                                                              • 5172

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Smoke
                                                              Billy ship me one of them pizza pizza pies guey
                                                              Fukkin had one last night Smoky watched the Tigers clinch.

                                                              Franco's. Double cheese and sauce. Side of fish.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Prick
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-31-05
                                                                • 4965

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by billysink
                                                                Playin with the kiddies and cartoons Smoky

                                                                Shits and giggles is all.

                                                                Fukk cares, coffee and a chukkle.
                                                                billy you aint getting no tax credit for the boy
                                                                some dogs just aint gonna hunt
                                                                id leave it be, unless you havin fun
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDeem5
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-26-11
                                                                  • 17191

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by billysink
                                                                  Fukkin had one last night Smoky watched the Tigers clinch.

                                                                  Franco's. Double cheese and sauce. Side of fish.
                                                                  Worry about yer health before my fuking plays, billy boy.

                                                                  Good way to get your arteries clogged
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • billysink
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 03-29-09
                                                                    • 5172

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by The Prick
                                                                    billy you aint getting no tax credit for the boy
                                                                    some dogs just aint gonna hunt
                                                                    id leave it be, unless you havin fun
                                                                    Fukkin playin Prikker. Gotta give what you can to the orphans.

                                                                    Truth be told though, just cuz this high on his horse mongoloid kid don't get it, there may be dozens of neophytes reading this that still got a shot.

                                                                    Community service.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Billy why do you stalk Deemer ??

                                                                      Your lucky he does not live near you, have you ever seen him on the bench?? No I thought so because you would not bash him.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • firedawg
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-08-08
                                                                        • 39219

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                        Billy why do you stalk Deemer ??

                                                                        Your lucky he does not live near you, have you ever seen him on the bench?? No I thought so because you would not bash him.
                                                                        Lmao
                                                                        Comment
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