GOT NUTS????? Go bet this....NBA First Round series upset!!!!

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    GOT NUTS????? Go bet this....NBA First Round series upset!!!!
    Warriors +450


    This price sounds insane to me. Rarely do you get good value because the swing in juice on each side is so drastic, but this line seems WAYYYYYY off.

    The Nuggets are definitely the most vulnerable team to get beat out of the 1,2,3 seeds. Too beat up.

    Losing Gallinari for the year 2 weeks ago hurts this team way more than people are giving credit for. They will miss him when they are getting 110% each game against the Golden State kids here.
    Faried has back spasms and is questionable but not only that he may go try n play and end up being out for the series if he tweaks it again. Who knows? He's a big part of this team as well.

    The Warriors definitely can be a surprise team here. All young guys with nothing to lose. They are already free-rolling because they had a successful year and aren't expected to do much more really.

    The Nuggets have a great crowd and are probably the best home team in the NBA. But injuries show up more in the playoffs, you really miss guys that got you there. I think this shows up and costs them this series. They really needed Gallinari. Golden St. can definitely sneak a win in game 1 and put the pressure on right away after that.

    I rarely get into betting props cuz of the insane juice each way, but this is definitely a bet I'm throwing down on. That price is way too juicy.

    Either way I'm looking forward to watching this series. Should be exciting and full of offense.


    Warriors +450. It's a bet!!
  • Domestic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-10-09
    • 6323

    #2
    Also jumped out at me as being a bit off, best of luck.
    Comment
    • hockey216
      SBR MVP
      • 08-20-08
      • 4583

      #3
      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
      Warriors +450


      This price sounds insane to me. Rarely do you get good value because the swing in juice on each side is so drastic, but this line seems WAYYYYYY off.

      The Nuggets are definitely the most vulnerable team to get beat out of the 1,2,3 seeds. Too beat up.

      Losing Gallinari for the year 2 weeks ago hurts this team way more than people are giving credit for. They will miss him when they are getting 110% each game against the Golden State kids here.
      Faried has back spasms and is questionable but not only that he may go try n play and end up being out for the series if he tweaks it again. Who knows? He's a big part of this team as well.

      The Warriors definitely can be a surprise team here. All young guys with nothing to lose. They are already free-rolling because they had a successful year and aren't expected to do much more really.

      The Nuggets have a great crowd and are probably the best home team in the NBA. But injuries show up more in the playoffs, you really miss guys that got you there. I think this shows up and costs them this series. They really needed Gallinari. Golden St. can definitely sneak a win in game 1 and put the pressure on right away after that.

      I rarely get into betting props cuz of the insane juice each way, but this is definitely a bet I'm throwing down on. That price is way too juicy.

      Either way I'm looking forward to watching this series. Should be exciting and full of offense.


      Warriors +450. It's a bet!!
      you're a moron and throwing your $ in the trash.
      Comment
      • aireent777
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-21-09
        • 5930

        #4
        Denver is hungry for round 2. Careful.
        Comment
        • Frisco
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-27-12
          • 6138

          #5
          A line being a bit off doesn't mean it's a good bet.
          Comment
          • BennyBigNuts
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-16-12
            • 8700

            #6
            Originally posted by aireent777
            Denver is hungry for round 2. Careful.

            Has Denver even made a round 2 in the last 15 years??
            Nothing to be careful about when you're getting +450. I either win a dime or 2 or lose 2 or $400.
            It's a value bettor's dream. This line should be +200 to +250 AT BEST.
            Comment
            • TwoWays
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-24-10
              • 13145

              #7
              GS depends too much on Steph Curry. Being physical with Curry with someone like Iggy, and it might go south real fast for GS
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #8
                on this too and have been hoping we'd get this series for weeks...

                Warriors
                Comment
                • The Samurai
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-08-12
                  • 425

                  #9
                  Originally posted by hockey216
                  you're a moron and throwing your $ in the trash.
                  Jeez. That was mean pal. Did he smash your ol lady or something?
                  Comment
                  • BennyBigNuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-16-12
                    • 8700

                    #10
                    Originally posted by The Samurai
                    Jeez. That was mean pal. Did he smash your ol lady or something?

                    I would but he has a boyfriend and I only like
                    Comment
                    • easysaid
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-18-12
                      • 690

                      #11
                      not going to happen, gsw have never been in the playoffs before and this is the best nuggs team in quiet a while.. nuggs in 5
                      Comment
                      • Smoke
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-09-09
                        • 48111

                        #12
                        Just take the OVER in every game this series
                        Comment
                        • BennyBigNuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-16-12
                          • 8700

                          #13
                          Originally posted by easysaid
                          not going to happen, gsw have never been in the playoffs before and this is the best nuggs team in quiet a while.. nuggs in 5
                          Nuggets probably won 48-55 games every year with Melo for like what 8-9 years? And they are historic first round chokers.
                          And they WOULD be way better if they had Gallinari and a healthy Faried. But that's not the case.
                          Comment
                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-03-12
                            • 53970

                            #14
                            will be hard to win a single game in Denver... this I know
                            Comment
                            • BennyBigNuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-16-12
                              • 8700

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                              will be hard to win a single game in Denver... this I know
                              Steal one of the first 2 in Denver and it's huge. Playoffs are so much different than the regular season. It can happen. I see it in game 1. That's their best spot IMO to do it.
                              Comment
                              • kfranz31
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-09-10
                                • 1186

                                #16
                                the only one with value but i dont see it
                                Comment
                                • frostno98
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-11-07
                                  • 9769

                                  #17
                                  If you like Goldenstate then you better betting these odds. GSW winning series 4-2 +630 or winning series 4-3 +1000. The Nuggets is not going to win only 1 game against that gawd awful defense that's a lock.
                                  Comment
                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-16-12
                                    • 8700

                                    #18
                                    I fkd up this line got hammered. Smart money got on the Warriors quick. I get home tonight its fkn +325 - +350 everywhere.
                                    This sucks. Can't decide what to do now. I was dumb to wait I knew the line would go down. Just lazy getting to a casino during the day today.
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Take dubs ml game 1. If they lose take dubs series price and ml game 2. They'll steal one in den. No need to take series now when you can get game 1 ml at same price.
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Good bet. Won't cash though.
                                        Comment
                                        • BennyBigNuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-16-12
                                          • 8700

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by tatddy
                                          Take dubs ml game 1. If they lose take dubs series price and ml game 2. They'll steal one in den. No need to take series now when you can get game 1 ml at same price.
                                          I was kinda thinking that now. I guess I need to hope Nuggets win game 1 now. But I think that's the best chance for Warriors to steal one. If Warriors win Sunday, I'm gonna be heated.
                                          Comment
                                          • tatddy
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-02-10
                                            • 10779

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                            I was kinda thinking that now. I guess I need to hope Nuggets win game 1 now. But I think that's the best chance for Warriors to steal one. If Warriors win Sunday, I'm gonna be heated.
                                            I'm barreled in on this....also have dubs Ml game 1 and if it loses, like I said, will take series price after.

                                            20125 Golden State series games won/Denver series games won* Over 5½ -126

                                            And started a parlay here...yeah, only 8 teamer.

                                            175635546-1 4/20/13 5:21am $50.00 $64.59 Open 8 Team Parlay
                                            Pending 4/21/13 1:00pm NBA Basketball 890 Indiana Pacers (Series) -360* <small>vs</small> Atlanta Hawks (Series)
                                            Pending 4/20/13 5:30pm Props Basketball 20125 Golden State series games won/Denver series games won Over 5½ -126*
                                            Comment
                                            • TheMLBKing
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-20-13
                                              • 1129

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hockey216
                                              you're a moron and throwing your $ in the trash.

                                              this. Nuggets will probably come out of the west.
                                              Comment
                                              • BennyBigNuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-16-12
                                                • 8700

                                                #24
                                                Almost snatched game 1 like I thought they could. Definitely waiting on the adjusted series price tonight or tomorrow.
                                                What will Warriors be now? +500??????
                                                Comment
                                                • The Giant
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-21-12
                                                  • 21480

                                                  #25
                                                  Is David Lee done?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • k13
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-16-10
                                                    • 18104

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                    Almost snatched game 1 like I thought they could. Definitely waiting on the adjusted series price tonight or tomorrow.
                                                    What will Warriors be now? +500??????
                                                    +700
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDeem5
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-26-11
                                                      • 17191

                                                      #27
                                                      Lee out for season.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tatddy
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-02-10
                                                        • 10779

                                                        #28
                                                        Bang bang. Hope you got that series price before game 2. We're looking good...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frostno98
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-07
                                                          • 9769

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by frostno98
                                                          If you like Goldenstate then you better betting these odds. GSW winning series 4-2 +630 or winning series 4-3 +1000. The Nuggets is not going to win only 1 game against that gawd awful defense that's a lock.
                                                          Like I told OP. You guys could of made a better gamble by betting the scenario's I just describe above, because the Nuggets will win not lose this series 4-1.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Enkhbat
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-18-11
                                                            • 3145

                                                            #30
                                                            well it is 1-1 now, so definitely won't be 4-1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-16-12
                                                              • 8700

                                                              #31
                                                              Jesus Christ, I'm gonna be FUMINGGGGGGGGG if the Warriors win this fkn series now lol. I'm almost rooting against them.
                                                              I mean, I waited 8 fkn hours to hit the casino that Friday afternoon before the series started and the line went from +450 to +325 causing me to pass on it. Never thought the line would move so drastically even though it makes sense that a lot of smart big money went on the Warriors for sure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tatddy
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-02-10
                                                                • 10779

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                                Jesus Christ, I'm gonna be FUMINGGGGGGGGG if the Warriors win this fkn series now lol. I'm almost rooting against them.
                                                                I mean, I waited 8 fkn hours to hit the casino that Friday afternoon before the series started and the line went from +450 to +325 causing me to pass on it. Never thought the line would move so drastically even though it makes sense that a lot of smart big money went on the Warriors for sure.
                                                                Damn sorry you missed it. That's why the value was in taking dubs ml game one and then series after game 1 if they lost. Don't root against me too hard my man!

                                                                My biggest risk here is on series over 5.5 games but if dubs win series in 6 or 7 it's Vegas time.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tatddy
                                                                  Damn sorry you missed it. That's why the value was in taking dubs ml game one and then series after game 1 if they lost. Don't root against me too hard my man!

                                                                  My biggest risk here is on series over 5.5 games but if dubs win series in 6 or 7 it's Vegas time.
                                                                  Do you go to games at the Oracle tat?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tatddy
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-02-10
                                                                    • 10779

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                    Do you go to games at the Oracle tat?
                                                                    I only went to 4 this year. Hoping to make time to get to at least one playoff game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-16-12
                                                                      • 8700

                                                                      #35
                                                                      -1 at home for Game 3? No respect for the warriors guys. They will win easily tonight.
                                                                      Comment
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