D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

Dollars2Donuts · 05-20-13, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

For what its worth. 5dimes usually has terrific odds, but I have a couple of accounts on different sites to shop for lines and so on any given day only place 1/2-3/4 of the total value through it.

You place enough action that you wouldn't need to worry about rollovers.

I'm somewhat surprised you only play at 5dimes.

I am still a noob....dropped my Bodog account because their customer service sucked, they kept making mistakes and I had to keep correnting their grading, and the lines always blew.

I am going to start a Pinnacle account for myself later today.....gotta get better tennis lines.

Dollars2Donuts · 05-20-13, 03:03 PM

One last thing before I head out....the analogy just came to me:

I compare myself right now the way an online poker player 5 years ago would compare himself to Doyle Brunson. These guys, in one year of 24 tabling $1/2 13 hours a day (and yes, that is possible....I friend of mine has hit their top levels multiple times) could play more hands in that year than Doyle could play in a lifetime.

Were they as knowledgeable as him? No. Did they have his life experience? No.....BUT did they learn something from all of those damn hands? Of course they did.

IN 5 months I am over 2000 wagers totalling somewhere around $200,000 wagered.....do I know everything? HELL NO! I don't even know what books are best, etc....BUT, have I learned something from each and every loss and win? Hell yes. I believe that right now I am 5 times the capper I was 5 months ago. I am sure there are still people out there that believe it will come crashing down, many people still tell me it is impossible to bet the volume that I do and win.....and heck, it might be.....but I think I have a long way to go, and I am committed to being the best I can be.

Damn, this is fun....what a ride.

Thanks again everyone.....and if nothing else I will always remember this chapter in my crazy life.

D2D

Minnesota Niice · 05-20-13, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Thanks again everyone.....and if nothing else I will always remember this chapter in my crazy life.

D2D

Amen brother... Have to enjoy the ride.. cheers

frostie · 05-20-13, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

One last thing before I head out....the analogy just came to me:

I compare myself right now the way an online poker player 5 years ago would compare himself to Doyle Brunson. These guys, in one year of 24 tabling $1/2 13 hours a day (and yes, that is possible....I friend of mine has hit their top levels multiple times) could play more hands in that year than Doyle could play in a lifetime.

Were they as knowledgeable as him? No. Did they have his life experience? No.....BUT did they learn something from all of those damn hands? Of course they did.

IN 5 months I am over 2000 wagers totalling somewhere around $200,000 wagered.....do I know everything? HELL NO! I don't even know what books are best, etc....BUT, have I learned something from each and every loss and win? Hell yes. I believe that right now I am 5 times the capper I was 5 months ago. I am sure there are still people out there that believe it will come crashing down, many people still tell me it is impossible to bet the volume that I do and win.....and heck, it might be.....but I think I have a long way to go, and I am committed to being the best I can be.

Damn, this is fun....what a ride.

Thanks again everyone.....and if nothing else I will always remember this chapter in my crazy life.

D2D

me too d2d because your the first poster on this board that has continued to win month after month on a consistent basis, at least as long as ive been here and ive been on this board for 3 years now. keep up the awesome work! so pumped for NFL!!!

fitguy67 · 05-20-13, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

ATP....does anyone know if there is a better site than 5dimes for tennis odds??

1. (D2D, u probably know this already...but for the benefit of others) Click DiggetyDaggety's link to SBR tennis odds...and note that you can pull-down control to have it show for ML, Game-spread, and Total-games as appropriate.

2. For tennis, take it from fitguy that the two best sites in general price-wise are Pinnacle (that everyone knows about), and Matchbook (that few REALLY do). Matchbook is like Walmart for prices...weak on variety, but what it has is always very hard to beat. Dimey almost always more expensive than those two for pre-game tennis plays.

The biggest secret in sports betting is Matchy...for pre-game prices on plain-vanilla wagers, very hard to beat. Reason: it's not a book, it's an exchange...all bets are "player vs player"...no juice, just a tiny bit of commission. Matchy beats the hell out of Betfair also (1% vs BF's 5%, and WAY easier to use...none of that confusing "laying" crap...just bet on whatever side u want).

3. For live-betting tennis (and anything else...a bit more juice than Dimey and Pinny, but tons more variety and always "on"...not those tiny intermission-only "windows of opportunity" u get elsewhere), u gotta go with Bet365.
________
For non US'rs...the "holy quartet" of sports-betting shops are "Pinny, Matchy, Dimey, and Betty"...once u got those four in place, then start adding others...just make sure that they're all skr___-able...and show up on the same book comparison site for easy shopping (the one Daggety links u to is fine)...

One last thing about using that comparison site...clik "settings" then "books order"...drag the books into the order u wanna see 'em (for me, it's the holy quartet first, then others...etc.)

bald_guy · 05-20-13, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

I will add it as a day to day feature starting today. Because I have it all in front of me it is obviously way easier for me to get it done.

Hanescu is blowing Ramos out of the water with his serve right now....Ramos is a funny creature.....in fact I am 1-4 on his matches this year and he is quickly becoming a NO PLAY for me....I obviously cannot read this guy, where his mind is, how his style matches up, etc.

A 3-2 start in the ATP for + $130. Going to another BBQ today with friends....may check in from time to time, but off to grab beer and fat steaks!

I only want to say this is awesome, and Thanks!!! I hope you enjoy them steaks to the fullest.

bill2266 · 05-20-13, 03:52 PM

man you have great bankroll management ty for what you do

mynameismud · 05-20-13, 04:49 PM

D2D definitely sbrs MVP for the last few months.

fitguy67 · 05-20-13, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

D2D definitely sbrs MVP for the last few months.

anybody agreeing with this...go to

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2331448-3-serious-candidates-potm-bennybignuts-d2d-el-nino-alphabetical-order.html

and chime in, please...thread needs to start getting bumped to keep it on page 1 of PT...the windshield for the 90% of SBR-members suffering from ADD

ItsMeMrMattE · 05-20-13, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

I am not confident at all in him...in fact I do not know him from Adam. IMO Texas is giving him a start in an important divisional game, Texas' offense is clearly superior, Oakland isn't playing well this year and add to that they are not playing well on the road. Colon does not have a strong history against Texas either and Oakland has lost all 3 of Colon's last 3 starts. Texas is running at .724 at home so far and frankly, this is a math play. Do we need any more info than we have? I don't.

People need to start realizing these things....I do not go into any game 'super, duper confident' in anything....this is sports. I go in KNOWING enough information that I can be confident that play is a good one long term and mathematically. Will Texas win this game more than 56% of the time if played 100 times? They sure as hell will. Will Texas win today? I sure as well hope so.

DONUTS' OUT

i hate goin against your picks, but i think i have to here. cant bring myself to back a beginner. his nerves might come into play being his first game in the arlington stadium and its another windy day here. is see OAK getting a few easy HR out of him. good news is at least one of us will be happy after the game. GL with your picks today, i cant say enough good things about this forum. variance be dammed. keep it up.

fitguy67 · 05-20-13, 06:29 PM

i'm on Wings at serious-value HOME-DOG odds (i got at +125 less than an hour ago at heritage)...

will they win tonyt on this universe..don't know and don't care cuz u can't know pre-game here-and-now...

but they'd win in more than 44.44% of any identical parallel universes u'd like to consider...therefore VALUE

l3randonf · 05-20-13, 07:53 PM

Blackhawks looking like they want to lose this series.

alamo · 05-20-13, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

i'm on Wings at serious-value HOME-DOG odds (i got at +125 less than an hour ago at heritage)...

will they win tonyt on this universe..don't know and don't care cuz u can't know pre-game here-and-now...

but they'd win in more than 44.44% of any identical parallel universes u'd like to consider...therefore VALUE

I joined you on this Fit. Agree that the value was too much.

fitguy67 · 05-20-13, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by alamo

I joined you on this Fit. Agree that the value was too much.

update: as long as Wings don't pull a Toronto "Deer in the Headlights" re-enactment...we ended up in one of the "more than 44.44% of the" universes we were hoping for!!!

meyer0416 · 05-20-13, 08:48 PM

what the hell kind of call was that??

easyliving · 05-20-13, 09:12 PM

checking in looks like you've been doing a great job so far, do I start blindly tailing now or am I too late?

Crystos · 05-20-13, 09:15 PM

Hey, D2D just wanted to throw one more thanks to ya on this thread. I am a super noob. This thread is one of my main resource tools as I navigate the intricacies of this new hobby of mine. You make great picks and, win or lose, your insight and overall attitude are very encouraging and helpful. So thank you and keep up the great work.

PuckIt · 05-20-13, 09:42 PM

pick it the fukk up rangers lol - glad i'm on the over too, but come one!

Crystos · 05-20-13, 09:59 PM

I hear ya Puck...I live in Dallas so you can imagine how I feel

koch & balls · 05-21-13, 12:15 AM

damn D2D I think bases has been keeping u from making real solid profits the past 3-4 days. maybe it's time to reduce the bases picks.

chuck22288 · 05-21-13, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by koch & balls

damn D2D I think bases has been keeping u from making real solid profits the past 3-4 days. maybe it's time to reduce the bases picks.

D2D has been VERY unlucky with blown leads late in the game, he is def on the right sides of these games even though they are losing late. Keep up the good work D2D, things are gonna start falling your way as the season goes on. I wouldn't reduce a thing!

ItsMeMrMattE · 05-21-13, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by Crystos

I hear ya Puck...I live in Dallas so you can imagine how I feel

they will get the W tomorrow. YU is unstoppable in arlington. posting from grapevine by the way if you know where that is .

nlin · 05-21-13, 12:46 AM

Hope i got it right

5/20/13 (6-5-2)
ATP 4-1-1 +130
MLB 2-4-1 -216
NBA
NHL

Total = -86

bostonphoenix · 05-21-13, 01:37 AM

Baseball does seem to be kyrptonite. Though I'm not sure I would have picked all that differently. A run a piece in two games tonight and today would have been EXTREMELY profitable.

It is a little frustrating thinking that two runs separated today from being extremely valuable. How many times out of 100 are the Nats held scoreless against an 8.00 ERA pitcher or one final run isn't scored in 3 innings of play.

Gio21 · 05-21-13, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

Baseball does seem to be kyrptonite. Though I'm not sure I would have picked all that differently. A run a piece in two games tonight and today would have been EXTREMELY profitable.

It is a little frustrating thinking that two runs separated today from being extremely valuable. How many times out of 100 are the Nats held scoreless against an 8.00 ERA pitcher or one final run isn't scored in 3 innings of play.

Exactly! And the Mets or Reds not being able to get a run after getting 6 in the first 3 innings. We are lucky we pushed on the Giants game. We almost hit it if it wasn't for pence getting caught in a run down at home, Blanco not being able to drive in a run with the bases loaded with 1 out, and missing a HR in the 8th. We had our chances just didn't get the breaks. But it's Ok they were good bets that would have hit more often than not. Today wasn't our day. There are days we will get the breaks and some where we wont. God knows we aren't getting them now (chapman giving up back to back HR's in the 9th on Sunday)

lol but hey it's all part of the game and we will get our breaks!

Good luck to us tomorrow D2D!

bostonphoenix · 05-21-13, 02:44 AM

True.

You only remember the losses, but it seems like bounces have been happening more and more against us. I would have taken the Pens to win, but 30 penetrating seconds still hurts.

-----

Who's the girl in the picture. Because DAMN.

Dollars2Donuts · 05-21-13, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

Baseball does seem to be kyrptonite. Though I'm not sure I would have picked all that differently. A run a piece in two games tonight and today would have been EXTREMELY profitable.

It is a little frustrating thinking that two runs separated today from being extremely valuable. How many times out of 100 are the Nats held scoreless against an 8.00 ERA pitcher or one final run isn't scored in 3 innings of play.

Funny.....we are 48-33 and + $1350 in MLB in the last 13 days.....yes, the last two have been tough, and today we were definitely on the crap side, but there isn't one play that I regret, or that I would change with the information I had at the time.

Anyway, on to today:

Today:

5-6

- $86

Totals (96 documented days):

726-595

+ $ 13,660.40

Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

38 - 19

+ $5446.93

ATP 3-2 +$130
MLB 2-4 -$216

Again, not a great day, another load of unlucky games (2nd day in a row), but again, over the last two days we are actually profitable. These small days are tough.....I am much better when I have 80 games to choose from and come up with 30 wagers....BUT, we will weather them profitably and just keep pounding the rock.

Dollars2Donuts · 05-21-13, 03:28 AM

Tomorrow's plays:

180571806-1	5/21/13 4:27am	$51.00	$50.00	Pending	5/21/13 7:15am ATP Tennis 104 G.Zemlja Games Won +2 -102* <small>vs</small> D.Goffins Games Won
180571806-2	5/21/13 4:27am	$122.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 10:15am ATP Tennis 108 V.Troicki Games Won -4½ -122* <small>vs</small> M.Russell Games Won
180571806-3	5/21/13 4:27am	$60.00	$50.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:45am ATP Tennis 111 A.Bedene Games Won +3 -120* <small>vs</small> N.Davydenko Games Won
180571806-4	5/21/13 4:27am	$120.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 6:00am ATP Tennis 116 I.Sijsling Games Won +3 -120* <small>vs</small> E.Korolev Games Won
180571806-5	5/21/13 4:27am	$50.00	$65.00	Pending	5/21/13 9:45am ATP Tennis 202 Ryan Harrison +130* <small>vs</small> Paul-Henri Mathieu
180571806-6	5/21/13 4:27am	$112.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 9:45am ATP Tennis 204 R.Harrison Games Won +2 -112* <small>vs</small> P-H.Mathieu Games Won
180571806-7	5/21/13 4:27am	$125.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 6:15am ATP Tennis 211 F.Fognini Games Won -5 -125* <small>vs</small> M.Cecchinato Games Won
180571806-8	5/21/13 4:27am	$50.00	$80.00	Pending	5/21/13 12:00pm ATP Tennis 213 Santiago Giraldo +160* <small>vs</small> Gael Monfils
180571806-9	5/21/13 4:27am	$52.00	$50.00	Pending	5/21/13 12:00pm ATP Tennis 215 S.Giraldo Games Won +2½ -104* <small>vs</small> G.Monfils Games Won

180571727-1	5/21/13 4:15am	$101.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 505 Memphis Grizzlies/San Antonio Spurs Over 182 -101*

180571665-1	5/21/13 4:07am	$134.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 902 Pittsburgh Pirates -134* <small>vs</small> Chicago Cubs (M Garza - R must Start W Rodriguez - L must Start)
180571665-2	5/21/13 4:07am	$117.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 903 Cincinnati Reds -117* <small>vs</small> New York Mets (M Leake - R must Start J Niese - L must Start)
180571665-3	5/21/13 4:07am	$137.00	$100.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -137* <small>vs</small> Milwaukee Brewers (Z Greinke - R must Start H Burgos - R must Start)
180571665-4	5/21/13 4:07am	$51.50	$50.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:40pm Reduced Baseball 909 Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies Over 9½ -103* (I Kennedy - R must Start J Chacin - R must Start)
180571665-5	5/21/13 4:07am	$100.00	$106.00	Pending	5/21/13 10:15pm Reduced Baseball 913 Washington Nationals +106* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (S Strasburg - R must Start M Cain - R must Start)
180571665-6	5/21/13 4:07am	$100.00	$116.00	Pending	5/21/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 916 Toronto Blue Jays +116* <small>vs</small> Tampa Bay Rays (A Cobb - R must Start R Ortiz - R must Start)
180571665-7	5/21/13 4:07am	$50.00	$61.00	Pending	5/21/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 920 Cleveland Indians +122* <small>vs</small> Detroit Tigers (M Scherzer - R must Start C Kluber - R must Start)
180571665-8	5/21/13 4:07am	$100.00	$105.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 922 Texas Rangers -1½ +105* <small>vs</small> Oakland Athletics (D Straily - R must Start Y Darvish - R must Start)
180571665-9	5/21/13 4:07am	$50.00	$61.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 924 Houston Astros +122* <small>vs</small> Kansas City Royals (W Davis - R must Start B Norris - R must Start)
180571665-10	5/21/13 4:07am	$53.50	$50.00	Pending	5/21/13 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 926 Chicago White Sox -107* <small>vs</small> Boston Red Sox (F Doubront - L must Start J Quintana - L must Start)

Dollars2Donuts · 05-21-13, 03:34 AM

You will also remember these bets from last week.....these were PODs at the time....

179616151-1

5/14/13 2:29pm

$369.00

$300.00

Pending

5/16/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 848 Boston Bruins (Series) -123* vs New York Rangers (Series)

179932042-1

5/16/13 7:09pm

$210.00

$200.00

Pending

5/16/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 848 Boston Bruins (Series) -105* vs New York Rangers (Series)

By now most of you know that I rarely profit-take, or lock things in, but in this case I have. I have just made this wager:

180571820-1

5/21/13 4:29am

$172.85

$579.05

Pending

5/21/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 847 New York Rangers (Series) +335* vs Boston Bruins (Series)

What this obviously does it protects me in case the Rangers do make a comeback....and frankly I can see them winning both games in NY.

Now, if Boston wins, we profit $327.15 and if the Rangers come back and win the series we break even.....this is still a POD, so if you decide to lay off as I have then great, and if you want to let it ride I completely understand. For me the guarantee of $327 win or a 0 loss is just too great not to make it.....and the only thing that made this possible was how huge the odds got on NY (+110 more than the Sharks right now!!!).

Dollars2Donuts · 05-21-13, 03:40 AM

Originally posted by koch & balls

damn D2D I think bases has been keeping u from making real solid profits the past 3-4 days. maybe it's time to reduce the bases picks.

Lol....ummmm......we are up $1600 in the last 4 days.....and I will cap the best way I know how....if anyone wants to exclude any of my picks in any sport I totally understand....I do not ask anyone to tail ever.

If every time I had two bad days in a row in a sport, I quit that sport.....I would literally have nothing left to bet on. It is easy to have a terrible timne in any sport for a couple of weeks....like in the NBA for the two weeks following the all-star break....every rythym (especially in totals) was WAY off....

UsManyDead · 05-21-13, 04:03 AM

GL today. With you on every pick. Let's roll in some cash

Let'em haters hate

Don't listen to them. I feel like dying when I see people hating for no reason. Maybe you should block some of these rats, so that they won't disturb you from your thoughts. Anyway you should know by now that you can't please everybody. There is always a hater.
Thanks for sharing your bets.

Dollars2Donuts · 05-21-13, 04:12 AM

Originally posted by bill2266

man you have great bankroll management ty for what you do

Originally posted by mynameismud

D2D definitely sbrs MVP for the last few months.

Originally posted by fitguy67

anybody agreeing with this...go to

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2331448-3-serious-candidates-potm-bennybignuts-d2d-el-nino-alphabetical-order.html

and chime in, please...thread needs to start getting bumped to keep it on page 1 of PT...the windshield for the 90% of SBR-members suffering from ADD

Originally posted by easyliving

checking in looks like you've been doing a great job so far, do I start blindly tailing now or am I too late?

Lol....I sure hope not....being going almost 5 months now, pretty darn consistent, no extended losing streaks and most losing days the damage has been kept to a minimum.....at 1300 plays since I started posting here and 2k plays overall....

I am glad to see you stopped in....I look forward to your input.

Originally posted by Crystos

Hey, D2D just wanted to throw one more thanks to ya on this thread. I am a super noob. This thread is one of my main resource tools as I navigate the intricacies of this new hobby of mine. You make great picks and, win or lose, your insight and overall attitude are very encouraging and helpful. So thank you and keep up the great work.

To everyone else, thanks a heck of a lot. Like every day I am just going to stress that not every day can/will be a winning day.

As for Fitguy, thanks for the props....I would love to get more recognition with the 'old guard' here at SBR, but I think they are focused on things other than winning (for the mostpart anyway).....hopefully we, the new guard, can get into all of this stuff sooner than later.....the capping makes it informative, the other stuff makes it even more fun...especially on those losing days!!

keamster · 05-21-13, 05:05 AM

hey d2d. this is honestly my first post and really first time to getting into sports betting, been reading a lot and just checking a lot of forums. you seem to be doing real well and I like how you bet a lot of bets. I think the more you play the more you can win. especially when you do research like you do. I am starting off with a very small roll and hopefully going to build it. probably not to your 30k goal, but make a fifth of that would be nice. well keep posting those winners and ill try to follow as much as I can. when do you post picks, like time of day? I am on west coast time in the states. is there a way to like get a notification when you make posts to my phone or email? I don't do forums. im a noob.

starting roll is $200. BOL to everyone!

Kankerganker · 05-21-13, 06:55 AM

you can get sbr to send you a mail when theres a new post in the thread, but havent found a way to only get it when d2d posts..
So i just refresh this thread a few thousand times on my phone

Givemhell Horns · 05-21-13, 08:02 AM

D2D, you are spot on with your philosophy on being a winning gambler, very impressive!

You obviously do alot alot of research and take winning very serious. My question is this, are you really able to separate mentally with everyday life? Like you mention in the one post about going out with friends to grab a steak with action at the same time. I consider myself a very disiplined player but this is something i really struggle with whether having $5 on a game or $100, doesn't matter, have to know the results. I know we all go through this and the real kick in the teeth is freting over a game out with friends or family that ends up being a loss. Just that dreaded wasted emotion feeling. Something have tried to get better at over the the years and just can't shake it and probably never will. There is nothing like the rush of a win, its in the blood.

Anyways, enjoy the heck out of your post and just curious on your take.