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  • ChicagoBlackhawk
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-20-13
    • 518

    #1191
    Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
    I have thought about it.....and am not liking either of these. It may sound crazy, but while I am sure the Pens and Hawks will advance, a lot of times the good teams have to make a heroic effort to get out of the first round. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Isles or the Wild up 2-1 after three games in their respective series'.
    never will happen man
    Comment
    • Bill_Hicks
      SBR MVP
      • 09-30-12
      • 1094

      #1192
      OK, thanks for your input D2D.
      Comment
      • Dollars2Donuts
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-07-13
        • 8803

        #1193
        Originally posted by ChicagoBlackhawk
        never will happen man
        Lol, I didn't say it would you homer! Just that it is possible!!

        Also notice that I took the Hawks minus a big number....obviously I like them.
        Comment
        • Bill_Hicks
          SBR MVP
          • 09-30-12
          • 1094

          #1194
          Originally posted by fitguy67
          re: the "-0.5, regulation" bets in hockey...

          I've written a fair bit in El Nino's thread about the relative advantages/disadvantages of using the "-1, full-time" (aka. the "-1 puckline") as another way to bak a team that's too chalky on the ML...it's not a popular way to go...but I'm sold on it, for reasons detailed over there
          I sometimes use -0.75 for juicy favourites, and I've been happy with the results so far.
          Comment
          • Dollars2Donuts
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-07-13
            • 8803

            #1195
            It looks like MLB is continuing to be a challenge for me.....the YANKS up 4-0 (had them at -2.5) in the 8th and they give up 2 useless runs....I don't think I am getting in on the wrong side in a lot of these games, but I am literally never getting any breaks for, and always giving up late runs to push or lose. I know that variance is part of it, but I am shocked at how often it seems to be happening to me....and again, I don't mind it happening, but it should really happen to both the winning and losing sides equally.....so, I have to think it will even out at some point.
            Comment
            • Bill_Hicks
              SBR MVP
              • 09-30-12
              • 1094

              #1196
              5-2!!!!

              6-2!!!

              I was bitching too, helps sometimes.
              Comment
              • tto827
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-01-12
                • 9078

                #1197
                Right there with you D2D

                Mets the last two days prime example

                If the padres choke this game away to the cubs I'm done gambling.
                Comment
                • Dollars2Donuts
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-13
                  • 8803

                  #1198
                  Originally posted by tto827
                  Right there with you D2D

                  Mets the last two days prime example

                  If the padres choke this game away to the cubs I'm done gambling.
                  Lol, until tomorrow......
                  Comment
                  • Dollars2Donuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-07-13
                    • 8803

                    #1199
                    Adding a late play on the Ducks game:

                    177392226-1 4/30/13 10:14pm $118.00 $100.00 Pending 4/30/13 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 55 Detroit Red Wings/Anaheim Ducks Under 5 -118*
                    Comment
                    • Dollars2Donuts
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-07-13
                      • 8803

                      #1200
                      Oh Yankees.....maybe that's what we needed to get this ship righted. Honestly they tried to scare the living crap outta me, but JUST managed to get it done.
                      Comment
                      • Kpn
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-29-13
                        • 842

                        #1201
                        This Chicago game.... AS I'M TYPING GOAAAALLL!!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Dollars2Donuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-07-13
                          • 8803

                          #1202
                          Originally posted by Kpn
                          This Chicago game.... AS I'M TYPING GOAAAALLL!!!!!!
                          Comment
                          • Dollars2Donuts
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-07-13
                            • 8803

                            #1203
                            Adding two small tennis plays for tomorrow morning. Almost played Fognini ML and Fognini -4 games.....but every time I went to hit confirm I just couldn't do it. He should win this match and cover, but there is something about guys playing guys from their own country....I just could not pull the trigger....but if you are adventurous I still see value there.

                            Adding:

                            177420819-1 4/30/13 11:42pm $50.00 $52.50 Pending 5/1/13 6:00am ATP Tennis 214 Radek Stepanek +105* <small>vs</small> Viktor Troicki
                            177420819-2 4/30/13 11:42pm $50.00 $50.00 Pending 5/1/13 8:35am ATP Tennis 228 D.Tursunov Games Won +3½ +100* <small>vs</small> A.Dolgopolov Games Won
                            Comment
                            • Dollars2Donuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-07-13
                              • 8803

                              #1204
                              Adding a small 2nd half play:

                              177424679-1 5/1/13 12:01am $55.00 $50.00 Pending 4/30/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 529 Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Clippers 2nd Half Under 90 -110*
                              Comment
                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-07-13
                                • 8803

                                #1205
                                Today:

                                9-5-0

                                + $348


                                Totals (76 documented days):

                                559 - 469- 29

                                + $ 10,969.35


                                Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

                                30 - 16

                                + $4529.93
                                Comment
                                • Overbettor
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-08-11
                                  • 951

                                  #1206
                                  That Blackhawks game subtracted years from my life but added huge to my roll!! Nice pick D2D
                                  Comment
                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 8803

                                    #1207
                                    Originally posted by Overbettor
                                    That Blackhawks game subtracted years from my life but added huge to my roll!! Nice pick D2D
                                    You are welcome....but to be honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




                                    Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


                                    D2D
                                    Comment
                                    • Kpn
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-29-13
                                      • 842

                                      #1208
                                      Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                      You are welcome....but to be honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




                                      Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


                                      D2D
                                      Some interesting NBA matchups tomorrow (Pens and Bruins I'm sure everyone is on so not worth a big chat over). Can't wait to hit the prop bets either way on Carmelo and Durant over whatever point line they put up, they will both hit over 32 tomorrow.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-07-13
                                        • 8803

                                        #1209
                                        Also, my Series bet on the Grizz took a turn for the better tonight....I almost hit them again at 0-2 to average up, but just didn't have the balls.

                                        175640666-4 4/20/13 8:57am $100.00 $158.00 Pending 4/20/13 10:30pm Reduced Basketball 887 Memphis Grizzlies (Series) +158* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers (Series)
                                        Comment
                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-07-13
                                          • 8803

                                          #1210
                                          Originally posted by Kpn
                                          Some interesting NBA matchups tomorrow (Pens and Bruins I'm sure everyone is on so not worth a big chat over). Can't wait to hit the prop bets either way on Carmelo and Durant over whatever point line they put up, they will both hit over 32 tomorrow.
                                          Pretty rare that I bet props. Only when I feel so sure that I cannot help myself. I learned at the SuperBowl this year, lol.
                                          Comment
                                          • Kpn
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-29-13
                                            • 842

                                            #1211
                                            Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                            Pretty rare that I bet props. Only when I feel so sure that I cannot help myself. I learned at the SuperBowl this year, lol.
                                            Really? Prop betting players is my highest win %, I've been hitting 70+% since I started doing it (Superbowl I took Flacco to throw over 250 yards and also for him to throw >1.5 TD's and Ray Lewis to have >4 Tackles) Don't ask how I remember this lol.

                                            I'm 8/10 of my last 10 prop's, I forgot to mention I'll probably takes Kevin G for whatever his rebound prop line is.

                                            What superbowl prop did you take that tanked?
                                            Comment
                                            • MonkeyMoney
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-31-13
                                              • 579

                                              #1212
                                              May may be a better month for us!! lol D2D
                                              Comment
                                              • Overbettor
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-08-11
                                                • 951

                                                #1213
                                                Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                You are welcome....but to bed honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




                                                Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


                                                D2D
                                                That reminds me, I never did thank you for the +200 Robredo winner! You're the man
                                                Comment
                                                • bald_guy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-02-12
                                                  • 990

                                                  #1214
                                                  I was 4-0 last night thanks to your great picks. Up 3.998 units. Thanks. Be interesting to see how the series games works out. Hope they get them over with fast in our favor so our money will be unlocked.

                                                  Keep up the great work, its much appreciated.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                    • 8803

                                                    #1215
                                                    Today's plays so far:

                                                    177601126-1 5/1/13 10:05am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 12:05pm ATP Tennis 119 P.Carreno-Busta Games Won -1½ -105* <small>vs</small> D.Goffin Games Won
                                                    177600890-1 5/1/13 9:59am $69.00 $50.00 Pending 5/1/13 10:10pm MLB Baseball 914 Los Angeles Dodgers -138* <small>vs</small> Colorado Rockies (J Nicasio - R must Start J Beckett - R must Start)
                                                    177600890-2 5/1/13 9:59am $50.00 $55.00 Pending 5/1/13 3:35pm MLB Baseball 917 Los Angeles Angels +110* <small>vs</small> Oakland Athletics (C Wilson - L must Start T Milone - L must Start)
                                                    177600890-3 5/1/13 9:59am $50.00 $60.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 922 Toronto Blue Jays +120* <small>vs</small> Boston Red Sox (C Buchholz - R must Start M Buehrle - L must Start)
                                                    177600890-4 5/1/13 9:59am $50.00 $53.00 Pending 5/1/13 8:05pm MLB Baseball 923 Chicago White Sox +106* <small>vs</small> Texas Rangers (C Sale - L must Start N Tepesch - R must Start)
                                                    177600800-1 5/1/13 9:57am $50.00 $51.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 907 Washington Nationals/Atlanta Braves Over 7 +102* (J Zimmermann - R must Start P Maholm - L must Start)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dollars2Donuts
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-07-13
                                                      • 8803

                                                      #1216
                                                      Adding:

                                                      177601737-1 5/1/13 10:16am $108.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 532 New York Knicks -8½ -108* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics
                                                      177601737-2 5/1/13 10:16am $102.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 533 Atlanta Hawks/Indiana Pacers Under 187½ -102*
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-07-13
                                                        • 8803

                                                        #1217
                                                        Originally posted by MonkeyMoney
                                                        May may be a better month for us!! lol D2D
                                                        Ummmm.....lol.....ok.

                                                        I was up $4600 in documented picks in April.....I will always welcome a better month than that, but come on! Lol, if $4600 profit isn't decent at my stakes....then I will never meet anyone's expectations!




                                                        D2D
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-07-13
                                                          • 8803

                                                          #1218
                                                          More square picks:

                                                          177602291-1 5/1/13 10:25am $178.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs
                                                          177602291-2 5/1/13 10:25am $215.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bawth
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-25-13
                                                            • 131

                                                            #1219
                                                            Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                            More square picks:

                                                            177602291-1 5/1/13 10:25am $178.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs
                                                            177602291-2 5/1/13 10:25am $215.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)
                                                            Only picks I am refusing to tail... I can't go against my team. Thanks for all your picks over the past few months but I hope you lose your money on these
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dollars2Donuts
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-07-13
                                                              • 8803

                                                              #1220
                                                              Originally posted by Bawth
                                                              Only picks I am refusing to tail... I can't go against my team. Thanks for all your picks over the past few months but I hope you lose your money on these
                                                              Lol, I knew I would run into some Leafs fans. I just cannot buy in to Reimer or the Leafs D....not yet anyway.

                                                              I get it though...I have Canucks season tickets....but I am certainly not betting on them.....not before I watch a game or two anyway to see what they will look like this postseason.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-07-13
                                                                • 8803

                                                                #1221
                                                                Well, looks like a 1-1 start in tennis this morning.....a good call on Tursunov was negated by Radek Stepanek not pulling his weight. I really thought Radek's maturity would win out there.

                                                                Anyway, no harm, no foul an even day so far.


                                                                D2D
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vancityswag
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                                  • 469

                                                                  #1222
                                                                  line is moving pretty heavy against your last atp pick. whats your angle?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                                    • 8803

                                                                    #1223
                                                                    Originally posted by vancityswag
                                                                    line is moving pretty heavy against your last atp pick. whats your angle?
                                                                    Line hasn't moved an inch at 5dimes.....

                                                                    Busta is the 213th ranked player in the world, ranked some 150 spots lower than Goffin. The public spots that and the line starts to move. Busta is a far superior player on clay, doesn't even really play the rest of the season on HC. His ranking will always fool people.

                                                                    Sharp money on Busta....I was hoping the public would start to move it yesterday and I waited, but it never happened. The books want the money on Goffin here....

                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SpreadSniper
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-17-09
                                                                      • 6125

                                                                      #1224
                                                                      Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                                      More square picks:

                                                                      177602291-1 5/1/13 10:25am $178.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs
                                                                      177602291-2 5/1/13 10:25am $215.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)
                                                                      Fukkk YOU DONUTS!!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vancityswag
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-03-12
                                                                        • 469

                                                                        #1225
                                                                        Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                                        Line hasn't moved an inch at 5dimes.....

                                                                        Busta is the 213th ranked player in the world, ranked some 150 spots lower than Goffin. The public spots that and the line starts to move. Busta is a far superior player on clay, doesn't even really play the rest of the season on HC. His ranking will always fool people.

                                                                        Sharp money on Busta....I was hoping the public would start to move it yesterday and I waited, but it never happened. The books want the money on Goffin here....

                                                                        GL
                                                                        busta - 1 (-107) on pinny
                                                                        Comment
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