Alright guys, so I was looking at something and wanted to know what everyone thinks of it. Would there be any sort of advantage to selling half a run on whole numbered totals in exchange for an extra 25 or so cents? Like for the Brewers/Cubs game, the total is set at O/U 7 @-115, but you can take the option to go with under 6.5 @+115, which is an extra 30 cents there, and either way, you cash with a score of 6 or less. The only thing you're giving up is that tie if the total is 7, so I guess my question is do you guys see it beneficial to take that risk and lessen the juice on these totals?
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I mean it is kind of like taking -1.5 and selling to -1.... I do it if I'm confident, if you think the Under 7 is a safe bet, why not sell the half?Comment -
play me heads up Deem.Comment -
On White Soxas well TTo, GL. Masters par 3 tourny on espn at 3pm. FYI guysComment -
Skipper across 16 is always great to watch.
Might have to throw some cash down on somebody for that while I'm studying so I can multi-task.
Sox could really use a win here.Comment -
Be wary if betting par 3 at bovada, they hangin lines on guys who not even playing: Check this out:
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sweepComment -
Stl great start! Up over 3units to start day!Comment -
I'd be more confident selling from 7.5 to 7, but if you feel really confident in only 3 or 4 runs being scored and the total 7, why not bet it? if you're not super confident but still think the total will go under 7, don't buy down. You should be able to make a little extra money buying if you are selective with itComment -
Sorry Duggly meant to address this earlier.
You'd have to find push rates for MLB totals (that may be hard to do and require some personal data collection on your part). SBR's Half point calc might help a little, but it won't be accurate enough.
Usually you cannot sell points for enough $$ for it to be worth it, but there are some times. And with your example, 3-3 games heading to extra innings are fairly common, which would fukk you hard.Comment -
Detroit up 6-1... now down 8-6..
Fuk their bullpen.. They better get the bats going again.
Cash our under in the Rays gameComment -
I'm 2-0 +5.12 units... but Detroit is going to bone me unless Cabby or Prince bails me outComment -
Hey Reemer, tell Macdummy to stop trolling the grown ups. Thanks!
Vegas odds Macdummys IQ
104 Under -120
Over EV
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2-1 +2.7 units today
Overall 15-17 -2.96 unitsComment -
Yesterday's Results:
Minnesota Twins @+133
Rays/Rangers under 9 @-105
-.05 units today
Updated Record:
24-19 (+6.34 Units)
Today's Plays:
Detroit Tigers @-127
Texas Rangers @+139 (2x)
White Sox/Nationals over 8 @-105Comment -
-2.61 total
Giants -142 1u
Giants -1.5 +115 1u
White Sox +137 2u
Next few days are about golfComment -
Yeah, bad bullpens and stud starter.Comment -
Mcdugg any particular reason you're taking the Rangers over the Mariners with Felix starting?Comment -
keep it goin .. pretty soon money will be rakin inComment -
King Felix struggled against the White Sox and only had 3 striekouts against them. Rangers offense > White Sox offense. His fastball was noticeably slower than what it has been in the past, which was also concerning. He also has an ERA of over 4 against the Rangers (I know hey don't have the same lineup but they are still dangerous). All of that, combined with the fact that their offense isn't great aside from Michael Morse (Saunders isn't in the lineup tonight, either), I saw a lot of value at that +139 line. If the line was lower, it's a totally different story.Comment -
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Yesterday's Results:
Detroit Tigers @-127
Texas Rangers @+139 (2x)
White Sox/Nationals over 8 @-105
+4.52 units today
Updated Record:
27-19 (+10.86 Units)
Today's Plays:
Cincinnati Reds @+100
Philadelphia Phillies @-119
Toronto Blue Jays @-101
Detroit Tigers @-111
Rangers/Mariners over 6.5 @-115Comment -
Mcdugger red hot
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but just took ML instead
