Packers ML +150 in SF ultimate dead money

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  • GamblerSpirit
    SBR MVP
    • 11-18-11
    • 4085

    #176
    Originally posted by t-wizzle
    It's important that they won't move off the 3. The fact that they juice Green Bay -130 while remaining at 3 indicates that SF is the play.
    So the books know the packers will lose by exactly 3 and only 3 pts? Is that what you are suggesting?
    Comment
    • psufan
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-05-11
      • 755

      #177
      Pack all the way. Harbaugh shouldn't have put Kaepernick this late in the game. I agree with Lou, if Smith was playing I would have probably considered SF. It's amazing to see a qb where he only needs 70 yards from his rb to have a likelihood of winning lol.

      All the receivers are studs on the pack side and are all healthy. Clay Matthews is back, Charles Woodson is back. Kaepernick is going to have to deal with blitzes from the db's now that Woodson can play safety.

      As horrible Webb was on the Vikings, both he and AP prepared the GB defense for a scrambling type quarterback. Even if this is honed in just one drive earlier/quicker, its more opportunity for Kaepernick to snowball the rookie that he pretty much is.
      Comment
      • slacker00
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-06-05
        • 12262

        #178
        Originally posted by psufan
        Pack all the way. Harbaugh shouldn't have put Kaepernick this late in the game. I agree with Lou, if Smith was playing I would have probably considered SF. It's amazing to see a qb where he only needs 70 yards from his rb to have a likelihood of winning lol.

        All the receivers are studs on the pack side and are all healthy. Clay Matthews is back, Charles Woodson is back. Kaepernick is going to have to deal with blitzes from the db's now that Woodson can play safety.

        As horrible Webb was on the Vikings, both he and AP prepared the GB defense for a scrambling type quarterback. Even if this is honed in just one drive earlier/quicker, its more opportunity for Kaepernick to snowball the rookie that he pretty much is.
        Harbaugh shouldn't have put in Kaepernick? He had no choice, Smith got hurt and couldn't start, Kap played better than Smith and kept the job. Harbaugh couldn't control the timing and sure wasn't gonna pull the plug on the superior QB once he realized Kaepernick is better.

        If you think Kaepernick and Webb are anything alike, you're in for a rude awakening. Kaepernick is an excellent passer that can run if needed. If anything, Kaepernick is more like Aaron Rodgers from a couple years ago when Rodgers used to scramble more. So, maybe the Packers do have some experience matching up against this kind of QB from those team practices a couple years ago.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #179
          PSU fan I think you are under estimating the
          49ers offensive line and Kaepernicks ability to throw accurate passes into tight windows.

          Kaep has been really good this year. Yeah he struggled vs a very good Rams defense and also on the road in Seattle but he has played very well at home
          Comment
          • slacker00
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-06-05
            • 12262

            #180
            Originally posted by Big Bear
            PSU fan I think you are under estimating the
            49ers offensive line and Kaepernicks ability to throw accurate passes into tight windows.

            Kaep has been really good this year. Yeah he struggled vs a very good Rams defense and also on the road in Seattle but he has played very well at home
            Good point about Kap playing well at home. I'd be more worried about a young QB on the road with the hostile noise.
            Comment
            • titanium777
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-19-12
              • 342

              #181
              Colin Kaep is 3rd in total QBR, according to ESPN. He's behind Manning and Brady, but ahead of Ryan and Rodgers; Kaepernick is no Joe Webb
              Comment
              • psufan
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-05-11
                • 755

                #182
                Never said kapernick was a Webb. You're right I haven't seen too much of his footage but have a feeling jos last few games weren't the same consistency as when he had his breakout game when smith was hurt.

                If I had to pick a starter who had no playoff experience (almost a rook) compared to Aaron Rodgers, I'll take pack anyday. Additionally, packers lost first round on the road to the Gmen after a blowout season and Rodgers seems very chill to be playing in Bay Area. Haven't seen any interviews of kapernick yet lol
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #183
                  Originally posted by psufan
                  Never said kapernick was a Webb. You're right I haven't seen too much of his footage but have a feeling jos last few games weren't the same consistency as when he had his breakout game when smith was hurt.

                  If I had to pick a starter who had no playoff experience (almost a rook) compared to Aaron Rodgers, I'll take pack anyday. Additionally, packers lost first round on the road to the Gmen after a blowout season and Rodgers seems very chill to be playing in Bay Area. Haven't seen any interviews of kapernick yet lol
                  ??? I think you mean last year's loss to the NYG 37-20 in Green Bay? Not sure what you are saying or what you mean.
                  Comment
                  • thechaoz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 12154

                    #184
                    Ninaz.. Kap out dueled breeze and Brady.. He's the real deal...
                    Comment
                    • slacker00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-05
                      • 12262

                      #185
                      If there's one NFL head coach I trust with this decision, it's Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh played NFL QB at a high level and was one play away from taking his team to the Super Bowl. Watching this vid gives me shivers.

                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #186
                        Pack backers feeling good. Gb ml has dropped a good chunk. A public road dog on a saturday night. Yeah baby.
                        Comment
                        • Speedy88
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-19-11
                          • 11717

                          #187
                          Can't wait for this game. Niners -2.5 is my favorite play this weekend.
                          Comment
                          • SEKTAUR
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-04-11
                            • 802

                            #188
                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                            PSU fan I think you are under estimating the
                            49ers offensive line and Kaepernicks ability to throw accurate passes into tight windows.

                            Kaep has been really good this year. Yeah he struggled vs a very good Rams defense and also on the road in Seattle but he has played very well at home
                            Underestimating is one word Big boy
                            Comment
                            • Hankwins
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-17-10
                              • 2232

                              #189
                              bet $50 on SF -3, then changed my mind ans bet $300 on GB, i think greenbay wins. under 45 looks good i only bet games i think will go over though. packers 28, sf 14.
                              Comment
                              • Titanup28
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-02-12
                                • 438

                                #190
                                Faded
                                Comment
                                • psufan
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-05-11
                                  • 755

                                  #191
                                  Luck was a first round draft pick who got the Colts to the playoffs (they did have kind of an easy road to it) but lost to Flacco and an aging but playing with heart defense. What makes you think Kaepernick is any more qualified to be starting a playoff game ( with very few starting experience compared to Luck) to outplay Rodgers? I highly doubt it lol.
                                  Comment
                                  • k13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-16-10
                                    • 18104

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by psufan
                                    Luck was a first round draft pick who got the Colts to the playoffs (they did have kind of an easy road to it) but lost to Flacco and an aging but playing with heart defense. What makes you think Kaepernick is any more qualified to be starting a playoff game ( with very few starting experience compared to Luck) to outplay Rodgers? I highly doubt it lol.
                                    Because Luck is horrible and plays for a horrible team.

                                    Great comparison.
                                    Comment
                                    • slacker00
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-06-05
                                      • 12262

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by psufan
                                      Luck was a first round draft pick who got the Colts to the playoffs (they did have kind of an easy road to it) but lost to Flacco and an aging but playing with heart defense. What makes you think Kaepernick is any more qualified to be starting a playoff game ( with very few starting experience compared to Luck) to outplay Rodgers? I highly doubt it lol.
                                      Kap is at home, I think that's a huge edge for a first time QB start. Also, Kap isn't a rookie.

                                      SF isn't asking him to outplay Rodgers. Gore will shoulder a large load as well as the defense, o-line, etc. That's a common misconception with the different offensive schemes and capabilities. Rodgers is asked to do a lot because they have no run game. Most teams don't have such a liability as GB does.
                                      Comment
                                      • bradnowell
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-31-10
                                        • 493

                                        #194
                                        Anyone like gore over 73.5 rushing yards
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #195
                                          I just want to know if I'm a sucker for taking Baltimore...
                                          Comment
                                          • slacker00
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-06-05
                                            • 12262

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by bradnowell
                                            Anyone like gore over 73.5 rushing yards
                                            I'm playing it. He had 112 week 1 @ GB, was over that total both playoff games last year and 8 times this year.

                                            If anything, I think they give Gore a bigger role based on how he gouged GB week 1.
                                            Comment
                                            • imadegen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-30-11
                                              • 1261

                                              #197
                                              i agree. niners roll.
                                              Comment
                                              • Ryeskernatorr
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-29-09
                                                • 432

                                                #198
                                                Today's the day Packers. Take care of business.
                                                Comment
                                                • TPowell
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                  • 18842

                                                  #199
                                                  LB is right, SF averaged around a half yard more per play on offense this year than GB and allowed around 0.75 yards less than Green Bay did per play. That said, SF is OBVIOUSLY the better team. They are also at home, so the line should be way more than 3. I would guess around 6?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94379

                                                    #200
                                                    Pack ml going back up.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • High3rEl3m3nt
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-28-10
                                                      • 8022

                                                      #201
                                                      LB, is it safe to say that you will refrain from making statements that you won't honor if you lose? No one forces you to make outlandish statements.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #202
                                                        Lmao. Gb stinks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GunShard
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-05-10
                                                          • 10032

                                                          #203
                                                          Easy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MidgetTossers
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-06-09
                                                            • 13376

                                                            #204
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChiLLx
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-24-11
                                                              • 5412

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                              Lmao. Gb stinks.
                                                              Another winner. Pack dominated and squares buried
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ROFLcopter
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-16-10
                                                                • 4446

                                                                #206
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Speedy88
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-19-11
                                                                  • 11717

                                                                  #207
                                                                  The Pack are like a slightly better version of this years Saints. Both teams suck at all facets of the game except for throwing the football. Both Brees and Rodgers cover up all the glaring weaknesses on their teams.

                                                                  Name one fact of the game outside of throwing the ball that the Packers do well. They can't even kick FG's right lol.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ernie Mccracken
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-11-11
                                                                    • 1986

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                                    Name one fact of the game outside of throwing the ball that the Packers do well.

                                                                    They lead the league in discount double check dances.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ChiLLx
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-24-11
                                                                      • 5412

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Packers squarest team in all of American sports. Most bandwagoners and clueless idiot fans. Love when they get buried.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ThaTopMoron
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 04-30-10
                                                                        • 27020

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Nice call LB
                                                                        Comment
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