Packers ML +150 in SF ultimate dead money

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  • blankoblanco
    SBR MVP
    • 11-18-11
    • 3504

    #36
    Don't overthink this. Kaeprnick is a talented guy with a lot of potential, but he's inexperienced. Once in a while QBs without experience break through and play great the first time they taste the playoffs, but usually they don't. Also, Packers are capable of being a different team when it really matters. I'll take my chances with Rodgers +3 points here
    Comment
    • freakydave
      SBR MVP
      • 02-23-11
      • 1106

      #37
      GB ML & sea will be the 2 road teams to win this weekend
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #38
        You say the books are begging for GB money -- what did you expect the line to be?
        Comment
        • Mr Handicapable
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-23-07
          • 6067

          #39
          It won't stay GB +150 for long imo.....thats saying SF wins 70% of the time. GTFOOH
          Comment
          • Deol
            SBR MVP
            • 09-01-11
            • 1340

            #40
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Its played out now. I was wrong.
            You posting as if you can actually successfully cap the NFL is more played out. 50x = $50, why be embarrased about it?
            Comment
            • k13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-16-10
              • 18104

              #41
              Green Bay
              San Francisco

              $49,105
              $383,438

              $81
              $698

              Can't really take it seriously can you?
              Comment
              • Mr Handicapable
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-23-07
                • 6067

                #42
                LB is a one trick pony.....posts pictures of Nazis for contrarian/shock value purposes....so of course EVERY pick he makes fades the public because he's a "edgey" guy.
                Comment
                • freakydave
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-23-11
                  • 1106

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
                  LB is a one trick pony.....posts pictures of Nazis for contrarian/shock value purposes....so of course EVERY pick he makes fades the public because he's a "edgey" guy.
                  He's not fading the public with this one.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #44
                    Originally posted by no coincidences
                    you say the books are begging for gb money -- what did you expect the line to be?


                    sf -1.
                    Comment
                    • Mr Handicapable
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-23-07
                      • 6067

                      #45
                      Originally posted by freakydave
                      He's not fading the public with this one.
                      He will be...well well b4 gametime. I haven't checked GBs injuries though....if somebody big is out then obv that could change things
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Deol
                        You posting as if you can actually successfully cap the NFL is more played out. 50x = $50, why be embarrased about it?


                        Seriously dude give it a rest. GO back and check the playoffs every year since i have been here. Absolute destruction.





















                        Go ahead and fade. See how it works out.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #47
                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                          sf -1.
                          No way they'd put the line at -1 given SF beat the shit out of the Pack at Lambeau earlier in the season with a guy who is now technically their back-up QB.
                          Comment
                          • freakydave
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-23-11
                            • 1106

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
                            He will be...well well b4 gametime. I haven't checked GBs injuries though....if somebody big is out then obv that could change things
                            The good news is when he backs a favorite it usually loses outright.
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #49
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              No way they'd put the line at -1 given SF beat the shit out of the Pack at Lambeau earlier in the season with a guy who is now technically their back-up QB.


                              Dude the books know GB is the one of the largest public teams out there. Public dont remember about the first game of the year. They only think Rodgers is god. Books very confident putting out the 3. I believe pinny even opened up -3.5. That # will cover. This isnt going to push at -3.
                              Comment
                              • freakydave
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-23-11
                                • 1106

                                #50
                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                Dude the books know GB is the one of the largest public teams out there. Public dont remember about the first game of the year. They only think Rodgers is god. Books very confident putting out the 3. I believe Pinny even opened up -3.5. That # will cover. This isnt going to push at -3.
                                Yeah because your ability to objectively cap any game the Packers are in is LEGENDARY at least in own mind.
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by freakydave
                                  Yeah because your ability to objectively cap any game the Packers are in is LEGENDARY at least in own mind.

                                  I just picked GB to beat the bears a few weeks ago. Im sure you are very objective on this topic. Lets see how you feel after this game is over.
                                  Comment
                                  • meader99
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-30-10
                                    • 4223

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Speedy88
                                    Completely agree with you. I really like the Niners here. I still don't think this Packer team is close to what they were a couple years ago when they won the SB. The only thing they do exceptionally well is throw the ball. They can't even kick FG's right. Aaron Rodgers covers up a lot of their weaknesses, but the Niners should expose them, especially at Candlestick.
                                    Don't think Candlestick makes a lick of difference. I actually give Green Bay a better chance at winning there then I would if Green Bay were hosting this game.
                                    Comment
                                    • thetrinity
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-25-11
                                      • 22432

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by k13
                                      Line stays -3 or higher, Niners play.
                                      Anything below, Packers ml play.

                                      Keep it simple.
                                      pretty much.
                                      Comment
                                      • Fishgold
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-19-12
                                        • 107

                                        #54
                                        niners 6-1-1 at home tough game for Gb

                                        niners 24-20
                                        Comment
                                        • ChiLLx
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-24-11
                                          • 5412

                                          #55
                                          SF probably wins but this is far from the "easiest" bet of the season. Ravens or Packers just were the easiest.
                                          Comment
                                          • vyomguy
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-08-09
                                            • 5794

                                            #56
                                            defense wins games in post season...and green bay cant defend shit....people are looking too much into last weeks game when vikings didnt have ponder....vikings beat packers at home easily when ponder played. 49ers are a way better team than vikings at home.

                                            trust me...kapernick will put up points against green bay defense...what matters is if the defense will show up....if justin smith plays, I think 49ers win easy.
                                            Comment
                                            • ngates815
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-01-09
                                              • 13845

                                              #57



                                              Have you really won every Playoff game you've posted here on SBR?
                                              Jesus Christ, you are amazing!
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                defense wins games in post season...and green bay cant defend shit....people are looking too much into last weeks game when vikings didnt have ponder....vikings beat packers at home easily when ponder played. 49ers are a way better team than vikings at home.

                                                trust me...kapernick will put up points against green bay defense...what matters is if the defense will show up....if justin smith plays, I think 49ers win easy.
                                                Big if at this point, and yes, it will be a deciding factor in the game. So I don't know how anyone can make an accurate prediction given we don't have all the facts yet.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDeem5
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-26-11
                                                  • 17191

                                                  #59
                                                  GB is the play.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Big Bear
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                    • 43253

                                                    #60
                                                    this is a bad matchup for Green Bay...

                                                    however out of all the NFC teams Green Bay probably has the best chance to beat New England or Denver in the super bowl
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr Handicapable
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-23-07
                                                      • 6067

                                                      #61
                                                      The only SF receiver that could start for GB would be Vernon Davis. They don't beat the Saints without him last year or even stay close to the Giants in the NFC Champ. Prob is for 49er fans....CK doesn't know who he is....4 catches in their last 4 games. No explosiveness = too many field goals = Rodgers isn't getting beat by FGs
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
                                                        The only SF receiver that could start for GB would be Vernon Davis. They don't beat the Saints without him last year or even stay close to the Giants in the NFC Champ. Prob is for 49er fans....CK doesn't know who he is....4 catches in their last 4 games. No explosiveness = too many field goals = Rodgers isn't getting beat by FGs
                                                        Yeah no doubt the Packers have the best passing game in the NFL.

                                                        They also matchup well with pass happy teams due to a good pass rush and strong secondary play that generates turnovers....

                                                        BUT Frank Gore may have his way like adrian peterson did a few weeks ago.

                                                        and Green Bay may not be able to protect Rodgers agaist SF's pass rush.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDeem5
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-26-11
                                                          • 17191

                                                          #63
                                                          Justin smith being injured may/will save GB. He will NOT be effective. GB needs to chip/double Aldon smith. With that being said, Rodgers can torch this secondary. They are physical, but not the best pass defensive minded.

                                                          San Fran will have trouble airing it out to Crabtree, so they will run Gore a lot. GB improved only allowing AP 99 yards last week. They will hold Gore under 100 and win this game by 6-10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr Handicapable
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-23-07
                                                            • 6067

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            Yeah no doubt the Packers have the best passing game in the NFL.

                                                            They also matchup well with pass happy teams due to a good pass rush and strong secondary play that generates turnovers....

                                                            BUT Frank Gore may have his way like adrian peterson did a few weeks ago.

                                                            and Green Bay may not be able to protect Rodgers agaist SF's pass rush.

                                                            Frank Gore ain't AP or anything close.......now Kaep is the wildcard and the big play guy that Alex Smith isn't.
                                                            Its also his 1st playoff game and he doesn't have chemistry with their best weapon. I'm not discounting SFs rush....they'll prob get atleast 4-5 sacks and they tackle extremely well so I doubt GB gets too many big plays off quick dumpoffs like they do against most teams. I just see GB winning the turnover battle with their ball hawks on D and Rodgers being so careful w/the ball. If it comes down to AR vs CK like I think it should then +150 all day.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • freakydave
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-23-11
                                                              • 1106

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                                              Justin smith being injured may/will save GB. He will NOT be effective. GB needs to chip/double Aldon smith. With that being said, Rodgers can torch this secondary. They are physical, but not the best pass defensive minded.

                                                              San Fran will have trouble airing it out to Crabtree, so they will run Gore a lot. GB improved only allowing AP 99 yards last week. They will hold Gore under 100 and win this game by 6-10
                                                              I like your confidence.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vyomguy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-08-09
                                                                • 5794

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
                                                                The only SF receiver that could start for GB would be Vernon Davis. They don't beat the Saints without him last year or even stay close to the Giants in the NFC Champ. Prob is for 49er fans....CK doesn't know who he is....4 catches in their last 4 games. No explosiveness = too many field goals = Rodgers isn't getting beat by FGs
                                                                you are abviously clueless....running is huge part of 49ers offense...packers cant stop gore.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • freakydave
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-23-11
                                                                  • 1106

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                  I just picked GB to beat the bears a few weeks ago. Im sure you are very objective on this topic. Lets see how you feel after this game is over.
                                                                  Who didn't bet GB in that game ? I am not in here saying SF ml is dead money you on the other hand have been underestimating GB for the majority of the season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • freakydave
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-23-11
                                                                    • 1106

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                                    you are abviously clueless....running is huge part of 49ers offense...packers cant stop gore.
                                                                    Gore racked up 112 yds vs GB in week 1 I'd be surprised if he reaches a 100 this time.Even if he does they(SF) may not win
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bfour
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-14-08
                                                                      • 690

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I'm gonna be in the building for this game. If your bet is in trouble I'll run on the field for ya LB.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tatddy
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-02-10
                                                                        • 10779

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Hope you're right. Niners limping into this game
                                                                        Comment
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