Ferrer +125 against Del Potro in London

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #36
    Originally posted by vyomguy
    the line says it all

    enough said

    del potro wins this one
    This is tennis, chief, not NFL. The way lines are set and line movement means absolutely nothing in this sport. You should know that if you have watched and bet tennis for as long as you say you have.

    "Line says it all" doesn't apply to this sport, No Coincidences JR.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #37
      Originally posted by PharaohUB
      I wasn't responding to you. I am on Ferrer. Just everywhere I read people talking about fatigue and wanted to comment on it. I don't care if he's the fittest man in the world. 90% of the players on tour wouldn't be bothered by playing two sets a day for a year straight. So to make that your deciding factor is crazy especially with Ferrer. If Del Potro wins it's because he was the better player. Ferrer is in fine shape, and wants to win. Putting money on Del Potro on the basis you think Ferrer is going to lay over was stupid. If you think he's the better player then fine.
      agreed, good post.
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • PharaohUB
        SBR MVP
        • 01-23-07
        • 4865

        #38
        Originally posted by vyomguy
        Then please explain why ferrer is the dog here???

        - higher ranked player
        - great form winning 2 straight tourneys
        - better h2h stats against potro

        All things point to ferrer victory and yet he is the underdog....all the squares are pounding ferrer thinking its a early christmas gift

        Potro is losing first set right now...but I am telling you...he will come back to win this match.
        Most tipping websites are on Potro. Books aren't interested in picking a winner. They are interested in balancing the action as best they can. Ferrer was the dog because more money was on Potro. It's pretty simple. Ferrer didn't really beat anyone in the last tourny. Squares arent "all over" Ferrer. And where the money goes only wins half the time. or else books would be out of business.

        If Del Potro comes back and wins it has nothing to do with the line, or that Ferrer is tired, or that there is some conspiracy going on. It's because when you gamble their tends to be a fairly accurate chance of winning either side of the best based on what you play. if gambling were easy there wouldn't be millions of forums out there trying to find an edge.

        Del Potro could win. Ferrer could win. That's why we gamble.

        My only point was the fatigue angle was silly.
        Comment
        • vyomguy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-08-09
          • 5794

          #39
          Originally posted by Goat Milk
          This is tennis, chief, not NFL. The way lines are set and line movement means absolutely nothing in this sport. You should know that if you have watched and bet tennis for as long as you say you have.

          "Line says it all" doesn't apply to this sport, No Coincidences JR.
          LOL...go check Tennis Insights...I am one of the top earners over there.
          Comment
          • Hangoverblack
            SBR MVP
            • 01-27-12
            • 1900

            #40
            Big problem with DelPo's first serve. He is getting his ass handed to him.

            Typical Tuesday Tennis Tit Twisting.
            Comment
            • Luckycharms2012
              SBR MVP
              • 10-07-12
              • 2422

              #41
              Blindly following, hoping this Ferrer guy can pull it out...
              Comment
              • vyomguy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-08-09
                • 5794

                #42
                Originally posted by PharaohUB
                Most tipping websites are on Potro. Books aren't interested in picking a winner. They are interested in balancing the action as best they can. Ferrer was the dog because more money was on Potro. It's pretty simple. Ferrer didn't really beat anyone in the last tourny. Squares arent "all over" Ferrer. And where the money goes only wins half the time. or else books would be out of business.

                If Del Potro comes back and wins it has nothing to do with the line, or that Ferrer is tired, or that there is some conspiracy going on. It's because when you gamble their tends to be a fairly accurate chance of winning either side of the best based on what you play. if gambling were easy there wouldn't be millions of forums out there trying to find an edge.

                Del Potro could win. Ferrer could win. That's why we gamble.

                My only point was the fatigue angle was silly.
                You are clueless if you think books have gotten even action at -140 for potro. Everyone I know and talked to have taken ferrer. I am pretty sure 80% of the bets have been on ferrer. And the books set the line knowing this will happen.
                Comment
                • Goat Milk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 25850

                  #43
                  Originally posted by vyomguy
                  LOL...go check Tennis Insights...I am one of the top earners over there.
                  k. so going by your same logic, I'm assuming you're taking Murray to beat Djokovic considering he's only getting a +115 line and Djokovic probably hasn't been less than -175 against Murray in over 5 years.
                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                  Comment
                  • PharaohUB
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-23-07
                    • 4865

                    #44
                    Originally posted by vyomguy
                    You are clueless if you think books have gotten even action at -140 for potro. Everyone I know and talked to have taken ferrer. I am pretty sure 80% of the bets have been on ferrer. And the books set the line knowing this will happen.
                    Yes I'm the clueless one. If they were taking unbalanced action monetarily speaking the line would have moved. I still don't understand why people believe that books are out to pick a side and get unbalanced action. Books don't exist to gamble. They don't need to. They have juice. It's a complete gamblers fallacy. until you realize this you will never win at gambling. Pick the better player in the best form in correct situation. Forget about all the other bullshit. Just because all your friends were putting their 50 dollar bets down on Ferrer, doesn't mean that there wasn't a few other people out there with deeper pockets balancing the action.
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #45
                      Originally posted by PharaohUB
                      Yes I'm the clueless one. If they were taking unbalanced action monetarily speaking the line would have moved. I still don't understand why people believe that books are out to pick a side and get unbalanced action. Books don't exist to gamble. They don't need to. They have juice. It's a complete gamblers fallacy. until you realize this you will never win at gambling. Pick the better player in the best form in correct situation. Forget about all the other bullshit. Just because all your friends were putting their 50 dollar bets down on Ferrer, doesn't mean that there wasn't a few other people out there with deeper pockets balancing the action.
                      Vyguy knows this. But yeah 90% of sbr does not. They think books are always setting a line a certain way because they have an interest/lean on that side. Books don't gamble on probably 95-99% of games. Like you said, they don't need to in order to win. Once in a while they'll gamble on games. Some of the rookies think RLM means books are betting on that game. No.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • Cuse0323
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 30169

                        #46
                        DelPo with the break, far from over.
                        Comment
                        • Trigger7672
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-24-12
                          • 103

                          #47
                          Del Po has really settled in here in the 2nd set.
                          Comment
                          • Luckycharms2012
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-07-12
                            • 2422

                            #48
                            Figures...
                            Comment
                            • vyomguy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-08-09
                              • 5794

                              #49
                              I told all of you after potro lost 1st set.... he will come back and win this

                              Guess what...he is up 4-1 in 2nd set

                              Pounded potro ml after 1st set
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #50
                                Originally posted by vyomguy
                                I told all of you after potro lost 1st set.... he will come back and win this

                                Guess what...he is up 4-1 in 2nd set

                                Pounded potro ml after 1st set

                                dude dont jinx this for me please
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by vyomguy
                                  I told all of you after potro lost 1st set.... he will come back and win this

                                  Guess what...he is up 4-1 in 2nd set

                                  Pounded potro ml after 1st set
                                  Not smart imo. I'm comfy with my ferrer bet. Del Potro is taking some big big swings to even compete here and he's bound to make some errors with the style he's starting to play these last couple games.
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • Trigger7672
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-24-12
                                    • 103

                                    #52
                                    Well Ferrer's fitness will definitely be put to the test here in the 3rd set because he has been running all over the court in this match.
                                    Comment
                                    • Hangoverblack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-27-12
                                      • 1900

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by matt1216
                                      dude dont jinx this for me please
                                      I hear that.

                                      Dont worry, Delpo has no chance. On this slow court with that first serve, he is a dead man walking. Sorry bro, our Delpo tickets are fire starters.
                                      Comment
                                      • MrGambler
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-04-10
                                        • 973

                                        #54
                                        Ferrer win. End of discussion. Thank me later!
                                        Comment
                                        • MrGambler
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-04-10
                                          • 973

                                          #55
                                          Yeeeeeeeeeeeees ferrer break 2-0. Vaaaamooos
                                          Comment
                                          • riffraff24
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-20-11
                                            • 7234

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by vyomguy
                                            I told all of you after potro lost 1st set.... he will come back and win this

                                            Guess what...he is up 4-1 in 2nd set

                                            Pounded potro ml after 1st set

                                            People always gotta open their mouths when they get excited far before its over. ughh
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #57
                                              fck me, Delpo folding like a Hobo's tent
                                              Comment
                                              • MrGambler
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-04-10
                                                • 973

                                                #58
                                                what a point to 4-1...Ferrer is an amazing player....
                                                Comment
                                                • Trigger7672
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-24-12
                                                  • 103

                                                  #59
                                                  DelPo is really battling but I think he is tired after that last game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hangoverblack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-27-12
                                                    • 1900

                                                    #60
                                                    Yup, it's over. Nice call Goat ET al. Those small ++ odds in tennis are winners so often it begets the question why not just play them blindly for a month and see what results pan out. Delpo has one last shot this game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • riffraff24
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-20-11
                                                      • 7234

                                                      #61
                                                      Lets gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo ooooooooooooooooooooooooo del porno!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrGambler
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-04-10
                                                        • 973

                                                        #62
                                                        Oh my fck god....its not real...ferrer what the fck!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Goat Milk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 25850

                                                          #63
                                                          chill out guys the match is not over
                                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Trigger7672
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 08-24-12
                                                            • 103

                                                            #64
                                                            Wow Ferrer is going to blow this.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #65
                                                              LoL. Everyone countin' their money already and it's not even close to over.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hangoverblack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-27-12
                                                                • 1900

                                                                #66
                                                                That's all I got guys. The rest is up to DelPotro...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CanuckG
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-23-10
                                                                  • 21978

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                                  I told all of you after potro lost 1st set.... he will come back and win this

                                                                  Guess what...he is up 4-1 in 2nd set

                                                                  Pounded potro ml after 1st set
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MrGambler
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-04-10
                                                                    • 973

                                                                    #68
                                                                    this kind of turn arounds make me wanna puke....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mikail
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-19-09
                                                                      • 21689

                                                                      #69
                                                                      No worries Ferrer backers. Ferrer will prevail.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vyomguy
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-08-09
                                                                        • 5794

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by riffraff24
                                                                        People always gotta open their mouths when they get excited far before its over. ughh
                                                                        Originally posted by matt1216
                                                                        dude dont jinx this for me please

                                                                        What are you guys??...some 10 year kids with this jinx shit???

                                                                        if you believe in some "jinx"..stop gambling and go home...jesus christ man...what is wrong with you guys.
                                                                        Comment
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