Originally posted on 10/11/2021:
ok so using dratings 50ish-vs-40ish for the matchups, then broke the games down taking bias in predictive ratings using teamrankings #'s, double checked all the basic #'s using statfox came up with this..
Appalachian state/32-vs-67
Michigan state/21-vs-52
Rutgers/57-vs-89
Nebraska/19-vs-45
Pittsburgh/13-vs-53
totals only 2 caught my eye from the simple model
Clemson/Syracuse/over-44.5/model=50
sd st/sj st/over-41/model=47