Pixster's Plays

[pixster]

IND @ ARI (2nd Half): IND -0.5, 1 Unit
Guessed wrong w/ the 1st Half; Colts still stuck in a pattern. See if Arians will continue pouring it on, or soften up on his ol' team.

[thorny]

thoughts on GB v DET and Raiders v Cowboys?

[VenomLugz]

should take lions and cowboys

[pixster]

GB @ DET (2nd Half): DET -5, 2 Units
GB @ DET: (nd Half): U 24.5, 1.5 Units

DET is dominating the stat board. I don’t think the Flynn-led Pack will be able to keep up. Nor does it seem like Detroit will chance their lead on risky play in the 2nd half....no need to.

[pixster]

GB @ DET (2nd Half): DET -5, 2 Units W
GB @ DET: (2nd Half): U 24.5, 1.5 Units W

[pixster]

OAK @ DAL: OAK +10.5, 2 Units
OAK @ DAL: U 50, 2.5 Units

Overall, DAL ranks 31st against the pass and 30th against the run. So, can the anemic Cowboy’s d be counted on from keeping Oakland from handing them an upset? Can Romo and brethren get that sure victory on a short week after a toughing it out in New York?

OAK’s passing stats aren’t impressive for sure, but they have a top 5 rushing attack and a top 10 rushing defense. Rookie OAK QB backup MCGloin (who?) “will make a third straight start, having thrown four TDs and one INT in two games” since Terrelle Pryor got injured a few weeks ago. Not bad, so what do the Raiders have to lose?

It’ll be Air Romo vs. Oakland Ground. Vegas ats betting trend has this almost even. On the O/U, seems Joe Public is mostly all over the Over. I’m betting this game’s gonna more competitive than the earlier turkey (GB/DET).

[Noleafclover]

Wtf, did they hang 10.5 just before the game? Looked a couple hours ago and it was 9. Would have loved 10.5...

[pixster]

OAK @ DAL (2nd Half): OAK +10, 1 Unit (B'Online)

[pixster]

PIT @ BAL: PIT +3, 2 Units
PIT @ BAL: U 41, 1 Unit

Game will probably be decided by 3 pts. So what fun is it goin' w/ BAL. Plus, Steelers have some momentum. That simple.

[Click_Clack]

1-1-13

Any plays today pix

[pixster]

NE @ HOU (2nd Half): NE -7, 1 Unit
NE @ HOU (2nd Half): U 24.5, 1.5 Units
to get the day started (late)
more pix to come

[pixster]

ATL @ BUF: BUF -4, 2 Units
Bills getting some key players back on offense. Falcons on a downward spiral.

STL @ SF: STL +9, 2 Units
When these two teams met earlier in St. Louis, it was all 9ers. 2nd time around, division rivals usually don't get blown out like that again. Plus, the Rams have been playing decent ball lately.

Also worrisome, Kap's passing stats rank at the bootom of the heap.

[pixster]

ATL @ BUF: U 48.5, 1 Unit
Based on last three games of offense, respectively

[pixster]

DEN @ KC: KC +6, 2 Units
DEN @ KC: U 51, 1 Unit

Again, rivalry games don't wind up blowouts two times w/in the season (most of the time) especially between good teams. For KC to keep it close, they'll have to limit the Broncos as much as possible.

[pixster]

Bad beats, looks like. I'll try this, then

NYG @ WAS: WAS +1, 3 Units
NYG @ WAS: O 45, 2.5 Units

[thorny]

Bad beats, looks like. I'll try this, then

NYG @ WAS: WAS +1, 3 Units
NYG @ WAS: O 45, 2.5 Units

oh man, i'm on the total opposite. NY -1 & U 45

[pixster]

NYG @ WAS (2nd half): WAS pk, 2 Units

[pixster]

NO @ SEA (1st Half): SEA -3, 1 Unit
NO @ SEA (1st half): 0 24, 1.5 Units
NO @ SEA: NO +7, 3.5 Units

NO has not lost a game by more than 7 pts all season.
Yeah, SEA at home plays exceptionally well, but the Saints aren't an ordinary team. While I do believe the 'Hawks will be coming out of the gate lit up, I have to believe New Orleans won't do down fighting when its all said and done. This game is the stuff of last minute heroics, meaning a one score final margin. Will revisit this at half time for some 2nd half action, possibly.

[pixster]

NO @ SEA (2nd Half): NO +0.5, 1.5 Units
NO @ SEA (2nd Half): 0 23, 0.5 Units

[pixster]

HOU @ JAX (1st Half): O 21, 1 Unit
HOU @ JAX : HOU -3, 2 Units
…based on recent showings against other opponents. Much has been made of the low scoring JAX/HOU game a few weeks ago, but I gotta believe each club is more loose now that any hopes of a playoff run have faded. HOU pass d ranks 2nd in the league, but that stat is more representative of the first half of the season than the last several weeks. The Jags have a little momentum goin’, but the predictives say HOU by 6.

[pixster]

HOU @ JAX (2nd Half): U 21.5, 1.5 Units
HOU @ JAX (2nd Half): HOU -3, 2.5 Units

[pixster]

IND @ CIN: U 43, 3.5 Units

ESPN…“All week, meteorologists have predicted harrowing conditions for the weekend that include anything from ice, freezing rain, sleet and snow. Any and all of it is scheduled to hit downtown Cincinnati around noon, one hour before kickoff. Fortunately for players on both teams, the Bengals play on forgiving field turf and shouldn't have the difficulty with footing as if they were playing on grass. Still, with a potentially slick, tough-to-throw ball, the elements won't be favorable and could cause both teams to reject the pass in an effort to move the ball on the ground.”

NOAA…"Snow and sleet before 2pm, then rain. High near 33. East wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of around an inch possible."

Key Game Stat…Bengals stout defense ranks in the top 5 keeping opponents to a game avg of 18 pts (season), 16.7 pts (last three games), and 10 pts (last game), 15 pts (home).

[pixster]

KC @ WAS: U 44, 2.5 Units
Vegasinsider…
Best Road Under (teams) – New Orleans (5-1), Kansas City (4-1)
Best Under (teams) – Carolina (8-3-1), Kansas City (8-4), New Orleans (8-4)

NOAA…
Snow before 1pm, then freezing rain and sleet between 1pm and 4pm, then freezing rain after 4pm. High near 32. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Key Pre-Game Stat
Despite KC's recent 3-game d-lapse, its probably not a good idea to give up on them just yet. After all, they did play DEN twice during that stretch. Chief's chief Reid knows the Redskins well from his days in the NFC East, so gotta figure he's planning accordingly.

[pixster]

MIN @ BAL: MIN +6, 1.5 Units
When your Kicker has “been responsible for 29 of his team's 41 points over the last two games,” it means there’s a touchdown deficiency. Don’t know if it’s gonna get any better for the Ravens on gameday, as there’s icy wintry conditions forecast for the area. BAL has scored over 22 pts only three times this season - in DEN (in Sept), HOU (lowly) and in MIA (tropics).

The Ravens seasonal avg @ home is 20.3 pts. MIN’s away avg is 23.4 pts. Weather conditions are not expected to be ideal, which probably means a low scoring ground game.

[pixster]

Plus these other early games...

CLE @ NE (1st Half): CLE +7, 1 Unit
DET @ PHI: U 54, 2 Units

[pixster]

OAK @ NYJ (1st Half): NYJ -1.5, 1.5 Units
OAK @ NYJ: NYJ - 3, 1.5 Units

NYJ is 4 - 1 at home
OAK is 1 - 5 in away games
OAK tvl'ing to morning East Coast game
OAK inactives (both starting RB's)

?Geno Smith?

[pixster]

CLE @ NE (2nd Half): U 23.5, 1.5 Units
KC @ WAS (2nd Half) O 20.5, 1 Unit

[pixster]

STL @ ARZ (1st half): ARZ -3, 1.5 Units
STL @ ARZ: ARZ -4, 1 Unit

Some late money on STL sends this to 3. Is it a legit move given Palmer's injury? He is active, thus for me 3 is to good to pass up especially w/ Clemens at the Rams' helm .

[pixster]

SEA @ SF: 0 41, 2 Units

Thinkin' the 9ers are gonna try to put forth a big offensive showing w/ the 'Hawks keeping pace. Close game probably gonna be decided by 3?

[thorny]

pix, thoughts on the panthers v saints game? I'm thinking Saints -3?

[pixster]

CAR @ NO: CAR +3.5, 2 Units
CAR @ NO: U 47.5, 1.5 Units

Will NO put the brakes on CAR? Or will CAR continue on their drive into the playoffs byway of the Mercedes Dome? The Panthers have shown they are contenders, and have the momentum to play the Saints pt for pt. Defense wins.

[pixster]

DAL @ CHI (1st half): O 24, 2 Units
Poor defenses on both sides (DAL/pass d, CHI run d)

[pixster]

SD @ DEN (1st half): SD + 6.5, 1.5 Units
SD @ DEN: U 57, 2.5 Units

Only 3 of 13 DEN games have gone under 56. One of those games was against SD. Only 3 of 13 SD games have gone over 56.

Thinkin’ the Chargers learned a thing or two more about the Broncos after their first match-up about a month ago. Will it prevent DEN from going on a tear in the 2nd half like they’re capable of? Probably not, even w/ Wes Welker likely out. Still, I’m sure the Chargers game plan is to score early and try winning the time of possession battle, as in keeping the ball out of Manning’s hands.

Betting Trends… Joe Public giving the edge to DEN, moreso on the Over/Under (90% - 10%, respectively).
So I guess it’s a foregone conclusion where Peyton’s Place is gonna be on TNF?

[pixster]

there's one...

SD @ DEN (1st half): SD + 6.5, 1.5 Units W

Games within a game
1) Chargers winning time of possession
2) " scoring early
Bonus) " defense in Manning-taming mode

Only a mile high meltdown will this one get out of hand quick. Which will it be, compadres?

[thorny]

I'm leaning towards Broncos - 7 2nd half...