***Donkwin47's 2011 FOOTBALL Season Thread***

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  • Donkwin47
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-10
    • 2851

    #106
    Preseason Plays:

    29-11 +$2,546

    Leans: 12-6-1
    Comment
    • Donkwin47
      SBR MVP
      • 03-12-10
      • 2851

      #107
      NFL Preseason Sunday, August 28th:

      1.5* New Orleans 1H ML -200


      Was gonna play it at -185, just took too long. Hopefully we just win and it won't matter. Best of luck, as always!
      Comment
      • Donkwin47
        SBR MVP
        • 03-12-10
        • 2851

        #108
        Originally posted by Donkwin47
        NFL Preseason Sunday, August 28th:

        1.5* New Orleans 1H ML -200 WIN
        1-0 +$150. Yup, line move didn't matter.
        Comment
        • Donkwin47
          SBR MVP
          • 03-12-10
          • 2851

          #109
          Preseason Plays:

          30-11 +$2,696

          Leans: 12-6-1
          Comment
          • odog11
            SBR MVP
            • 02-14-11
            • 3874

            #110
            Week 1 plays: 2 made and 3 under consideration. Thoughts?

            Two played(in addtion to Patriots when it was -4.5) I feel good about these, two teams that look solid, and watch for that Detroit line to move(already has some places), I think the hype on Tampa is overblown.

            Pitt +3

            Detroit +3

            Three I am considering:

            Bills +7
            Chiefs look awful.

            Skins + 3.5
            Skins look good and lots of injuries for Giants, plus Manning not "elite."

            NY Jets -4 1/2
            Jets will be ready, Dallas, who knows and overated/hyped.

            Anyone have any thoughts or concerns about these plays?
            Comment
            • SteelerNation704
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-05-10
              • 107

              #111
              Steelers/Ravens always a field goal game. Good value at +3 on Pittsburgh.
              Comment
              • doin
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-27-09
                • 457

                #112
                thank you for the action Donk. looking mighty fine!
                Comment
                • Donkwin47
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-12-10
                  • 2851

                  #113
                  NFL Preseason Monday, August 29th:

                  2* Jets TT Under 19
                  1* Giants +3.5 (-122)
                  0.5* Giants 1H +3 (-120)
                  0.5* Giants 1Q +0.5 (-145)

                  BOL, as always.
                  Comment
                  • Donkwin47
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-12-10
                    • 2851

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Donkwin47
                    NFL Preseason Monday, August 29th:

                    2* Jets TT Under 19 WIN
                    1* Giants +3.5 (-122) LOSS
                    0.5* Giants 1H +3 (-120) LOSS
                    0.5* Giants 1Q +0.5 (-145) WIN
                    2-2. +$68. Damn that last drive before half. Oh well. Another profitable night. Better than a losing night..
                    Comment
                    • Donkwin47
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-12-10
                      • 2851

                      #115
                      Preseason Plays:

                      32-13 +$2,764

                      Leans: 12-6-1
                      Comment
                      • Donkwin47
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-12-10
                        • 2851

                        #116
                        Originally posted by odog11
                        Two played(in addtion to Patriots when it was -4.5) I feel good about these, two teams that look solid, and watch for that Detroit line to move(already has some places), I think the hype on Tampa is overblown.

                        Pitt +3

                        Detroit +3

                        Three I am considering:

                        Bills +7
                        Chiefs look awful.

                        Skins + 3.5
                        Skins look good and lots of injuries for Giants, plus Manning not "elite."

                        NY Jets -4 1/2
                        Jets will be ready, Dallas, who knows and overated/hyped.

                        Anyone have any thoughts or concerns about these plays?

                        Hey, Odog, sorry for the delay in the response.. I haven't looked much into the games and will make them closer to game day (or on game day) so I have no real insight yet.

                        The Ravens/Pitt game looks like one of those coinflip games on the surface. I'll have to look deeper into that one.

                        I think the Lions have made some nice strides in recent years and are really turning it around. Not quite there yet, but getting there. They should have some value this year.

                        Chiefs look awful, but they're not as bad as they've played this preseason. Bills defense might be able to surprise but their offense sucks. GL with that one.

                        Skins are always tough at home, especially in a divisional rivalry game. Eli doesn't hold a candle to his brother, but they have a great run game and solid defense. -3.5 is a strong number and taking +3.5 is easier to take. I like to lay -3.5 with confidence as that number has been strong ATS.

                        Jets look like a solid bet.

                        Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #117
                          Originally posted by Donkwin47
                          Hey, Odog, sorry for the delay in the response.. I haven't looked much into the games and will make them closer to game day (or on game day) so I have no real insight yet. The Ravens/Pitt game looks like one of those coinflip games on the surface. I'll have to look deeper into that one. I think the Lions have made some nice strides in recent years and are really turning it around. Not quite there yet, but getting there. They should have some value this year. Chiefs look awful, but they're not as bad as they've played this preseason. Bills defense might be able to surprise but their offense sucks. GL with that one. Skins are always tough at home, especially in a divisional rivalry game. Eli doesn't hold a candle to his brother, but they have a great run game and solid defense. -3.5 is a strong number and taking +3.5 is easier to take. I like to lay -3.5 with confidence as that number has been strong ATS. Jets look like a solid bet. Good luck.
                          Thanks for the feedback, the Bills offense is not great, but I just see that one being low scoring and getting 7 points against the Chiefs right now is hard to pass up. I like Detroit a lot, Stafford looked against the Pats.
                          Comment
                          • Donkwin47
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-10
                            • 2851

                            #118
                            NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:

                            3* Titans +3.5 (-128)
                            2* Titans TT Over 17
                            1* Patriots -7 (-125)

                            Put the Titans in this morning, was gonna play ML, too, but it dropped a lot from +145 to +118, and the line is +2 now.. Still might add on, I like em to win outright. Roch is on them as well (and huge) so that makes me extra confident. GL.

                            Probably not the final card, might have some more coming.
                            Comment
                            • Donkwin47
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-10
                              • 2851

                              #119
                              UPDATED CARD:

                              NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:

                              3* Titans +3.5 (-128)
                              2* Titans TT Over 17
                              1* Titans ML +107
                              1* Patriots -7 (-125)

                              NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:

                              2* Mississippi State -31 (-102)
                              Comment
                              • GemSportsPicks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-10
                                • 2513

                                #120
                                So you really like Miss State at -31, do you know anything about teams yet... Or just following steam? I looked at the game as well, but 31 is a big big number... Laying the wood in college football hasn't been to good the last couple of years
                                Comment
                                • Donkwin47
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-12-10
                                  • 2851

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
                                  So you really like Miss State at -31, do you know anything about teams yet... Or just following steam? I looked at the game as well, but 31 is a big big number... Laying the wood in college football hasn't been to good the last couple of years
                                  Miss State is well coached and returning a lot of talent. Memphis is horrible, especially on defense. I like Miss St. team total over as I expect them to score. Only real fear is a back door cover by Memphis. I think Miss St. gets it done tonight.
                                  Comment
                                  • GemSportsPicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-10
                                    • 2513

                                    #122
                                    Tru, I feel you on that... Miss State is very well coached, yea with the big numbers the fear is always the dreaded back door... For me the spread in this game is all about how Miss State coach is going to approach the game... Is he going to use it as confidence builder, if so then Miss State is the obvious play because they will run it up...

                                    Or is he going to use it as teaching tool... Working on some aspects of their game he feels they need work.

                                    Bottom line, if Miss State defense gets 2 turnovers, which i think they might, then Miss State Covers easy... I'm still not sure what I like... I actually leaned under in the game.
                                    Comment
                                    • Donkwin47
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-10
                                      • 2851

                                      #123
                                      FINAL CARD:

                                      NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:

                                      3* Titans +3.5 (-128)
                                      2* Titans TT Over 17
                                      1* Titans ML +107
                                      1* Patriots -7 (-125)

                                      NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:

                                      2* Mississippi State -31 (-102)
                                      1.5* CUSE/WF Under 48.5 (-105)
                                      1* Miss St. 1H -17 (-115)

                                      Leans: Miss St. TT Over 40.5, Cuse TT Under 27, Wake Forest TT U 21.5.

                                      Best of luck to everyone. Let's kill it this opening night!
                                      Comment
                                      • Donkwin47
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-12-10
                                        • 2851

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by Donkwin47

                                        NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:

                                        3* Titans +3.5 (-128) WIN
                                        2* Titans TT Over 17 WIN
                                        1* Titans ML +107 WIN
                                        1* Patriots -7 (-125) LOSS

                                        NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:

                                        2* Mississippi State -31 (-102) WIN
                                        1.5* CUSE/WF Under 48.5 (-105) LOSS
                                        1* Miss St. 1H -17 (-115) WIN
                                        5-2 +$617.50

                                        Nice start to the NCAAF season. Back at it tomorrow!
                                        Comment
                                        • Coach Potato
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-31-11
                                          • 4303

                                          #125
                                          thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
                                          Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
                                          Comment
                                          • odog11
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-14-11
                                            • 3874

                                            #126
                                            Excellent work this pre-season Donk, looking forward to a good fall.
                                            Comment
                                            • roymunson
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-01-10
                                              • 952

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by Coach Potato
                                              thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
                                              Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
                                              The greek, 5dimes

                                              You should also use Expekt becoz they are very slow and PINNACLE is the best in the long run in US Sports!
                                              Comment
                                              • Donkwin47
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-12-10
                                                • 2851

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Coach Potato
                                                thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
                                                Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
                                                Congrats!

                                                I use 5dimes.
                                                Comment
                                                • Donkwin47
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-10
                                                  • 2851

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by odog11
                                                  Excellent work this pre-season Donk, looking forward to a good fall.
                                                  Thanks, Odog. I'm hoping for the same. BOL!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Deol
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-01-11
                                                    • 1340

                                                    #130
                                                    Followed you thru preseason, now definitely gonna follow you thru the regular seaosn. Great work!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mitchp
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 07-29-10
                                                      • 227

                                                      #131
                                                      Tonights Game

                                                      Donk,

                                                      Any thoughts on the game tonight?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Donkwin47
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-12-10
                                                        • 2851

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Deol
                                                        Followed you thru preseason, now definitely gonna follow you thru the regular seaosn. Great work!!
                                                        Thanks and good luck!

                                                        Originally posted by mitchp
                                                        Donk,

                                                        Any thoughts on the game tonight?
                                                        I lean Raiders for NFLX, thinking TCU and over in NCAAF. Will post soon, if anything.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Donkwin47
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-12-10
                                                          • 2851

                                                          #133
                                                          NCAAF Friday, September 2nd:

                                                          2* TCU -3 (-125)
                                                          1* TCU/Baylor Over 52
                                                          1* 2-team, 7-point TR Teaser: TCU +3.5, TCU/Baylor Over 45


                                                          Lean Oakland Raiders in NFLX, but passing and calling it (one hell of) a preseason. BOL, guys!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Donkwin47
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-12-10
                                                            • 2851

                                                            #134
                                                            FINAL NFL Preseason Record:

                                                            35-14 +$3,246

                                                            Leans: 12-6-1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Donkwin47
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-12-10
                                                              • 2851

                                                              #135
                                                              NCAAF Saturday, September 3rd:

                                                              DONK 3* BYU ML -130
                                                              2* UCLA ML +110
                                                              2* Troy/Clemson Over 55.5 (-105)
                                                              1* Alabama -38.5 (-105)
                                                              1* Alabama 1H -22
                                                              0.5* Kent State TT Under 6 (-120)


                                                              Will likely add more. GL, as always.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Donkwin47
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-12-10
                                                                • 2851

                                                                #136
                                                                Add:

                                                                1.5* 11-point, 3-team teaser: Alabama -28, BYU +9, Troy/Clemson Over 44.5 (-145)

                                                                GL!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Donkwin47
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-12-10
                                                                  • 2851

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Add:

                                                                  2* Boise State TT Over 27

                                                                  GL..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Donkwin47
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-12-10
                                                                    • 2851

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Add:

                                                                    1.5* Army/Nothern Illinois Over 54.5 (-107)


                                                                    Continued GL.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Donkwin47
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-12-10
                                                                      • 2851

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Add:

                                                                      1* Oregon TT Under 28.5
                                                                      1* LSU +4 (-123)
                                                                      1* LSU ML +145

                                                                      This will probably be it for tonight, looking like a nice day. Was gonna add on to Boise TT over, but it moved to 27.5.. Meh, I still like it, but loved the number 27. Gonna ride it out as a 2* play. GL, guys.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Coach Potato
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-31-11
                                                                        • 4303

                                                                        #140
                                                                        good comeback by BYU in the 4th
                                                                        Comment
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