Was gonna play it at -185, just took too long. Hopefully we just win and it won't matter. Best of luck, as always!
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#108
Originally posted by Donkwin47
NFL Preseason Sunday, August 28th:
1.5* New Orleans 1H ML -200 WIN
1-0 +$150. Yup, line move didn't matter.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#109
Preseason Plays:
30-11 +$2,696
Leans: 12-6-1
Comment
odog11
SBR MVP
02-14-11
3874
#110
Week 1 plays: 2 made and 3 under consideration. Thoughts?
Two played(in addtion to Patriots when it was -4.5) I feel good about these, two teams that look solid, and watch for that Detroit line to move(already has some places), I think the hype on Tampa is overblown.
Pitt +3
Detroit +3
Three I am considering:
Bills +7
Chiefs look awful.
Skins + 3.5
Skins look good and lots of injuries for Giants, plus Manning not "elite."
NY Jets -4 1/2
Jets will be ready, Dallas, who knows and overated/hyped.
Anyone have any thoughts or concerns about these plays?
Comment
SteelerNation704
SBR High Roller
09-05-10
107
#111
Steelers/Ravens always a field goal game. Good value at +3 on Pittsburgh.
Comment
doin
SBR Sharp
02-27-09
457
#112
thank you for the action Donk. looking mighty fine!
2* Jets TT Under 19 WIN
1* Giants +3.5 (-122) LOSS
0.5* Giants 1H +3 (-120) LOSS
0.5* Giants 1Q +0.5 (-145) WIN
2-2. +$68. Damn that last drive before half. Oh well. Another profitable night. Better than a losing night..
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#115
Preseason Plays:
32-13 +$2,764
Leans: 12-6-1
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#116
Originally posted by odog11
Two played(in addtion to Patriots when it was -4.5) I feel good about these, two teams that look solid, and watch for that Detroit line to move(already has some places), I think the hype on Tampa is overblown.
Pitt +3
Detroit +3
Three I am considering:
Bills +7
Chiefs look awful.
Skins + 3.5
Skins look good and lots of injuries for Giants, plus Manning not "elite."
NY Jets -4 1/2
Jets will be ready, Dallas, who knows and overated/hyped.
Anyone have any thoughts or concerns about these plays?
Hey, Odog, sorry for the delay in the response.. I haven't looked much into the games and will make them closer to game day (or on game day) so I have no real insight yet.
The Ravens/Pitt game looks like one of those coinflip games on the surface. I'll have to look deeper into that one.
I think the Lions have made some nice strides in recent years and are really turning it around. Not quite there yet, but getting there. They should have some value this year.
Chiefs look awful, but they're not as bad as they've played this preseason. Bills defense might be able to surprise but their offense sucks. GL with that one.
Skins are always tough at home, especially in a divisional rivalry game. Eli doesn't hold a candle to his brother, but they have a great run game and solid defense. -3.5 is a strong number and taking +3.5 is easier to take. I like to lay -3.5 with confidence as that number has been strong ATS.
Jets look like a solid bet.
Good luck.
Comment
odog11
SBR MVP
02-14-11
3874
#117
Originally posted by Donkwin47
Hey, Odog, sorry for the delay in the response.. I haven't looked much into the games and will make them closer to game day (or on game day) so I have no real insight yet. The Ravens/Pitt game looks like one of those coinflip games on the surface. I'll have to look deeper into that one. I think the Lions have made some nice strides in recent years and are really turning it around. Not quite there yet, but getting there. They should have some value this year. Chiefs look awful, but they're not as bad as they've played this preseason. Bills defense might be able to surprise but their offense sucks. GL with that one. Skins are always tough at home, especially in a divisional rivalry game. Eli doesn't hold a candle to his brother, but they have a great run game and solid defense. -3.5 is a strong number and taking +3.5 is easier to take. I like to lay -3.5 with confidence as that number has been strong ATS. Jets look like a solid bet. Good luck.
Thanks for the feedback, the Bills offense is not great, but I just see that one being low scoring and getting 7 points against the Chiefs right now is hard to pass up. I like Detroit a lot, Stafford looked against the Pats.
Put the Titans in this morning, was gonna play ML, too, but it dropped a lot from +145 to +118, and the line is +2 now.. Still might add on, I like em to win outright. Roch is on them as well (and huge) so that makes me extra confident. GL.
Probably not the final card, might have some more coming.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#119
UPDATED CARD:
NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:
3* Titans +3.5 (-128)
2* Titans TT Over 17
1* Titans ML +107
1* Patriots -7 (-125)
NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:
2* Mississippi State -31 (-102)
Comment
GemSportsPicks
SBR MVP
10-15-10
2513
#120
So you really like Miss State at -31, do you know anything about teams yet... Or just following steam? I looked at the game as well, but 31 is a big big number... Laying the wood in college football hasn't been to good the last couple of years
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#121
Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
So you really like Miss State at -31, do you know anything about teams yet... Or just following steam? I looked at the game as well, but 31 is a big big number... Laying the wood in college football hasn't been to good the last couple of years
Miss State is well coached and returning a lot of talent. Memphis is horrible, especially on defense. I like Miss St. team total over as I expect them to score. Only real fear is a back door cover by Memphis. I think Miss St. gets it done tonight.
Comment
GemSportsPicks
SBR MVP
10-15-10
2513
#122
Tru, I feel you on that... Miss State is very well coached, yea with the big numbers the fear is always the dreaded back door... For me the spread in this game is all about how Miss State coach is going to approach the game... Is he going to use it as confidence builder, if so then Miss State is the obvious play because they will run it up...
Or is he going to use it as teaching tool... Working on some aspects of their game he feels they need work.
Bottom line, if Miss State defense gets 2 turnovers, which i think they might, then Miss State Covers easy... I'm still not sure what I like... I actually leaned under in the game.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#123
FINAL CARD:
NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:
3* Titans +3.5 (-128)
2* Titans TT Over 17
1* Titans ML +107
1* Patriots -7 (-125)
NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:
2* Mississippi State -31 (-102)
1.5* CUSE/WF Under 48.5 (-105)
1* Miss St. 1H -17 (-115)
Leans: Miss St. TT Over 40.5, Cuse TT Under 27, Wake Forest TT U 21.5.
Best of luck to everyone. Let's kill it this opening night!
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#124
Originally posted by Donkwin47
NFL Preseason Thursday, September 1st:
3* Titans +3.5 (-128) WIN
2* Titans TT Over 17 WIN
1* Titans ML +107 WIN
1* Patriots -7 (-125) LOSS
NCAAF Thursday, September 1st:
2* Mississippi State -31 (-102) WIN
1.5* CUSE/WF Under 48.5 (-105) LOSS
1* Miss St. 1H -17 (-115) WIN
5-2 +$617.50
Nice start to the NCAAF season. Back at it tomorrow!
Comment
Coach Potato
SBR MVP
08-31-11
4303
#125
thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
Comment
odog11
SBR MVP
02-14-11
3874
#126
Excellent work this pre-season Donk, looking forward to a good fall.
Comment
roymunson
SBR Wise Guy
11-01-10
952
#127
Originally posted by Coach Potato
thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
The greek, 5dimes
You should also use Expekt becoz they are very slow and PINNACLE is the best in the long run in US Sports!
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#128
Originally posted by Coach Potato
thanks donk. Doubled up on that titans +3 play when i saw both you and roch on it and woke up to a winner .
Can i ask what book you use becuase i use bet365 here in europe and they dont have team totals.
Congrats!
I use 5dimes.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#129
Originally posted by odog11
Excellent work this pre-season Donk, looking forward to a good fall.
Thanks, Odog. I'm hoping for the same. BOL!
Comment
Deol
SBR MVP
09-01-11
1340
#130
Followed you thru preseason, now definitely gonna follow you thru the regular seaosn. Great work!!
Comment
mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#131
Tonights Game
Donk,
Any thoughts on the game tonight?
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#132
Originally posted by Deol
Followed you thru preseason, now definitely gonna follow you thru the regular seaosn. Great work!!
Thanks and good luck!
Originally posted by mitchp
Donk,
Any thoughts on the game tonight?
I lean Raiders for NFLX, thinking TCU and over in NCAAF. Will post soon, if anything.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#133
NCAAF Friday, September 2nd:
2* TCU -3 (-125)
1* TCU/Baylor Over 52
1* 2-team, 7-point TR Teaser: TCU +3.5, TCU/Baylor Over 45
Lean Oakland Raiders in NFLX, but passing and calling it (one hell of) a preseason. BOL, guys!
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#134
FINAL NFL Preseason Record:
35-14 +$3,246
Leans: 12-6-1
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#135
NCAAF Saturday, September 3rd:
DONK 3* BYU ML -130
2* UCLA ML +110
2* Troy/Clemson Over 55.5 (-105)
1* Alabama -38.5 (-105)
1* Alabama 1H -22
0.5* Kent State TT Under 6 (-120)
1* Oregon TT Under 28.5
1* LSU +4 (-123)
1* LSU ML +145
This will probably be it for tonight, looking like a nice day. Was gonna add on to Boise TT over, but it moved to 27.5.. Meh, I still like it, but loved the number 27. Gonna ride it out as a 2* play. GL, guys.