Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • playboy_1
    SBR MVP
    • 03-29-10
    • 1333

    #946
    Originally posted by BetterBizness
    23 point lead... I lose... wow...
    its ok bro.im with you on eskimos big....
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #947
      wow.... Are you watching this.... anyone?

      How to Kill an Over:

      1) Block Punt on 2 yard line... DO NOT however, Run it in...
      2) use 3 downs to go no where...
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #948
        How do you predict this shiet?
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #949
          Taking Ricky Ray out of the game... Wow Joseph looks sharp... Go ESKS!
          Comment
          • JT OZ
            SBR MVP
            • 08-16-10
            • 2076

            #950
            Any thoughts for halftime or just riding it out?
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #951
              lets see whats up for grabs...

              Wow I miss baseball... would be watching 4 West coast games right now...
              Comment
              • JT OZ
                SBR MVP
                • 08-16-10
                • 2076

                #952
                I figure after a slow start it may not be a bad idea to add more to the total.
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #953
                  weird... my one book isn't even offering a second half line... garbage...

                  I would personally play Esks +155 second half... but since I can't, I won't ...
                  Comment
                  • BetterBizness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-20-06
                    • 5737

                    #954
                    Originally posted by JT OZ
                    I figure after a slow start it may not be a bad idea to add more to the total.
                    I don't mind it, but what I"m worried about is these LOOONGGGG Eskimo Drives that Offensive Coordinator Crandall is running... If they don't score TD's half the quarter is gone... I would be weary...
                    Comment
                    • JT OZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-16-10
                      • 2076

                      #955
                      They are at 3.5 and I have them 5.5/12.5 for the game plus a play on the over so I will probably stay put.
                      Comment
                      • Dharmonize
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-10-10
                        • 1991

                        #956
                        Boys, I have no clue what to do in the second half. I haven´t bet anything yet... now I´m a little desoriented... took strong sleeping pills... but would love to place at least one bet on the game before I go to sleep... Tell me, CFL gurus, what´s the right play here?
                        Comment
                        • JT OZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-16-10
                          • 2076

                          #957
                          Do you think the big advantage in T.O.P. will allow them to wear the Lions D in the 2nd half?
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #958
                            Hard to say what's going to happen here... Esks opening drive will tell us alot...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #959
                              I finally updated my entire 13 week tally... like car mirrors, things are closer than they seem... Despite some HORRENDOUS beats... I am actually ahead before tonight... emphasis on BEFORE...
                              Comment
                              • tension
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-11-10
                                • 192

                                #960
                                Seems like your CFL season has turned into my AFL season. Started off the season profiting pretty big and then it all turned to kaka
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #961
                                  I can break it down further later on, but the numbers after last night using ONLY the bets I made publicly in this thread are:

                                  124 Wagers Made for a 3.28x Avg Bet Size
                                  407.35 Units Wagered in this thread at -110
                                  413.92 Units Won
                                  A Total of a 6.58 Unit Profit

                                  Broken Down
                                  Sides = -12.4
                                  Totals = + 19
                                  Parlays/Teasers = -0.02

                                  Despite hitting alot of my bigger plays, going donkey tilt on that 22 Unit Chase of the Tor/Ham Under back a couple of months ago in week 7 was pretty icky ... nevertheless, it is what it is...

                                  Best Week: Week 9 = +14.8 Units
                                  Worst Week: Week 11 = -17 Units
                                  Comment
                                  • opie1988
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-12-10
                                    • 23429

                                    #962
                                    Tough beat last night. But what can you do? Those damn Canadians again...

                                    Good luck the rest of the weekend, pal. I will be following you as always.
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #963
                                      Originally posted by opie1988
                                      Tough beat last night. But what can you do? Those damn Canadians again...

                                      Good luck the rest of the weekend, pal. I will be following you as always.
                                      Thanks Opie... Lets get some more winners today! Maybe if we can keep the bad beat to a minimum as well...
                                      Comment
                                      • Dharmonize
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-10-10
                                        • 1991

                                        #964
                                        Good thing is you're still in black numbers, BB! I have to go out, hope to get back early to catch your picks for the Calgary game. I'm personally leaning towards Calgary and possibly over, although 55 points is a lot.
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #965
                                          Saskatchewan @ Calgary -6 O/U 55.5

                                          Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                          BC 42@Sask 5 - U55.5
                                          Tor 20@ Sask 30 - U55.5
                                          Sask 45@Win 23 - O55.5
                                          Win 7@ Sask 27 – U55.5
                                          Sask 18@Tor 24 – U55.5
                                          Cal 45@Sask 35 – O55.5
                                          Sask 11@BC 24 – U55.5
                                          Cal 22@Sask 18 – U55.5
                                          Sask 27@Mon 24 – U55.5
                                          Sask 3@Ham 33 – U55.5
                                          Mon 39@Sask 25 – O55.5
                                          Edm 42@Sask 28 – O55.5

                                          Calgary 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                          Cal 36@Ham 55 O55.5
                                          BC 32@cal 19 - U55.5
                                          Cal 30@Edm 20 – U55.5
                                          Edm 35@ Cal 7 – U55.5
                                          Mon 31@Cal 38 – O55.5
                                          Cal 45@Sask 35 – O55.5
                                          Ham 20@Cal 32 – U55.5
                                          Cal 22@Sask 18 – U55.5
                                          Edm 24@Cal 19 – U55.5
                                          Cal 21@Win 20 – U55.5
                                          Cal 34@BC 32 – O55.5
                                          Tor 23@Cal 21 – U55.5

                                          2011 – 2-0 Calgary (W5@Sask) Cal 22-18, (W7@Sask) Cal 45-35
                                          2010 – 2-2 - (W4@Cal) Cal 40-20, (W12@Sask) Sask 43-37, (W16@Sask) Cal 34-26, (West Finals@ Cal) Sask 20-16

                                          This is the worst game this week to try and pick which of these two inept offenses are going to show up... I really don't have an answer... If I did, I'd probably just have that same team blow a 23 point lead anyhow...

                                          Only thing you can sort of rely on is that these teams like to get involved in plenty of shootouts... I will lean on the over and close my eyes and hope... there is nothing about this game that excites me whatsoever at any angle...

                                          2x Cal/Sask Over 55.5
                                          0.5x Cal -6
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #966
                                            Hamilton -4 @ Toronto O/U 54

                                            No write up...

                                            2x Ham -4
                                            5x Ham/Tor Under 54
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #967
                                              Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                              I can break it down further later on, but the numbers after last night using ONLY the bets I made publicly in this thread are:

                                              A Total of a 6.58 Unit Profit

                                              Broken Down
                                              Sides = -12.4
                                              Totals = + 19
                                              Ending Week 14

                                              Total - +11.88 Units

                                              Sides = -9.9
                                              Totals = +21.8
                                              Comment
                                              • ClimbSomeRocks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-04-09
                                                • 1081

                                                #968
                                                Just found this thread, I wish you the best of luck. One question though, with your success, why are you not an SBR pro?
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #969
                                                  Originally posted by ClimbSomeRocks
                                                  Just found this thread, I wish you the best of luck. One question though, with your success, why are you not an SBR pro?
                                                  Like many here who aren't pros... I don't have any interest in putting money in random books I don't play in as I was in many books long before I was on SBR... Being "pro" means I have to deposit $200 in, in my case, Bodog, which I deposited to last year to get my glorified status... In the year of being the awesomest dude ever because I had "pro" status, I made like 10 bets on Bodog... And as I am Canadian, I play at Pinny and really don't need any other book... but have 3 others anyhow...

                                                  Cliffs: Being a "pro" doesn't mean.. anything to me...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dharmonize
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-10-10
                                                    • 1991

                                                    #970
                                                    Yeah, being a pro . I said I was gonna try it for a year, even though my betting currency are Euros, not dollars. I opened up an account with Betonline, and was really happy to get out of there after a month or so. Pinny is by far the best sportsbook there is, except for live betting (they don't cover all the markets I need). As for being a pro, I see absolutely no advantages, you just get double points and can publicly scorn those who aren't pros, even though they might be much bigger and sharper players

                                                    BB, I'm really looking forward to your picks for tonight. I like the Bombers, although this match-up is totally unreadable for me. 53 is a tricky number and I can imagine the game both staying under or going over Slightly leaning towards the over, though...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #971
                                                      Winnipeg @ Hamilton -3 O.U 53

                                                      Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                                      Mon 32@Win 26 - O53
                                                      Win 24@Tor 25 - U53
                                                      Win 25@Mon 23 - U53
                                                      Sask 45@ Win 23 – O53
                                                      Win 7@ Sask 27 – U53
                                                      Ham 27@Win 30 – O53
                                                      Win 30 @ BC 17 – U53
                                                      Sask 11@BC 24 – U53
                                                      BC 20@Win 25 – U53
                                                      Win 33@Tor 24 – O53
                                                      Cal 21@Win 20 – U53
                                                      Tor 16@Win 22 – U53
                                                      Win 24@Ham 16 - U53

                                                      Hamilton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                                      Ham 27@Tor 12 - U53
                                                      Cal 36@Ham 55 - O53
                                                      Edm 38@Ham 23 - O53
                                                      Ham 13@Mon 43 - O53
                                                      Mon 21@Ham 44 - O53
                                                      Ham 27@Win 30 – O53
                                                      Tor 32@ Ham 37 – O53
                                                      Ham 20@Cal 32 – U53
                                                      Mon 26@ Ham 34 – O53
                                                      Ham 39@BC 31 – O53
                                                      Sask 3@Ham 33 – U53
                                                      Ham 10@Edm 28 – U53
                                                      Win 24@Ham 16 – U53

                                                      Head to Head
                                                      2011 – Win 2-0, (W1@Ham) Win 24-16, (W9@Win) Win 30-27
                                                      2011 – Ham 2-1, (W1@Win) Win 49-29, (W3@Ham) Ham 28-7, (W6@Ham) Ham 29-22

                                                      Interesting that Hamilton owned the series last year, and so far Winnipeg owns this year... Not that I chase, (never!) but just on pure law of averages, it's HARD to beat a team 3 times in the season, and that is, in essance with the 3 to 3.5 point spread what has to happen for the most part...

                                                      I also go back to last week, where the Bombers were down, out and Bombed out of their tree before a series of incredible plays, after a series of unfathomable plays (blocked punt for td?) all of a sudden kicked the sheit out of our -7 play on Montreal...

                                                      This time around however, Despite the starting of QB Piercea and his sore ribs, the Cats at 7-6 are VERY motivated to beat Winnipeg to challenge for first... Obviously, try and find 3, as it is moving to 3.5 in many places with the appearance of much of the wagering on Hamilton tonight already... As far as the total, I don't have as much confidence in the play, but I believe it will be a defensive battle with 3 of the last 5 games going under the mark, and this more of a playoff like atmosphere... Don't feel a shootout going down at Ivor Wynn, although it's quite obvious that "Offenses have not died" there much in recent times, as I "used" to like to say...

                                                      I also think teasing this line here looks appealing if a person has reservations, or can't get the 3... Tease what you have to (6 or 6.5) to get Ham +3 and Under 59, and I think that has a pretty good opportunity to make even money as well...

                                                      3x Ham -3
                                                      2x Ham/Win Under 53
                                                      3x Ham +3 & Under 59
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #972
                                                        Anyone hear about the first play promo in Hamilton?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xraygord
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-18-09
                                                          • 2599

                                                          #973
                                                          Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                          Anyone hear about the first play promo in Hamilton?
                                                          Yes. Not alot of details, but some lucky fan will get to call a play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • xraygord
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-18-09
                                                            • 2599

                                                            #974
                                                            The line moved to -4 now.

                                                            Best of luck to all.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BetterBizness
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-20-06
                                                              • 5737

                                                              #975
                                                              Under looking good.. Hamilton... not so much...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #976
                                                                Wow my sides suck!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #977
                                                                  Post #4,000!!!!

                                                                  to the gang making a lowly CFL thread worthwhile for 2 seasons...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xraygord
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-18-09
                                                                    • 2599

                                                                    #978
                                                                    Hmmm, The Sask Edm game isn't listed on Pinny. Not even listed as being OFFLINE.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dharmonize
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-10-10
                                                                      • 1991

                                                                      #979
                                                                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                                      Post #4,000!!!!

                                                                      to the gang making a lowly CFL thread worthwhile for 2 seasons...
                                                                      To your 4000th post and this thread Lets pick some winners tonight!
                                                                      I like the over 53 in tonight's game. And if I had to take a side, the only play would be Calgary + points (or a unit on the ml just to have some action).
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nbaprofosor
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-10
                                                                        • 3519

                                                                        #980
                                                                        since you cant give the people winner let me help you out.i will not insult you like you do in my thread
                                                                        calgary+3.5 take it and shhttu fkup.this one is winner pick
                                                                        Comment
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