BB - you come highly recommended by PCG so I think I'll follow along and maybe learn something about this CFL. Can't be any worse than trying to predict the ladies of basketball. 
-
Comment -
Thinking about throwing a unit on Argos ml. But I´d like to get it at + or even money, which doesn´t seem very likely... they are -1 fav right now at Pinny
Comment -
Thanks MBP, PCG may actually be helping out in the CFL side here to help out the thread be the best it can. Nice to see this year there are 4 or 5 guys looking at the CFL.Comment -
Guys It's been a rough week for chatter in the thread... My baby boy was born last saturday, and I learned that parenthood is basically a funny experiment in sleep deprivation. But thankfully, he's healthy and happy.. and hungry, like Papa...
Working on the thoughts as we speak...Comment -
Just to update last weeks record: Just working on a standard -110 to win 100, except obviously for ML plays...
Overall Tally
Week 1
BC@Mon = +1.45x
Win@Ham = +5x
Tor@Cal = -.1
Edm@Sas = -1.1
Week 1 Total = +5.25
Overall Total = +5.25Comment -
Keep up the good work BB!Comment -
Friday, July 8th – 5:30 PM MST
Toronto -1 @ Winnipeg O/U 47.5
Toronto 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 23 @ Cal 21 - U 47.5
Winnipeg 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Win 24 @ Ham 16 - U 47.5
Well after last week we have to ask ourselves if Toronto is for real? Considering I was betting them most of the entirety of last year, I would say yes. But this game is going to be more about what’s up with Winnipeg. Fact is they played, well... Terrible but for a solid fourth quarter where, in true underdog fashion, hung around until they could make a play. Bottom line is despite winning, Hamilton was driving and ready to cover when QB Glenn threw a bad pass to the wide side of the field on a bad timing route, and DB Suber was there to catch the early Christmas present. From there it was momentum that kept things going.
Lets look at the bottom line from each team – Win QB Pierce was just 12 of 26 for 151 yards, and RB Reid didn’t make it to 100… They had 3x the amount of penalties, and their offense ran 12 less plays and 60 less yards then Hamilton …
Tor QB Lemon played a controlled game going 16-30-187 but RB Boyd hit 100, and watching the game, it was mostly about their defense stopping Calgary and holding them to Field goals, and as we say in the Canadian game, Rouges (Single points) …
I see this game as a mismatch to be honest. I went against Toronto last week, but this week I hope to be on the right side as I think the Argo’s are for real, Lemon is “Squeezing” all he can out of the offense, and Toronto wins by double digits. One final tidbit, Last year, Toronto was 3-0 vs Winnipeg (W2) 36-34, (W12) 17-13, (W17) 27-8 … The line started with Winnipeg -2, but shifted 3 points toward the Argos so far …Nice of the Oddsmakers to make this a coin toss.
Both teams “undered” last week, but I am going against the grain this week with both Toronto getting their offense in gear and getting to the 30’s… But laying low on it.
Strong bet when a strong bet is due.
4x Toronto -1
1x Tor/Win Over 47.5Comment -
Friday, July 8th, 8:30 PM MST
Calgary @ BC -1.5 O/U 53
Calgary 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 23 @ Cal 21 U53
BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 26 @ Mon 30 O53
I’l l be honest, my first thought before I looked at the line was that BC has a great sneaky spot to pick up their first cover, but then I looked at the line of BC -1.5, in some places -3, and I’m thinking to myself… WTF?
I’m all for thinking one step ahead of the oddsmakers, but if Calgary isn’t a favorite in this game, I’m completely lost.
Last years 4 games - (W6@BC) Cal 27-22, (W9@BC) Cal 48-35, (W13@Cal) BC 29-10, (W17@Cal) BC 36-31 …
Calgary won both in BC, BC won both in Calgary… go figure… A lot of the public perception in this game though is what’s driving this line to BC… They played Montreal Competitive, but really just in the second half, where for whatever reason Montreal shut down last week (but still held on). BC opened it up in the second half, but mostly just big bombs that padded QB Lulays stats 26-45-366 … Not sure what that says about Montreals Defense, but I digress…
Calgary’s kicking game is clearly in question, but the funny thing I’ve noticed in Pro football with the kicking game, is that it’s one of the easiest things to fix (Generally) … Either the K has a bad week and fixes it, or he’s done and they bring in someone else. Kickers are some of the strongest players mentally in Football, and I fully expect K Maver to figure it out… Bottom line offensively is that QB Burris had as good a game as you can get in a losing cause… 26-37-293, and rushed for 50 yards… In fact, Calgary had an 8 minute (34-26min) edge in time of possession over Toronto. It will be all about conversion, in the meanwhile, I am LOVING the 53 key number to get pounded … I think these 2 teams may hit 100 tonight.
2x Calgary +2.5
3x Over 53Comment -
Congratulations on becoming a dad, BB!
I´ll say a little buddhist prayer and chant several mantras for his well-being and happy life!
Also glad you´re on Toronto as well... so now I´ll probably take them no matter what the line is. GL!Comment -
Great write-ups as usual, congrats on the baby.Comment -
Saturday , July 9th - 2:00 PM MST (TSN, NFL NETWORK)
Montreal -3.5 @ Saskatchewan O/U 55
Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 26@Mon 30
Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 42@Sask 28
This line is crossing over the key number of 3 with mostly a “Bounce back” theory that Saskatchewan lost to a Wild Card Eskimo team in week 1… Badly… But so what? Bad opener, now they play the Champs which they barely lost to in the Grey Cup last year… At home yet…
I think this number is really inflated considering they split their series last year in the regular season in close games… (W1@Sask) Sask 54-51, (W6@Mon) Mon 30-26 … and down to the wire in the Grey Cup (Grey Cup) Mon 21-18.
I really hope this number gets pushed a little more come game time, but I really think that this is in fact, a ML play on the riders at +145 … But for the squeamish, take the +3.5 that is widely available at the current time.
A really slow start by the Riders last week caused them to play catchup, but considering no one knew who the Eskimos were/are, it’s understandable. This week though will be a ton of prep against a team that they are uber familiar with combined with a “Rider Pride” at home that has just lost 10 times in the past 4 years (11 including last week) … QB Durant was 27-37-330 but offset his 2 TD’s with 3 INTs, which was the game changing stat. I don’t expect him to repeat this.
Montreal looked extremely average last week at home, and have a lot more to prove this year after losing their key RB Cobourne to Hamilton. RB Whitaker stepped in nicely last week with a 17-119 performance, but after the Als got their 27-10 lead, they basically got shut down by BC who in most respects should have won the game, or at least pulled it to OT…
It’s a shot, but I’m going to say the Champs get taken down, in a low(er) scoring game.
3x Sask +3.5
1x Sask +145
1x Mon/Sask Under 55Comment -
Hamilton @ Edmonton -2 O/U 52.5
Hamilton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Win 24@Ham 16 U52.5
Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 42@Sask 28 O52.5
Last week right after Hamilton had Winnipeg snatch a win from them, I was convinced that the Cats are the play in week 2. After a huge start from the Esks, they are world beaters, and thus the line is nearly a pickem. Despiute all the momentum, it ugly and rainy the day before game day in Edmonton, and if this translates to tomorrow, this will likely mean an ugly, sloppy game, possibly leading to an under.
Last year they split, (W14@Edm) Edm 37-35, (W15@Ham) Ham 36-11. The one in Edmonton however was a couple of key turnovers early in the game by Hamilton that led to all sorts of offensive momentum by the Esks as QB Ray tossed for 384 yards.
Watching the Cats last week, they were in complete control, except when it mattered, while the Esks played what one may say was completely over their heads, and even over their own expectations. Esks are turning it around no doubt, but Hamilton is basically already there. I’m not going to bet when I am against the Esks, but, I believe Hamilton is the play in some Ugly, Windy conditions keeping the game low. Even if the weather improves, I don’t believe the Esks are going to have 2 conseutive “surprise” offensive games, in particular with the Hamilton Beastly D-Line. On top of this, I really believe this game is a toss up being in Edmonton, despite giving the edge to the Cats.
Thus,
Hamilton +2 (Not betting)
Edm/Ham U 52.5Comment -
Good luck to everyone tonight and this weekend. Let us profit again.
Comment -
I want to take this opportunity to congratulate both you and your wife on the birth of your newborn son BB. I'm so glad to hear all is well and enjoy the growing up process as it can go by 'oh so quickly'. Once again a big congrats!!!
Comment -
Thanks Dharm, JT, Scully ...Comment -
BB I'm seriously considering playing the Calgary tt over 25.5 tonight and I would like to get your thoughts on this play if I could, whether you might like it or dislike it, etc. Last year when the teams met on four occasions, the Stamps topped that number in 3 of the 4 meetings, scoring 48 and 27 points in Vancouver.Comment -
I like the Calgary TT over Scully... I am adding a play momentarily that says so...Comment -
Adding
1 Unit Parlay Calgary ML + Over 54Comment -
Got it and thanks for your input BB. Bol as always with your parlay.
Comment -
Damn it. I just missed it. F me!Comment -
wow Toronto shit the bed.. they looked like the Toronto of last year again.. I know Winnipeg D is solid, but RB Boyd had what, 15 yards? Still in it to the wire.. next...Comment -
Funny Dragon it pains me to cheer anything TOronto, but I like the Argos for some odd reason.. maybe because they are the 28th favorite team in that city, right below the Toronto Italian Boci Ball team...Comment -
Wow what a joke... Calgary has a TD taken back for the fukwad lining up wrong.. that's the day today.. don't look good early..Comment -
Not again.. Calgary has clear turnover in the BC Zone, but they rule against them in the challenge...Comment -
For most of us on this over, this game is downright painful... are the golden girls on somewhere?Comment -
well.. I'm thinking I'm tilting watching that pathetic 1H.. somehow my Philly parlay just came through, its Friday night, baby is sleeping and I'm starting to have a few...
Thus... Lets make the Thread a little more entertaining before bed time...
5x BC/Cal 2H OVER 25.5
3x Calgary +2 2HComment -
Opening Calgary Drive ...
Comment -
Good 2nd half start for both of Calgary and the over!Comment
