Either take the Lions or don't play it

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  • NYSportsGuy210
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 11347

    #36
    Originally posted by No coincidences
    This is a principle bet. Books were slaughtered last week, and NE is a monster public play. Line has gone from +7 to +6.5 to lure even more Detroit bettors in.

    Don't do it. If the Pats cover, so be it. But they are not the play. Oddsmakers are trying to set you up and get you back for taking their money last week with the Packers, Falcons, Eagles and all of the other square bets that cashed.

    I gotta insta-fade this guy.....taking Pats (-6.5) and OVER 50 total points on Saints-Cowboys game.
    Comment
    • tony_come
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-31-10
      • 21695

      #37
      No play

      why bet his game
      Comment
      • soli
        SBR MVP
        • 09-10-06
        • 2503

        #38
        This is a tuff game to handicap being that Detroit should keep this game tight just because it's Thanksgiving. And then again, NE and can just blow them off the field..lol
        Comment
        • Patrick McIrish
          SBR MVP
          • 09-15-05
          • 2864

          #39
          Give me both home dogs, all over Detroit and Dallas.
          Comment
          • Mthorn
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-29-09
            • 588

            #40
            i think this one goes under, with NE scoring most of it.
            Comment
            • Cuse0323
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-09-09
              • 30169

              #41
              loving Detroit
              Comment
              • regretz
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-18-09
                • 370

                #42
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                This is a principle bet. Books were slaughtered last week, and NE is a monster public play. Line has gone from +7 to +6.5 to lure even more Detroit bettors in.

                Don't do it. If the Pats cover, so be it. But they are not the play. Oddsmakers are trying to set you up and get you back for taking their money last week with the Packers, Falcons, Eagles and all of the other square bets that cashed.
                lions ML, don't need points
                Comment
                • Ace_of_Spades
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-14-09
                  • 13518

                  #43
                  Liking the Dtrooooooit Lions.
                  Comment
                  • saintjames
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-19-09
                    • 747

                    #44
                    is staford still out?
                    Comment
                    • DetroitRob
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 04-29-09
                      • 97

                      #45
                      how many years are u talking about that Det has been getting routed on thanksgiving day? I remember for a long time where they gave teams trouble on tg day.
                      Comment
                      • wquine
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-30-09
                        • 2047

                        #46
                        they might get a backdoor cover...
                        Comment
                        • kernssca
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-31-10
                          • 330

                          #47
                          NE will win by 10, jets is the best play though
                          Comment
                          • DetroitRob
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 04-29-09
                            • 97

                            #48
                            actually 33-35-2 all time on turkey day. 1-7 since the move to Ford Field however.
                            Comment
                            • rthoughton
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-27-09
                              • 1992

                              #49
                              Brady is a Q, but he will surely play.
                              Lions are the cover machines. I like them and the points, I like the teaser either direction. NE -.5, or DET +12.5
                              NE could certainly struggle here today, on the road, trap game, banged up coming off a big one against the Colts, short week, early game... thinking about the Pilgrims back home.
                              No Way the Lions win this game, right?! No way. I could put it all on NE -300, right?
                              Comment
                              • rthoughton
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 1992

                                #50
                                Originally posted by kernssca
                                NE will win by 10, jets is the best play though
                                If NE wins by 10, then that seems like a pretty great play, too. Not sure how it gets any better than covering by more than half of the original line.
                                Comment
                                • Shelton
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-06-10
                                  • 400

                                  #51
                                  they use to win on thanksgiving not now they always lose dont do it
                                  Comment
                                  • alka07
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-04-09
                                    • 441

                                    #52
                                    i am going to play NE
                                    Comment
                                    • chico2663
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-02-10
                                      • 36915

                                      #53
                                      good luck my friend
                                      Comment
                                      • bandit bettor
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-26-10
                                        • 395

                                        #54
                                        dont fool yourselves with the books lost hype its a 7-day week for the public bets and dont forget about all the 7-10 point nba favorites who didnt cover the book made money monday-saturday one day of a loss on a sunday is never gonna break them... We as bettors try to outsmart ourselves the lions lose buy 14-28 and and cowboys lose buy 10 or more.... Dont over think it the gambling gods have thrown us a gift just reach out and take it
                                        Comment
                                        • bandit bettor
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-26-10
                                          • 395

                                          #55
                                          i dont think jets are the best play of the three games there probally the worst play on the board jets dont blow teams out they win with defense and believe it or not cinci is very talented on paper cinci is a 11-5 team problem is the games played on the field not on paper jets edge them out on defense but win a close one 21-17 jets
                                          Comment
                                          • konck
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-17-06
                                            • 12554

                                            #56
                                            Bet the Lions if they lose dbl up on the Cowdick no way in the world the public is going to win both Pats and NO's
                                            Comment
                                            • no1here
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-23-09
                                              • 5914

                                              #57
                                              Local news channels all report the Lions are going to lose big. New Orleans will handle Dallas.
                                              Comment
                                              • Boscoe
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-08-10
                                                • 2811

                                                #58
                                                i'm on the lions, so they'll probably lose.
                                                Comment
                                                • katstale
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-07-07
                                                  • 3924

                                                  #59
                                                  if the public pushes the line down, i would like NE. otherwise a pass
                                                  Comment
                                                  • macoeric
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-29-10
                                                    • 626

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                    Brady just got downgraded from Probable to Questionable.
                                                    Hes questionable 99% of the time
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fresno
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 11-17-10
                                                      • 39

                                                      #61
                                                      Nice

                                                      And as far as Pats being a public play, no shit. Betting against the Lions on Thanksgiving has been a way of paying for the family dinner since the dawn of time.[/quote]

                                                      LMAO- THat is exactly my Goal....... New England by 7......
                                                      Comment
                                                      • greeny
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 10-21-10
                                                        • 386

                                                        #62
                                                        i think the pats are solid pick today
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nellyinctown
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-08-08
                                                          • 216

                                                          #63
                                                          The Lions will get zero pressure on Brady with Mankins back to form and the Pats need this game. Pats 27 Lions 17

                                                          Them Cowboys are sporting Jon Kitna against a Saints D who is healthy and playing well. I think the Boys D plays well in this and the under is a good play Saints 20 Boys 14

                                                          The night game you are basically betting either the Bengals will or won't completely quit on the year. The Jets have not played well squeaking by 3 non playoff teams in a row.... Will they make it a 4th? Jets 23 bengals 17
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bandit bettor
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 02-26-10
                                                            • 395

                                                            #64
                                                            like your thinking nelly i think the plays today are pats-saints-bengals i see the jets winning buy 3-7 in a game exactly like u described a 23-17 type game maybe i definatly can not see them covering 9
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Barnes01
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 10-31-10
                                                              • 449

                                                              #65
                                                              Ima go ahead and tell you the truth, both the Saints and Pats win by 10+. Whoever it was that said they have a feeling Saints have another game like Arizona above is just flipping a coin, this team has put together 3 solid performances in a row. Their secondary is healthy for only the 2nd time this year. If they get to Kitna it may be a 3 score win. Saints cover.

                                                              NE 34 Lions 20

                                                              Saints 41 Cowboys 23

                                                              in that range of victory for both teams.


                                                              NO LOCK OF COURSE, just a strong feeling. On both games big
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Phillth
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-09-09
                                                                • 1785

                                                                #66
                                                                blah blah blah
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Barnes01
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 10-31-10
                                                                  • 449

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by konck
                                                                  Bet the Lions if they lose dbl up on the Cowdick no way in the world the public is going to win both Pats and NO's


                                                                  Sorry man, that is exactly what is going to happen. Do you say that for all thanksgiving games? Because it happens more than you think.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Barnes01
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 10-31-10
                                                                    • 449

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Jets best play? I feel pretty good about the Bengals getting 9


                                                                    I might not play it though hahahahahah
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PD77
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                                      • 2380

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Detroit hasnt had a chance on Thanksgiving since Barry left. Yet year after year I keep betting on the turds with the failied logic of thinking they will play well on turkey day. I'm going to to play the over and leave the brown bags to the rest of you guys. Brady should have a field day and hopefully Detroit can score three tds.

                                                                      Pats 35 Brown bags 21
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jkilla990
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-28-10
                                                                        • 713

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I got Det +7.5 -105, thats why having a local is good especially when you live in Boston and the Pats play, the line is so off to get actionon the other side so ill take free points.
                                                                        Comment
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