Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

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  • therber2
    Restricted User
    • 12-22-08
    • 3715

    #1156
    Happy Thanksgiving

    TURKEY DAY! 1 NBA 0 NFL

    [502] ATLANTA HAWKS -8
    over the Washington Wizards
    (2 UNITS)

    NBA RECORD:
    5-2-0 71.4% +4.04 units


    NFL: NO PLAYS UNTIL SUNDAY

    LIONS (Closest one to a play) / PATS

    The Lions were once ranked near the bottom in pass defense. They've improved to 22nd, as they've limited all but one of their previous eight opponents to 215 passing yards or fewer. They have been giving up 22.9 points per game. They play hard, but can't find a way to actually win against a premier team. Brady is a winning machine when it comes to betting, his record now is 116-37 ATS...Betting him, is a system all by itself. The Lions are getting some action at 6.5 down from 7...But in my heart I feel New England will cover the spread. A PLAY ON Detroit looks like the one here, but I just can't do it. I thought about a teaser, but this one is do or die...no in between. Detroit either loses close or God willing finally gets their Turkey Day win....or they just get BOMBED. I don't think there is going to be an in between.

    It is a generous pointspread for a hard playing home dog against a team who may have shot their wad on back to back 30+ point game wins...If you have degenerate gambling in your blood take the Lions here, and if they win straight up...go ahead and have yourself a well deserved glass of whiskey. I'll put $5 on this on just to make it fun, but we can't pull the trigger with this or anything else on Thanksgiving....but if you think about it: What that means is we have ourselves some great games to watch. Boring, non-Marquee matchups are what you want for betting.

    NEW ORLEANS/ COWBOYS
    When they scheduled this game, the must have thought...Wow...What a great matchup.... But now the Cowboys are horrible and have to face the red-hot defending Super Bowl champions. I like the Saints to win and cover, but I wouldn't recommend betting this game. The Cowboys have changed their attitude and won two in a row...Who shows up...The new Cowboys...or the old Cowboys. New Orleans has been playing under the radar, but they are way ahead of the Cowboys this year.


    CINCY / NY JETS
    The JETS are a magic team...Maybe one of those teams of destiny. They don't win by much, but somehow, somewhere, they get the win by a couple of points. Cincinnati has to come up with enough energy on a short travel week - without two key defensive starters. With no pass rush to speak of, it's safe to say that the Bengals will not be able to stop a red-hot Mark Sanchez. This game has Blow out written all over it...But the Jets like to keep these games close...So how do you decide. I can see the Bengals coming up with a meaningless last second back door score to cover....That's why I'm only watching.


    HAPPY HOLIDAYS!
    Comment
    • JMobile
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-21-10
      • 19074

      #1157
      No NFL plays???
      Comment
      • hagball52
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-10
        • 3053

        #1158
        Thanks for the write up therb. I know what you mean about the games today. I am all over Atlanta in bball. I'm going to tease the Jets down to -2.5 and the Boys up to 10.5. I like the Jets to at least get the win and I don't think the Boys get blown out at home on Turkey day. GL all.
        Comment
        • therber2
          Restricted User
          • 12-22-08
          • 3715

          #1159
          Ncaa week twelve

          NCAA WEEK TWELVE -
          NCAAFB 2010 (Season record for 2010 Season)
          Record: $3,177.00 Thru (11/6/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10) 54-33-2 61.7% +54.3 Units

          TOP PLAYS Record: 24-6-1 +$1,054.00 80.0% +52.7 Units
          Official Sports Betting numbers are in Brackets (xxx)
          Final lines from Pinnaclesports.com



          **** Top PLAYS are 24-6-1 this Season for 80% ****


          (101) Temple -7 over Miami (Ohio) - Lost
          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

          (153) South Carolina -3 over Clemson
          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

          (117) N. Illinois -24 over Eastern Michigan - Friday
          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

          (123) Ohio -3 over Kent State - Friday
          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

          (167) North Carolina St -2.5 over Maryland
          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)


          JUST MISSED GROUP...

          (169) North Carolina -9.5 over Duke
          (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)


          THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd...

          NONE
          Comment
          • LarryF
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-11-09
            • 949

            #1160
            Thanks Tom and Happy T Day!
            Comment
            • therber2
              Restricted User
              • 12-22-08
              • 3715

              #1161
              Originally posted by LarryF
              Thanks Tom and Happy T Day!
              Thanks Larry. It was nice. Hope all went well with you guys. Looks like laying off the games paid off scoring 2 units in NBA instead...maybe...its looking good with 2 minutes in Atlanta.
              Comment
              • dvb02
                SBR MVP
                • 06-30-09
                • 2941

                #1162
                Nice call on Atlanta. Good luck tomorrow Therb!
                Comment
                • therber2
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-22-08
                  • 3715

                  #1163
                  Originally posted by dvb02
                  Nice call on Atlanta. Good luck tomorrow Therb!
                  Thanks dvb...a nice +2 units for Turkey Day.
                  Comment
                  • JMobile
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 19074

                    #1164
                    Sup Tom, hope your Turkey day was swell. Just got done getting stuffed.

                    I'm on Ohio!

                    For Sunday, I'm thing of taking the Chargers mL all the way. What you think?
                    Comment
                    • jordigs
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-19-10
                      • 297

                      #1165
                      Nice Altlanta pick! and GL for NCAA!
                      Comment
                      • lapi7
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-08-10
                        • 230

                        #1166
                        Originally posted by therber2

                        A's here:

                        Missouri -24 over 51 vs. Kansas 47%
                        Missouri -24 and Over parlay (strong)

                        Hawaii -26 over 58.5 vs. new mexico state 44.4%
                        I would pass this one but...
                        New Mexico State +26 and under parlay (weak)

                        TCU -43.5 over 56 vs. new mexico 77.6%
                        TCU -43.5 and Over Parlay (strongest)

                        Correlated parlays are great. Where are you placing these. Might want to just pm or email that actually..
                        Originally posted by therber2
                        Here are some other correlated parlay candidates for me:

                        Western Michigan -6.5 and Over (good)
                        Central Florida 25 and over (decent)
                        Minnesota +15.5 and Under (weak)
                        North Carolina -9.5 and Over (good)
                        Georgia Tech +12.5 and Under (good)


                        Enjoy A's...

                        Hi Therber,
                        Been following your plays...and they look GREAT.
                        Terrific work.
                        Question...how do the above plays figure in with your regular Week 13 NCAAF plays (which you posted)? Do the above plays count as official plays too?
                        Thanks in advance...keep up the good work.
                        Comment
                        • therber2
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-22-08
                          • 3715

                          #1167
                          Originally posted by lapi7
                          Hi Therber,
                          Been following your plays...and they look GREAT.
                          Terrific work.
                          Question...how do the above plays figure in with your regular Week 13 NCAAF plays (which you posted)? Do the above plays count as official plays too?
                          Thanks in advance...keep up the good work.
                          Good question. NO. They do not.

                          I was just helpings A's out with something there. Sometimes I consult plays with you guys. If it's a play I put units next to it and the bet number.
                          Comment
                          • lapi7
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-08-10
                            • 230

                            #1168
                            Thanks Theber...that helps...I appreciate the input.
                            Comment
                            • mav924
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-06-09
                              • 718

                              #1169
                              Good luck this weekend Therber2
                              Comment
                              • GGZOLA
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-30-06
                                • 1118

                                #1170
                                therber, do you post ncaaf and nfl on same thread? Thank you.
                                also i was glancing at your impressive MLB picks,
                                but read somehwere that you dont post them, only email them?
                                I know its waaay early but wanted to know for next season if you plan to post.
                                Comment
                                • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-11-10
                                  • 356

                                  #1171
                                  HERBER------HOPE YOUR THANKSGIVING was GREAT--------GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS-----"REFUSE TO LOSE"
                                  Comment
                                  • JassieJames
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-03-09
                                    • 988

                                    #1172
                                    Kent St. Always finds a way to screw me.
                                    Comment
                                    • therber2
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-22-08
                                      • 3715

                                      #1173
                                      NBA 11.26.2010
                                      (2010-2011 Season):

                                      CLEVELAND +11 over Orlando
                                      TORONTO +10 over Boston
                                      PHILADELPHIA +11 over Miami

                                      (2 UNITS EACH)

                                      Comment
                                      • therber2
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-22-08
                                        • 3715

                                        #1174
                                        Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                        therber, do you post ncaaf and nfl on same thread? Thank you.
                                        also i was glancing at your impressive MLB picks,
                                        but read somehwere that you dont post them, only email them?
                                        I know its waaay early but wanted to know for next season if you plan to post.
                                        Same thread...its time consuming to run a bunch, and like I said before....my buddies don't like to go searching all around. Hope that's not a problem...

                                        MLB. No I've posted MLB here for years. I was at another forum though at the end of last season. MLB next season...whew..haven't even thought about it. Probably here again....
                                        Comment
                                        • GGZOLA
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-30-06
                                          • 1118

                                          #1175
                                          thank you very much for your explanations
                                          Comment
                                          • raiders510
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-05-10
                                            • 1038

                                            #1176
                                            hey T.....looks like 1 for 2 on your top college plays so far. Good night in NBA bro...looking forward to those nfl picks! keep up the good work and happy holidays
                                            Comment
                                            • jordigs
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-19-10
                                              • 297

                                              #1177
                                              3/3 on NBA. Nice job!!
                                              Comment
                                              • oh_lol
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 196

                                                #1178
                                                2 wins and 1 push you mean

                                                Look forward to your plays today Therber
                                                Comment
                                                • rolybea
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 05-03-09
                                                  • 345

                                                  #1179
                                                  Great picks yesterday Tom
                                                  Comment
                                                  • therber2
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-22-08
                                                    • 3715

                                                    #1180
                                                    Originally posted by jordigs
                                                    3/3 on NBA. Nice job!!
                                                    Originally posted by oh_lol
                                                    2 wins and 1 push you mean

                                                    Look forward to your plays today Therber
                                                    Originally posted by rolybea
                                                    Great picks yesterday Tom
                                                    Someone I know hit a huge parlay here on these three, and nearly barreled himself completely into the black (says he'd been losing all season). I wouldn't recommend doing that though. Read up on parlays....the best value is the 2 game parlay any more, and you're actually being ripped off...well actually going by the odds of hitting ANY 2 game parlay you're, in most cases not getting the full value there either. Not many people know that...but they still pound out those parlays. Only one I do for real money is the 2 gamer. In MLB it worked out great a number of times.

                                                    NFL out soon this afternoon.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • therber2
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                      • 3715

                                                      #1181
                                                      Ncaa week twelve results

                                                      Originally posted by therber2

                                                      NCAA WEEK TWELVE -

                                                      NCAAFB 2010 (Season record for 2010 Season)
                                                      Record: $3,177.00 Thru (11/6/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10) 54-33-2 61.7% +54.3 Units

                                                      TOP PLAYS Record: 24-6-1 +$1,054.00 80.0% +52.7 Units
                                                      Official Sports Betting numbers are in Brackets (xxx)
                                                      Final lines from Pinnaclesports.com

                                                      **** Top PLAYS are 24-6-1 this Season for 80% ****


                                                      (101) Temple -7 over Miami (Ohio) - Lost
                                                      (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

                                                      (153) South Carolina -3 over Clemson WIN
                                                      (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

                                                      (117) N. Illinois -24
                                                      over Eastern Michigan - WIN
                                                      (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

                                                      (123) Ohio -3
                                                      over Kent State - Friday -Lost
                                                      (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

                                                      (167) North Carolina St -2.5 over Maryland Lost
                                                      (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)


                                                      JUST MISSED GROUP...

                                                      (169) North Carolina -9.5 over Duke PENDING
                                                      (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)


                                                      THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd...

                                                      NONE
                                                      Boy...couldn't have been more wrong this week. Sorry guys.

                                                      2-4 -6.1 units

                                                      NCAAFB 2010 (Season record for 2010 Season)
                                                      Record: $2,264.00 Thru (11/27/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
                                                      56-37-2 60.2
                                                      % +48.2 Units

                                                      TOP PLAYS Record: 26-9-1 +$966.00 72.7% +48.3 Units
                                                      Official Sports Betting numbers are in Brackets (xxx)
                                                      Final lines from Pinnaclesports.com

                                                      **** Top PLAYS are 26-9-1 this Season for 74.9% ****
                                                      Comment
                                                      • therber2
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-22-08
                                                        • 3715

                                                        #1182
                                                        Originally posted by PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                        HERBER------HOPE YOUR THANKSGIVING was GREAT--------GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS-----"REFUSE TO LOSE"
                                                        Thanks for the avatar PLAYA. Always brightens my day.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pokerwhiz90
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-02-10
                                                          • 2618

                                                          #1183
                                                          waiting for the NFL!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • therber2
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-22-08
                                                            • 3715

                                                            #1184
                                                            Nfl week twelve

                                                            NFL 11.26.2010
                                                            WEEK TWELVE
                                                            (2010-2011 Season):

                                                            Guys, Play a smaller card this week. If things go well there is a potential play for MNF. You know we rarely take MNF, SNF, or any big marquee games unless we like them. I like this one, but haven't decided yet if I'll take it. For now...here's a game of the month and a few others. Get that half point to +3 and the other to +4....for Green Bay you might consider the Moneyline or +1 and points which is where I see it in many books. Not a huge difference there really. You could swing a nice deal with some plus odds or play it safe like we are and take the points.

                                                            [237] San Diego Chargers +3 over the Indianapolis Colts
                                                            **Note: If needed, by the half point to get +3 here.
                                                            (Take the CHARGERS -110 for 77 - 3.5 UNITS bet based of $20 units)

                                                            The spotlight of the week goes to our Top Game, featuring the late charging San Diego Chargers. Every year it's the same ole tune, play like crap the first 5 or 6 games, then play catch-up to look almost unbeatable as the season goes into the final stretch. (Thanks to Norv Turner who NEVER has them ready to play out of the gate)

                                                            Phillip Rivers is playing under the radar while putting together one of the greatest seasons of all time. He is on track to surpass the single season passing record set by Dan Marino, and nobody is even taking about it. Rivers will have plenty of time to set up and throw, as he has only been sacked 3 times in the last three games. The Chargers are playing at the top-of-their game right now on both sides of the ball. As a bonus, he gets back three of his top players this week with the return of Antonio Gates, Vincent Jackson and Malcom Floyd. On the other hand the Colts lose Joseph Addai and Austin Collins. Peyton screwed up last week in their last second loss to the Patriots, and it will be hard to muster up that kind of emotion again. The Colts are struggling badly on pass defense as Tom Brady easily picked them apart last Sunday. And things get worse for the Colts, as they are now ranked among the worst against the run. And for you stat buffs, did you know the Charger are now 4-1 against Indy over their last five games. The Chargers got an easy 17-point win last week, and are looking forward to the national exposure...This is our GAME OF THE MONTH....Go Bolts!

                                                            [229] Green Bay Packers +1 over the Atlanta Falcons
                                                            (Take the PACKERS +110 $49.5 - 2.5 UNITS bet based of $20 units)

                                                            [235] St. Louis Rams +4 over the Denver Broncos
                                                            **Note: Get +4 Buy the half point if needed
                                                            (Take the RAMS -110 $22 - 1 UNIT bet based of $20 units)

                                                            [xxx] 7PT TEASE: RAMS +12 and TENNESSEE +14
                                                            **Note: Don't take it if you can't get Titans +7 to +14 (key number)
                                                            (Take the TEASER +110 $23 - 1 UNITS bet based of $20 units)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bulls55
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-05-10
                                                              • 199

                                                              #1185
                                                              You have a bit of a typo, with Atlanta/GreenBay and Atlanta(Denver)/St. Louis...


                                                              Thanks for the picks and BOL.................
                                                              Comment
                                                              • therber2
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-22-08
                                                                • 3715

                                                                #1186
                                                                Originally posted by Bulls55
                                                                You have a bit of a typo, with Atlanta/GreenBay and Atlanta(Denver)/St. Louis...


                                                                Thanks for the picks and BOL.................
                                                                Yeah. Got it.

                                                                Plays are SD, GB, STL, and the Teaser
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChileCheese
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                                  • 1957

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  why GB?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pick of Destiny
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 04-19-10
                                                                    • 221

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    Not looking good on NCAA...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-11-10
                                                                      • 356

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      THANKS my "MAIN MAN"----KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • therber2
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-22-08
                                                                        • 3715

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        Originally posted by Pick of Destiny
                                                                        Not looking good on NCAA...
                                                                        No. Not at all.
                                                                        Comment
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