Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

[therber2]

saw your nfl plays, love the top 3

Awesome. Guys I sent out the NFL plays earlier in the newsletter. I'll have the plays here in a moment. I hold off on them here at SBR for two reasons: 1. I don't want to overload you with plays. 2. I don't want anyone taking my plays and write-ups and re-posting.

I'll post the NFL in a moment. But if anyone wants to get them earlier...fyi I post in the free newsletter first always. You can find it pretty easily googling ProCompGambler... can't post an actual link though...good luck.

[therber2]

PCG: NFL Week Nine

NFL WEEK #9 Plays
(2010-2011 Season):
xxx.PROCOMPGAMBLER.xxx

[425] Indianapolis Colts +3 over the Eagles
(Take the COLTS for $66 - 3 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

A 31-24 Projection for the Colts here starting Peyton Manning in his two hundredth consecutive start. Like him or not; he is the team, and this week he faces a team who can't decide on a starting QB. If there is any question which team is going to come out on top in this game I think the Colts will take the psychological edge over the Eagles' QB, Vick.

To help out...the Colts have also shown superior passing defense over the Eagles which complements this would be QB show down. Philly hasn't been able to make a firm decision on who to start as QB. This week it will be Michael Vick; we've already shown you why that is the wrong move fun as he is to watch...Kolb is the man for the job. The Philly team will never really get too far off the ground with this internal confusion.

This is a great time for the Colts to shine as they have been excelling on our drive charts; however, getting some unlucky turnovers. This is a great spot to correct an error like this. I've told some of you before that I keep a log of who I think the smarter player in the league are...this log helps determine whether or not to strike on a play in a typical emotion stand off where you need the brains over brawn. Peyton is smart enough, and a fairly decent leader. This dog should win the game straight up against what will probably be a very confused Philadelphia Eagles. Another thing a friend pointed out to me here is this: the Colts have done well as dogs...why? Because they have Manning who is a bit smarter than the rest. What is the psychology there? Well, like it or not; many players are fully aware of their status as either the vegas favorite or underdog. Being called the underdog helps a team like the Colts' psyche we think.

[407] San Diego Chargers -2.5 over the Texans
(Take the BOLTS for $55 - 2.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

A solid 30-21 projection for the Chargers here...should be easily more than a touchdown if the Chargers play their cards like they should. I was impressed with a solid win against a real opponent last week: the Tennessee Titans. They showed an indication that they can get things going now. Who does the public like? Well I think they are liking Houston a bit more because they've either been hugely let down by SD or they like watching Hollywood wins that the Texans are only capable of pulling off. Many are calling a bet on the Chargers fool's gold, but I'm not so sure. Houston can really put on a show in the rushing department...my line of thought there is that it mostly comes from one or two players, and that isn't a sustainable edge. The Chargers are picking up the pace now. They might be a great train to ride.

Why is there any public on the Texans? I'm not sure...because they put on a show probably. Let's not forget the tight wins they've walked away with though. If we are talking luck here...the Texans have been the ones with the stronghold in that department. Luck can only last so long. The Texans' wins have been close, and their losses have been good ones. Houston couldn't stop anything against the Colts...Philip Rivers is fired up...if you want a prop bet...take P.Rivers to go over his personal total in this game. Houston is ranked 32nd in Red Zone Defense...they do well in rushing with Arian Foster, but for some reason Gary Kubiak wants to keep the balls out of his hands. Who is the bad coach now? Let's hope Norv Turner stays out of our way here.

[405] Chicago Bears -2.5 over the Bills
(Take the BEARS for $44 - 2 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

The Bears and Bills will be playing in Toronto, and speculation has it that more Chicagoans will attend the game than fans for the Bills. We can consider this neutral ground easily. I talked with my partner for a little bit out of his very busy schedule to go over the science of a bye week. What happens before, during, and after a bye week is fairly difficult to say, and honestly something you could write a book on. We didn't go on about it much, but my statistics tell me that the road favorite coming out of the bye week has the advantage on paper. What does that mean? It all depends...

The Bears are walking off a slop-fest game with a total of 9 turnovers (both teams), and a nauseating loss that should have been the Bears'. I'm going to go out on a limb here and tell you that I think turnovers are more luck than anything else, and bad luck is an interesting thing for a team to stew on over their bye week. The Bills are due, and with parity back this season we can't bet against the Bills for too much, but we'll have an emotional win for the Bears here on what will feel like home turf. The Bills want their win of course (and they are looking good), but I'll tell you this: the psychological advantage still goes to the Bears who actually have something to play for and know they messed up, but messed up something that they can actually repair. The Bill's time will come for their first win, but I don't think it is going to be this week. You shouldn't have to pinch your nose too hard here, but sift through the excrement and you'll find the correct winner here: The Chicago Bears.

[427] Dallas Cowboys +9 over the Packers
(Take the BOYS for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

The Cowboys are pissed, and in a nice spot to hold their ground...minimum. The projections don't look very nice on this one so we won't go very large, but there are a number of good edges that we have going here. Green Bay just walked off an impressive win over the Jets, but I think +9 is far too generous here to give to a pissed off team; from what I've seen, the public still likes Green Bay with that big spread. My projection for the Boys is much more consistent than what I have for the Packers. About 24 points for the Boys here, and...who knows really for Green Bay...maybe 26 or 28. Worst case scenario I say the Packers win it by 6 points but that is enough to cover the spread, and that is WORST case...the Cowboys might have a huge high here in the National TV spotlight, and pull off a SU win. If Dallas can run, they could set up some great spots for Kitna, and that would be an exploitation of a hole in Green Bay. As far as coaching the Boys here...it isn't rocket science...even they can do it. Question is would Green Bay anticipate the obvious? Take the Boys anywhere between +7.5 and +9

[411] Arizona Cardinals +9 over the Vikings
(Take the CARDINALS for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

[415] NY Jets -3 over the Lions *I'm buying a point here
(Take the JETS for $39 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

[417] Miami Dolphins +5 over the Ravens
(Take the DOLPHINS for $22 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

I've been trying to call it all year...when will the Ravens get their breakout game? It has to happen...well no actually it doesn't. I think that the Ravens can only walk away with a 1 or 2 point victory here if they win at all.

[xxx] Tease 7 pts. on: KC Chiefs +9 with Arizona Cardinals +16
(Take the TEASER for $48 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

[xxx] Tease 7 pts. on: Dallas Cowboys +16 with Seattle Seahawks +14.5
(Take the TEASER for $24 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

[jalein]

Strong work. And thank you for your time and effort

[raiders510]

thanks for the picks therber

[pokerwhiz90]

Looks like 2-1 on big plays!

[therber2]

^^^dont spam you f\*g....create your own thread

Lol. None of that raiders...this should be a friendly thread...although it does look like our friend is doing a copy and past job here..

I don't mind you guys posting your own selections here. That is all fine, but I'll agree...it does look like this guy is spamming a bot or something and one of those plays may actually be plagiarized unless this gentleman is the one I am thinking of...

Speak up there fella.

[therber2]

Looks like 2-1 on big plays!

[therber2]

Strong work. And thank you for your time and effort

No problem jalein. You are very welcome here anytime.

[doin]

#807 .... points to you, thanks much.

[therber2]

#807 .... points to you, thanks much.

Thanks much doin. The points...what will I ever do with them? I guess cash out to books would be nice. Let's do the math here:

A $50 cash deposit as Bookmaker, 5Dimes, DSI, and a few others is 825 points.

That means (50/825= about 6 cents)...that isn't bad 1 SBR points equals 6 cents...in my newsletter people typically donate at least $25 to $50 each week or month WHEN I MAKE THEM MONEY and that is how I justify doing all of this for free.

Let's do the math again...a $50 donation would be about 825 SBR points and a $25 donation would be about 400 SBR points.

I just wanted to put things in perspective here. 10 SBR points is 60 cents if I did all that right. I made people 300% gains in MLB alone....and get paid 60 cents

Thought I'd just do that math for you guys.

[pokerwhiz90]

haha therber, i'm doing all this free - since you put so much work into all of this you should maybe apply for positions at various positions as a handicapper or columnist
just something i started doing not too long ago

one more thing, for the kansas city teaser it says $48 so thats a 2 unit teaser?

[Surtainly]

therber, what is stopping you from charging for your plays?

[DaProfessor23]

points are harder to come by than real money but when i get an abundant amount of points you will recieve a large portion for your efforts

[kopite]

Thanks much doin. The points...what will I ever do with them? I guess cash out to books would be nice. Let's do the math here:

A $50 cash deposit as Bookmaker, 5Dimes, DSI, and a few others is 825 points.

That means (50/825= about 6 cents)...that isn't bad 1 SBR points equals 6 cents...in my newsletter people typically donate at least $25 to $50 each week or month WHEN I MAKE THEM MONEY and that is how I justify doing all of this for free.

Let's do the math again...a $50 donation would be about 825 SBR points and a $25 donation would be about 400 SBR points.

I just wanted to put things in perspective here. 10 SBR points is 60 cents if I did all that right. I made people 300% gains in MLB alone....and get paid 60 cents

Thought I'd just do that math for you guys.

[rolybea]

Thanks Therber Good nluck for tomorrow

[Mthorn]

good luck! im rolling with INDY big also.

[therber2]

haha therber, i'm doing all this free - since you put so much work into all of this you should maybe apply for positions at various positions as a handicapper or columnist
just something i started doing not too long ago

one more thing, for the kansas city teaser it says $48 so thats a 2 unit teaser?

Oh shoot. pokerwhiz..that $48 was a typo. It is a 1 unit play.

I put all of my plays in order greatest to least by unit size.

Anyways, sure pokerwhiz...I love writing about the sports and capping the games. Let me know where you are writing. I'd probably consider something a little more professional...shoot me an email about it.

[therber2]

therber, what is stopping you from charging for your plays?

I'm in my 20's. I have 5 years experience with this stuff, and good money to show for it... What's stopping me from charging? Nothing really...I care more about my actual bets though, and running a business is another headache. I mentioned this before but I'll explain it again...an old (great) capper here at SBR taught me a lot of good things. One of those things was that writing down your thoughts before placing your bets on a game helps out in a lot of ways. I didn't believe him at first. But since I've been posting here with discipline, my earnings have been reflecting the extra effort.

Again, I'm in my 20's...(23)...when I say "we" all the time in my write-ups...I am referring to me group with is me and my partner who is an older guy from the legendary "Computer Group"...which you can google.

[therber2]

points are harder to come by than real money but when i get an abundant amount of points you will recieve a large portion for your efforts

Lol. You're right. People go nuts for 2 points. If any of you guys are a fan of the jjgold character here, I'd suggest watching this video he did about points not being worth $hit. There was some petty war going on about maybe 20-30 points, and JJ was threatening to pull the plug on the whole operation saying you guys are fighting about pennies.

See....he gets it.

[therber2]

Ncaaf week ten results

**** Top PLAYS are 20-5-1 this Season for 80.0% ****

Three TOP plays this week

(323) Iowa -17 over Indiana
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) LOSE

(341) Florida -14 over Vanderbilt
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

(353) Temple -3 over Kent State
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

JUST MISSED GROUP...

(399) Florida Atlantic -2.5 over Western Kentucky LOSE
(2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)

(393) Colorado St. +17.5 over San Diego St.
(2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd...

(310) Central Michigan -3.5 over Western Michigan - FRIDAY NITE
(1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

4-2 +3.5 units

[nuck44]

4-2

[Mybologne]

very nice in ncaa fb therber!!!!!1 keep up the excellent work bud

[kopite]

Another solid weekend in College, great job therber, and on the points, my bank manager doesn't accept them

[DroppinDimes]

Thanks for the info T2. I have $6 worth of pts for you right now. Sounds pitiful when you actually do the math lol.

[rochestertitans]

gll

[JMobile]

Hey Therber, how come you like the Chargers so much? I always see them in your picks. The Chargers haven't won a road game this year yet.

But awesome job with the College games.

by the way, I'm in my early 20's too!

[ManBearPig]

I missed out on Col St and so I was only on 4 plays and two of them were the L's. I've been on a bad streak lately so this isn't surprising...oh well I guess I have a real job for a reason. We'll get em' Sunday!!!

[therber2]

Thanks for the info T2. I have $6 worth of pts for you right now. Sounds pitiful when you actually do the math lol.

You rock DroppingDimes. Many thanks.

Hope everyone cashed this weekend....again

[therber2]

Hey Therber, how come you like the Chargers so much? I always see them in your picks. The Chargers haven't won a road game this year yet.

But awesome job with the College games.

by the way, I'm in my early 20's too!

The Chargers are ready to go 8 wins straight. See Rivers averaging +300 yard per game...see the rest of their stats? They are wound up TIGHT. I could be wrong here, but most likely not. It's all in the write up as to why I like em.

FYI guys...our old guy (Computer Group) is on all my plays except the Bears and heavy on Arizona Cardinals. We'll see who's right. He and I both have our other heavy plays in consensus.

[therber2]

I missed out on Col St and so I was only on 4 plays and two of them were the L's. I've been on a bad streak lately so this isn't surprising...oh well I guess I have a real job for a reason. We'll get em' Sunday!!!

Yeah...I put quite a bit of effort into getting the plays out to my followers so that they can play all of them. (Anyone concerned about getting them on time...said it before...get the newsletter; its free). I'm sorry that you lost ManBearPig. We profited...yes I think tomorrow could be a solid day. We're due for something...I just hope it isn't a crash landing...NFL has been weird. Return of parity. Make for good entertainment tough on your wallet though.

[pokerwhiz90]

Hey therber2, just sent you a play for soccer (EPL) also if anybody else wants to know, just check my twitter

Therber I love your 3 plays and what's your record on teasers? It seems like you get all of those right.

[bdavies26]

Good luck today therber.

[PLAYA-PLAYA]

THERBER------Thanks For The Help-----------------"REFUSE TO LOSE"

[portnoy65]

I'm on Dallas +10..Bol

[TonyP]

one em also signed up for the news letter thanks therber2