LB thread for NFL plays 2010-2011

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  • ronjon619
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-09
    • 3675

    #3746
    Originally posted by paciophobia
    whew. had to sweat that over pretty bad!
    after that first play from scrimmage, you knew Andy Reid was going for the KILL SHOT tonight.
    Comment
    • Shafted69
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-04-08
      • 6412

      #3747
      good call on eagles. whomever was on them



















      -
      Comment
      • BlindWeasel
        SBR Hustler
        • 05-31-10
        • 62

        #3748
        Originally posted by jagermeister1
        I've got 40 units on the over. Great start.
        Nice hit, Jager. I didn't go as big as you, but I still made some good coin. Thanks for the heads up.
        Comment
        • jagermeister1
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-06-08
          • 323

          #3749
          No sweat. But don't expect to see anymore plays of that size anytime soon. Not from me anyway.

          Comment
          • jagermeister1
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-06-08
            • 323

            #3750
            Leaning toward over on the Dallas/Detroit game this Sunday? Your thoughts, LB?
            Comment
            • ronjon619
              SBR MVP
              • 09-06-09
              • 3675

              #3751
              Originally posted by jagermeister1
              Leaning toward over on the Dallas/Detroit game this Sunday? Your thoughts, LB?
              start your week off right. Tyler Thigpen will be under center for the fish on Thursday night. I know it's hard to put $ on Cutler, but that might not be a bad idea.
              Comment
              • jagermeister1
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-06-08
                • 323

                #3752
                Thigpen wasn't the worst ever when he was at KC. You think the Fins will be that bad this week?

                I'm not disagreeing, just looking for more thoughts on this. I didn't think Henne was the greatest QB either but they did all right with him.

                The Bears are playing pretty well, too, so you might be right. There's a relatively low O/U also.
                Comment
                • ronjon619
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-06-09
                  • 3675

                  #3753
                  thigpen was 3rd on the depth chart for a reason. Short week, 3rd QB = trouble.
                  Comment
                  • ronjon619
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-06-09
                    • 3675

                    #3754
                    Originally posted by jagermeister1
                    Thigpen wasn't the worst ever when he was at KC. You think the Fins will be that bad this week?

                    I'm not disagreeing, just looking for more thoughts on this. I didn't think Henne was the greatest QB either but they did all right with him.

                    The Bears are playing pretty well, too, so you might be right. There's a relatively low O/U also.
                    Tyler Thigpen was terrible.
                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #3755
                      Oakland/Pittsburgh under 41.5 -110 (2x)
                      Comment
                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-17-09
                        • 11939

                        #3756
                        I like that play LB.
                        Comment
                        • franklt
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-02-10
                          • 158

                          #3757
                          Me too. Good luck and $$$$
                          Comment
                          • JR007
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-21-10
                            • 5279

                            #3758
                            "WHAT SHARPS ARE THINKING THIS WEEK IN THE NFL
                            Time once again for our weekly look at what sharps (professional wagerers) are thinking in pro football. As always, games are presented in rotation order.
                            OAKLAND AT PITTSBURGH: Sharps definitely liked the Raiders at the opener of +8.5. They bet the dog all the way down to +7...and nobody bought back a middle yet. The Wise Guys have been very impressed with what they've seen from the Raiders in recent weeks on both sides of the ball. And, Pittsburgh hasn't exactly been setting the world on fire lately. Nothing on the total, though we may have Under money come in if the weather is going to be an influence. Under guys are hiding in closets right now because so many games have been going Over. That can't last forever.
                            HOUSTON AT THE NY JETS: Early action from on the home favorite from -6.5 to -7 at the outset, with not much happening since then. That may have been position taking too on the thought that squares (the public) may load up on the Jets against the Texas team having to play up North in November. New York hasn't really been a blowout team of late...so I can't assume that was anti-Houston sentiment rather than just position-taking. The total jumped from 44.5 to 46 based on Houston's bad defense from what I was hearing. Mark Sanchez has had some good games vs. bad defenses.
                            BALTIMORE AT CAROLINA: Baltimore opened at -8, and jumped to -10 right away because of Carolina's recent poor play and quarterback troubles. When it was announced journeyman Brian St. Pierre would get the start, even more money came in on the Ravens (and it takes a lot for sharps to lay double digits on the road). I'm seeing -11 now. Given how poorly Miami played with a #3 quarterback against Chicago this past Monday, we may not see any buyback on St. Pierre no matter where the line ends up. The total hasn't moved from 37. In the rest of the games, I won't mention the total if it hasn't moved.
                            WASHINGTON AT TENNESSEE: More interest on the total than the side here, with an opener of 42 going up to 44. Both defenses looked vulnerable last week, which surprised some sharps. That may be a factor. Same situation here as in New York with an opener of -6.5 for the home favorite moving to -7. That may just be position-taking rather than true support. As bad as Washington looked this past Monday, sharps expected squares to load up against the Skins.
                            DETROIT AT DALLAS: Dallas opened at -7, but is down to -6. That's interesting because Dallas looked so good against the Giants. Sharps thought the market overreacted in the Dallas direction after overreacting the other way last week (sharps LOVED the Cowboys on game day). They took the full TD in what they consider to be a closer game. The total is up a point from 45.5 to 46.5.
                            GREEN BAY AT MINNESOTA: Another total jump here, as an opener of 42 is now 44. The Under guys are afraid to bet! The Over guys have extra to play with, and are looking to step in when the weather is good or the game is indoors. Green Bay opened at -2.5, and got bet to the critical number of three very quickly. Sharps are down on Brett Favre right now, and were pleased to get the Packers at less than a field goal.
                            BUFFALO AT CINCINNATI: Cincinnati got bet up from -4.5 to -6. There may have been early concerns about Ryan Fitzpatrick going for Buffalo. He got his hand stepped on last week in the win over Detroit. Not many other reasons to back the Bengals the way they've been playing.
                            CLEVELAND AT JACKSONVILLE: Sharps are buzzing about Colt McCoy of the Browns. They turned that buzz into bucks with strong support on the Browns at the opener of +3. That line has moved down to +1.5...which means Cleveland was also attracting action at +2.5 and +2. This creates a quandary for sportsbooks, because Cleveland would fall into the basic strategy teaser window (moving to +7.5) if there aren't any more changes. And, if sharps loved Cleveland at +3, they'll really love them in teasers at +7.5. The total has gone up from 42 to 44.
                            ARIZONA AT KANSAS CITY: A lot of totals seem to be jumping from 42 to 44 this week, which we see again here. Arizona has been awful on the road, so an opener of Kansas City -7.5 actually went up rather than toward the critical number of seven. I'm seeing KC -8.5 as I write this. That would stick the Chiefs in the teaser window (moving down to -1.5), so you may see a self-defense move to -9 from some sportsbooks over the weekend. They don't want the whole world putting Kansas City in teasers at less than a field goal at home over a horrible road team.
                            SEATTLE AT NEW ORLEANS: This total didn't move from 42 to 44. It moved from 42.5 to 44! Early support on the team side to underdog Seattle, as an opener of +12.5 is down to +11.5. You just never know with the Seahawks. They've been a feast or famine team for many weeks now. That means line moves of a point matter less in their games. So few are landing near the number.
                            ATLANTA AT ST.LOUIS: Not much interest here. Atlanta is -3, and most sharps think that's a fair line. The Falcons best games have been at home this year, which is why you're not seeing support for a team that's getting media respect. I know some sharps who are hoping the public comes in on Atlanta on game day so they can take the Rams at +3.5 or better.
                            TAMPA BAY AT SAN FRANCISCO: Tampa Bay has earned the respect of sharps in recent weeks, and inspired a drop from +4 to +3 in this one. Travelling cross country is a negative. But, San Francisco had to go overtime last week, which hurts the hosts chances of playing above norms. I have to say...the turnaround in sentiment this year about Tampa Bay has to be one of the biggest I've seen in years from sharps. They thought this coach and team were going to be awful coming into the season.
                            INDIANAPOLIS AT NEW ENGLAND: New England has been bet up to -4 from an opener of -3. There are sharps who hate trying to fade Peyton Manning as un underdog. But...the Colts have looked so shaky with all of their injuries that they didn't step in yet to counteract the Tom Brady money. New England looked great vs. Pittsburgh last Monday Night. This line move is basically from people impressed with the Patriots betting...and people who prefer Manning not betting because of the injury situation. The total is down from 51 to 50.
                            NY GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA: Limited action yet...though the public may step in Sunday because the Eagles looked great last Monday Night. Squares love taking hot teams at home at a field goal...so we may see some movement soon. The fact that sharps haven't acted yet tells us they prefer the Giants, and are waiting to see if they can get something better.
                            DENVER AT SAN DIEGO: Big move on the Monday Night total, with an opener of 47 moving up to 50.5 so far. Sharps tend to back off of Overs once you see 50...so sentiment has cooled. Still...big money on the Over at 47, 48, and 49 obviously. Denver's played some high scoring games recently...and you have to figure the Chargers will put up some points."
                            Comment
                            • bradnowell
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-31-10
                              • 493

                              #3759
                              great info as always
                              Comment
                              • fletch49
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-12-10
                                • 407

                                #3760
                                Originally posted by bradnowell
                                great info as always
                                Great stuff JR You are very correct about the public over-reacting to last week's games. It happens every week and the sharps are always ready to pounce on those games.
                                Comment
                                • Pick'nParlays
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-22-08
                                  • 3134

                                  #3761
                                  THANKS JR. I will try and not overreact to some of last week's upsets again this week......Mostly Dallas/NYG. Anyone think the Rams have a legit shot to win against ATL. I do. But I won't bet on it.
                                  Comment
                                  • JR007
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-21-10
                                    • 5279

                                    #3762
                                    Comment
                                    • ttrace35
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-10
                                      • 10828

                                      #3763
                                      Good sh-t JR. Do you have your own thread? No disrespect to LB.
                                      Comment
                                      • gohabsgo
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-19-10
                                        • 1903

                                        #3764
                                        Thanks JR, i'll probably make a square play on philly anyway...
                                        Comment
                                        • lakerboy
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-02-09
                                          • 94379

                                          #3765
                                          Giants +3 +110 (30x) yes thats right 30x

                                          Seahawks +11.5 -110 (3x)



                                          Two team 6 pt teaser

                                          Lions +12/Seahawks +17.5 (1.5x) to win 1.35x




                                          Eight team teaser

                                          Steelers /Raiders over 34.5
                                          Ravens -5
                                          Lions +12
                                          Bills +10.5
                                          Kc-2
                                          Seahags +17.5
                                          Giants +9
                                          Warriors +16
                                          (1x) to win 16x
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerfan420
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-04-09
                                            • 1238

                                            #3766
                                            damn.. dropping the BOMB!
                                            Comment
                                            • bradnowell
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 07-31-10
                                              • 493

                                              #3767
                                              No Steve smith for the giants tomorrow
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #3768
                                                Lets see how ea sports superstar Vick does on his second consecutive TV game. The giants got smashed last year in philly and i won 3 dimes on phiilly +1 in that game where they came out and dominated versus a porous giants team. Giants coming off a big time slapping at home where they overlooked the cowboys. Tom will have his team ready to play in this one. I personally think the Giants win SU but i will take the +3. Could have bought the hook but way to pricey. Giants will be prepared this game and i expect Manning to torch the philly corners the same way McNabb did but the giants d will be much better in this game than what washington had to offer. Classic letdown after a big win for the eagles. This div will go to the end but the Giants need this game bad and will find a way here.
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94379

                                                  #3769
                                                  Originally posted by bradnowell
                                                  No Steve smith for the giants tomorrow

                                                  No worries. One mans loss is another mans opportunity.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #3770
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    Giants +3 +110 (30x)
                                                    I think the Giants and Vikings are the best plays on the board.

                                                    I can only hope both reach 3.5, but I doubt they will.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Kav
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-25-09
                                                      • 3281

                                                      #3771
                                                      LB any thoughts on the GB/MIN game, just want to know what side you would lean too. personally i love the packers, with minn in turmoil, childress job is in the deep end of the pool, favre is all banged up, which means if he plays a couple of good licks by aj hawk and he's out.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • memo99
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-08-10
                                                        • 2368

                                                        #3772
                                                        good luck my man how do feel about raiders hanging with the steelers tomorrow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94379

                                                          #3773
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          I think the Giants and Vikings are the best plays on the board.

                                                          I can only hope both reach 3.5, but I doubt they will.

                                                          well i dont like the vikes much but its hard betting against them at the metrodome

                                                          Originally posted by Kav
                                                          LB any thoughts on the GB/MIN game, just want to know what side you would lean too. personally i love the packers, with minn in turmoil, childress job is in the deep end of the pool, favre is all banged up, which means if he plays a couple of good licks by aj hawk and he's out.

                                                          i lean with GB. sure they are favored and it looks iffy like that but they are a better team and i can see Rodgers lighting up the vikes d . i mean the bears slapped around the vikes so why cant the pack. i think you can stick a fork in the vikes but it worries me that the pack are favored in a hostile environment considering they couldnt even cover in washington. the line is -3 for gb for a reason imo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lakerboy
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-02-09
                                                            • 94379

                                                            #3774
                                                            Originally posted by memo99
                                                            good luck my man how do feel about raiders hanging with the steelers tomorrow

                                                            its a touch and go. keep an eye on the ml movement. thanks brother
                                                            Comment
                                                            • alex81
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-18-09
                                                              • 658

                                                              #3775
                                                              wow lb... ur ready to go 30x against Vick? I hope for ur own sakes u at least get a push. If the gmen were healthy i'd somewhat understand this play and maybe the reason to go ultra aggressive
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #3776
                                                                Do you like the Niners LB?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lakerboy
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                                  • 94379

                                                                  #3777
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  Do you like the Niners LB?

                                                                  not really but the line movement indicates they win. tb has been good on the road. raheem morris is an underated coach, his team has been ready to play every game this season except the pitt game and i dont think the same can be said for mike's team.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #3778
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                    not really but the line movement indicates they win. tb has been good on the road. raheem morris is an underated coach, his team has been ready to play every game this season except the pitt game and i dont think the same can be said for mike's team.
                                                                    I think SF wins, but I won't lay the 3.5. Public's in love with Tampa this week.

                                                                    BOL Sunday, LB.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ronjon619
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-06-09
                                                                      • 3675

                                                                      #3779
                                                                      30x's gonna make or break your SIG line.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • lakerboy
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                                        • 94379

                                                                        #3780
                                                                        Originally posted by ronjon619
                                                                        30x's gonna make or break your SIG line.
                                                                        yup but the sig line is determined at the end of the season not yet. sure a loss (which you are hoping for) will be no good but it wont ruin me.
                                                                        Comment
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