RLM

[ThaWoj]

lot of rlm possibles today

biggest one so far is carolina. seattle opened -6 and now -4.5 with 76% public on them

[doublej95]

what does eveyone think about the RLM on Tampa today

[DDT]

They must be counting on a let down game from ATL, I don't see it happening though.

[jameellionaire]

Buffalo, Carolina, Skins all appear to be RLM plays. Don't think I can bear to put $ on Carolina though.

[ebbearsfb1]

anything offical?

[The Seer]

lot of rlm possibles today biggest one so far is carolina. seattle opened -6 and now -4.5 with 76% public on them

6 and 4 1/2 is basically the same number, that movement is pretty much meaningless

[Stevedore]

what does eveyone think about the RLM on Tampa today

Not enough points for me. Tease all the RLM plays Buff, Miami, Tampa and Carolina. I've been doing this the last two weeks and it's been profitable.

[Nepaa]

Buffalo and Washington are not looking good.

[QuantumLeap]

6 and 4 1/2 is basically the same number, that movement is pretty much meaningless

I've thought about this many times. However, the square public doesn't realize this. Some books want to get more money on a losing side. If they feel -6 is a losing side why not get more money by moving the line to -4 1/2 to get square money from other books that are offering -6? It's not that much more risk for them and they get more money on the favorite which they feel has a good chance of losing.

[ThaWoj]

6 and 4 1/2 is basically the same number, that movement is pretty much meaningless

if more than 75% of the public is all over seattle than why drop the line 1.5 pts?

certainly this is not 'meaningless'

[wacked]

if more than 75% of the public is all over seattle than why drop the line 1.5 pts? certainly this is not 'meaningless'

Some people just need to be ignored ThaWoj if you know what I mean.

[Totolover1409]

Carolina has been RLM several weeks already. I can't remember how many times they've covered but I remember losing a lot on them.

Not playing Carolina RLM

[dodger33]

I've thought about this many times. However, the square public doesn't realize this. Some books want to get more money on a losing side. If they feel -6 is a losing side why not get more money by moving the line to -4 1/2 to get square money from other books that are offering -6? It's not that much more risk for them and they get more money on the favorite which they feel has a good chance of losing.

I think both of you are right.

[Totolover1409]

Seems to be a ton of RLM plays this weekend as of now. I will be confirming plays Saturday night. BOL

[wacked]

So far these are the possible plays that could play out come Sunday:
Oakland +5 to +4
Wash +2 to +1
Dolphins +6 to +5
SF -4.5 to -5.5
AZ * +5.5 to +4
Chargers * -7 to -9.5

[DeluxeLiner]

Got some games the other day so was able to get an extra 1/2 a point on some games... here is what I like.

OAKLAND +4.5 (On the Moneyline too)
WASHINGTON ML +110
MIAMI +5.5 (and Moneyline)
ARIZONA +4.5 (and Moneyline)
San Francisco -5
...
CHICAGO ML (The value might be gone by now so I am not sure I will take them)

DON'T FORGET TO LINE SHOP BOYS AND GET THE BEST PRICE!

[wacked]

Got some games the other day so was able to get an extra 1/2 a point on some games... here is what I like.

OAKLAND +4.5 (On the Moneyline too)
WASHINGTON ML +110
MIAMI +5.5 (and Moneyline)
ARIZONA +4.5 (and Moneyline)
San Francisco -5
...
CHICAGO ML (The value might be gone by now so I am not sure I will take them)

DON'T FORGET TO LINE SHOP BOYS AND GET THE BEST PRICE!

I agree, open accounts at multiple books and shop around. I'm almost always able to get 1/2 better at one of my books if I shop.

[Totolover1409]

Happy to see people still on this thread. record is 22-10, dunno why people wouldnt like it.

Will confirm plays tonight after I get faded

[thebestthereis]

People don't like it because if u lose 1 game you suck and its 40-0 or get fukked no matter what, its ridiculous. You keep it going bud.

[wacked]

Happy to see people still on this thread. record is 22-10, dunno why people wouldnt like it.

Will confirm plays tonight after I get faded

As long as RLM plays are played for an equal amount it's been profitable all year in both NCAA and NFL.

I'm been watching the RLM threads, just been busy and out of the country myself and I can't always get around to posting and sometimes as you know lines change up to the last few minutes so it's hit or miss on some close games minutes before the game. It will be interesting to see how RLM plays out for playoff teams that can lock up home field advantage if they are involved in such a scenario with a RLM involving them.

[DReeves997]

So when do you decide how much is enough movement? Is 1/2 pt reverse enough?

[DeluxeLiner]

So when do you decide how much is enough movement? Is 1/2 pt reverse enough?

It really depends on the play and how the line has moved thus far. Watch these line movements long enough and you will start to figure out if it will stay stagnant or if a line will move even more.

[LT Profits]

So far these are the possible plays that could play out come Sunday:
Oakland +5 to +4
Wash +2 to +1
Dolphins +6 to +5
SF -4.5 to -5.5
AZ * +5.5 to +4
Chargers * -7 to -9.5

Chargers are not RLM.

SF came back to -5, so they are borderline.

Others all look good.

Keep an eye on Detroit in case they go to +6.

[dvb02]

Good luck tomorrow!

[DarkNite]

Totolover, could you openup RLM in NCAAB, please?
I really like this RLM in NFL, NCAAF, and NCAAB I used today.
We know sometimes it works, sometimes it does not.

[wacked]

Chargers are not RLM.

SF came back to -5, so they are borderline.

Others all look good.

Keep an eye on Detroit in case they go to +6.

To clarify LT that is why I said "Plays to Watch".
I know what RLM lines are and when that was posted San Diego was in the high 40s percentage wise. Had their percentage moved to the lower 40s it would of been a RLM but not a true RLM due to the QB change in KC.

All plays posted days or hours before the games start are just feelers anyhow. The final line movement only matters before the game goes off as far as determining RLM.

This is one reason I don't spend as much time posting in this thread.

[GGPLAYER]

can't remember the last time I saw this many RLM games:

Oak +3.5 - 1.5 RLM
Chi +2.5 - .5 RLM
Det +6.5 - .5 RLM
Wash +1 - 1 RLM
SF -5- .5 RLM
Mia +5 - 1 RLM
AZ +4 - 1.5 RLM

I'm sure things will be different come kick-off but that is what I am seeing right now.

[jeeves]

Does BODOG having Washington +3 scare anyone away from that RLM?

[Mr. Yo]

can't remember the last time I saw this many RLM games: Oak +3.5 - 1.5 RLM Chi +2.5 - .5 RLM Det +6.5 - .5 RLM Wash +1 - 1 RLM SF -5- .5 RLM Mia +5 - 1 RLM AZ +4 - 1.5 RLM I'm sure things will be different come kick-off but that is what I am seeing right now.

Kind of scary isn't it!

[jeeves]

guess not.

well at 1:
OAK +4
WASH +3

[GGPLAYER]

12:45 update:

Oak +4 - 1 RLM
Chi +2.5 - .5 RLM but off key # of 3
Was +1 -1 RLM
SF -5 - .5 RLM not enough for me to make a bet
Mia +5 - 1 RLM
AZ +4 - 1.5 RLM maybe my fav RLM play of the day

Gone- Det

[Strange Design]

Good luck today guys.

[Totolover1409]

Damn. Woke up late again. I looked at those people who had a list of RLM plays to see if they were good, and all except SD were legit. Figured I didnt need to do it.

I know GG has been with me for a while and I agreed with all his plays. I will be adding his W-L tonight to my RLM record.

[GGPLAYER]

12:45 update:

Oak +4 - 1 RLM
Chi +2.5 - .5 RLM but off key # of 3 - no play
Was +1 -1 RLM
SF -5 - .5 RLM not enough for me to make a bet
Mia +5 - 1 RLM
AZ +4 - 1.5 RLM maybe my fav RLM play of the day

Gone- Det

Sorry I was not around for the 4pm games. Chi came back to +3 so I laid off that one. NE is just on a such a different level from the rest of the league right now. Oak should have covered!! Jax is a joke. I view them as the Bears of the AFC. Not as good as their record. You can't have that many mircle comebacks in the last 1 minute of games and be a serious contender. Depeding on when you got Wash you may have lost, pushed or won. SF, Mia and AZ were never in doubt. AZ was my play of the day. Denver getting points on the road...how/why?

[doin]

giants / vikings ?
ravens / texans ?

anything happening tonight?