hey dex the bears wont stop seattle on 3rd down all game and hes 60x on chicago 
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great job martz.....have your rb throw the ball up 25 in the 4th qtr of a playoff game.....jackassComment -
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Sunday 1/23:
(10x) packers -170
writeup later in the week.....Comment -
unfking real how this game goes overComment -
overs have hit 56% in the nfl this year.
dex great work on the bears pal. glad we came together in the end on that one.Comment -
(2x) under packers 44
(2x) under steelers 39Comment -
I like both favorites to advance. Green Bay vs Steelers in SB. The games that decides this will be tough hard fought games but in the end I really can't see it being anything but GB vs Pitt.Comment -
Hell of a good weekend dex, gl this weekComment -
well I guess getting on this thread answers all of my questions for you in your NBA thread. LOL.Comment -
Why can't you see it being anything but Gb & Pitt? Have you uncovered something that seperates the Packers from the Bears? The Steelers from the Jets? I have spent 4 days researching every stat I can find & to be honest I believe all 4 teams are very even & anyone of the 4 could easily win it all. I find little or no seperation in these teams. Please let me in on what you have found.Comment -
Sure, I got a shipment of new quarters in recently and everytime I flip heads= favorites it keeps coming up heads for packers.. Been flipping alot lately and starting to get some tails mixed in for Jets now also instead of Steelers. Will continue flipping quarters until Sunday and if something new develops I will share it with you.
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Sure, I got a shipment of new quarters in recently and everytime I flip heads= favorites it keeps coming up heads for packers.. Been flipping alot lately and starting to get some tails mixed in for Jets now also instead of Steelers. Will continue flipping quarters until Sunday and if something new develops I will share it with you.
Solid input
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Packers (20) @ Bears (13)
These 2 teams obviously know each other very well, and both teams defended their home field this season. However, in GB's 3 point loss at Chicago, they committed 18 penalties. The Packers are one of the least penalized teams in the league - ranked 4th with 4.8 per game. I am willing to look at that game as an anomaly. I am basically taking the better defense (15ppg vs 18ppg in the regular season) and the better QB. Rodgers is playing at an all world level right now, and Cutler can always be sitting on a 3 INT game. Rodgers is 4-2 in his career vs the Bears while Cutler is 1-4 vs GB with 9INT's to 5 TD's. Both games this year produced 13 and 37 points, so to me this is an under or no play. I always love to side with defenses in championship games. I see some value on the 43 point total as the oddsmakers are reacting to GB's huge effort last week on a fast track. Different scenario outside this week in frigid temperatures. The last 5 meetings between these 2 teams have been decided by 7 points or less, therefore i have to play the ML even though i feel GB should cover the 3/3.5. It takes a lot of money to move a line off a key number (3) and the early betting (typically by pros) bumped this up to 3.5. A lot of people say that the Packers have no running game. Starks is a talented back who was in the coaches dog house this year due to a poor work ethic. He is their guy now, and should do enough to loosen up the secondary for rodgers. I see Cutler making a few big mistakes in the 2nd half, and the packers to move on in their attempt to bring home the Vince Lombardi trophy.
Jets (13) @ Steelers (24)
This is another game where I will side with the better QB and Defense (15ppg vs 19ppg). I think it will be very difficult for the Jets to win again in Pittsburgh. 2 of the Steelers key players on offense (miller) and defense (polamalu) did not play in that Jets win, but are back for this game. Brad Smith also returned a kickoff for a TD in the Jets 22-17 win in the last meeting - this time around Smith is banged up, though likely will play with a groin injury. The Jets have had 2 very impressive road wins vs the Colts, and Pats (i had the Jets in both) but to me, those 2 teams are more finesse. The Steelers are a true Smashmouth type of football team, that can run the ball down your throat with Mendenhall for an 8 minute drive to change the games momentum. I see another low scoring championship game between 2 very physical teams. Sanchez may get a ring or 2 down the road, but i have to think the 2nd year QB will make a few mistakes this time around with Polamalu back. The Jets may have good initial coverage on the Pitt receivers, but there is no better QB in the game then Roethlisberger when it comes to improvising in the pocket and eluding sacks with his strength. Pitt always seems to be a tricky place to kick, and Folk did miss his one easy attempt last week. Perhaps he has some issues as many kickers do in this stadium. This is another game that saw the early money move the spread off the key number of 3. I had to play the ML having gone pretty big on this game.Comment -
i think we shoudl go big on the under in pitsburgh?Comment -
Solid write up Dexter.Comment -
GB -3.5, Under
Pit -3.5, have not decided on O/U yet.
I have two games going right now. I have IU/UI over and IU+2.5 as well as the GB - Chi game.Comment -
I think I am going to have to take the over in Pittsburgh, its down to 38.Comment -
I know a lot of the other guys in the other threads that I post in were on chicago so I didn't want to say anything since I was on GB. But knowing you were on GB also, I can happily say congrats dex, we got this one.Comment
