Chargers will win the afc west and they are + 550

[Garycor]

I disagree with you that the Broncos are going to lose to Washington. Washington is horrible!

The Chargers do have the advantage with the schedule that is true. I do think that Cincy could beat SD and Dallas at home will be tough also. The Chargers first will have to beat Denver in Denver and that will be difficult. I wouldn't take them at +550. I would want higher odds than that.

I think you right in case of Chargers,they have advantage but they have to face challenges

[Abrcrom12]

So, are we doing this ? Just let me know. You are giving me 7 1/2 though, even though the line is only 3 or 3 1/2. I wont take it unless I am getting the 7 1/2. Wecan do it for 200 points, I have the points just have to transfer them back over. Let me know then I will transfer them back over and post them up with someone or make a challenge.

I'll do it, but I want Den at -7, not -7.5, and for 100pts. Let me know.

Sooooo, we gonna do this or what?

[andywend]

Abrcrom, I'll take Washington plus 7 for 100 points if you still want it.

In fairness, the line is 3 1/2 but if you are willing to lay 7, I will certainly take the other side.

Post back if you're still interested.

[Abrcrom12]

Abrcrom, I'll take Washington plus 7 for 100 points if you still want it. In fairness, the line is 3 1/2 but if you are willing to lay 7, I will certainly take the other side. Post back if you're still interested.

Sorry man, I was movin my fiance in all day and just now got access to the internet (only got to listen to bits and pieces of the game on the radio).
That said, I'm glad that I wasn't able to get access to the net because I would have taken you up on it.

Anyway, congrats to those that took the skins, I got burned.

Also, to nobs, on this weekend. Denver loss (to one of the worst teams in the league) and SD took out the Eagles.

[nobs]

Thanks abrcrom,

I actually bet the Broncos game under 37 so I lost money on that play. I knew the Broncos werent as good as their 6-0 record but my god I didnt expect them to turn into shit. I wouldnt call the KC and Oak games definite wins anymore. I still think it comes down to the SD/ Denver game as a win there will be a 1 game lead and the tiebreaker.

[nobs]

This division is OVER.

[onthewhat]

Nice call, unreal

Hope you fukkin hammered this line

[nobs]

hey nobs you are a moron, really all you can do is bring up s.d. Stats against the raiders dude s.d. Loses by 10 next week then show me some stats. Nothing you have said even makes sense what about a 8 win team from last year that is slower makes you think they win 10 much less 11 l.t. Disappears the second half of the season and norv just keeps sucking just make sure you dont go away when you have to face the facts

The facts are in, and I seem to be the only one who hasn't gone away. LOL.

[nobs]

Thanks onthewhat

[pimike]

OUTSTANDING CALL

[tltaylor89]

Shit I will put a little more on them

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

Man, my chargers are looking good. Philip rivers is only in his 4th or 5th season really. I though he was older. So, the leagues best qb, well he'll prove he's the best when they win it, he's still bound to put up more and more numbers. Our o-line is pretty solid and dominant. Our defense is looking pretty good, i mean how many points did denver score?
Of course colts and pats are looking good too, but hopefully it's our turn to win one. Bolts +550 to win afc west (insert dancing lock guy) or bolts 10-1 to win the super bowl are decent bets.

[nobs]

They still have a shot at #2 seed behind the Colts. I doubt they get it, but the way they are playing its not out of the question. Then they would have a home game and if they win that they would play at INDY for a shot at the SB.

The Chargers have done very well against the Colts in recent years, so that would be a possible win. Chargers at Colts AFC Championship game.

Remember in 2005 the Colts started 13-0 and it was the Chargers who beat them.

Im not a Charger fan, just saying.

[nobs]

Dang the Chargers have a nice schedule the rest of the way.

KC
At CLEVELAND
At DALLAS
Cincy
At Tennessee
Washington

Could easily go 5-1 the way they are playing. That would be 12-4 and probably #2 seed so a bye then a home game, then likely at INDY.

[Abrcrom12]

[nobs]

thanks abrcrom man.

[trevlyn1983]

Bolts lose to TN at TN ~

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

We could blitz the rest of the schedule. I agree if we can get the colts here, we can and have beat them, the thing i am seeing this year is how we have beat east coast powerhouse teams like the giants and the eagles. That says a lot, because i already know the bolts can beat fluky and avg. Teams

[lakerboy]

Nobs is an idiot.

and you are

[nobull]

no one else is capable in this division

[Pensinger1]

As an avid Chargers fan, I'd like to calmly address two posters itt:

@ nobs: seriously sick call man. your write-ups are solid and you've captured the essence of EV.

@ Ace_of_Spadres: ELLLL OHHHHH ****ING ELLLLL.

[madmaxx]

not sure why the chargers continually start slow but it works out just fine. 12-4 and a first round bye looks possible, i think @tenn will be tougher than @dallas. hopefully the cincy game gets moved to sunday night football.

[tblues2005]

Who called this one was dead on. This division in my eyes is over no doubt!!

[iceminers26]

[nobs]

Thanks everyone. Cant really take much credit here, it was just a stupid line by the books. I do know that a lot of fools were playing the Broncos at that crazy line. I saw it go up from -610 I think to -700 and SD climed from +500 to +550 that week before I got on. So the action was coming in on Denver even hen it was -610. Ouch. Cant see how anyone would go -610 on the Broncos in that spot.

I did mess up though. I bought back sooner than I had planned which cut into my profit. Felt very strong that the Chargers would win it, but couldnt pass up an opportunity to lock in a nice profit. I would have been better just to hold out obviously, but didnt fully expect the Broncos to implode. I knew they would fall, but I didnt expect them to become one of the worst teams in the NFL.

I dont know if I would take the Broncos at Pk against Oak or KC at this point. And the Chargers are playing excellent, better than I had expected. I felt if the Chargers got to this point behind 2 games, they would still have a good chance. They should go 5-1 the rest of the way and the Broncos will go 2-4 or 3-3 at best.

Since this thread was posted The Chargers havent lost and the Broncos havent won. The Chargers really came through for me, and hopefully they will do well in the playoffs.

I was checking around some books hoping to find maybe a +1000 to win the AFC on the Chargers as I think they have a good shot at #2 seed, but the books have moved that number down quick. Best I can find on Chargers AFC at a good book is +425. Did find the Broncos +4750 to win the AFC though.

Well thanks for the comments everyone. Go Chargers. I will now cheer for the Chargers since I dont really have an AFC favorite team and the Chargers came through big time on this play.

[xtwoxlivesx]

hell ya baby...SD

[nobs]

Chargers clinch their division and more importantly, the #2 seed with a win over Bengals on Sunday.

Chargers looking for 8 straight Sunday, they havent lost a game since this thread was posted.

[adverse]

nice call my man

[netinfo]

Chargers looking real good right now

8 straight wins, and looking for their 9th!!!

netinfo

[nobs]

Ace Of Spades

[slacker00]

It was still better value to ride the Chargers ML the last 9 weeks than to buy that high juice future. Nice call, but bad betting.

[nobs]

No, no way you would have gotten better value betting them the last 9 weeks.

After week 8 the whole world jumped off that Bronco bandwagon just as fast as the whole world had jumped on it.

The game at Denver, the Chargers were actually favored, the +550 had that game factored in as Bronco ML -300 or higher, by the time the game came around it was Chargers -200 ML.

[netinfo]

Chargers won the west! Great call nobs.

netinfo

[Flight]

This thread is prophetic. +EV all the way.

[frostno98]

Great call, since you don't seem like a big time gambler, congrats on your $500 dollar win.