RLM

[GGPLAYER]

Hope you guys tooks Cincinatti and Tampa bay. Those were both winners.


For this weekend, there is so some strong line movements.

1.) Philly went from -9 to -7 with majority on Philly. Take Denver
2.) Colts went -7 to -5.5 with majority on Colts. Take Jets.
3.) And a slight .5 movement on Minnesota from -7.5 to -7 with majority on Minnesota. Take Chicago.


The first and second ones have 2+ point line movements. Be sure to wait and see if the lines possibly move back. But I'll be taking 2 of these 3, if not all of em.

Good luck

I sort of went away from playing RLM games. Felt like I was losing more than winning but the season started off great. Looking today I see a few things that make me wonder why there has been such drastic line movement based on the betting.

Hou opened +1 (41,000 bets) 42% market average on them and the line is now +1......it appears more bets are being placed on Mia but the line has come down 2 full points for them?

Den opened +9 (43,000 bets) 32% market average on them and the line is now +7......Big 2 point swing with more bets being put on Philly.

NYJ opened +7 (40,000 bets) 29% market average on them and the line is now +3.5......Wow a 3.5 move in RLM. This one has to be a reaction to the fact that many starters for Indy may only play a few series. Is it worth it to play the Jets? They need the win for their play-off lives.

Pit opened -1 (50,000 bets) 48% market average on them and the line is now -3.....Too close in betting action to consider a true RLM play?

There are a few others with some slight movement but not worth mentioning. I don't know the Jets, Den and Hou seem almost too good to ignore. Maybe I will tease them. Any thoughts out there?

[Totolover1409]

Philly up 20-10. RLM still possible.

Colts up by 5...another possible winning situation. lets hope for it guys (if anyone followed or is still on this thread aside from GGplayer and daneblazer

[dvb02]

Philly up 20-10. RLM still possible.

Colts up by 5...another possible winning situation. lets hope for it guys (if anyone followed or is still on this thread aside from GGplayer and daneblazer

I didn't follow, but I still check/enjoy this thread. Good luck.

[Totolover1409]

Really disappointed with the Colts losing this game. Even though I made money, I wanted to see the Colts go 16-0 and win the SB. Really think going undefeated is more important than taking out Manning and Wayne.

Oh well, won the Jets bet. 24-27 Denver looking better


BOL

[Totolover1409]

I hope you guys followed. Jets and Denver covered. 2/2

waiting for Chicago game tomorrow..

[GGPLAYER]

Well I jumped in with both feet and bet Den, NYJ and Hou. Plus I threw them in a bunch of teasers. Went 7-0 which will off set my big JM C bet loss in the NBA. Just like always I can never get ahead. Well I'll keep my eye on the remaining games to see if there is anything which jumps out at me. Later

[Stringer Bell]

wow RLM was great today.. nice toto

[Totolover1409]

Chicago is looking good too

[Totolover1409]

Hope you guys got those RLMs. 3/3 this weekend

[dvb02]

Hope you guys got those RLMs. 3/3 this weekend

Nice job.

[GGPLAYER]

Mid week report. So far a few games are showing potenial for some more RLM plays. Keep an eye on these 4: Hou, NYJ, Was and Sea.

Things can and will change so check back later in the week.

[Sidetracked]

hope to end the NFL reg season strong

[dem_redbirds]

what's the criteria for one of these RLM plays and what record do they show for the year or since you guys started tracking them? thanks.

[daneblazer]

Big time RLM on Buffalo, Washington, and Houston. Some on the Jets. Seahawks, & Cards.

Rams, Cowboys, Lions show some signs.

This is such a flakey week, guys. Proceed with caution.

[Totolover1409]

Don't see any movement on the Houston game or Seattle, but definitely some crazy movement on Buffalo and Washington.

Taking both of those. Will check again tomorrow morning.


BOL guys and good lookin dane

[daneblazer]

Houston was at -9 but was bet back down to -7

Seattle has been bet up from +4 to +6 as well.

Now I'm seeing RLM on the Saints.

With so many teams that may rest their starters, this is a tough week to gauge.

[Rig]

Wow great stuff

[GGPLAYER]

Mid week report. So far a few games are showing potenial for some more RLM plays. Keep an eye on these 4: Hou, NYJ, Was and Sea.

Things can and will change so check back later in the week.

Hard to tell or know if RLM is effective during the last week. But there seems to be some major line movement just like last weekend. Here is what I'm seeing as of tonight. Again I get all my information from Bet Tracker:

Buf opened -7 and is now -9 with 30% Market Average RLM: 2pts
NO opened +9 and is no +7 with 36% MA RLM: 2pts
NJY opened -9 and is now -9.5 with 35% MA RLM: .5pt
Was opened +6.5 and is now +3 with 17% MA RLM: 3.5pts

Again we need to watch these right up to kick-off.

[S.K.M.]

Some promising games this week. Keeping my eye on them.

[Totolover1409]

Great find guys. I will wake up an hour before kick off to make sure these stay RLM.

[GGPLAYER]

Lines are adjusting and making more sense now that starters have been announced. NO is now at +9 to +11. Line flew up once it was stated that Bress would not play. Same with a few others. Be very careful this week.

[Totolover1409]

New Orleans has remained at +9 on bodog. Will not be taking that game. Took the Redskins because I noticed about a 3 point movement. Also, Buffalo is back at -8 making that a 1 point movement. I think I will take Buffalo and Washington, now that NO has no RLM.


BOL guys.

[GGPLAYER]

I confirm Buf and Was on my end. I don't understand the Wash line but do not have the guts or the trust in Was to bet them. By the way it looks like Hou has worked it's way back to RLM...opening line -7 and it's now -9. I'm liking that one because it seems everyone is on NE getting the points. Houston has to win in order to have any chance at the play-offs. It's a throw away game for NE.

Jets are now showing a 1pt of RLM but there is still plenty of time for that line to change. A lot depends on how some of the early games play out.

[S.K.M.]

The washington game is meaningless for San Diego correct?

[GGPLAYER]

Yes. You will have to double check but Rivers might not even be starting or if he is he will be pulled early. I know they just made V. Jackson inactive.(Rotoworld)

[Totolover1409]

Hope you guys cashed on the Buffalo game. And the Redskins game doesnt look too bad.

[dvb02]

great job once again. Total, how did RLM do in the past for playoff games? I would assume it would work just as well.

[Totolover1409]

Hey Dvb. Unfortunately, I have not been keeping track of how ive been doing with RLMs this season because I bet a lot on soccer and that kinda messed me up. And also, I didn't bet all the RLM games, I was a bit selective at which teams I bet as you can see. I only bet Buffalo and Washington but not the JETS, which I should have or the Saints which I shouldnt have. But overall, I have won, I would say 60% of my bets.

[Totolover1409]

Oops, I don't think I answered your question. LOL. This is my first year doing RLM and I am looking forward to see how RLM plays in the playoffs.

[daneblazer]

Since there aren't many games on the board, you'll probably have to watch the movement early in the week. By the time Saturday and Sunday roll around it's going to be tough for it to show if it does at all.

[daneblazer]

Big time RLM on Buffalo, Washington, and Houston. Some on the Jets. Seahawks, & Cards.

Rams, Cowboys, Lions show some signs.

This is such a flakey week, guys. Proceed with caution.

Buffalo, Houston, Jets, Seahawks, Cowboys, Rams overed

Depending on when you got them, so did the Skins.

Lions & Cards were crushed.

I suppose weeks like this are actually good times to play RLM because of teams benching starters or tanking like the Bungals did.

[Sidetracked]

rams didnt cover...they blew it in the 4th just like the lions

[Totolover1409]

Moral of the story...RLM works over 50-60% of the time.

[Sidetracked]

hoping for some RLM in the playoffs

[daneblazer]

got some on the Patriots...though it's tough to tell. More money is falling on the Pats, more bets are falling on the Ravens. Line moved from -4 to -3